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Predict the Mets '14

bmfc1 Mar 23 2014 01:20 AM

(I can't find the thread for 2013. If anyone remembers the names of the co-winners, please mention them.) Just the Mets, just the Mets. Step right up and predict the Mets: 1--Mets record for 2014 2--Where the Mets will finish in the NL East 3--Whether the Mets will make the playoffs and if so, how far they will go. As always, don't be a J.J. Putz and write "162-0."

bmfc1 Mar 24 2014 01:33 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

1--78-84 2--3d 3--No.

seawolf17 Mar 24 2014 01:51 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

92-70 1st WORLD SERIES CHAMPS MUTHAFUCKAS

Benjamin Grimm Mar 24 2014 02:44 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

83-79. Third place. No playoffs.

John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 24 2014 02:57 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Constitutionally unable to be less than thrilled with our chances this and every year, knowing that much must go right... 93-59 first! Surprise sweep of the equally shocking Seattle Mariners

Ceetar Mar 24 2014 03:02 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

89-73 First Place Heartbreaking 5-game NLDS loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates on a Marlon Byrd Walk Off sac-fly to center.

Gwreck Mar 24 2014 03:26 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

82-80 Third place No playoffs

Zvon Mar 24 2014 05:42 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

89-73. My logic is simple. They are supposed to win 90. They will tease us with that until the last pitch and then they won't. We let em slid because they cruise thru the post season to the World Championship.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 24 2014 06:15 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

1) 80-82 2) 3rd 3) No

Lefty Specialist Mar 24 2014 12:35 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

77-85. The second half will be better than the first half. 4th Well, no.

HahnSolo Mar 24 2014 12:52 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

73-89 4th No.

themetfairy Mar 24 2014 12:56 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

82-80 Ya Gotta Believe!

TransMonk Mar 24 2014 01:16 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

81-81 3rd No Vying for their first .500+ season in years will give us "meaningful" games in September...and hope for 2015.

G-Fafif Mar 24 2014 01:19 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

78-84 Third Place No playoffs I'm fighting off my biennial impulse to believe the Marlins are legitimately on the rise. See the Mets as a 78-win team (as if that's a thing) and can see them falling behind Miami given Fishy pitching but also can't believe a 78-win team wouldn't finish third in this division unless Braves are fractured by injuries. Mets will seem less awful, which isn't an inconsiderable upgrade. Won't be enough offense to generate necessary wins but there will be tangible all-around improvement before it's all over. If nobody's lost to TJS by September, 2015 will look legitimately better.

Edgy MD Mar 24 2014 01:34 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

102-59. That August 18 game against the Cubs will be called after HOURS of trying to wait out the rain. It won't be necessary to make it up as the team will finish nine games ahead of Braves. The Nationals will be a depressing also-ran that will provoke pity from all of baseball. They will never stop hearing about sitting Strasburg during the 2012 post-season. Never. The Mets will win the championship in an epic seven-game struggle over the Twins. Terry will begin transforming down the stretch, and then in the post-season we'll see it, the hyper-competitive dick that he was reputed to be but hasn't been for three years. Then, in the celebratory interview, he'll go so far out his way to praise Gardenhire --- there'll be actual tears --- that you'll wonder if he's Gardenhire's father or something. The Yankees will be awful, but fans will spin it as part of a brilliant re-organization strategy.

Ashie62 Mar 24 2014 10:21 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

88-74 First Yes They will excite us with a run at some point... make the playoffs and get left behind in the NLCS...

Nymr83 Mar 25 2014 02:07 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

75-87 3rd in the NL East no playoffs

batmagadanleadoff Mar 26 2014 10:24 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

