Master Index of Archived Threads
IGT 9/3/05 - Mets vs. Marlins
Valadius Sep 03 2005 04:58 PM |
Mets
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Iubitul Sep 03 2005 05:15 PM |
Cairo batting second again... Will someone please rip the pinstriped glasses off of WWSB?
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 05:18 PM |
He's had one too many toasted Subway sandwiches...
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 05:19 PM |
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Here's hoping this fella works his ass off to redeem his season and ours.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 05:20 PM |
He was doing just that before he got hurt. IIRC, his average was starting to creep up.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 05:25 PM |
Yup.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 05:27 PM |
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Very neat trick.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 05:43 PM |
Cairo must have some dirt on Willie from their Yankee days. That's the only thing that makes sense of his love for Cairo.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 05:47 PM |
Mientkiewicz went 8 for 12 in the last three games he was up here before yesterday.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 05:59 PM |
Just about game time.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 06:01 PM |
I guess Willie is starting to persuade some of you that he is a very limited thinker. That's a long way from "a stupid man," an "assclown," a "hateful weasel," and much else (largely undeserved--I wish him well on his next managerial post), but it's good to see that "Shower-Love-on-Willie" act is coming to a close.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 06:05 PM |
The start of the game is being delayed due to "wet grounds".
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SI Metman Sep 03 2005 06:26 PM |
Game ON
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duan Sep 03 2005 06:29 PM |
I just don't get why we keep dissing Diaz in the lineup.
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Iubitul Sep 03 2005 06:31 PM |
I would love to see
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 06:37 PM |
if Beckett paints that outside corner all evening like he did in the 1st, we are in a world of trouble.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 06:50 PM |
Oh, I wanted Floyd so much to make a fool out of me for my fatigue statement last night, but the ball dies at the warning track.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 06:52 PM |
Wright is a more dangerous hitter than Floyd, though, IMO. Therefore, it should be as follows:
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 06:56 PM |
Now that I think about it, I have a better idea - get another big bat that allows Floyd to move to 5th.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 06:59 PM |
Zeros through two.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:02 PM |
I had a strange feeling that Castro would get the first hit of the day.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:05 PM |
Benson walks, runners on first and second with one out, and here's Reyes.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:10 PM |
Reyes grounds out, runners advance, 2 out, and here's goddamn Cairo with runners in scoring position.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 07:10 PM |
Hey, Cairo! You suck!
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:11 PM |
I really hate Cairo.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 07:12 PM |
All for naught.
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 07:14 PM |
we want Hernandez NOW!
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:15 PM |
Ramon Castro has a better batting average than Carlos Beltran. That is SAD.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:15 PM |
thought we'd capitalize there.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:17 PM |
Benson lookin good tho., so theres that
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:17 PM |
Benson flies through the order, moving to the 4th.
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martin Sep 03 2005 07:20 PM |
when they put that upcoming pitching probables graphic on the screen it is really reassuring:
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 07:20 PM |
Longest possible time till Cairo bats again, aka rally time with a Beltranian double.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 07:20 PM |
Heart of the order due up for the Mets. Let's see if they have a pulse.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:21 PM |
Beltran serves up a double! Here's Cliffy.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 07:21 PM |
BANG.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 07:21 PM |
Beltran leads off with a double.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 07:22 PM |
Cliffie must be Santa, because he really came through for me.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:22 PM |
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 07:23 PM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Sep 03 2005 07:24 PM |
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[/smites forehead] If only Valadius had spoken up when Delgado was available, the Mets would be way in first place now! oe: changed "We" to "the Mets"; years of habit.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:23 PM |
Ka-BOOM-BOOM Cliffy!!!
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KC Sep 03 2005 07:25 PM |
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:30 PM |
Beckett's up to 77 pitches through 4. Way to tire him, guys.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:35 PM |
Way to come back from a 3-0 count, Kris!
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:37 PM |
love that pic KC
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 07:39 PM |
Bad play Victor.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 07:39 PM |
Fucking Diaz.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 07:39 PM |
Is it an error?
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:41 PM |
As I have said numerous times, I DON'T like Diaz out there.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:41 PM |
that was called a hit!?
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 07:41 PM |
predictable.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:42 PM |
UGH.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:43 PM |
WTF!?!?!?!?!
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 07:43 PM |
he lost it in the lights. i seem to recall cameron doing that last year with the bases loaded. its part of the game and a bad call by the official scorer thats gotta be an Error.
