Predict the Mets, 2013

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Predict the Mets, 2013

bmfc1
Mar 24 2013 09:11 AM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Mar 24 2013 06:37 PM

[u:3fvq0dye]Just the Mets:[/u:3fvq0dye]
1. Where they will finish in the NL East
2. What the final record will be
3. If you predict a wild card spot, say so
4. If you predict a playoff appearance, how far will they go?

Last year's winners were G-Fafif and metirish (74-88).
In 2011 the winner was Transmonk.
Don't be a J.J. Putz and predict "162-0" or "0-162".

Gwreck
Mar 24 2013 09:21 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

4th
72-90
No wild card
No playoffs

Benjamin Grimm
Mar 24 2013 10:53 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

1. Fourth place
2. 80-82 (I'm feeling optimistic.)
3. No.
4. No.

Mets Guy in Michigan
Mar 24 2013 10:54 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Third place

85-77

No wildcard or playoffs.

(But, a nice step up in a transition year. Bold prediction: The second half of the season will be better than the first half, for a change.)

bmfc1
Mar 24 2013 12:59 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

1. 4th Place
2. 71-91
3. No
4. No.

Ashie62
Mar 24 2013 01:50 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

5th

67-95

No
No

Very rough after AS break

Fman99
Mar 24 2013 02:28 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

97-65
1st
Yes
WS champs

Yeah.

MFS62
Mar 24 2013 03:10 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

4th
74-88
No
No

Later

Swan Swan H
Mar 24 2013 04:02 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

3rd (WAS, ATL, NYM, PHI, MIA)
81-81
No, and no.

DocTee
Mar 24 2013 07:11 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

74-88.

Fourth.

Nope.

Nope.

Edgy MD
Mar 24 2013 07:55 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

97 wins and 12 more in the post-season.

Nymr83
Mar 25 2013 07:57 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

3rd (behind WAS, ATL, ahead of MIA, PHI)
71-91
no
no

TransMonk
Mar 25 2013 08:42 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

3rd Place
79-83
Nope
Nope

Mets – Willets Point
Mar 25 2013 09:24 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Mar 25 2013 03:17 PM

1. First!
2. 107-59
3. 11-0 in the playoffs!
4. World Series champions!

metsmarathon
Mar 25 2013 09:28 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

second
87-75
second wild card
lose NLCS

sharpie
Mar 25 2013 12:38 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

fourth
73-89
no-no

Vic Sage
Mar 25 2013 01:40 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

77-85
fourth
no
no

Lefty Specialist
Mar 25 2013 02:00 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

68-94.
Fifth place (yes, behind the Marlins)
Obviously no.
Obviously no.

seawolf17
Mar 25 2013 02:27 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

88-74
second place
WC
world series champs

YA. GOTTA. BELIEVE.

Mets – Willets Point
Mar 25 2013 03:01 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Looks like people are adopting my ridiculously optimistic outlier strategy. I may need to pump up the optimism or pour on some negativity to push prediction further into outlier territory.

Ceetar
Mar 25 2013 03:02 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

86-76, third place, no playoffs.

batmagadanleadoff
Mar 29 2013 11:30 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

bmfc1 wrote:
Just the Mets:
1. Where they will finish in the NL East
2. What the final record will be
3. If you predict a wild card spot, say so
4. If you predict a playoff appearance, how far will they go?

Last year's winners were G-Fafif and metirish (74-88).
In 2011 the winner was Transmonk.
Don't be a J.J. Putz and predict "162-0" or "0-162".

76-86, with not nearly as much gloom as many journalists expect. But this being the Mets, something will have to go absurdly wrong to confirm the Mets status as baseball's laughingstocks. Something like an unprecedented Summer monsoon hitting NYC during All Star Weekend, thus pushing back that game for more than a week, perhaps even threatening the game's cancellation. Harvey, Parnell and Ike will shine, providing real hope for a turnaround in 2014-15. I'm not predicting the Mets final spot in the standings because that implies predicting what the other teams do.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Mar 29 2013 02:14 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

4th
78-84
No
NO

And a FANTASTIC sales week for Amway in mid-July.

G-Fafif
Mar 30 2013 07:43 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

4th Place
73-89
I don't believe there are playoffs for that.

