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IGT Marlins @ Mets, 04/28/09

bmfc1
Apr 28 2009 01:53 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Apr 28 2009 04:02 PM

I invite Edgy to remake the batting orders in that cool format thing he does.

Mets
Jose Reyes SS
Alex Cora 2B
Carlos Beltran CF
Gary Sheffield LF
David Wright 3B
Ryan Church RF
Fernando Tatis 1B
Omir Santos C
Livan Hernandez RHP (1-1, 7.31)

Marlins:
Emilio Bonifacio 3B
Cameron Maybin CF
John Baker C
Jorge Cantu 1B
Jeremy Hermida LF
Dan Uggla 2B
Cody Ross RF
Alfredo Amezaga SS
Ricky Nolasco RHP (1-2, 6.86)

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 01:57 PM

Don't have time and I can't find the Fish lineup.

But welcome to the Mets Omir Santos, huh?

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 01:58 PM

Is that 4 in a row for Santos? Yeow.

Rubin (I think) mentioned again the possibility that Castro gets traded if/when the Schneid returns.

Vic Sage
Apr 28 2009 01:59 PM
Re: IGT Marlins @ Mets, 04/28/09

Preferred order (not that it matters much):

Reyes, ss
Beltran, CF
Wright, 3B
Church, RF
Tatis, 1B
Sheffield, LF
Santos, C
Cora, 2B
hernandez, P

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Apr 28 2009 02:14 PM

Heading out there right... about... NOW. (1-0 so far this year-- believe in the streak!)

metirish
Apr 28 2009 02:35 PM

Hanley out with that bruised wrist

1. Emilio Bonifacio, 3B;
2. Cameron Maybin, CF;
3. John Baker, C;
4. Jorge Cantu, 1B
5. Jeremy Hermida, LF;
6. Dan Uggla, 2B;
7.Cody Ross, RF;
8. Alfredo Amezaga, SS;
9. Ricky Nolasco, P.


Enjoy the game LeiterWagner

Centerfield
Apr 28 2009 02:51 PM
Re: IGT Marlins @ Mets, 04/28/09

bmfc1 wrote:
I invite Edgy to remake the batting orders in that cool format thing he does.

Reyes, ss
Cora, 2b
Beltran, cf
Sheffield, lf
Wright, 3b
Church, rf
Tatis, 1b
Santos, c
Hernandez, rhp


I don't like how suddenly Jerry Manuel is turning into Willie Randolph. Apparently Miguel Cairo was unavailable to bat 2nd tonight.

G-Fafif
Apr 28 2009 03:16 PM

Why isn't Santos batting cleanup?

--New York Mets fan who overreacts to every new toy

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 03:32 PM

I'm willing to lay off Cora till he has more than 15 at-bats.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 28 2009 04:58 PM

What's the over/under on a Met getting drilled tonight as payback for Ramirez?

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 05:29 PM

You know its a big park when Sheffield & Delgado leg out triples

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 05:35 PM

Bad Ollie, Good Livan?

Swan Swan H
Apr 28 2009 05:49 PM

Another hit for Santos. I don't suppose he'll play the day game tomorrow, so I'll get to see a disgruntled Castro.

Hell, if Santos asserting himself doesn't motivate Castro nothing will. If I had to guess, I'd say nothing will.

And Cora slices a backhand into center, scoring Santos from second. 3-0 Home Team.

metsguyinmichigan
Apr 28 2009 06:23 PM

Let's hope our offense can tack on a couple more and to give Livan some more room and let our pen take over.

Never thought I'd see myself writing that after last year!

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 28 2009 06:24 PM

Swan Swan H wrote:
Another hit for Santos. I don't suppose he'll play the day game tomorrow, so I'll get to see a disgruntled Castro.


I suspect Castro would be more disgruntled if he had to actually play every day.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 06:36 PM

Can we just call it TripleField?

Swan Swan H
Apr 28 2009 06:40 PM

]I suspect Castro would be more disgruntled if he had to actually play every day.


