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Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Edgy MD
Jan 11 2011 09:04 PM



Pos: 1B

Born: 3/22/1987 in Edina, Minnesota (24 in 2011)

Acquired: Selected by the Mets in the 1st round with the18th overall pick of the 2008 amateur draft, noted in this dramatic thread.

2010 Stats:

TmLgGPAABRH2B3BHRRBISBCSBBSOBAOBPSLGOPSOPS+TBGDPHBPSHSFIBBBB-Ref WARFanGraphs WARAwards
BuffaloIL (AAA)10423381230240095.364.500.6361.1362100000
NYMNL (MLB)1476015237313833119713272138.264.351.440.7911152301310562.53.4RoY-7
TotalsAll1576435568115036121753281143.270.364.451.8152511310562.53.4


Wifey: None.

Last Word: Not much has come out of Edina this winter, and maybe it's good that the unspecatcular but solid debut of Davis is largely going untrumpeted. A lesser Met team and it's "Is he the savior?" and a better one and it's "Is he coming along fast enough?"

What do you expect of Ike Davis in 2011?

Ceetar
Jan 11 2011 09:15 PM
Re: Expectations for Eleven: Ike Davis

I'm expecting a really solid year out of him.

Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but..

I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line.

smg58
Jan 12 2011 10:10 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

I think a .280/.380/.480 line is well within his reach.

metirish
Jan 12 2011 10:12 AM
Re: Expectations for Eleven: Ike Davis

Ceetar wrote:
I'm expecting a really solid year out of him.

Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but..

I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line.



Sounds like you're enjoying your home brew Ceetar

Ceetar
Jan 12 2011 10:18 AM
Re: Expectations for Eleven: Ike Davis

metirish wrote:
Ceetar wrote:
I'm expecting a really solid year out of him.

Production wise, closer to 25 home runs and 110 RBI (assuming he's batting 6th with a TON of opportunity) In fact, due to the circumstances of being able to drive in Bay, Wright and Beltran, all of who will be on base a lot, I wouldn't be surprised to hear a radio host use the words MVP in describing his season so far. He won't actually receive any real MVP votes, but..

I think he gets his average closer to .300, mainly but cutting down on some of the strike outs. .288/.355/.477 slash line.



Sounds like you're enjoying your home brew Ceetar


You really think that sounds farfetched?

metirish
Jan 12 2011 10:19 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

The 110 rbi yeah.......more like 90 I think....I hope you are right though...

G-Fafif
Jan 12 2011 10:20 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

During barren periods like winter and work stoppages, there's usually one player I rely on to infiltrate my thoughts and nudge me happily toward when the Mets will play again. These days it's Ike. I can't (or Ike'ant) wait to watch him at bat again.

Expecting a good year. There's ten new inches of snow on the ground and CPF was gone all morning. Like I need to expect a bad year out of Ike Davis?

Frayed Knot
Jan 12 2011 10:31 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Slight improvement from 2010 -- .270/.360/.470
Counting stats probably go up a bit - say 24 HRs and 87 RBIs

TransMonk
Jan 12 2011 10:40 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Sophmore slump forthcoming offensively. .252, 12 HR, 61 RBI

He will not disappoint with the glove, though.

batmagadanleadoff
Jan 12 2011 10:44 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Jan 12 2011 10:45 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Frayed Knot wrote:
Slight improvement from 2010 -- .270/.360/.470
Counting stats probably go up a bit - say 24 HRs and 87 RBIs


That's what I'd say too. I think Davis arrived almost fully formed as a ballplayer, unlike most pitchers or guys like Tejada or Fartinez. That's good in the sense that he's dependable to do what he does but it takes a real stretch from where I'm standing to see him dramatically improve year to year. He also seems to have inherited that 'baseball player' gene that causes one's demeanor never to get too up or too down, but just hover about a stat line that looks a lot like like the one he had last year.

He yam what he yam.