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 07:44 PM |
Double by number-three hitter.
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duan Sep 03 2005 07:45 PM fwiw Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Sep 03 2005 07:48 PM |
Sal Said
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:46 PM |
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He did end up getting his glove on it, and catching it, but it blooped out. Yea, error. There are errors in judgement, and that was one of em. Aint it just like baseball. A teams cruisin and then a bonehead play is followed by a homer. Dagnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnabbit
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 07:51 PM |
And Reyes hurts himself sliding into third. I called it a long time ago.
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 07:51 PM |
Did Lowell --- is that still Lowell? --- intentionally step into Reyes' path there?
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 07:52 PM |
He stays in the game and scores on Cairo's sacrifice.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:53 PM Re: fwiw |
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I hate to say this, esp here in a game thread, but according to Delgado, what Minaya should not have done was bring up the race angle. Said it turned him right off. Reyes makes it happen. NOOOOOOOOOOOhe cant be hurt. I broke my finger sliding head 1st into third just like that playin CYO ball about 100 yrs ago. He stays in and scores on a sac. Mets back in front. Bensons a kool pitcher. i think he's gonna make this last as long as he's in there.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:54 PM |
Ouch. I hope he's okay.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:54 PM |
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dont think it was intentional. Reyes's hand just found Lowells foot.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 07:56 PM |
shit.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 07:57 PM |
The injury bug better not bite now!!!!
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 08:04 PM |
Mientkiewicz would have been further off the bag and caught that.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:04 PM |
Shit. They're sending out the grand slam kid.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:07 PM |
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dont worry.... the bases aint juiced. Benson dont look all that kool so far this inning. Come on---bear down
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 08:10 PM |
Good move by McKeon going to the pen early. Randolph should've done that with Zambrano.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 08:12 PM |
Nice job by Kristin getting two ground balls to first with the bases loaded to get out of it!
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:13 PM |
Beckett had thrown 98 pitches, so it made sense.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:13 PM |
wow.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 08:13 PM |
I'm glad to see Beckett out of there.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 08:14 PM |
Nice job by Benson there. Didn't give Hermaphrodite a chance to hit something fair, then got grounders he needed.
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martin Sep 03 2005 08:15 PM |
i have heard alfonseca has an extra finger. is that true?
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:15 PM |
The Mutant is pitching!!!
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:16 PM |
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I read McKeon will consider going to a 3 man rotation down the stretch. How wack is that? Willis Beckett Burnett
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:16 PM |
Yes, he has six fingers on each hand. Who knows what crazy pitches only he can throw?
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:19 PM |
Wright singles; Manker at the plate.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 08:21 PM |
Two caught stealings too many in this game. If you don't got it, don't try it.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:22 PM |
Wright caught stealing and Mientkiewicz singles.
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 08:25 PM |
Bad move by McKeon going to the pen early.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:25 PM |
Diaz singles home Mientkiewicz, 4-2 Mets.
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ScarletKnight41 Sep 03 2005 08:26 PM |
Minty scores on VD's single!
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 08:27 PM |
Diaz and Cairo can drive in all the runs they want; I will still dislike them.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:28 PM |
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They had to try. DeLuco supposed to be lame. Bad hammy Well, it turns out okay. Diaz drives in Mienky with a big single. Id like to see afew more insurance runs though. (like who here wouldnt,lol)
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:31 PM |
Didn't we have a mutant pitcher, too?
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:36 PM |
Goddamn Yahoo Sports froze again. Have to rely on my Scoreboard Widget.
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ScarletKnight41 Sep 03 2005 08:37 PM |
VD - making the routine catch exciting.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 08:37 PM |
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No they didn't.
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ScarletKnight41 Sep 03 2005 08:38 PM |
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Yes - he was missing some fingers.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:39 PM |
Top 7, 4-2 Mets.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:43 PM |
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hehe. ..............did.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 08:46 PM |
Dude, invest in sportsline.com... it's the best of the live scoring modules.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 08:47 PM |
Now bottom 7th, still 4-2 Mets.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:48 PM |
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has he ever gone directly to a fly ball? Whatwiththat? He lopes around doin a lil dance, like a soft shoe or something. Maybe its a rain dance. Only Tommie Agee himself could get away with that type of loping gait. And he loped toward the fly, not all around it. Well, he looked okay on that last one. I think the harder its hit to Diaz, the better off he is fielding it.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:51 PM |
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its a conspiracy, I tell ya. Hey, old Lenny Harris. Of course he pinch hits a single. What eles would he do? 1 out, 1 & 2nd and Benson is outta there. (invest in sportsline....isnt that free? http://www.sportsline.com/mlb/gamecenter/live/MLB_20050903_NYM@FLA )
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 08:52 PM |
Z - just messin' with ya. I know it's free. The Yahoo and ESPN live scoring modules drive me loopy; I use Sportsline too.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 08:53 PM |
Hey, Juan Padilla! One of the students I work with has a friend who is "sorta seeing him."