Well, he's done his best to ensure that it doesn't happen.

metsguyinmichigan
Apr 28 2009 06:58 PM

If we can get Livan through this inning, call it "good enough" and get him out of there.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:06 PM

Omir Santos, not exhibiting good plate-blocking skills. That throw had the runner beat.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 07:08 PM

Quality slide, he took the only opening there was.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 07:14 PM

Bobby Parnell for ROTY

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:17 PM

"Y'know" score:

Omar Minaya 1
Mike Tannenbaum 1

metsguyinmichigan
Apr 28 2009 07:38 PM

Darn it.

Wonder if Green is being overused.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:38 PM

Now we tied.

Men, play to expand leads, not to defend them.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 07:38 PM

Damn you, Sean Green, if that is your real name.

themetfairy
Apr 28 2009 07:39 PM

Fuckshit....

PiggiesTomatoes
Apr 28 2009 07:40 PM

Was that Aaron Heilman out there????

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:40 PM

Well, you know, he was real important to our win last night.

OlerudOwned
Apr 28 2009 07:43 PM

Well, the Rangers are done. How's baseball going?



Oh.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:46 PM

PiggiesTomatoes wrote:
Was that Aaron Heilman out there????


It's got scandolously little coverage in New York, but Aaron Heilman has pitched in 11 games for the Cubs to the tune of 2-0 and a 0.82 ERA.

And I couldn't be happier for him.

Swan Swan H
Apr 28 2009 07:46 PM

The Mets have three innings against this bullpen, a bunch of miscreants, retreads, and bedwetters like I have never seen in my thirty-five years in the game. Let's put up five in the seventh and three in the eighth, and shake hands with Takahashi-san after he puts them away the ninth.

metirish
Apr 28 2009 07:46 PM

Edgy DC wrote:
="PiggiesTomatoes"]Was that Aaron Heilman out there????


It's got scandolously little coverage in New York, but Aaron Heilman has pitched in 11 games for the Cubs to the tune of 2-0 and a 0.82 ERA.

And I couldn't be happier for him.


I didn't know that , good for him

PiggiesTomatoes
Apr 28 2009 07:48 PM

Edgy DC wrote:
="PiggiesTomatoes"]Was that Aaron Heilman out there????


It's got scandolously little coverage in New York, but Aaron Heilman has pitched in 11 games for the Cubs to the tune of 2-0 and a 0.82 ERA.

And I couldn't be happier for him.



And only one blown save.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 07:50 PM

Give me a break.

Meanwhile, Freddie Gonzalez acting crazy here, pulling a pitcher that has the Mets dumbfounded.

Swan Swan H
Apr 28 2009 07:52 PM

OK, two innings.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 07:59 PM

How much Mojo does this team have tonight? Can they pick up their teammate this once?

Would a rally song be futile here?

metirish
Apr 28 2009 08:01 PM

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote:
How much Mojo does this team have tonight? Can they pick up their teammate this once?

Would a rally song be futile here?



Go for it....

I need a pick me up too

Kong76
Apr 28 2009 08:01 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Apr 28 2009 08:02 PM

JCL: Would a rally song be futile here? <<<

No.

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:02 PM

I wanna Be Sedated

metirish
Apr 28 2009 08:02 PM

Ashie62 wrote:
I wanna Be Sedated



A queue quickly forms

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 08:02 PM

Kong76
Apr 28 2009 08:03 PM

Ash: I wanna Be Sedated <<<

I Wanna be Elated.

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:17 PM

Its Pedro!..oops, not the one I was hoping for

Kong76
Apr 28 2009 08:20 PM

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:21 PM

Win or lose..tomorrow being a day game..Castro, Tatis at 2B Cora at 3RD Jeremy Reed gets a start...

and David Wright can get seriously laid..Might help his lumber..

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 08:21 PM

I like Reed leading off here. I am predicting a comeback of extraordinary magnitude.

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:22 PM

Jose can you hit

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:24 PM

OK Reyes needs to get laid also

Kong76
Apr 28 2009 08:25 PM

Eek, I'm leaving and I ain't checking to see if I left anything under my seat
and don't plan on arriving home safely.

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:26 PM

Maybe we can reincarnate Andy Kaufman to manage and Tony Clifton to be the bench coach?

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:27 PM

Kong76 wrote:
Eek, I'm leaving and I ain't checking to see if I left anything under my seat
and don't plan on arriving home safely.


