Master Index of Archived Threads
Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely
Gwreck Mar 16 2015 08:08 AM |
As reported by Jared Diamond of Wall Street Journal.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 16 2015 08:15 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Consarn it.
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Lefty Specialist Mar 16 2015 08:23 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Well, poop.
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 08:31 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I assume that they'll launch the Gee rocket and start the countdown on Viking I.
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Nymr83 Mar 16 2015 08:37 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Sorry to see Wheeler go down, I thought he was really getting it together and about to become that 200-inning #2 starter we all thought he'd be.
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Ceetar Mar 16 2015 08:38 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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yeah. I suspect both A. He suspected someone would get hurt. (safe bet) and B. never got an offer he really liked. I also think having Thor or Matz or everyone pitching well in the minors doesn't have the same sort of desperation for Sandy that having 6 guys in the offseason does. It keeps other teams calling though. I'm not sure you have to go right to Syndergaard either. In fact I'm pretty sure of it. A few starts in April for Gee is certainly fine, or even Montero who's already been up.
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Benjamin Grimm Mar 16 2015 08:40 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Good grief! I agree that it will probably be Gee at least into May, with Montero as the next guy in line in another starter is injured in April or early May. The Mets will want to delay starting the clock on Matz and/or Syndergaard.
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Lefty Specialist Mar 16 2015 08:44 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
One wonders if he hung on to Gee because he knew this was going to happen. An off-season MRI clears him to pitch and then suddenly he's got a torn ACL....makes you wonder if they saw something and were willing to let him pitch through it.
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Centerfield Mar 16 2015 08:51 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Exactly. This is why you can't ever have enough starting pitching. I've always felt that Wheeler would be the disappointment of the new crop of pitchers. Hope he comes back strong. Gee holds down the fort until the young guns are ready.
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 08:53 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Crazy thought, but with all the ambiguity around the diagnosis until Dr. James Andrews came in and made the definitive pronouncement, doesn't it seem that the pool of trusted experts with regard to this diagnosis seems dangerously shallow.
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Nymr83 Mar 16 2015 08:58 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I suspect Dr Andrews is busy enough, and rich enough, that he has no need to create business for himself in that way.
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 09:04 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Sure, but you don't have to be explicitly corrupt to fall that way on a close call. It's just psychology, man! Guys with hammers look for nails. Guys with rakes look for leaves.
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Ceetar Mar 16 2015 09:07 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Well sure. "That's a tear, you should fix it." Tanaka, for one, disagreed. Harvey gave it a few weeks before deciding. Don't both Niese and Gee have small tears? You call a dermatologist about a red spot and he's gonna tell you to put cream on it. You go to the doctor with the sniffles and you'll probably get some antibiotics, you show up pregnant they're gonna suggest you deliver the..wait, maybe that last one's different.
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 09:08 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
My real concern is not to suggest that Dr. Andrews is in any way not above board (he and Jobe may possibly deserve to be in the Hall of Fame), but rather to suggest that a small pool of experts is not ideal to the advancement of the field.
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Centerfield Mar 16 2015 09:09 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Anyway, just get it done now. Be ready for Opening Day 2016. See if Dr. Andrews will give us a discount since we are doing 2 at the same time.
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Ceetar Mar 16 2015 09:16 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Iffy timing. He won't/shouldn't be ready for 2016. Probably more like the ASB but because the season will be ongoing there will be more pressure to 'rush' him back though there is some suggestion that a longer recovery period is much better.
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Lefty Specialist Mar 16 2015 09:18 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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themetfairy Mar 16 2015 09:34 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Damn!
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Ashie62 Mar 16 2015 09:39 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Crap.
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Ashie62 Mar 16 2015 09:45 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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FWIW This Dr. Khalfayan from Seattle. There is some interesting info on the procedure and names of pro clients. [url]http://drkhalfayan.com/testimonials/
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smg58 Mar 16 2015 10:58 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
... and this is why you don't trade surplus pitching depth too quickly.
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 11:24 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I don't think Gee or Montero have been actively shortened up. Or that anything irreversible has been done to their endurance gene.
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smg58 Mar 16 2015 11:31 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I'm not suggesting that they were. But I do think circumstances have forced a decision to be made on Montero's role sooner that Alderson and Collins would have preferred, that the decision is a difficult one, and that either direction they go with him carries some risk.