2014 NL East Preview The East is a two-team race, but ample young talent will keep things interesting for the cellar dwellers by Jonah Keri on March 26, 2014 New York Mets Vegas line: 75 wins Key additions: Bartolo Colon, Curtis Granderson, John Lannan, Jose Valverde, Chris Young Key losses: Shaun Marcum, LaTroy Hawkins Projected lineup: LF Eric Young Jr. (.243/.311/.332) 2B Daniel Murphy (.279/.318/.401) 3B David Wright (.280/.364/.469) RF Curtis Granderson (.226/.314/.422) CF Chris Young (.225/.309/.404) 1B Ike Davis (.233/.332/.427) C Travis d’Arnaud (.243/.306/.396) SS Ruben Tejada (.254/.309/.326) While the Never-ending Wilpon Financial Quagmire of Despair sometimes makes it tough to see, GM Sandy Alderson has quietly done a nice job of restocking the Mets with young talent. Zack Wheeler (acquired for a two-month Carlos Beltran rental) showed flashes of brilliance in his debut season last year, while Noah Syndergaard looks ready to become the third member of whatever we’re calling the trio of dynamic young righties Matt Harvey, Wheeler, and Syndergaard should form by 2015. (Generation L?) Alderson has also acquired some bats, and he needs Travis d’Arnaud to come through as much as he needs the pitchers to succeed. The 25-year-old catcher was the 37th overall pick in the 2007 draft, and he spent six seasons in the minors before finally reaching the Mets in August 2013. He posted lousy numbers (.202/.286/.263) as a late-season regular, though to be fair, 112 plate appearances during a player’s first major league stint aren’t much to go on. The real question is whether d’Arnaud can stay healthy. Despite a solid .286/.347/.476 minor league line that included some gaudy numbers in the high minors, he battled injuries for much of his time down on the farm. It’s tough to say whether that means he’s brittle or has simply suffered bad luck, and even the Mets can’t know for sure. What the Mets do know: 25-year-old power-hitting catchers who offer six years of largely cheap team control are extremely valuable. If d’Arnaud develops into a star as the Mets hope, this team could improve faster than many expect. Projected rotation: Dillon Gee (160, 4.15) Bartolo Colon (203, 3.63) Zack Wheeler (171, 3.98) Jon Niese (123, 3.72) Daisuke Matsuzaka (76, 4.93) Syndergaard might not be up until June, if the Mets want to give him some more seasoning and avoid starting his arbitration countdown too early. But since we’ve already talked about the impending Harvey-Wheeler-Syndergaard era, please allow this bit of frivolity: Bartolo Colon is going to hit this year! We got a taste of his sweet stroke on Saturday, and it was magical.... It’s impossible not to get excited about the prospect of a man as big as Colon running the bases. Jokes aside, though, his renaissance remains a genuinely amazing story, even amid past PED issues. He throws fastballs almost exclusively, so hitters know what’s coming, yet they can’t seem to square up and hit the ball all that hard or far. Colon is becoming one of my favorite players, and he’s a big reason why I’m optimistic about the Mets being decent this year, despite losing Harvey to Tommy John surgery. Bullpen, bench, and depth: The Mets’ extensive efforts to trade Ike Davis over the winter went nowhere, so for now they have two players with redundant skills and only one position in Davis and Lucas Duda. While that’s not great for the starting lineup, it is good for the bench. Throw in defensive ace Juan Lagares, who should arguably be starting over Eric Young Jr., and the Mets have some serious bench weapons. The bullpen, on the other hand, could struggle again this season. Jose Valverde projects as one of the top setup men, which bodes poorly. Best-case scenario: The kids all flourish, allowing the Mets to finish this season around .500 and emerge as contenders as soon as next year. Worst-case scenario: At year’s end, people are talking about the Wilpons’ money woes instead of the team’s top young players. Bold prediction: A season after batting .205, Davis finally breaks out and becomes a quality everyday first baseman, maintaining a .260 average while belting 30-plus homers. http://grantland.com/features/2014-nl-east-preview/

Edgy MD Mar 26 2014 10:48 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Yeah, I'm missing Shaun Marcum on a daily basis.

batmagadanleadoff Mar 28 2014 02:30 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