I've been all over the win-total map (below the equator, anyway) in my head since this question was posed, going as low as 67 and rising up toward .500. This is more or less splitting the difference. If the Mets go 73-89, we can be told:

a) "the Mets won one fewer game than in 2012 but, really, they were a much better team and their future looks even brighter based on what we saw in the second half";

b) "on the 40th anniversary of '73, the Mets celebrated by winning 73 games";

c) and "they finished with the same record as they did in 1968...a harbinger of things to come? Manager Tim Teufel, who took over for Terry Collins in August, certainly thinks it could be."

I also imagine not losing 90 games will be hailed as a great Aldersonian success. Someone will have to wake him with the good news.

My gut also told me the Mets would either surpass the Phillies (who I think are going to suck) or fall behind the Marlins (who have Stanton), but the thinness of the starting rotation at season's beginning cooled my high hopes some, so the difference gets split again. Precedent can be suffocating, but I really do believe there will be a touch of 1983 to their arc: two horrible thirds, an encouraging final third on which to build. And 2014...well, who knows, but you never know.

Edgy MD
Mar 30 2013 08:05 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

I got this strange notion that the next manager isn't Teufel or Backman, but their Metly contemporary Ron Gardenhire. He seems to be a lifetimer in Minnesota, but things are weird there right now.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Mar 31 2013 08:57 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

I'm optimistic for the offense, I think they will surprise some people, maybe even you. Bullpen will be adequate and defense only okay. o

Starting pitching might really suck.
86-76, sneaks a playin wild card and goes all the way.

Edgy MD
Apr 16 2013 01:04 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Projecting our predictions across the first 11 games, Willets Point takes the lead.

Poster Wins Losses Winning Pct. GB
Met - Willets Point 7.27 3.73 .660 0.27
Mets 7 4 .636 ---
Fman99 6.59 4.41 .599 0.41
Edgy MD 6.59 4.41 .599 0.41
seawolf17 5.98 5.02 .543 1.02
metsmarathon 5.91 5.09 .537 1.09
Ceetar 5.84 5.16 .531 1.16
John Cougar Lunchbucket 5.84 5.16 .531 1.16
metsguyinmichigan 5.77 5.23 .525 1.23
Swan Swan H 5.50 5.50 .500 1.50
Benjamin Grimm 5.43 5.57 .494 1.57
Transmonk 5.36 5.64 .488 1.64
LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr 5.30 5.70 .481 1.70
Vic Sage 5.23 5.77 .475 1.77
batmagadanleadoff 5.16 5.84 .469 1.84
MFS62 5.02 5.98 .457 1.98
Doc Tee 5.02 5.98 .457 1.98
sharpie 4.96 6.04 .451 2.04
G-Fafif 4.96 6.04 .451 2.04
Gwreck 4.89 6.11 .444 2.11
bmfc1 4.82 6.18 .438 2.18
Lefty Specialist 4.62 6.38 .420 2.38
Ashie62 4.55 6.45 .414 2.45

Benjamin Grimm
May 15 2013 08:47 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

The Mets currently have a winning percentage of .389, which is worse than anyone predicted. They project to a final record of 63 wins and 99 losses.

Edgy MD
May 15 2013 08:54 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Good update. Congratulations to current leader Ashie62.

Benjamin Grimm
May 30 2013 07:21 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

A four-game winning streak has the Mets up to a winning percentage of .420, which is still bad but a bit less horrible than were they had been. They currently project to a final record of 68-94.

Edgy MD
May 30 2013 07:35 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Congratulations to current leader Lefty Specialist.

Benjamin Grimm
Aug 08 2013 01:04 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Mets are now 52-60, with a winning percentage of .464. Still not good, but much better than where it was when I last checked in to this thread.

With 50 games remaining, Mets currently project to a final record of 75-87.

Vic Sage
Aug 08 2013 02:08 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

PROJECTION: 75 wins

Predictions (within 2):
- MFS / 74
- DocTee / 74
- VSage / 77
- Sharpie / 73
- GFafif/ 73

batmagadanleadoff
Aug 08 2013 02:33 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

PROJECTION: 75 wins

Predictions (within 2):
- MFS / 74
- DocTee / 74
- VSage / 77
- Sharpie / 73
- GFafif/ 73

TransMonk
Aug 08 2013 04:51 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

batmags don't need no "within 2".