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Frayed Knot Mar 16 2015 11:40 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
We should just start referring to those Mets who have NOT had TJ surgery as 'The Unsullied'.
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Zvon Mar 16 2015 12:52 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Shit. The air is escaping from my bubble and it's only Spring.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 16 2015 01:06 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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That's what I'd suspect; that Wheeler's condition had worsened to the point that it made sense to hold onto the surplus pitching (Gee) as insurance specifically for Wheeler.
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TransMonk Mar 16 2015 01:45 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I'm not sweating it since we have such a stockpile of starters. It makes Sandy look good for not letting Gee go for just anything.
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themetfairy Mar 16 2015 02:25 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Not my bubble. I like Zack and I'm sad about losing him, but I don't feel as devastated as I did when Harvey went down. I think we can weather this loss more easily.
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Nymr83 Mar 16 2015 03:43 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Well for one Harvey is the better player, but the fact that very few people seem to be panicking right now is a pretty strong testament to the organization that Sandy built. When Harvey went down you heard that this would push the Mets contention dreams back a year, there is none of that talk today thanks to the depth of the system
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Edgy MD Mar 16 2015 06:05 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I dunno. I've witnessed several online statements of utter despair and hopelessness already. Not a lot of Gee Love (or even Special Sauce) bubbling up out there.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 16 2015 06:14 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Wheeler's injury could plausibly cause the Mets other domino effect problems, besides his lost innings. This setback likely requires the Mets to carry Gee's salary, something that many suspect was not in the Mets plans. If the Mets were planning on dumping Gee's salary, they might no longer be able to do so. If the Mets are as financially strapped as their harshest critics and biggest skeptics believe they are, carrying Gee's salary might impinge on their "supposed" plans to increase the payroll depending on their W-L record later on in the season.
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 05:37 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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except they have Syndergaard, Montero, Matz, etc. If they desperately needed to dump Gee he'd be gone already.
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Lefty Specialist Mar 17 2015 06:07 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
You know, I'd be comfortable with Montero as the 5th starter. Unless somebody else's arm is about to fall off (cough, Niese, cough) and they haven't told us.
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MFS62 Mar 17 2015 06:14 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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I agree. But I'm guessing that TC would rather go with a proven veteran. Its "the book". Later
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 17 2015 06:40 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Yeah, but it's literally the difference-maker between the two. As a control pitcher with unimpressive "stuff" who pounds the zone relentlessly and has been weirdly good (considering) at avoiding home-run-age, Montero is essentially Gee, minus the experience.
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MFS62 Mar 17 2015 06:58 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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zips projections:
They project Montero closer to Wheeler than what Gee would provide. Later
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 07:23 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I certainly don't think it's the book to go with Gee. I do think it makes good business sense to give an opportunity to the established guy who has no options and challenge the younger player to figure things out and take the job from him outright.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Mar 17 2015 07:42 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Yes and yes. That's where it hurts.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 09:27 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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I'm counting, out of 31 guys in camp, seven (or 22.6%) to be "sullied" by Tommy John surgery, and another six (19.4%) to be marked by pitching-related surgeries of a different stripe. Those would actually look like pretty successful numbers, from a pure data standpoint, if the list of marked men didn't skew extremely toward the highest profile pitchers they have.
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Frayed Knot Mar 17 2015 09:51 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Don't think Matz had TJ procedures, just had complications and other problems which led to an ultra-long recovery period.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 09:54 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
You're correct. One Tommy John plus complications.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 10:33 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Maybe the Mets are looking to stall their arb clocks. Should fans trust the Mets to believe that their personnel decisions regarding their budding pitchers are not mainly driven by salary concerns?
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duan Mar 17 2015 11:03 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
every team makes roster moves on the basis of Free Agency and arbitration. The Chicago Cubs are going to keep Kris Bryant in the minors so that they get another year of team control and nobodies saying that's due to money, it's just playing the standard cost/benefit analysis that any intelligent organisation will do.
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Ashie62 Mar 17 2015 11:05 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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I believe Matz had TJ surgery 5/18/2010 and saw Dr Andrews fearing another tear in 2012. A nice current background piece on Matz. [url]http://www.northjersey.com/sports/baseball/the-mets-next-big-thing-1.1289403?page=all
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 11:25 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Montero's been up already. They could have signed any number of major league minimum veteran guys for depth to get 3 starts out of them in April.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 11:38 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Doesn't service time accrue only when the player's on the 25 man roster?