[fimg=433]http://www.biscom.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/wsj-logo-2.gif[/fimg] Brian Costa The 2014 Mets: Starving for Relevance Mets Are No Longer Above Vying Merely for Relevance in September On the rare occasions when Fred Wilpon speaks publicly, he has a tendency to say things that become punch lines for months. In 2002, the Mets owner said that newly hired manager Art Howe, known for his bland public persona, "lit up" the room during his interview. (Howe lasted less than two years.) In 2010, when asked if general manager Omar Minaya would keep his job, Wilpon responded simply, "Is the sun going to come up tomorrow?" (It did, but Minaya was fired anyway.) But on the long list of Wilpon's unintentionally hilarious comments, perhaps none drew as much ridicule as his definition of the Mets' goal for the 2004 season: "Meaningful games in September." As organizational mission statements go, it wasn't exactly "Play Like a Champion Today." And for a team with the fourth-highest payroll in baseball at the time, it seemed like a low bar. The Mets were less than four years removed from the National League pennant, and their fans still clung to the hope of reclaiming the city from the Yankees. But a decade later, as the Mets prepare to begin the 2014 season, Wilpon's mandate finally seems appropriate. It may even be a little ambitious. Eight years removed from their last playoff berth, six years removed from their last winning season, the Mets are no longer above vying merely for relevance in September. They're pretty much starving for it. And if they end up in a game past Labor Day that has meaning beyond the development of their young players, it will be cause for celebration in Flushing. Publicly, the Mets are aiming much higher than that. General manager Sandy Alderson has set 90 wins as an internal goal. Manager Terry Collins has started to reference that benchmark publicly. For an organization trying to snap out of its perennial malaise, that's nice to hear. I've never run more than five or six miles at a time, but I suppose there's no harm in declaring that I expect to win the New York City Marathon this year. In reality, though, the Mets don't appear capable of doing a whole lot more than what they've been doing for a few years now: biding time, building their base of prospects and trying to be at least mildly entertaining in the interim. With a healthy Matt Harvey and a fatter payroll, the expectations for 2014 would have been much higher. And to be sure, expectations should be high for 2015 and beyond. A starting rotation of Harvey, Zack Wheeler, Noah Syndergaard, Jon Niese and Dillon Gee—all of whom were either drafted by the Mets or acquired as prospects—is a tantalizing thought. But for the moment, this feels like a sequel to a movie that didn't draw rave reviews to begin with. Harvey, who is expected to miss the entire season coming off elbow surgery, plays the role of last year's Johan Santana: the ace in rehab. Syndergaard becomes last year's Wheeler: the dynamic arm whose arrival will be delayed by baseball's self-defeating financial incentives to keep top prospects out of the majors until midseason. Ike Davis, Lucas Duda and Ruben Tejada return as themselves, despite the Mets' best efforts. The questions about their ability to become part of the team's core group of position players are the same, if not louder, than they were before. Only now the three are a year older and the Mets' patience is wearing thinner. And at the center of it all, as usual, is David Wright, whose greatness the last two seasons has been obscured by the Mets' irrelevance. There are some new characters: Bartolo Colon, Curtis Granderson and Chris Young. But based on sabermetric projections of their value this year, in terms of the number of wins they will produce beyond what would be expected of a Triple-A replacement, those three will be lucky just to negate the absence of Harvey and the loss of Marlon Byrd and John Buck, whom they traded away last September. Presiding over all this is the Wilpons, who managed to spend nearly $90 million on free agents this winter without actually spending more money. The Mets will open the season with an estimated payroll of around $89 million, which ranks 22nd in baseball. Maybe this will be the year the Mets defy all expectations. Maybe this will be the year the randomness of baseball swings the season in their favor. Spring is the season of maybes. But considering how far the Mets have fallen, Wilpon's comment from 10 years ago doesn't seem so preposterous. He may even want to start with a more modest goal for 2014: Meaningful games in August. http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB1 ... 2328487182

MFS62 Mar 30 2014 02:20 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

1--78-84 2--3d 3--No. Later

smg58 Mar 30 2014 05:10 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

81-81, third, no.

d'Kong76 Mar 30 2014 05:25 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

88-74 2nd Will miss playoffs by one game on a called third strike and the player (crystal ball can't quite focus on him) will be hated and ridiculed until he is sent packing before ST2015.

metsmarathon Mar 31 2014 01:37 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

85-77 2nd no, but it's damned close.

batmagadanleadoff Apr 01 2014 02:38 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

77-85. Wanna know what I'm guessing is gonna be the the Mets biggest hole this season? Not shortstop. Not Duda and/or Davis. Not the bullpen. The outfield. It'll suck big time and Sandy'll be asking "What outfield?" again, by the all-star break. Of course, I dissed Marlon Byrd big-time around this time last year. So just ignore this post, unless it turns out to be correct.