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 08:57 PM |
Here comes Mr. Zero.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 08:57 PM |
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figured SW. Padilla does not do his job. walks Castillo bring on Shingo Takatsu. lets face it folks, we aint gonna go anywhere if the specialists dont do their jobs and we have to see if they can do it. We have to run em out there. We have to go thru this. ItsAbaseball.
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duan Sep 03 2005 08:59 PM |
This one of those things that kinda irks me.
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 08:59 PM |
Takatsu???????????
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:00 PM |
quoted the wrong quote there by SW.
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duan Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM great! |
that went REALLY REALLY REALLY well didn't it?
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM |
gee nobody saw that coming. FIRE THIS MOTHER FUCKER AND HIRE A FORMER PITCHER FOR NEXT YEAR, SOMEONE NEEDS TO LEARN HOW TO MANAGE A BULLPEN.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM |
Goddamn it.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM |
Willie: "I can't go to Berto, it's not the eighth inning yet!"
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ScarletKnight41 Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM |
FUCKSHIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:01 PM |
ughhhhhhhhhhhh
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:02 PM |
NOW Heath Bell is warming up? WHERE THE HELL WAS HE EARLIER? stop fucking around in a penant race morons!!!
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MiniKnight Sep 03 2005 09:03 PM |
Talk about a first three pitches as a Met....
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:03 PM |
Dammit.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:03 PM |
WHAT IS WRONG WITH YOU WILLIE?!?!?!?!
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:04 PM |
Padilla had no biz walking Castillo there either.
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duan Sep 03 2005 09:04 PM |
seriously though, if willie doesn't get the concept of high leverage it's a real problem.
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:04 PM |
PLEASE FIRE WWSB (wee willie small brain) right now. let Glavine be a player-manager, he'd probably do better.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:05 PM |
This one's on Willie. Bert is best when he's on good rest.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:06 PM |
Damn.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:07 PM |
ART HOWE wouldn't have even made the same mistake!!!!!!!
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:07 PM |
Wright leads off with a single, come on boys, bail out your dumbass manager!
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:10 PM |
Oh look, it's Guillermo Mota the Piazza-beaner.
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:10 PM |
wright at 2nd 2 outs and its CASTRO TIME~!
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:13 PM |
and castro belatedly called out on a check swing....how bout showing som heart and getting yourself tossed there willie?
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:13 PM |
Castro with the Hustle Award.
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 09:13 PM |
Some jive calls on Castro, I think.
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ScarletKnight41 Sep 03 2005 09:13 PM |
What major leaguer doesn't know that he has to run to first base on a swinging third strike that get away. Jesus!
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:14 PM |
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to me, this is worst than what happened after because it offset the whole shebang. He only had to get one out, and he didnt even pitch to the guy. Gave him a free pass. At least get the guy to put the ball in play. Damn,,,did you see Castros face on that? He knew he swung there. Thats a bad break. The pitch fools batter and catcher.
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Nymr83 Sep 03 2005 09:15 PM |
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he thought he checked his swing there...if you start running to first you are definetaly getting called on the swing, you've gotta sit there and act like you didnt go around.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:20 PM |
"Excuse me, Mr. Umpire. I do believe that's an incorrect--- oh, I'm sorry. You're probably right. I'll just go back to the dugout now. Thank you, sir."