Have a good one..Tomorrow is Johan day..

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 28 2009 08:27 PM

Smelly.

metirish
Apr 28 2009 08:28 PM

Gary says this is the fourth time this season that the Mets have lost after leading a game by 3 runs .

Bobby O when asked about Jerry leaving Green in with Feliciano ready...: Jerry looks to me to be a guy that manages by the book"....

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 08:30 PM

Here's my book. My book says we hired Hernandez because he's durable. Why lift him after 91 pitches?

Ashie62
Apr 28 2009 08:30 PM

Apparently not the good book

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 08:37 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Apr 28 2009 09:09 PM

The rally that knocked out Hernandez.

  • Cameron Maybin singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Livan Hernandez. None out.

  • John Baker grounds into force out, thirdbaseman David Wright to secondbaseman Alex Cora. Cameron Maybin out at second. John Baker to first. One out.
That's it? There's a team that doesn't deserve to have the opposing starting pitcher lifted.

mario25
Apr 28 2009 08:54 PM

How about Parnell and Stokes being the 2 guys leading up to Putz and Krod...Green seems very hittable.

Edgy DC
Apr 28 2009 09:10 PM

My position is that the starting pitcher should be the one guy leading up to that point. The idea that we now need four guys to close out a win seems absurd.

Gwreck
Apr 29 2009 04:18 AM

That was my thought too. I think there's been too much bullpen used so far this year.

I'm not really upset that the 'pen gave this game away, because we didn't really have any 'pen meltdowns yet this year, and every team is going to have a game or two that their bullpen gives away over the course of the season.

But Jerry needs to have his starters man up a little and take care of things rather than running to the 'pen at the first sign of trouble.

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 29 2009 04:34 AM

Sean Green's ERA is now 8.49.

I think he'd be a better fit in the starting rotation.

bmfc1
Apr 29 2009 05:21 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
Here's my book. My book says we hired Hernandez because he's durable. Why lift him after 91 pitches?


Salient point by Edgy. One of the positives for Livan is that he's durable (200+ IP every year) but Jerry (and I'm not saying he's wrong) thinks that Livan is vulnerable the third time through the lineup.

If so, then the Mets aren't getting one of the reasons they signed him which means they might have made a mistake.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 05:32 AM

Gwreck wrote:
I'm not really upset that the 'pen gave this game away, because we didn't really have any 'pen meltdowns yet this year, and every team is going to have a game or two that their bullpen gives away over the course of the season.

="metirish"]Gary says this is the fourth time this season that the Mets have lost after leading a game by 3 runs .


Gwreck wrote:
But Jerry needs to have his starters man up a little and take care of things rather than running to the 'pen at the first sign of trouble.

Or, in this case, the first sign of a sign.

Gwreck
Apr 29 2009 05:39 AM

All 3 of those other leads were given back by the starters:

One of those games was the 4-run lead that Perez gave back against the Cardinals last week.

One was against San Diego, where Maine gave up 5 runs in the third inning after the Mets got him 3 in the first.

One was Perez's first start against Cincinnati, where the Mets gave him a 3-0 lead and the next half inning he gave 5 back to the Reds.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 06:07 AM

Ah, it seems I'm misinterpreting my third-hand information.

Fman99
Apr 29 2009 06:21 AM

Another gutless late inning display by the Mets O.

Boo, I say. These guys fall off the map after about 8:30 PM.

Fman99
Apr 29 2009 06:29 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
Here's my book. My book says we hired Hernandez because he's durable. Why lift him after 91 pitches?


According to da Gangsta, they feel that Hernandez is more susceptible to getting smoked as the opposing lineup gets more face time with him, so they're trying to give him the hook pre-smoke.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 29 2009 07:19 AM

Fman99 wrote:
Another gutless late inning display by the Mets O.

Boo, I say. These guys fall off the map after about 8:30 PM.


Yup. You could just tell we were headed for disaster after Reyes failed to get Muffy in from 2nd.

metirish
Apr 29 2009 07:25 AM

Gwreck wrote:
All 3 of those other leads were given back by the starters:

One of those games was the 4-run lead that Perez gave back against the Cardinals last week.

