="Gwreck":12nmrjd6]50 CPF bucks on Garcia. Maybe a side bet of $5 on Redding.[/quote:12nmrjd6]
If I'm correct, that pony pays $406.50 if he comes in.
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Edgy DC Feb 12 2009 02:12 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Feb 12 2009 02:13 PM
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="attgig"]why do your percents = 101%? |
'Cause I'm multi-tasking.
]and is betting done by odds or percent? You sure you're a bookie? |
I'm certain I'm not. But I'm playing one.
]I'll put a CPF buck down on:
Stoner 1%
Gee 1%
Antonioni 1%
(so you're saying that'll pay out 100:1 if one of those guys win?) |
99:1 in CPF dollars.
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metirish Feb 12 2009 02:12 PM
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We should have proper odds , Redding might be the favorite at 3/1 odds, Niese second favorite at 9/2 odds....and so on...Pedro is a long shot at this stage as he is not signed so get your money down at 100/1 odds....that price is sure to drop as rumors heat up.
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Edgy DC Feb 12 2009 02:16 PM
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="metirish":2rbz4unl]We should have proper odds.[/quote:2rbz4unl]
OK, you get to be our Paddy Power. But lay all the candidates out.
If we all start with 1000 imaginary CPF units, we can play them in Casino Irish (Snap the cork! Fingers popping!) over the course of the season and see who finishes the strongest.
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metirish Feb 12 2009 02:22 PM
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Redding - 3/1 early favorite Niese - 9/2 Armas - 12/1 Figueroa - 10/1 Garcia - 50/1 Parnell - 50/1 Bostick - 70/1 Stoner - 100/1 Gee - 200/1 Antonioni - 200/1
Pedro Martinez - 300/1 Mr.Met - 1000/1
Odds are based on which pitcher will start as the Mets first fifth starter.
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Ashie62 Feb 12 2009 05:11 PM
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Redding 1/9 prohibitive favorite
Why do pigeons fly upside down over Yankee stadium?
There's nothing worth shitting on.
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MFS62 Feb 12 2009 05:17 PM
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My 1 CPF buck is on Garcia.
Later
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Nymr83 Feb 12 2009 06:11 PM
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="metirish":qewt4app]
Pedro Martinez - 300/1
Odds are based on which pitcher will start as the Mets first fifth starter.[/quote:qewt4app]
I'll take Martinez for $50 at those odds.
Also you should define "5th starter", is it just the fifth person to start a game for the Mets? What if that person clearly doesnt have the 5th starter role thanks to speing training injury? you could easily see the first week or so go Santana-Pelfrey-Perez-Redding-Santana-Pelfrey-Perez-Redding-Maine if Maine is unable to take his first turn for some reason.
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smg58 Feb 12 2009 06:55 PM
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The acquisition of Freddy Garcia makes us the team to beat. A hundred fake dollars says so.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Feb 12 2009 08:04 PM
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11000 CPF Bolivars-- or 5 CPF Washingtons-- on Venezuela's next finest, the Chief.
(I'd set the Redding odds a little lower... he feels a little more like a 2:1 to me.)
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MFS62 Feb 13 2009 06:17 AM
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While we're at it, let's not forget Competition II - lefty reliever. The Mets have invited every aging lefty this side of Che Guevarra to camp this year in hope of finding someone to share lefty bullpen duties with Feliciano. Unless they sign one of the still-free agents, the battle could go down to the wire.
And I haven't the foggiest what the odds are on each of the current candidates.
Should there be separate competition threads for each contested position?
Later
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metirish Feb 13 2009 06:42 AM
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Freddie Garcia is the new slight favorite....several bookie associates have been calling me with news that a chap that looks a lot like Jeff Wilpon was seen in several parlors yesterday laying out "big" money on Garcia at 50/1 odds....no doubt trying to diversify his portfolio .
Adam Rubin in the Snooze today has Garcia as the favorite , Mets "insiders" are talking about the team strongest with Freddie as the fifth starter and redding the long man....Neise looks like he will start in AAA
Line
Redding - 5/1 Niese - 10/1 Armas - 20/1 Figueroa - 10/1 Garcia - 3/1 Parnell - 50/1 Bostick - 70/1 Stoner - 100/1 Gee - 200/1 Antonioni - 200/1
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Benjamin Grimm Feb 13 2009 06:46 AM
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It really depends on how healthy he is. I'd have to think that if Freddy is ready he'll get the job.
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Frayed Knot Feb 13 2009 06:51 AM
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Yeah, but I got my Garcia money down under the old odds. Big Payoff Baby!!