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:20 PM |
Padilla had to get two outs and he got one. No excuse for walking Castillo but he DID get one out, Zvon.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:20 PM |
Castro, as soon as he saw the ball get by DeLuca, shoulda tore ass to 1st.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:20 PM |
Shingles works a 1-2-3 inning.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:21 PM |
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I disagree -- umpires make the call, players don;t. If he didn't swing he gets another chance. If he runs, he's safe at first. It's a stupid play, just like his baserunning fuckup that foreshadowed the dreaded Friday Pittsburgh game.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:21 PM |
Castro doesn't strike me as a really bright light.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:22 PM |
I hat baseball.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:22 PM |
Someone please perform the last rites on this team.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:24 PM |
By the way, I can't believe Diaz fucked up the perfect game bid by Benson.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 09:24 PM |
Damn, I step out for a bit and all hell breaks loose.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:24 PM |
DO NOT LET CAIRO BAT.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:24 PM |
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I don't really have a problem swinging at the first pitch. I do have a problem with Cairo taking his at-bat here. _____________________________ This post was under the designation 165) Jose Reyes
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:25 PM |
Of course he's not a bright one.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:25 PM |
Oh, good, he's leaving Cairo in!
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
Get Cairo out of there.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
Base hit or not, there's no reason to leave Cairo up in that spot. Who's on the bench?
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
Oh, good, he's leaving Beltran in.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
Cairo now 4 for his last 47.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
How could Willie possinbly pinch hit for Cairo? I mean, he was once a Yankee, so he must be good.
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Edgy DC Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
Well, then, OK.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:26 PM |
And Cairo jams my words back down my throat with a single to left. Time for Beltran to earn his pay. A loss here and the season is over as far as I'm concerned.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:27 PM |
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Im not defending his moves. Im just tryin to ease the pain with my slant on things. We can second guess this game all night in quite afew situations. Reyes and cairo keep it alive. Beltran.Time to get the big hit
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:27 PM |
Ah hell, it's Beltran.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:28 PM |
Big stupid cut by Beltran on a pitch high followed by a pitch right down the middle of the plate which Beltran takes.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 09:28 PM |
Beltran, you no hitting flop. Time to earn your pay.*
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:28 PM |
He watched a fastball go down the middle of the plate for strike 2. Then a ball. 2-2 now.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2005 09:29 PM |
I still hat baseball.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:30 PM |
Well that's it for me. I'll check back in a week.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 03 2005 09:30 PM |
Beltran grounds out to first to end another depressing game.
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 09:31 PM |
Until he proves otherwise, as punishment for being a dumbass, Willie Randolph will now be referred to by me as WWSB.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:31 PM |
Ouch.
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duan Sep 03 2005 09:31 PM |
manager has to hold his hand up there.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 09:32 PM Re: fwiw |
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Hmmm... a late entry in our "Guess the Mets Slogan for 2006" contest. Very strong, Duan.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:32 PM |
ewww.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 09:32 PM |
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 09:42 PM |
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lol @ JD Willie is developing this tag. I cant go thru another manager who has no finger on the pulse of his pitchers.Im sure Rick Peterson really makes those calls (thats what he's paid for), but bottomline, the buck stops with Willie. He took a chance tonight, a chance I may have taken myself (nah, I woulda switched pitchers but not put Shingo in that specific spot), and it backfires bigtime on him. Im sure he will say alot of what your hearin from me post game. If this teams gonna hang and roll with the big boys even the smallest cogs will have to grease the wheel.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:42 PM |
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I really just blame WIllie on this.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 09:42 PM |
You poor fuckers. I feel for you. Sincerely. A loss like this has got to eat you alive.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:44 PM |
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You sound sincere, referring to a large group of people as fuckers.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 09:52 PM |
Thanks, Sal! I appreciate sympathy in games like this from a Sox fan, because y'all have suffered so much. Bucky Dent, Bill Buckner, Aaron Boone, McGrady . . .
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 09:53 PM |
Can I refer to a small bunch of you as "fuckers"? Re-form in small groups, and I'll refer to all of you fornicators (is that okay?) as Elster requests.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:55 PM |
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I think this is just going way too far though. This is not a playoff team.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 09:57 PM |
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I prefer copulators. Seriously, if you want to express sincere heartfelt sympathies, why not just say "I feel sorry for you."? Why add the tag fuckers? Not that I'm that thin-skinned, I'm not going to cry over the word fuckers. It just seems as a weird thing to say in a post where you're saying you feel bad for people, and I think it's not hard to see how it could be taken for mocking when you say fuckers. If you didn't mean it in a sarcastic way, then I misread you and I apologize.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 10:00 PM |
How can you possibly say that, Elster? Despite Willie's gross incompetance, we're STILL only 3.5 games out of the wild card slot. Don't you think that giving Seo 7 or 8 of Ishii's starts would have netted us a game or two? Or that using Heilman in close games instead of Aybar or DeJean would have gotten us a game or two?