One was against San Diego, where Maine gave up 5 runs in the third inning after the Mets got him 3 in the first.

One was Perez's first start against Cincinnati, where the Mets gave him a 3-0 lead and the next half inning he gave 5 back to the Reds.



Thanks Greck , that it was the starters that gave up those leads wasn't mentioned in the booth.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 07:38 AM

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote:
="Fman99"]Another gutless late inning display by the Mets O.

Boo, I say. These guys fall off the map after about 8:30 PM.


Yup. You could just tell we were headed for disaster after Reyes failed to get Muffy in from 2nd.

And it's emotional gobbledygook on my part, but I say that, by turning the game over to the pen so early, it's an implicit message that the O needn't keep battling, because they've done their part, and it's on the bullpen to win it now. In the sixth!

I mean, why don't they just trot out some defensive replacements? I tell you now, if the idea with Livan is to look at 5 1/3 innings of two-run ball as a victory, I don't want him.

You know, giving up four runs in seven innings with just your starter is inherently better than giving up four in seven by your starter and two relievers, because in the latter case you still have all your bullets. And yeah, it costs you an extra at-bat by your pitcher to get there, but still.

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 29 2009 07:40 AM

I agree with that.

Centerfield
Apr 29 2009 07:42 AM

Livan has tended to give up runs late in his starts this year...which might have prompted the quick hook. I had no problem with the substitution. My problem was with Sean Green sucking moose cock.

I'm disappointed in this team. At this point in the season (and judging from last season) this team has no sack. They clearly have heart because they care, they just can't turn that into actual production. This team just can't fight back from being down, and will give up leads after being up. Meanwhile in Philly, there is no lead that is safe against that team. I hate to say it, but we are their bitches.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 07:51 AM

="Centerfield"]Livan has tended to give up runs late in his starts this year...which might have prompted the quick hook. I had no problem with the substitution. My problem was with Sean Green sucking moose cock.


You really should. If we've really gone from needing a guy to close out games for a starter, to needing two then three and now four, we've got to realize that (1) odds are increased that one of them won't have it that day, and (2) we're using all of these guys a lot more and in a lot more game game situations.

It's Russian Roulette. It's one thing asking a guy to save a game and do it successfully every time. But now we're asking four guys to.

FOUR! It's almost guaranteed that one of them will suck MC on a given day, and if you get him out of there in time (Jerry certainly didn't), well then you need a fifth motherfucker to get the precious save. It's insane, I tells ya.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 08:01 AM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Apr 29 2009 08:06 AM

And we're not helping when we vote for a guy as PotG for these five-and-fly appearances.

Alex Cora, derided in this thread as a revisiting of Miguel Cairo when he was penciled in as the #2 batter, goes 2-4 with a double, a walk, two runs, and and RBI (with two out), with nobody left on base. He also stole his first Metly base and acrobatically stayed on the bag when David Wright made an offline throw in key defensive situation. Wright's throw likely cost the Mets a double-play, but Cora still had the agility to get the relay off and take a fighting crack at it.

There's your Schaefer Player of the Game. Vote with body. Vote with flavor.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 29 2009 08:04 AM

Yes, Cora had a strong game and, dare I say, is already beetter than Damian Easley was on his best day last year.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 08:17 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
You know, giving up four runs in seven innings with just your starter is inherently better than giving up four in seven by your starter and two relievers, because in the latter case you still have all your bullets. And yeah, it costs you an extra at-bat by your pitcher to get there, but still.


This makes sense, but only in hindsight. If Jerry knew ahead of time that Green would give up four runs in one inning, then Green doesn't come in. And if Green pitched a scoreless inning in a 4-3 Mets win, nobody complains.

The obvious point here is that Jerry took Livan out thinking that at that point in the game, Fla. would have a tougher time scoring against the Mets pen than against Livan himself.

The real issue in yesterday's game is that Green had a very bad (and costly) inning, and for the season, that the starting pitching after Johan has been unreliable to a man -- 80% of the starting rotation isn't getting the job done. The Mets offense is second in the NL in runs scored, tied with Philly; the Mets have outscored first place Fla. so far this season. The Cubs are the only NL team to have outscored the Mets.

