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2009 Matt Holliday watch thread

Mex17 May 10 2009 07:24 AM

Is a legit guy (that the Mets can target as a FA) or was he just a product of Coors? Early results indicate the latter. . . http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/p ... yerId=5940

Elster88 May 10 2009 09:14 AM

The way to do this is to compare his road splits to his home splits for when he was actually playing in Coors.

Mex17 May 10 2009 09:20 AM

For the past three years (06-08), it is an .856 OPS away vs. 1.099 at Coors. http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/s ... e=batting3 Thoughts?

Elster88 May 10 2009 09:25 AM

Seems fairly conclusive. I'd stay away unless he was cheap. Certainly .856 isn't terrible but it's not great. Another question though, is Coors still Coors, if you know what I mean? Are the cigar boxes keeping the balls damp?

OlerudOwned May 10 2009 09:40 AM

Another case in the negative column is that he's already 29 years old.

Frayed Knot May 10 2009 11:06 AM

Coors is definitely still a hitter's park and likely always will be. It's just not the 'OMG it's like nothing we've ever seen before' anomaly it was for the first decade or so it was in use. The 'Park Factor' numbers in this 'humidor era' of the place have mostly been in the 107-110 range (IOW, offense about 7-10% better than normal) as opposed to the absurd 115-to-135!! scores it was racking up in the mid-late '90s. As for Holliday -- hits the FA market at around age 30, only plays corner OF (and only marginally), doesn't run real well, etc. IOW, his main asset is the bat and as a corner guy coming to a pitchers park as he enters his 30s for presumably big money it better be a REAL good bat and I don't think it is. Certainly not someone you want to target as Plan A.

Edgy DC May 10 2009 01:42 PM

Much more fun to anticipate the future with the team we have now.