Benjamin Grimm Jun 18 2014 08:42 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

With 72 games completed, we're now exactly four ninths of the way through the season and the Mets have won exactly four ninths of their games. They currently project to a final win total of 72.

Ashie62 Jun 19 2014 02:55 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

We have all overshot for the time being...

Benjamin Grimm Aug 27 2014 01:13 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Thirty games left in the season. The Mets are currently 62-70, projecting to a final record of 76-86. The goal of 90 wins is still technically within reach; they'd have to go 28-2 the rest of the way. One more win and the Mets will have attained the very modest goal of avoiding 100 losses.

G-Fafif Sep 20 2014 09:51 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

[youtube:11g7ql8p]vAfthQTqj24[/youtube:11g7ql8p]

G-Fafif Sep 22 2014 04:47 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14 Edited 3 time(s), most recently on Sep 22 2014 04:55 PM

Mets are 76-80, with six remaining. Predictions that are still (recordwise, anyway) still valid: Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar; 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Not optimistic enough: Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Sep 22 2014 09:12 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Ahem. LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: 1) 80-82 2) 3rd 3) No

G-Fafif Sep 22 2014 01:33 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: Ahem. LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr wrote: 1) 80-82 2) 3rd 3) No Fixed. Pardon the gloss.

batmagadanleadoff Sep 22 2014 04:52 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Ahem. Fix mine, too. I'm still in contention.

G-Fafif Sep 22 2014 04:55 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

batmagadanleadoff wrote: Ahem. Fix mine, too. I'm still in contention. Y'know, I stared at 77-85 and thought, "is that right"? Sorry 'bout that.

Vic Sage Sep 22 2014 07:40 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

i guess i missed this year's prediction thread, but i would've gone with 10 games under, at 76 - 86.

Ashie62 Sep 22 2014 09:54 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

I'm good if they play another six weeks.

G-Fafif Sep 24 2014 05:23 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Mets are 76-81, with five remaining. Those who are still not wrong: TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar: 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 Not optimistic enough: Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89

Zvon Sep 24 2014 06:33 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Mets are 76-81, with five remaining. Those who are still not wrong: TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar: 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 Not optimistic enough: Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89 I'm ahhhlways optimistic. Ahhlways!

G-Fafif Sep 27 2014 05:28 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Mets are 77-83, with two remaining. Those who are still not wrong: bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar: 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 Not optimistic enough: Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89

Benjamin Grimm Sep 27 2014 12:19 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Hopefully they'll win both and everyone will be wrong.

G-Fafif Sep 28 2014 12:50 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Mets are 78-83, with one remaining. Those who are still not wrong: bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar: 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 Not optimistic enough: Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89 So either we have a three-way tie for getting it right or a four-way tie for coming closest (though by The Price Is Right rules, those coming closest without going over...ah, who cares?). FYI, all remaining entrants picked playoffless third place, for which the Mets are guaranteed at least a tie going into Game 162.

MFS62 Sep 28 2014 01:43 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

If I lose, I'll PM you where to send my Rice-A-Roni, the San Francisco treat, and my copy of the home version of the game. Later

G-Fafif Sep 29 2014 01:24 AM Re: Predict the Mets '14

Mets went 79-83. Nobody here knows anything. Too optimistic: Edgy: 102-59 (+1 rainout on what turned out to be a sunny day) JCL: 93-69 (typed 93-59, assuming this was what he meant) seawolf: 92-70 Ceetar: 89-73 Zvon: 89-73 Ashie 88-74 Kong: 88-74 marathon: 85-77 Ben Grimm 83-79 Gwreck: 82-80 themetfairy: 82-80 TransMonk: 81-81 smg: 81-81 LWFS: 80-82 Not optimistic enough: bmfc: 78-84 G-Fafif 78-84 MFS: 78-84 Lefty Specialist: 77-85 batmags 77-85 Nymr: 75-87 HahnSolo: 73-89

bmfc1 Sep 29 2014 01:48 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

I accept 1/4 of the title for 2014.

metsmarathon Sep 29 2014 02:38 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

i predicted a second-place finish. surely that's gotta count for something...

MFS62 Sep 29 2014 02:53 PM Re: Predict the Mets '14

metsmarathon wrote: i predicted a second-place finish. surely that's gotta count for something... No Rice-A-Roni, but you do get the home game. Later