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Edgy DC Feb 13 2009 07:09 AM
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="MFS62":3dpj9ik0]While we're at it, let's not forget Competition II - lefty reliever.[/quote:3dpj9ik0] Nobody forgot anything. Thanks.
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Rockin' Doc Feb 13 2009 10:47 AM
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I think Garcia is the favorite, assuming he is healthy. Redding is likely the back up plan should Garcia not be ready for the start of the season.
I guess I'm under the new odds, so I'll put 25 CPF bucks on Garcia at 3/1 and 50 CPF bucks on Redding at 5/1.
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metirish Feb 13 2009 10:54 AM
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Yes you have Garcia at the shortened odds....FK , Gwreck , Smg and Ben have Gracia at 50/1 odds....I might need to do a runner if that horse comes home first...
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metirish Feb 14 2009 10:51 AM
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Livan Hernandez can be had at 50/1 today....
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Edgy DC Feb 21 2009 09:20 PM
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Redding is behind in rehabbing from offseason surgery, and Armas has had visa problems keeping him out of camp for a second straight year. It looks like Hrnandez vs. Garcia right now as co-favorites.
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Vic Sage Feb 23 2009 10:20 AM
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something keeps whispering "Livan" in my good ear. put me down for 100 DisneyBucks.
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metirish Mar 03 2009 12:28 PM
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Line
Per JCL report odds on Garcia getting longer.
Livan Hernandez - 4/1 Redding - 5/1 Niese - 10/1 Armas - 20/1 Figueroa - 10/1 Garcia - 3/1 - NEW 10/1 Parnell - 50/1 Bostick - 70/1 Stoner - 100/1 Gee - 200/1 Antonioni - 200/1 Brad Holt - 200/1
Reports today in the media talk highly of Holt.
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Edgy DC Mar 03 2009 02:37 PM
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With Gee posting a seven-run inning (five unearned, but the big error was his), he may drop to 300-1.
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metirish Mar 03 2009 02:39 PM
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A relation to Wide Bee Gee?
Gee - 300/1
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Edgy DC Mar 11 2009 12:55 PM
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Hernandez $150. Adam has me convinced.
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MFS62 Mar 11 2009 01:35 PM
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As most of the others slowly (and in some cases rapidly) eliminate themselves, Figueroa is starting to make his move toward the final turn. I'm still not convinced yet, but this one won't be settled until the home stretch. You can't count the homey out just yet.
Later
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 11 2009 02:23 PM
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Dammit, Chief... this fifth?
He shall be a Livan, and he shall be a fat man. Swing my 5 Seavers and a few dozen Leiters over to Chubs.
[I think Figs needs to pack some extra wing-sauce-wiping napkins, no matter how solid he's looking-- there's simply no room on the roster with Redding, Stokes et. al.]
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metirish Mar 13 2009 07:21 AM
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Odds on Tim Redding are now 500/1 - he seems destined for long relief , damn lucky he has all that guaranteed money I say.
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bmfc1 Mar 14 2009 08:43 AM
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Just got a tweet from the Post's Mets guy:
Redding has been shut down
PORT ST. LUCIE -- The Mets have shut down fifth-starter candidate Tim Redding for what could be a significant amount of time due to what GM Omar Minaya described this morning as weakness in Redding's right shoulder.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 14 2009 08:56 AM
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So they DL him and work him in slowly. I think Livan is looking very likely right now.
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Edgy DC Mar 14 2009 11:25 AM
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Huge gap opening for two of your favorites --- Parnell and o'Day, with bobby as the spot starter.
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attgig Mar 14 2009 03:43 PM
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the new question is, how long before pedro gets signed?
he's still denying, but... http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/spring200 ... id=3979989
]
Minaya wouldn't rule out bringing in a new pitcher, but said that at this time the Mets plan to look within camp for someone to fill Redding's role.
Former Mets pitcher Pedro Martinez remains a free agent, but Minaya said there are no negotiations with him at this point. He wouldn't comment on whether there had been any contact.
"I never rule out options looking outside, but I feel comfortable in the guys we have," Minaya said. |
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 14 2009 05:19 PM
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Oh, waiter? Give me a Niese/Livan cocktail, with a twist of Parnell. You can the Mangoo to the side, please... I may try a little of that later, if there's any left.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 24 2009 01:35 PM
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Well the important news is that Garcia intends to stay. History shows we'll need 8 or 10 starters over the course of the year and the more options the better. I still believe if Freddy is capable of regaining his strength he's every bit the pitcher Livan is and that's, you know, something to be.
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