Jerry, and the Mets, are for the most part, stuck with the trio of Maine, Pelfrey and Perez this season. I'm not ready to blame Jerry for their struggles just yet.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 08:31 AM

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
This makes sense, but only in hindsight. If Jerry knew ahead of time that Green would give up four runs in one inning, then Green doesn't come in. And if Green pitched a scoreless inning in a 4-3 Mets win, nobody complains.


The idea isn't to know ahead of time what's going to happen. The idea is to know what is most likely to happen when taking a given course. More pitching changes increases your vulnerability to blow-ups.

I don't know ahead of time what's going to happen when I play Russian Roulette either. But surviving it doesn't mean that it's not still recklessly foolish to play.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 08:46 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
="batmagadanleadoff"]This makes sense, but only in hindsight. If Jerry knew ahead of time that Green would give up four runs in one inning, then Green doesn't come in. And if Green pitched a scoreless inning in a 4-3 Mets win, nobody complains.


The idea isn't to know ahead of time what's going to happen. The idea is to know what is most likely to happen when taking a given course. More pitching changes increases your vulnerability to blow-ups.


Yes. And obviously, Jerry didn't think that Green would get tagged for four runs in one inning. I'm not gonna blame Jerry for Green's bad inning, either.

By the way, from June 17, 2008 (Manuel's first day as Met manager) through the end of last season, the Mets had the best record in the NL. The Mets would have clinched their division outright about a week before the regular season ended had Willie's Kids managed to win at Manuel's clip.

I'm not convinced that, all things equal, increasing the number of pitchers used is detrimental.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 09:08 AM

It's logic, man. The more guys you use, the lesser standard of guys you are going to use and the greater the likelihood that one will not have his best stuff, and the more gassed guys you will have the next day.

You simply shouldn't need five guys to do well as pitchers in order to win.

The Mets have five batters with "Multiple All-Star" on their résumés. If we set ourselves up to need all five of them performing well on a given day in order to win, victories would be scarce.

To lift a pitcher doing well in the sixth inning with 91 pitches despite his long-established reputation for durability --- it's counterproductive.

A bunt single and an infield out nailing the lead runner, with a half a chance of a double play. That's what gets a guy yanked? That's gangsta?

That's like Garden City gangsta.

Centerfield
Apr 29 2009 09:22 AM

="Edgy DC"]
="Centerfield"]Livan has tended to give up runs late in his starts this year...which might have prompted the quick hook. I had no problem with the substitution. My problem was with Sean Green sucking moose cock.


You really should. If we've really gone from needing a guy to close out games for a starter, to needing two then three and now four, we've got to realize that (1) odds are increased that one of them won't have it that day, and (2) we're using all of these guys a lot more and in a lot more game game situations.

It's Russian Roulette. It's one thing asking a guy to save a game and do it successfully every time. But now we're asking four guys to.

FOUR! It's almost guaranteed that one of them will suck MC on a given day, and if you get him out of there in time (Jerry certainly didn't), well then you need a fifth motherfucker to get the precious save. It's insane, I tells ya.


I don't think what you're saying is true. The more guys you have to bring in, the more likely it is that one of them will give up runs. But the longer you leave any one pitcher in, the more likely it will be that that particular pitcher gives up runs.

By your argument, you are more likely to give up runs by using Putz for the 8th and Rodriguez for the ninth, than you are by using Rodriguez for the 8th and 9th, since you're doubling your chances that one of them will be off. I disagree. Any increase (or at least some portion of it or more) is offset by the fact that Rodriguez will be asked to get twice the number of outs.

Now, to the 6th inning, regardless of what you do over innings 7, 8 and 9, your objective there is to make it less likely for the opposition to score. If you look at Livan's starts this year, his OPS against increases drastically as his pitch count increases. The runs he gives up coincides with this trend. In the Milwaukee game, Manuel was criticized for leaving him in too long, allowing Milwaukee to take the lead on a 3 run HR. And so, I have no problem with Jerry thinking that going to his bullpen in that situation provided his best chance to win.

Scenario 1 (Edgy's)
6: Tired Livan Hernandez
7: Parnell or Green
8: Putz
9: Rodriguez

Scenario 2 (Manuel's intended)
6: Livan subbed by Parnell mid-inning
7: Green
8: Putz
9: Rodriguez

I don't see that one is a clear winner over the other.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 09:29 AM

I do. Livan falters and you can go to your pen.

Livan doesn't fail and you go to your pen, and they falter, and you can't go back. If, say, your third reliever falters, you've already used up two guys who might have bailed him out.

You throw in the towel on your boxer when he gets punched in the face and their are characters --- birds, angels, stars, whatever --- flying in circles above his head.

Why pull a succesful starter in the sixth showing no sign of being tired? It ignores Newton's Laws of Motion. Can anybody argue why? If you don't want him pitching there, you don't want him pitching at all.

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 29 2009 09:34 AM

I'm with you. I've had the same perspective for years now. Every time you bring a new pitcher into the game, he's an unknown quantity. It's better to do this as infrequently as possible.

If Putz slams the door decisively in the eighth, let him start the ninth. If he ends up with a two-inning save and he's less available tomorrow, you make up for it with a more-rested Frankie Rodriguez.

Frayed Knot
Apr 29 2009 09:41 AM

The problem with the pre-emptive pitching change is that it takes out the known quantity (in this case - Livan pitching reasonably well) and subs in the unknown (who in the pen will have it today?) to the point where - absent various ominous signs** - it often does make the 'change now in case it's too late later' strategy the more risky one.





**
- the last 5 outs have all been at'em balls;
- the next two hitters have great numbers against the current hurler and/or lousy against my pen;
- both the radar gun and my eyes tell me he's visibly tiring
- he's blown up in this inning the last 4 times
- yadda, yadda

Fman99
Apr 29 2009 09:45 AM

Benjamin Grimm wrote:
I'm with you. I've had the same perspective for years now. Every time you bring a new pitcher into the game, he's an unknown quantity. It's better to do this as infrequently as possible.

If Putz slams the door decisively in the eighth, let him start the ninth. If he ends up with a two-inning save and he's less available tomorrow, you make up for it with a more-rested Frankie Rodriguez.


No one does this anymore. You can thank Tony LaRussa and Dennis Eckersley for the "one and done" method of bullpen management.

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 29 2009 09:46 AM

I know. And it's frustrating.

I hope I live long enough to see the next innovative manager who'll dare to undo what LaRussa did. And I'm kinda disappointed that Bobby Valentine wasn't that guy.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 09:53 AM

Benjamin Grimm wrote:
I know. And it's frustrating.

I hope I live long enough to see the next innovative manager who'll dare to undo what LaRussa did. And I'm kinda disappointed that Bobby Valentine wasn't that guy.


I agree. I think that the way to fix this is by increasing the starting pitchers' workload, rather than by having your 6th or 7th inning reliever go longer.

(We're talking about workloads here, I assume, and not about the Save stat dictating pitcher use ... right? )

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 29 2009 09:53 AM

Bobby managed the pen very well though.

Having good personnel was a big plus but Bobby would never have used his 3 best guys with a 6-run lead as Jerry did the other night.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 09:54 AM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Apr 29 2009 09:55 AM

Somebody must be out there who is willing to stick with a pitcher who is doing well. Not everybody lifts Livan Hernandez in the fifth. Certtainly there's a broad continuum between looking for four straight guys to perform a save and Billy Martin pumping complete games out of everybody in Oakland.

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote:
Bobby managed the pen very well though.

Having good personnel was a big plus but Bobby would never have used his 3 best guys with a 6-run lead as Jerry did the other night.


There you go.

Benjamin Grimm
Apr 29 2009 09:54 AM

I'm talking about both, actually.

Centerfield
Apr 29 2009 10:37 AM

Without getting into a broad discussion on whether it is a good idea to leave a pitcher in or pull a pitcher in general, let's focus on Livan Hernandez's outings this year:

Florida (4/11): Livan pitches 6 strong. He gives up a run in the 7th, and leaves a runner on who comes across to score after he is pulled with two outs.

Milwaukee (4/17): Livan gives up a run in the fifth, then fails to record an out in the sixth while giving up a 3 run HR.