Mets – Willets Point
Aug 09 2013 08:36 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Mets – Willets Point wrote:
1. First!
2. 107-59
3. 11-0 in the playoffs!
4. World Series champions!

Damn Mets have already lost more than 59 games.

Benjamin Grimm
Sep 13 2013 02:53 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Mets are now 64-81, with a winning percentage of .441. They project to a final record of 71-91.

My prediction was for them to finish 80-82, so I need the Mets to go 16-1 to win this little contest.

Vic Sage
Sep 15 2013 08:49 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

i didn't think i was being optimistic when i guessed 77 wins.

Mets – Willets Point
Sep 15 2013 11:04 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Did I win?

Ashie62
Sep 19 2013 04:52 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

67.. i'm out..

metirish
Sep 20 2013 09:22 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

On course for a record

When the Mets moved into Citi Field five years ago, they were also, as it turned out, settling into fourth place in the National League East and making themselves comfortable. If their season ended Friday, they would finish in that very undistinguished spot for the fifth straight season. It would be a franchise record, dubious as it might seem, for never in their uphill history have they ended up staying in the same place for so long.

Even in the 1960s, when the Mets made a name for themselves as one of the worst teams in baseball history, they finished 10th, and last, only in their first four years of existence. In the fifth year, 1966, they finished next to last, in ninth.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/09/20/sport ... ref=sports

Benjamin Grimm
Sep 20 2013 09:25 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Maybe they can break that record by finishing in first place for six consecutive seasons.

Ashie62
Sep 20 2013 10:13 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

I would be willing to buy the team enough PEDS to make that happen lol...

batmagadanleadoff
Sep 28 2013 08:02 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

The Mets have 73 wins with two games left to play. Here are our pre-season predictions, in readable format. (Bold, italicized contestants are in contention):

willets 107-59 (4 tiebreakers? what?)
fman99 97-65
edgymd 97-65
seawolf 88-74
metsmarathon 87-75
Ceetar 86-76
metsguymich 85-77
swanswan 81-81
Grimm 80-82
Transmonk 79-83
leiterwags 78-84
VicSage 77-85
batmags 76-86
doctee 74-88
msf62 74-88
G-Fafif 73-89
sharpie 73-89
GWreck 72-90
bmfc1 71-91
nymr83 71-91
Lefty 68-94
ashie62 67-95

If the Mets go 2-0 over this weekend, then it's a three-way tie between batmags (that's me), DocTee and MSF62
If the Mets go 1-1 over this weekend, then it's a two-way tie between DocTee and MSF62
If the Mets go 0-2 over this weekend, then it's a two-way tie between G-Fafif and Sharpie.

bmfc1
Sep 29 2013 02:19 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Sep 29 2013 02:42 PM

Congratulations to
doctee 74-88
msf62 74-88

Honorable Mention to G-fafif who was one more loss away from back-to-back titles.

Benjamin Grimm
Sep 29 2013 02:23 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

My guess was six games too optimistic. Not too bad, I guess. I hope that next spring I have (legitimate) reason to predict them to win 90 or more.

Zvon
Sep 29 2013 02:48 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Benjamin Grimm wrote:
My guess was six games too optimistic. Not too bad, I guess. I hope that next spring I have (legitimate) reason to predict them to win 90 or more.

I'd have been up there with you if I predicted. As a fan what's the use of not being optimistic? If I couldn't be optimistic I'd end up following them like I did in the late 70's and early 90's, which was from a distance.

Zvon
Sep 29 2013 02:49 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

bmfc1 wrote:
Congratulations to
doctee 74-88
msf62 74-88

Honorable Mention to G-fafif who was one more loss away from back-to-back titles.

Oh yea, gratz u guys.

MFS62
Sep 29 2013 06:25 PM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

Zvon wrote:
bmfc1 wrote:
Congratulations to
doctee 74-88
msf62 74-88

Honorable Mention to G-fafif who was one more loss away from back-to-back titles.

Oh yea, gratz u guys.

Thanks.
It's tough being the smartest (sharing that one), best looking, and probably oldest guy in the room.

Later

Mets – Willets Point
Sep 30 2013 08:58 AM
Re: Predict the Mets, 2013

I think the only thing that keeps me optimistic is looking back to 1983, 1997, & 2003 and considering that no one expected those teams to win a World Series, a pennant, or a division title in three years. So, I'm predicting big things for the 2016 Mets.