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Phils - Nats

Frayed Knot
Sep 26 2008 11:48 AM

Not the best matchup we'd like to see. But our predicament is based at least partially on only managing a 4-game split with them recently.


Collin Balester (3-6; 4.83) - Two losses to Philly this year (one in July, one in Aug)
vs
Joe Blanton (8-12; 4.79) two NDs vs Washington (8 runs in 9 IP) in Aug and earlier this month.

bmfc1
Sep 26 2008 12:31 PM

Since I live in the DC area, I thought I would bring the CPF a Nationals perspective to this weekend’s series between the Nationals and the Phillies. It comes from Steven who writes the excellent website, firejimbowden.com: http://firejimbowden.blogspot.com/

His site is so good that I wish it didn’t exist. It’s obvious that Jim Bowden is incompetent so, as a Mets fan, I want him to stay in his current position. Steven writes eloquently about the state of his team and why Jim Bowden should be fired. His recent encounter with Jim Bowden is excellent reading.

I asked Steven: “As the Nationals head to Philadelphia, I was wondering if you had any encouraging words for the Nationals chances this weekend. They're out of it, they have the flu, but these are really important games. Any chance of a win or two?”

This is his reply:

“Yes we have a chance. Off the top of my head, some reasons for Mets fans to be optimistic are:

1. The Nationals don't give up, period. I don't know what kind of Kool-Aid Manny's pouring in the clubhouse, but in 2 godawful seasons the team's never quit on him. They always play to the max that their very limited talent will allow.

2. The Nationals' young bats, finally healthy, are hitting. Dukes, Zimmerman, and Milledge in particular are finishing strong. Over the last month, Dukes and Zimmerman have OPS-es of 1.055 and .885, and Milledge's OBP since 8/1 is .390. (Didn't think you'd ever see him put up a number like that over 2 months, did you Mets fans? And he's only 23...)

3. Brad Lidge has a silly 4% HR/FB rate. That number should be more like 11%, and the difference is mostly luck. it would take about 7-8 HRs in a row for him to fully regress to the mean. That guy is going to turn into a pumpkin eventually. Why not this weekend? If the Phillies do make the playoffs, I look for Juan Pierre to reprise the Scott Podsednik role and take Lidge deep.

4. Shairon Martis's start was bumped due to the rain-out last night. That kid has potential, but boy is he not ready for prime time. He's lucky his ERA isn't over 10.

5. Balester is young and inconsistent with off-speed command, but if he's able to get strikes with his curve and change, he's a legitimately tough pitcher for any lineup. He threw 5+ innings of no-hit ball against the Marlins a couple weeks ago, and he's capable of shutting down the Phils.

6. Joe Blanton is terrible. OK, not terrible. But very hittable. Never trade for a pitcher with Billy Beane. Just don't do it. Without checking, I think the Phillies gave up like 3 of their top 5 BA-ranked prospects in that deal. They could have had similar (or better) production from Tim Redding or Odalis Perez for a lot less, I'll tell you that.

7. Lannan and Odalis Perez have both pitched well this year, and as lefties they match up well with the Phils' left-handed heavy lineup. Lannan actually had one of his worst starts of the year against the Phils on July 31, but don't read too much into that. He just didn't have it that day, and he bounced back the next week and did much better. Perez is in a walk year and has been very solid the last 2 months.

8. I think there's a real rivalry emerging with the Phillies. Since Utley took out Jesus Flores with that Jack Tatum-like dive at his ACL, it's been ratched up a notch. And as disrespectful as Mets, Braves, and Cubs fans are when y'all visit Nationals Park, Phillies fans are way, way worse. When they were chanting "this is our house" last year in RFK, the half-dozen or so of us Nationals fans still watching were quite annoyed.

9. If the season goes to the last day, Charlie Manuel seems liable to do his best Dusty Baker impersonation and pitch poor Cole Hamels short rest, even though the 24-year-old has led the league in innings and could be looking at an innings jump (counting playoffs, should that happen) of 60-70 innings.

10. Luck does even out.... eventually.”

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 12:58 PM

From the Yahoo preview:

Third baseman Ryan Zimmerman was not in the starting lineup for that game after missing Wednesday's 9-4 loss to the Marlins due to flu-like symptoms. Washington manager Manny Acta hopes Zimmerman will be available to play sometime this weekend.

''He's not in very good shape,'' Acta said. ''I'm not expecting any magic recovery so fast.''

Benjamin Grimm
Sep 26 2008 01:08 PM

They should have him sneeze on Ryan Howard and Chase Utley.

And Jimmy Rollins. And Shane Victorino. And Jason Werth.

They should just spray his snot all over the Phillies clubhouse.

THAT'S what they should do.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Sep 26 2008 01:11 PM

bmfc --

Thanks for the contribution. That guy does write well, and the telling of his "confrontation" with Bowden was great stuff.

[url]http://firejimbowden.blogspot.com/2008/09/legend-of-jb-v-fjb-aka-cyclone-at-espn.html[/url]

That said, my sympathies tend to go to the named people in these "Fire ______ " blogs. Not because their arguments don't make sense, or whatever, but because of the brand of wound-licking and entitled fandom it stokes.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 01:16 PM

I have doubt that Bowden is really the issue. He's working within constraints.

Sign a buncha has-been chumps for bloated contracts and watch them tank? Yeah, hang a guy for that. But sign almost nobody and let AAA pitchers and retreads making at- or near-minmum salaries sink or swim, that's a choice that goes beyond him.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 05:46 PM

6-1 Phils.

Get with the 'gram, Nats.

metsguyinmichigan
Sep 26 2008 05:54 PM

7-1 now. Freaking Nats are rolling over and playing dead.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 06:30 PM

No they're not. Seven-three going into the fifth.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 06:45 PM

Nats got another back. It's 7-4.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 07:18 PM

Washington's gone to their sixth pitcher. Acta is playing for keeps.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 07:19 PM

But Phillie tacks one on.

AG/DC
Sep 26 2008 07:58 PM

8-4 is our final.

SteveJRogers
Sep 26 2008 08:13 PM

Tragic number for the division is a deuce.