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2006 ZiPS for Mets

Johnny Dickshot
Dec 03 2005 01:26 AM

Note the disclaimer about PT, but this computer thinks O=good, P=eh.

[url]http://www.baseballthinkfactory.org/files/oracle/discussion/34502/[/url]

Edgy DC
Dec 03 2005 02:08 AM

Well, I figgered out who some of the disparaging names applied to, but who is "The Run Fairy"?

Nymr83
Dec 03 2005 02:32 AM

"awfulman" must be Cairo, not sure who "self" is supposed to be.
my 1st guess for "the run fairy" (Danny Gaves) is listed as is Looper, my 2nd favorite japanese punching bag is there too (Ishii) so i have NO idea who that is unless this guy thinks Mel Rojas is coming out of retirement

Edgy DC
Dec 03 2005 08:30 AM

Cairo is listed as himself. "Awfulman" is Jose Offerman. "Self" is Todd Self.

RF may mean Aybar. I dunno.

Johnny Dickshot
Dec 03 2005 09:21 AM

Run Fairy is Heredia

smg58
Dec 03 2005 10:03 AM

Wow, they really don't like our pitchers. Basically, all the starters get significantly worse.

I'd take that OPS from Lambin if he fills Marlon Anderson's spot on the roster.

DocTee
Dec 03 2005 10:39 AM

Five pitchers in double-digit wins and a sixth (Zambrano) just missing the cut... of course, there's more than a few with double-digit losses projected, too!

Edgy DC
Dec 03 2005 03:45 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Dec 03 2005 03:48 PM

Well, the implication is that each of them could get those totals, given full-time usage. But only so many can really get full-time usage.

OlerudOwned
Dec 03 2005 03:46 PM

Looking at the comments, it seems all pitching projections are rather unfriendly.

]So far, only Santana has a better projection, ERA-wise, than Pedro [3.20].

Rotblatt
Dec 05 2005 10:06 AM

For some reason, Mets brass doesn't seem to like Lambin, which I really don't get.

Offensive projections seem about right to me, although I'm a little curious as to why Nady's so high. I think Beltran could outperform his projection, but I wouldn't bank on it.

Pitchingwise, I think Heilman & Seo are undervalued, and to a lesser extent, Glavine as well. I'm assuming, however, that they turned a corner last year, which ZIPS can't do . . .

Edgy DC
Dec 05 2005 10:46 AM

Name               P    AVG   OBP   SPC   G  AB   R   H 2B 3B HR RBI  BB   K SB CS 
Delgado* 1b .272 .385 .512 143 508 75 138 33 1 29 106 81 129 0 0
Lo Duca c .266 .324 .365 138 496 50 132 26 1 7 59 37 44 2 4