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 10:03 PM Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Sep 03 2005 10:06 PM |
It's cool, Elster. After certain losses, my best friend could say "Gosh, that's a tough one" and I'd scream, "Fuck you, asshole, what do you know about 'tough'? Shut the fuck up, and get out of my face," and then I'd proceed to get abusive and personal. Generally, it took me an hour or two not to read pretty much anything as sarcastic.
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Zvon Sep 03 2005 10:04 PM |
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there was a pregame rain delay of like 25 minutes,you poor uninformed fucker. :wink: that was a tuff one. And I hear ya Rotblatt and Elster. I choose not to hear you, Bret.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 10:05 PM |
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Not really. The problem with this team is not all of that as much as the fact that we can't hit. That isn't Willie's fault. Sure, if he had made every decision perfectly we might be better off. But let's not forget that Bert and Loopy lost two leads in Milwaukee, and then there's opening day, and then there's the other games the bullpen lost Petey's leads. Not to put all the blame on the bullpen, but that's just a few examples where the players didn't perform. (I think overall the bullpen has been average to above average. There have also been plenty of instances of 1-0 losses or 2-1 losses. As frustrated as I am with Willie, I think to blame him for missing the playoffs is silly and probably just a reaction to today's mismanagement. The lineup is the problem. I really think one huge bat (*cough* Delgado *cough*) would've been what pushed us into the playoffs, not a different manager.
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Rotblatt Sep 03 2005 10:23 PM |
Elster, we're fifth in the league in Runs Scored. In terms of ERA, WHIP, K/9, we've got one of the better pens in the league. We've given up the 5th fewest runs in the league.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 03 2005 10:31 PM |
Elster and Rotblatt--don't fight. You're both right.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 03 2005 10:33 PM |
I think team OBP in our case speaks louder than RS.
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 11:14 PM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Sep 03 2005 11:16 PM |
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I think Runs Scored is a flawed stat to use in measuring a team's offensive capabilites. We put up 34 runs in two games against shitty pitching. Then what happened as soon as we hit San Fran and Philly? Was it like 8 runs in 5 games?
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Elster88 Sep 03 2005 11:15 PM |
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I'd have to agree with all of this, and the use of OPB over RS (though not just because it supports my argument.)
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Valadius Sep 03 2005 11:37 PM |
I say forget stats and formulas and all that nonsense. At the end of the day, you either win or you lose.
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Rotblatt Sep 04 2005 08:52 AM |
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I'm sorry, but NOTHING speaks louer than runs scored. The purpose of an offense is to SCORE RUNS, not get on base. Getting on base is just one method to acheive that end. The bottom line, when it comes to an offense, is how many runs we score. And we've done a pretty good job of that. I mean, do you all SERIOUSLY think we would have won more games if our team OBP were 40 points higher but we scored the same number of runs? It just doesn't make any sense.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 04 2005 09:02 AM |
Agreed, Rot. Most primary stat is W-L. As Parcells said, if you ever need to know how good you are, look at your record. But the next most important is Runs (points) scored/Runs (points) surrendered, which correlates to W-L directly.
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Nymr83 Sep 04 2005 09:54 AM |
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and when you ignore the stats and say, i dont know, play miguel cairo every day, you tend to lose more often.
but the W/L record don't tell you anything about what you are missing. if you are 81-81 what does that tell you? if on the other hand you scored 650 runs and allowed 635 it tells you that you need some help scoring runs, not preventing them. but it still hasn't told you why you arent scoring runs. so you take a look and see that while your 3, 4, and 5 hitters all have respectable SLG% they have few RBIs, so you look at your top 2 and notice that they are getting on base at a combined rate of 31%! and now you've (likely) found your problem, and if you're smart you'll go out and address that instead of replacing perfectly good pitchers who have bad W-L records through no fault of their own but through horrible run support. my point is you need to go deeper to understand a team, here is another example: halfway through the season you have a team in first place, at 44-37 that has scored 50 less runs than it has allowed. the team in second, 42-39, has scored 50 more runs than it has allowed. who do you expect to win that division?
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 04 2005 10:14 AM |
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That you're not winning divisions much? You seem to want to argue that because there are exceptions, there are really no rules. But if you have a hard time breaking .500, it doesnt really make much sense to say, "well, we played much better than 81-81--look at our OPS, look at our BB/K ratio," yyybbb. Sure sometimes that does disprove something as essential as your W-L record, but it's a bad idea to assume that the W-L misrepresents the situation. It's who you are, and you need to accept that before you're ready to do anything.