Edgy MD
Jan 12 2011 10:56 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

He can hit it out of any park in America though, so if he can just find one more pitch that he's the master of, it can really raise his profile.

He wasn't particularly consistent last year --- kinda bad in August, very good in September --- so maybe he can smooth that out a bit.

Maybe.

batmagadanleadoff
Jan 12 2011 11:03 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Ike's strong, no doubt. He hits 'em farther than any other Met, maybe even as far as Delgado used to. Still, even on the road, he averaged a HR about every 29 AB. So he'll hafta improve considerably to end up among the league leaders in road HR rate.

attgig
Jan 12 2011 11:36 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

the pitchers get a good idea of how to pitch to him, and so he struggles with the average. But the power is there and so the counting stats build. Later in the year, after beltran gets shipped off, he becomes the new cleanup hitter in between wright and bay. With that extra protection, gets a few better pitches to swing at. and by year end, we think we may have the best 1bman in the nl east.


BA .243
SLG .489
HR 28
RBI 101
SO 158

Gwreck
Jan 12 2011 11:45 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.


I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011.

Benjamin Grimm
Jan 12 2011 11:46 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

25 HR, 90 RBI .270. Somewhat fewer strikeouts. I'll say... 115.

Vic Sage
Jan 12 2011 09:30 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

[crossout:136i82hw]Adam LaRoche[/crossout:136i82hw] Ike Davis = .265-.275ba / 20-25hr / 85-90rbi

Fman99
Jan 13 2011 08:08 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

.310, 30 HR, 115 RBI, cures polio (I know, shut up), bangs a bunch of pop stars I never heard of, grows a moustache/goatee combo and gets the moniker 'evil Ike' by me.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Jan 13 2011 08:32 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

.273/.369/.488
26 HR
35 2B
96 RBI
79 R
78 BB
130 K

More shiksa tail than a WASP centaur colony.

batmagadanleadoff
Jan 14 2011 10:39 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Gwreck wrote:
batmagadanleadoff wrote:
I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.


I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011.


OK. You're on. Are we talking about rates or raw #'s (as if it's gonna matter)?

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
May 03 2011 11:23 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

The Star-Ledger's Andy McCullough presents The Tao of Ike.

(I've seen this gimmick used before... but I'm not sure I've seen it used as skillfully. Nice piece.)

batmagadanleadoff
May 03 2011 01:16 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
batmagadanleadoff wrote:
I'm going to go out on the limb and predict that Ike's road HR totals will be among the league's best. It's too bad about those CF dimensions.


I'll wager $10 to the charity of your choice that Ike Davis does not finish in the top 10 in NL road home runs in 2011.


OK. You're on. Are we talking about rates or raw #'s (as if it's gonna matter)?


I forgot all about this nutty wager. The NL East is probably the toughest division to hit HR's in -- stadium wise. Still, in Ike, we might be witnessing the
emergence of a real star.

Gwreck
May 03 2011 09:45 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

So did I, but will of course be honoring it. Ike is currently 8th in the NL with 6 home runs; 2 of which were on the road.

Edgy MD
May 04 2011 07:04 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Here's to him not leading the league in sacrifice bunts.

Frayed Knot
May 04 2011 05:35 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

btw, NYM HRs so far -- 18 Home to 7 Away (and with 1 fewer home game)

HRs given up to date = 14 home v 17 on road

smg58
May 04 2011 06:14 PM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

And yet, the Mets have a better record on the road.

batmagadanleadoff
May 07 2011 11:13 AM
Re: Expectations of Eleven: Ike Davis

Early Returns

It's only May, but still, which Major Leaguers are making the best cases for a spot on the All-Star team at its' most potent and star-studded position -- NL first base? Pujols? Ryan Howard? Prince Fielder? The reigning MVP - Joey Votto? Gaby Sanchez -- Topps' 2010 All-Rookie Team first sacker?

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Even Dwight Eisenhower urges all to vote for Ike Davis: