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Benson Trade Rumor Thread (Julio? Vazquez? Pudge?)
GYC Dec 01 2005 06:12 AM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Dec 02 2005 03:29 PM |
http://www.nypost.com/sports/mets/58699.htm
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Edgy DC Dec 01 2005 08:02 AM |
Not.
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KC Dec 01 2005 08:03 AM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Dec 01 2005 08:05 AM |
I don't care how hard he throws, trading away a starting pitcher for a set-up
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TheOldMole Dec 01 2005 08:03 AM |
ETs? Will they have to phone home for permission?
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Edgy DC Dec 01 2005 08:16 AM Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Dec 01 2005 11:00 AM |
They seemed to overpay when they sent Hundley for Benitez, and they did well. Maybe they think they can rob Baltimore again.
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MFS62 Dec 01 2005 08:27 AM |
I'm not sure.
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Johnny Dickshot Dec 01 2005 08:46 AM |
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Debateable. What's so special about Julio besides a few seasons as a default closer for a lousy team? Even in his good years he wasn;t much of a strikeout monster and last season his ERA was six. On edit: But for the fact they were 26-year-old O's closers, Benitez isn;t even a fair comparison to Julio.
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Centerfield Dec 01 2005 09:01 AM |
Um, no.
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Yancy Street Gang Dec 01 2005 09:25 AM |
Pass. If they're set on dealing Benson, they can get more back than a setup guy.
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Rotblatt Dec 01 2005 09:27 AM |
Julio made $2.5M last year--assuming we sign him for about the same, we'll save $5M on the deal, so this mostly looks like a salary dump.
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HappyRecap Dec 01 2005 09:33 AM |
Would rather see them dump Trachsel.
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Edgy DC Dec 01 2005 09:34 AM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Dec 01 2005 09:35 AM |
The proliferation of the Banson Bunch tells me that the Mets didn't overpay Kris so much as reported. If everybody needs pitching as badly as they do every other off-season, Benson's likely worth more than that.
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Frayed Knot Dec 01 2005 09:34 AM |
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No they don't. No one gets through a season with only 5 starters and with Petit gone the most likely mid-season/injury replacement is gone. And if Heilman is now a starter (?) this doesn't really cover a hole so much as it just shuffles the deck chairs a bit.
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HappyRecap Dec 01 2005 09:39 AM |
Edgy, is Ishii still around? I thought they dumped him a week or so ago.
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Edgy DC Dec 01 2005 09:55 AM |
They decined his option, still own his rights, according to reports.
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smg58 Dec 01 2005 09:59 AM |
It looks like something similar to Cameron for Nady (freeing salary to do something else, but not getting an equal player in return), except Nady has a bit more to recommend him. I'm not sure I'd want Julio blocking younger guys. I could almost see it for Steve Kilne, because we're thinner from the left side, but he's also coming off a bad year. And Benitez only had one year (his rookie year) like Julio's last season, so it's not a fair comparison.
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Frayed Knot Dec 01 2005 10:03 AM |
For all the talk about MPH readings (something fans get way too hung up over) Julio, over the last 3 years, doesn't have particularly good:
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DocTee Dec 01 2005 10:57 AM |
Johnny Dickshot wrote:
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Rotblatt Dec 01 2005 11:09 AM |
Yeah, I think I'm with you, FK.
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Willets Point Dec 01 2005 11:32 AM |
Bummer, I was just starting to like Benson.
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Centerfield Dec 01 2005 11:36 AM |
By the way, I just want to point out that the title of the thread makes it seem the deal is far more likely than the headline of the article.
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seawolf17 Dec 01 2005 11:40 AM |
You want another Benitez-Julio parallel?
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Willets Point Dec 01 2005 11:47 AM |
Especially if the Mets ended up with Roger Cedeno.
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heep Dec 01 2005 12:37 PM |
I think Omar an Co. feel Benson is not worth his contract, and will always be an average pitcher.
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Elster88 Dec 01 2005 12:45 PM |
Does anyone think this is an absolutely terrible trade? Like there is absolutely nothing good about it.
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abogdan Dec 01 2005 12:56 PM |
Yeah, this trade sucks. Trading a perfectly acceptable average starting pitcher for a crappy middle reliever makes no sense. I can somewhat understand trading a starter since the Mets do have a bit of a surplus, but to do it for a reliever who had one good year four seasons ago makes no sense.
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duan Dec 01 2005 12:59 PM |
em, there's a LOAD of stuff to worry about here ...
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Frayed Knot Dec 01 2005 01:00 PM |
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Compared to what? Have you checked out what Estaban Loaizia just got? 7-ish per year is the going rate for decent/not great pitchers these days. Dickshot tracked "The Benson Bunch" all season. 'TBB' were the group of FA pitchers who signed contracts last year that were similar in length & dollars to what we inked Benson for [Lowe, Leiber, Ortiz, etc]. Krissy held up very well at or near the top of that group all year - even as he faded a bit at the end. If he were banished it would likely take about the same amount of money to replace his production. Zito is making similar money to Benson now only because he's on the last year of a deal signed when he was a young player w/no leverage. Plus, once you add in the "price" in players it would take to pry him out of Beane grasp, he's not going to be cheaper than Benson at all - and he'd only be here for a single season before he'd be sure to make considerably more. "Dumping" Benson for the $$ savings would make more sense if he were out of position (Cameron) or woefully under-earning his price (Matsui) but I'd argue he isn't either. And the $3-$4 mil savings over each of the next 2 years (the diff between Benson & Julio) isn't going to make that big a dent in paying for a FA like Burnett which could reach $12/per x 5 years.