St. Louis (4/23): Livan gives up 6 ER in the 4th and 5th. He does not survive the 5th inning.

It's a small sample size, but a case certainly can be made that Livan loses his effectiveness as he tires. I haven't been a big fan of Manuel's bullpen moves this year, but pulling Livan there for Parnell wasn't a big deal for me.

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 10:46 AM

(1) It's hard to draw any conclusion from that sample size. I think it's ideal to have a pitcher have his worst inning before being lifted.

(2) It's not like we're talking about what's going on with Livan alone here. Maine and Pelfrey have also recently been lifted mid-game when they were pitching well. Santana also.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 10:51 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
(1) It's hard to draw any conclusion from that sample size. I think it's ideal to have a pitcher have his worst inning before being lifted.


But what if a pitcher's worst inning is the one where he gives up six runs? A pitcher might lose effectiveness during his start gradually, or all at once. How do you know that Livan wouldn't have imploded had he been left in?

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 10:55 AM

I don't know that or claim to know that.

Nothing I've written suggests I claim to know that. Though I feel certain Manuel would have lifted him before allowing that to happen. As it is, a bunt single and a rolling groundout indicated no signs of an implosion.

When your third reliever, on the other hand, is on a track to give up six runs, it's then harder to lift him because you're already three pitchers deep into the pen.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Apr 29 2009 10:59 AM

To me the bullpen mgt isn't necessarily about pulling Livan or anyone else when they did, but having (perhaps) compromised the guys he turned to by having used them the night before with a 6-run lead.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 11:02 AM

Edgy DC wrote:

Nothing I've written suggests I claim to know that. Though I feel certain Manuel would have lifted him before allowing that to happen. As it is, a bunt single and a rolling groundout indicated no signs of an implosion.


I agree with you on that. But no manager should be waiting for the implosion to happen before relieving the starter. The trick is to anticipate the meltdown before it ever happens. Things didn't work out for the Mets yesterday. That's all it is.

Edgy DC wrote:
When your third reliever, on the other hand, is on a track to give up six runs, it's then harder to lift him because you're already three pitchers deep into the pen.


Isn't this hindisght? Green was "on track"? Are you saying that everyone but Manuel knew that Green was going to have a terrible inning before it ever happened?

Edgy DC
Apr 29 2009 11:11 AM

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
="Edgy DC"]
Nothing I've written suggests I claim to know that. Though I feel certain Manuel would have lifted him before allowing that to happen. As it is, a bunt single and a rolling groundout indicated no signs of an implosion.


I agree with you on that. But no manager should be waiting for the implosion to happen before relieving the starter. The trick is to anticipate the meltdown before it ever happens. Things didn't work out for the Mets yesterday. That's all it is.


No, there's something between a meltdown and the innocuous events of Livan Hernandez's sixth inning. It's called tiriing, flagging, struggling. It includes a walk or two, a hit or two, a hit batsman, dropping velocity, actually yielding something more than a bunt single and an infield out that doesn't even advance the runner.

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
="Edgy DC"]When your third reliever, on the other hand, is on a track to give up six runs, it's then harder to lift him because you're already three pitchers deep into the pen.


Isn't this hindisght? Green was "on track"? Are you saying that everyone but Manuel knew that Green was going to have a terrible inning before it ever happened?

No, I'm not saying that. I'm saying what I'm saying, repeatedly and clearly. That each successive pitcher you need to get through the day (1) increases your chance that one of them will not have it, (2) decreases the options you have available to you as a plan B if/when one of them doesn't have it, and (3) limits their availablity for another day, so it behooves one to use as few pitchers as necessary.

batmagadanleadoff
Apr 29 2009 07:13 PM

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
The Mets offense is second in the NL in runs scored, tied with Philly; the Mets have outscored first place Fla. so far this season. The Cubs are the only NL team to have outscored the Mets.


This post was in my head all day long ever since I wrote it because, having watched almost every Met inning of this season, I couldn't reconcile the team I was watching with their outstanding run production. So I checked the team totals again, and I realized that I had made a mistake: I was looking at last season's NL run totals. The 799 runs scored by the Mets should have tipped me off. This year's Mets rank 7th out of 16 NL teams