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2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Benjamin Grimm Mar 12 2014 01:46 PM

It was moderately popular last year, so we'll try it again this year. IPP stands for Individual Player Predictions. These will be threads where we share our expectations of how a player will perform in the current year. Feel free to make your predictions as specific or as vague as you like. (You can find a listing of the 2013 IPPs here.) Given how gloomy my outlook is for both Ike Davis and Lucas Duda, I have to think that Josh Satin will get a decent share of playing time, unless somehow Daniel Murphy or Wilmer Flores end up over at first base. We won't be much into April before Satin starts appearing in the starting lineup every time the Mets face a lefty. By May or June, he may even be getting a lot of starts against righties too. He's not going to be as good as a contending team wants a first baseman to be, but he'll be the best we have. 290 at bats, .270, six homers.

Vic Sage Mar 12 2014 01:52 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

i have higher hopes for Satin as a UT than as a full-time 1bman. He's working some in the OF, and if he can play 1b/3b (with some additional time at 2b/OF, as well) and be our prime PHitter against LHers, he could get 300+ ABs. I think he'll hit for a solid avg, draw some walks, and hit the occasional double, without embarrassing himself on defense. A useful player... a better hitting Justin Turner. 300 ab/ .295 / 5hr (.350 ob%)

Edgy MD Mar 12 2014 02:10 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

He can probably put up a Wrighteous rate stat line if he bats only against lefties. If that could be arranged, it would be worth his lack of defensive skills. But he'll have face righties at least enough to stay fresh and to act as a pinch-hitting option when a lefthanded bat isn't available. .278 / .336 / .449 // .785. ALWAYS hits against the Braves.

MFS62 Mar 12 2014 02:33 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Utility in the field, major leaguer with the bat. Until first base is resolved, I'm not sure how many at bats he'll have. .287/ .355/ .400 in 85 games, but no idea in what role. Later

John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 12 2014 02:42 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

He seems to have a good head on his shoulders and a successful, supportive Wifey. I see a good year for him if they can use him only regularly enough, and not more. Starts vs. tuff LHP at first base, gives Wright the occasional breather and pinch hits vs. LHP when we need a double or sac fly. 280/375/400 in 200 PA, pretty much like last year.

Edgy MD Mar 12 2014 02:46 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Gotta get some time at second I hope I hope.

smg58 Mar 12 2014 05:05 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

The league was catching up to him a bit I think, but he'll still see plenty of action against lefties. 250 AB, .260/.350/.380.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 12 2014 06:30 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Not only will he get run at 2B, but-- one crazy, foggy extra-inning night in July-- he'll get an inning or two at SS. And he'll love it. And he'll never touch that love again. A first-baseman's glove and OF's glove and-- a few times too many for my liking-- SugarPants' infield spot, though? That, he'll do. 93 G, 285 PAs, .272/.366/.399, 29 R, 4 HR, 27 RBI, 23 XBH, top-10 in the NL in Furrowing Above Replacement

d'Kong76 Mar 14 2014 03:09 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Will be one of the best utility players in the NL.

batmagadanleadoff Dec 05 2014 05:33 PM Re: 2014 IPP: Josh Satin

Here's the Baseball Prospectus entry from its 2014 annual, released just before last season began: Satin reignited possibly the most common phrase in the Mets clubhouse: "Ahhh, we'll stick him at first." (Close second: 'Hey, anyone here throw left-handed?") Satin is being squeezed out of an opportunity by other similar players, but in the right organization, he's a valuable bat; he's short to the ball, but not at the expense of power. Some will unfairly judge him for being a 28 year-old rookie, ignoring that Satin has hit wherever he's been and was held down due to positional ambiguity and not quite enough power. The team willing to play him full time at first base probably won't be very good, but hey, it only takes one.