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Rotblatt Dec 01 2005 01:01 PM |
I wonder if there's a piece missing here in this proposed trade--like maybe we get a prospect back. I would think that Penn & probably Markakis (OF with some nice numbers who's rocking the AFL right now, IIRC) would be off-limits, but maybe Adam Loewen (lefty power pitcher with control problems) or Val Majewski (lefty OF recovering from a torn labrum--should be ready by Spring) . . .
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metirish Dec 01 2005 01:07 PM |
I hate this trade idea for most of the reasons given in this thread, not that it means a whole lot but Benson seems to like being a Mets a lot.
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Frayed Knot Dec 01 2005 01:14 PM |
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Fans probably put too much stock in this sort of thing but I do believe it's got to hurt a team in the long run if they develop a trend where they romance and sign players to long-term contracts only to reverse their thinking just a year into the deal. Seems to me that word will get around the player grapevine that these people (front office) aren't to be taken at their word. FWIW; Buster Olney - on FAN at lunchtime - doesn't put much stock in this rumor.
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Elster88 Dec 01 2005 01:17 PM |
If Buster's right, then you gotta love the paper saying it's close to being done. Damn, those reporters are seriously terrified about losing their careers and reputations.
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Elster88 Dec 01 2005 01:35 PM |
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An excellent point from Buster:
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Nymr83 Dec 01 2005 03:54 PM |
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Kris Benson has never been better than mediocre either. the deal is dumb because a mediocre starter has greater value than a mediocre reliever.
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Elster88 Dec 01 2005 04:02 PM |
I think everyone here agrees with you, Nymr.
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Nymr83 Dec 01 2005 04:17 PM |
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that would be a first i believe. would anyone like to come out in favor of this trade?
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Yancy Street Gang Dec 01 2005 04:18 PM |
I guess the Baltimore players would be in favor. They could try to entice Kris to cheat on his wife.
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Edgy DC Dec 01 2005 04:26 PM |
"Benson for Julio is close to dumb"
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Rotblatt Dec 02 2005 09:59 AM |
So most papers have this deal as dead, although the Post says that it was actually Julio plus an unnamed prospect.
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sharpie Dec 02 2005 10:04 AM |
I could live with any of the possibilities that Rotblatt just mentioned. Yes, Pudge had a .290 OBP last year, but it was .383 the year before and .343 for his career. He's worth Kris Benson.
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OlerudOwned Dec 02 2005 10:05 AM |
Benson for Vazquez would be be nice. However, it's more likely to be something like Benson and Bannister for Vazquez (the rumor thrown out when Vaz first filed his demand). The question is, do you think Bannister is worth the difference in talent between the 2 pitchers, while keeping in mind we gave up Petit already and lost our 1st pick to the Phillies. I wouldnt mind the deal.
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Rotblatt Dec 02 2005 10:27 AM |
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Yup. I still like that deal. Vazquez & younger and has more upside and isn't that much more expensive, since the Yankees are (still) paying a lot of his contract.
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Centerfield Dec 02 2005 11:37 AM |
The News says this deal is not likely:
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Elster88 Dec 02 2005 11:45 AM |
I'm still missing something. Why is there a big push to trade Benson?
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Centerfield Dec 02 2005 11:47 AM |
According to the article, to clear salary for Manny.
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Nymr83 Dec 02 2005 02:24 PM |
oh...in that case...BOOOOOO
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Rotblatt Dec 02 2005 03:03 PM |
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Rosenthal from Fox:
Good. That makes a lot more sense to me. If we're getting back a decent OF or LHSP prospect, I'd be okay with the deal. http://msn.foxsports.com/mlb/story/5132718
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Elster88 Dec 02 2005 03:05 PM |
A mid-level prospect does not make the deal much tastier, IMHO.
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Yancy Street Gang Dec 02 2005 03:29 PM |
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I agree. A mid-level prospect will be great for the Norfolk Tides, but probably won't do a whole lot for the New York Mets.
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Zvon Dec 02 2005 10:22 PM |
Benson,...to clear salary?
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Edgy DC Dec 02 2005 10:33 PM |
Keep in mind, Trax shops at the 5 & 10.
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Frayed Knot Dec 03 2005 09:22 AM |
Benson is owed $14+ over the next 2 years.
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Rockin' Doc Dec 03 2005 10:46 AM |
Frayed Knot - "Since I just became Shane Spencer I think I'm going to start drinking now despite it being only 9:30 in the morning."
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GYC Dec 03 2005 11:58 AM |
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[URL=http://rotoworld.com/content/playerpages/player_main.asp?sport=MLB&leaguenum=&id=6167]http://rotoworld.com/content/playerpages/p...guenum=&id=6167[/URL]
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abogdan Dec 03 2005 12:32 PM |
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Because the Mets have what appears to be a surplus of back of the rotation starters, and based on the Loaiza signing, Benson might actually be undervalued in today's market, especially considering the lack of quality free agent starters out there. Plus, the Mets are willing to take on "worse" contracts, like Vazquez's, in exchange as long as they are getting a potential upgrade talent-wise. I'd move Benson for Vazquez in a second. Expecting Benson to develop into anything more than he is now, an average starter, at this point in his career is foolhardy. I've always thought Vazquez would be perfectly suited for pitching half of his games at Shea. His problem the past two years has been home runs. Over his last four years in Montreal, after he started pitching 200 IP a year regularly, he averaged just over 1 HR/9 IP. With the Yankees and Arizona, he averaged nearly half a HR more per game. Moving to Shea should cut down on those numbers.[/url]
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Johnny Dickshot Dec 03 2005 12:52 PM |
OTOH, one of Benson's "strengths" is preventing the HR, or at least he 's not especially vulnerable to them, and when he's right (obviously not long enough to everyone's satisfaction) we've seen he can be excellent. I'd prolly do Vasquez for Benson too but it's not a slam dunk.
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Frayed Knot Dec 03 2005 01:56 PM |
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. Those are their stats for the last 2 seasons. Vazquez has the better K/BB numbers, but that's not merely more HRs it's nearly double the amount in only 10% more IPs. Yeah it's NYY stadium and Phoenix vs Pitts & Shea but even League & Park adjusted ERAs show Benson at 97 & 101 (essentially average) and Vazquez somewhat lower at 92 & 99 Both are signed for the next 2 years, but considering that money-wise Vaz is going for nearly 50% more I wouldn't think it's really an even swap unless contract relief or extra player considerations are thrown in. It's not a trade I'd do just for the sake of doing something but wouldn't be adverse to it with a bit more creativity, particularly since the Snakes "have to" move their guy while we don't. Some Met fans are going to play up the "he's proven he can't play in NYC" angle but that crap doesn't scare me. He had a decent 1st half w/the Yanx and a rotten 2nd half which proves ... not a whole lot. Vazquez is a year and a half younger. (29.5 vs 31) His name will also net you a helluva lot more points in SCRABBLE although you'll need to burn one of the blanks.
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MFS62 Dec 03 2005 02:52 PM |
Knot, how do those numbers look if you use Valasquez' last two National League years and forget his Yankee/AL year?
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Edgy DC Dec 03 2005 03:58 PM |
I've got no great blinders on when it comes to Benson, and was against his acquisition before and during it's occurrance.
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Frayed Knot Dec 03 2005 05:08 PM |
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Some of his Montreal years were better for sure -- I just used the stats from '04 & '05 because I figured the most recent were the most relevant. Also, Benson was a college selection so he started later and then missed several years to injury. Vazquez came out of High School and, no question, was the better young player but the comparisons for those early years simply don't match up and I'm not so sure they tell us a whole lot about now. I also don't see much point in "taking out" Vazquez's NYY year. Yeah it may have been his worst but those normalized ERA figures (92 & 99 in his case; 100 = league avg) adjust for league, year, and park factors and show that he was giving up runs at a higher rate than Benson even when those differences are accounted for.
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smg58 Dec 03 2005 11:50 PM |
Vazquez did have a great 03 season (231 IP, 3.24 ERA, 241 K), but it looks like the back-to-back seasons of 230+ IP in 02 and 03 took a toll. His K/BB ratio recovered last year, but he still got hit hard. I don't really know what to expect from him at this point, which would limit what I'd be willing to deal.
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Valadius Dec 04 2005 06:12 PM |
Had we not traded Petit, I would have been open to a Benson trade. But now, forget it.
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cleonjones11 Dec 05 2005 12:33 AM What did Benson do? |
Man..talk about souring on someone. Did he or his wife pull a Steve Phillips with the help?
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Johnny Dickshot Dec 05 2005 07:19 AM |
Amazin's hurler's wife pitches fit
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Edgy DC Dec 05 2005 07:49 AM |
Flushing always needed a zoo.
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MFS62 Dec 05 2005 07:53 AM |
There is one, a kiddie zoo, in Flushing Meadow Park. (Where the World's Fair was held)
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ScarletKnight41 Dec 05 2005 08:17 AM |
I have always thought that the Mets' history of trading players who signed as free agents early into their contracts would make it harder to sign new free agents down the line. Unless, like Billy Wagner, they insist on no-trade clauses.
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Edgy DC Dec 05 2005 08:26 AM |
The Flushing Kiddie Zoo would make a cruel name for an exposé book.
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Centerfield Dec 05 2005 10:09 AM |
And, of course, by blasting Delgado, Anna makes it that much more likely that Kris will be traded...
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Elster88 Dec 05 2005 10:28 AM |
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