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 11:39 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
So, the Mets are scornfully cheap for shopping Gee and scornfully cheap for keeping Gee.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 11:48 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Cheap is cheap.
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Ashie62 Mar 17 2015 12:39 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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The Mets were being prudent in keeping Gee to use when some starter went down. A starter did go down, just earlier than we expected. I don't see any argument that includes Gee and cheap in the same sentence.
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Frayed Knot Mar 17 2015 12:42 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Yes, for 51 days to be precise for Montero, meaning he has approx 28% of one season (51/182) under his belt. So, assuming he were to make the club from opening day this season and never again go back down, he'd have 2.28 years of service time at the end of the 2016 season - almost certainly NOT enough to qualify for arbitration. With approx 1/6 of players between 2 & 3 years qualifying, it's those with ~2.7 and up who are the likely candidates. And on the other end, the Mets would have to keep him on the farm for most of this season in order to possibly delay his arb-time an extra year to 2019. Besides, arbitration is relatively small potatoes anyway. Sure, given the choice of having your rookie reach it three years from now or four, the club would opt for four. But there's no specific cutoff date where you can be sure that would happen and the fact that a player's status depends not just on his own service time but also on that of every other major leaguer who will have greater than two years but less than three in the same year that he does means the math becomes very inexact and tough to project. As with the Montero example above, they'd have to choose to forego him for most of this season in order to gain a possible marginal savings to the 2018 payroll that's based on a whole lotta guesswork. FA-gency is a different story and also a lot simpler. Players qualify with exactly six years or more so, with the ability to delay whether their supposed prize gets to call his own shots after six years of seven simply be keeping him down on the farm for the first month of the season, clubs take that option nearly 100% of the time.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 12:49 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Mar 17 2015 12:53 PM |
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Yeah, I was being sarcastic. I agree that if the Mets had legitimate worries about Wheeler's health, it made perfect sense for them to hold onto Gee as an insurance policy. It also made perfect sense for the Mets to keep their concerns about Wheeler to themselves rather than publicizing them, contrary to what Bob Klapisch believes: excerpt:
http://www.northjersey.com/sports/klapi ... -1.1290256
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 12:52 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
wait, what? KlapTrap is wondering why the Mets didn't do something about it? Like they have the magic pill for Tommy John and aren't using it?
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dgwphotography Mar 17 2015 01:13 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Are you always this obtuse, or just purposely being so? He wants to know the same thing I want to know. Why weren't they more transparent about this? I don't know about you, but I have a healthy dose of skepticism about everything the Mets do, because the Wilpons have hardly done anything to gain our trust.
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d'Kong76 Mar 17 2015 01:18 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I can't see the word obtuse without thinking of
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 01:19 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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No, he's asking why they didn't do something about it. Are the Mets now required to put out a press release for every doctor visit of their players? Maybe they give the email addy for their media listserve (and the bloggers please) directly to the doctor to CC when he gets back to them with results.
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dgwphotography Mar 17 2015 01:19 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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To be honest, I still haven't seen that movie.
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d'Kong76 Mar 17 2015 01:22 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
No reason to be dishonest!!
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dgwphotography Mar 17 2015 01:22 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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According to our great GM's quote, they knew about this already. So, why not do something about it in the off-season, instead of pushing him and waiting until now?
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 01:26 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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No. He didn't have a tear in January. It was only 'expected' because he's a freaking pitcher and his previous MRIs did show weakness. Unless he's talking about the crock idea of a preventative Tommy John surgery.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 02:04 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I'm not sure what they're supposed to do either. Monitor, evaluate, maybe prescribe exercise. But when you get to spring, and the guy starts throwing in earnest, in game situations, and it goes, it goes.
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dgwphotography Mar 17 2015 02:14 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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You do know that he was in pain all off-season, and needed a shot, don't you? If he didn't have the tear then, then why the pain?
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 02:21 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Mar 17 2015 02:28 PM |
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The New York Times raises the possibility that Wheeler might have been misdiagnosed, noting that those tears, in their earliest stages, can be missed, even on MRI images.
http://www.nytimes.com/2015/03/17/sport ... .html?_r=0
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 02:22 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
he _didn't_ have the tear. The MRI in January did not show it.
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dgwphotography Mar 17 2015 02:25 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Look up one post. These tears can be missed, even in MRI images
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 02:25 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Unless the MRI did show it, but was missed by Mets doctors. Or unless the MRI ought to have shown it, but not enough dye was injected into Wheeler, so as to reveal the already existing injury. See NYT piece, above.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 02:27 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Well, those two statements don't necessarily follow each other. it's certainly possible, as the Time speculates, that he did have the tear, but the examination didn't show it.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 02:30 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Yeah. But if you're addressing my post, that's why I used the word "unless". All three possibilities are in play.
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Ceetar Mar 17 2015 02:39 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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So the Met should've what? Known the MRI test is wrong? Not trusted the doctors? Maybe they should've sent him for an MRI in the offseason to ..oh wait. And when he still felt pain in March they should've..oh wait.. What Klapisch is suggesting is the the Mets should've told him, so he could fill column space in the offseason with some news type stuff.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 02:44 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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No, I was addressing ceetar's post. I don't pretend to know what the Mets should have done. I'm just pointing out that the MRI giving a negative result with regard to a tear doesn't necessarily lead to the conclusion that the tear was there. I'm just loyal to the logic, man. I don't know why you chose my point to play that jazzy "oh, wait" game.
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 17 2015 02:48 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I thought you were responding to my post, that's all.
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Edgy MD Mar 17 2015 02:59 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Yes, and just to clarify, the next two paragraphs of my post above were addressed to my friend, ceetar, and his comments in response to mine, which I bequoted.
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Benjamin Grimm Mar 17 2015 03:02 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
And this is addressed to Zack Wheeler:
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Nymr83 Mar 17 2015 10:15 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Maybe the Mets should have anounced to the entire leafue that they might be without their #2 starter from a year ago and they were now trading and negotiating from a weaker position. Oh, wait, that doesnt make sense does it?
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Mar 17 2015 10:17 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
"BUT WHY DIDN'T THEY TELL MEEEEEEEEEE?"
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Nymr83 Mar 17 2015 11:18 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Yup.
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Mets Guy in Michigan Mar 18 2015 04:31 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I think "transparency" is a word that applies to governments, not baseball teams. Baseball teams don't have to tell anyone anything.
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Frayed Knot Mar 18 2015 06:55 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
The other take on this seems to be: 'Injuries show weakness in Sandy's plan' -- as opposed to those other GMs whose plans are unaffected by two TJ surgeries in the same week.
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Benjamin Grimm Mar 18 2015 07:28 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
That may be an argument you can make regarding Edgin, with the Mets now without a clear option for who will be their left-handed reliever. But Wheeler is a different story entirely. His injury has caused the Mets to go from having nine starting pitchers to having only eight. This sucks for Zack Wheeler, of course, and there certainly will be a ripple effect, but with Wheeler gone they still have Colon-Niese-deGrom-Gee-Harvey-Montero-Syndergaard-Matz. On this front, you have to give Sandy credit for building and maintaining all that depth.
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Nymr83 Mar 18 2015 01:20 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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Some more quotes for any idiots who want to criticize the Mets on this...
[url]http://espn.go.com/new-york/mlb/story/_/id/12501348/sandy-alderson-defends-new-york-mets-handling-zach-wheeler-elbow
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batmagadanleadoff Mar 19 2015 01:05 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
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[fimg=273]https://s0.wp.com/wp-content/themes/vip/espn-grantland/img/grantland-logo@2x.png[/fimg]
http://grantland.com/the-triangle/mlb-p ... u-darvish/
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Fman99 Mar 20 2015 11:03 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Now Rubin is saying with the elbow issues that Wheeler is not expected back until next June. Which makes me way sadder than if he were back in March.
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Frayed Knot Mar 20 2015 11:54 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Tj surgery is generally talked about as needing AT LEAST 12 months of recovery and the advice survivors give their newbie teammates undergoing for the first time is usually DON'T RUSH IT --- so, yeah, we shouldn't expect ZW for opening day of 2016.
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Benjamin Grimm Mar 20 2015 12:20 PM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
I'd be glad to see him in July.
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Frayed Knot Mar 21 2015 06:46 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
Specifically with Wheeler, his procedure is one "that will be somewhat more complex than most, since he also will have his partially torn tendon repaired [and] a bone spur on his elbow removed".
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Edgy MD Mar 21 2015 07:05 AM Re: Wheeler: Torn Ligament, Tommy John Surgery Likely |
The difference between April and June won't be as awful in practice as it is in theory right now. We'll have moved on to other disappointments by then.
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