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Nymr83 Sep 04 2005 10:28 AM |
you misunderstood. what i'm saing is your record tells you nothing about what needs improvement or what doesn't. you could squeek into the playoffs with a terrible run differential which will tell us that you had beter not rest on your laurels or you ain't making it back next year.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 04 2005 11:12 AM |
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Of course not. Obviously getting on base is a component of scoring runs and runs count more. Just as obviously, 40 points fewer outs would result in more runs, not the same. What I am saying though, is we shouldn't be misled by this team's RS-RA gap considering we've had such a disparity in blowouts this year. The RS component was largely accomplished in five single games this year which we won by 11, 12 (twice), 13, and 14 runs. Take away the 5 biggest margin-of-victory games and the Mets have a 544-534 RS-RA edge on opponents, or a .509 WP% -- pretty much what we're looking at this morning. I realize that leaves 5 wins out there somewhere -- but I'd argue they are of the 4-3, 3-2, shutout variety. Generally over the course of the year freak blowouts tend to cancel one another out. But because our pitching has been consistently good, we've managed to avoid bad losses: Losing by 10 (once) and seven (five times).
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smg58 Sep 04 2005 11:32 AM |
I have a rules question on the Castro play. It's perfectly OK for a catcher to run after the ball and then make an appeal to first base? Castro would have made it to first if it had been called immediately, and judging from the replay, he had no reason to think that he didn't check his swing.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 04 2005 11:39 AM |
Yup.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 04 2005 11:47 AM |
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This isn't obvious to me. I don't even understand the sentence.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 04 2005 12:00 PM |
Rott's scenario said: Would you prefer a 40-point edge in OBP and the same number of runs. I meant to respond: a 40-point edge in OBP wouldn't result in the same number of runs.
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Elster88 Sep 04 2005 01:14 PM |
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This is what I was trying to say, I just have no ability to say it as eloquently as JD. This is why you don't say "A new manager would have been the difference, just look at the difference we have in RS and RA." _____________________________ This post was under the designation 165) Jose Reyes
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Nymr83 Sep 05 2005 02:09 AM |
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if you're going to take away a team's 5 best games you to take away the 5 worst as well, which i believe would be 11, 7, 7, 7, 7?
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 05 2005 10:57 AM |
Worst marin of loss was 10, then 5 sevens. The reason I didn't want to take those games away because for us they were more or less normal games offensively.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 05 2005 11:33 AM |
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somewhere around San Francisco? I see what you're doing, Dickshot, and I see how it makes some sense, but it smacks of cherry-picking to me. "See, if you don't count THIS loss, and you pretend THAT one got rained out, and THAT one never happened, then..." Not saying you're doing this, of course, but it's a terriblle practice to encourage, exactly the kind of thing pathetic, excuse-making losers do. To be extra-clear, I'm NOT calling you a pathetic, excuse-making loser. That's NOT. N-O-T, not. oe: I hear a lot of this crapola statswork during broadcasts: the most popular form of degraded cherrypicking excuse-making is "Piazza has gotten on base in 9 of his last fourteen games, not counting the two pinch-hitting experiences during that span." Yeah? So what's your point? That he stlll has a pulse?.
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 05 2005 12:10 PM |
I hope my point is clear: Some people can look at the sum total of runs scored and conclude we're a strong offensive team; I'm saying that most nights, we run an average-or-worse offense out there.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 05 2005 12:24 PM |
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Yeah, but every team has a 7th and 8th spot hitter. Not every team bats them 2nd and 6th as WWSB does, which is another source of the problem.
(Actually, I saw 1973, when the Mets had nothing but problems and won, but that's quite rare.)
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Johnny Dickshot Sep 05 2005 12:30 PM |
Buh.
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Bret Sabermetric Sep 05 2005 12:46 PM |
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Mostly true. But batting them 7 and 8 would over the season mean they'd get a few dozen fewer at-bats. That couldn't hurt.
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Nymr83 Sep 05 2005 01:00 PM |
you're both right. the only one that is wrong here is wee willie bat the yankee 2nd small balls.
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Elster88 Sep 05 2005 04:13 PM |
A two run output against a major league team is going to hurt us in the RS/RA department.
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