Master Index of Archived Threads
Postseason Musings
Benjamin Grimm Aug 14 2015 10:30 AM |
I'm not trying to count any chickens, and I want to keep the cart behind the horse, but there are a few things I've been wondering about regarding the Mets possible participation in the postseason.
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Ceetar Aug 14 2015 11:24 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Different with Plawecki is catcher AB seem to be more important because he's got so many other things to learn/perfect too as a catcher. Plus it's easier to get an outfielder games with 2 spots to play.
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Edgy MD Aug 14 2015 12:54 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I'm guessing that they'll go with a four man rotation, and probably have a mind to give Matz some September starts but then launch him as bullpen lefty in the post-season. That still leaves one odd guy out. Got to be Bart, even if he is likely to have the least relief versatility.
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Frayed Knot Aug 14 2015 12:59 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I think the first question, assuming Matz returns at some point, is how much time Colon gets [u:255hqi75]in September[/u:255hqi75].
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Benjamin Grimm Aug 14 2015 01:00 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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That's definitely true. The picture may very well look a lot more clear (or more muddled) in early October.
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Benjamin Grimm Aug 14 2015 01:04 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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The impression that I'm currently getting is that deGrom and Niese would be on regular rotation, but there may be extra days of rest for Harvey and Syndergaard. This will be a lot easier to figure out if Matz returns in September and stays healthy for the rest of the season/postseason. But I'm not at all sure how likely that is. I think they're going to need Colon for his innings, as long as they're good innings. If he pitches poorly, and the division race tightens, the Mets may have to make some kind of decision. Could we be seeing Dillon Gee again? It should be interesting.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Aug 14 2015 01:20 PM Re: Postseason Musings Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Aug 14 2015 01:21 PM |
Feelings aside-- and I couldn't feel any more for Colon if I were an overzealous proctologist-- given the way Terry uses the pen when he gets nervous, they would have to be brain-damaged to take Bartolo instead of, say, Matz-out-of-the-pen or Verrett or an extra bat.
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Edgy MD Aug 14 2015 01:21 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Gee and Verrett, also available for September acción.
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Benjamin Grimm Aug 28 2015 02:31 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Lefty Specialist Aug 28 2015 04:09 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Boy, there just isn't a place for Colon. He won't start and can't pitch relief. Cheerleader? Good luck charm?
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Gwreck Aug 28 2015 04:16 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I like the idea of a postseason bullpen of Familia, Clippard, Gilmartin, C. Torres, Verrett and Matz.
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Benjamin Grimm Aug 31 2015 09:22 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Edgy MD Aug 31 2015 07:47 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
The drowning of Colon has been judged to have been premature.
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Nymr83 Aug 31 2015 08:18 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I dont know, he still feels more like the 5th string running back in the 4th quarter of a pre-season NFL game. no matter how good he looks, the spots ahead of him are already locked down. What he might be doing is making sure that he, and not Matz, is next in line for a start if anything happens to deGrom/Harvey/Niese/Syndergaard, but those guys are the post season starters right now and Colon just doesnt seem like a good bullpen piece
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Zvon Aug 31 2015 08:44 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I agree about the rotation. But I think Colon would make a fine bullpen piece and I don't think it would faze him (or phase him) in the least. Imagine him coming in for Thor in the 7th, slowing down the game (in velocity, not time) and next thing you know you're facing Familia.
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Edgy MD Aug 31 2015 09:20 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Nothing is locked down. The future is very un-written. And I'd say the last day of August in the middle of a pennant race, pitching shutout ball for the first damn eight innings is pretty damn far from the fourth quarter of a pre-season NFL game, except perhaps that they both take damn place around the same time per damn year. Damn. Stop watching the NFL, man. It's a horror show. Baseball, baseball, baseball!
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Edgy MD Sep 01 2015 06:06 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Which pre-season quarter is Niese pitching in?
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Ashie62 Sep 01 2015 06:13 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Too early to speculate and assume the Mets win the east. We saw this in 2007-2008.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 01 2015 06:25 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I don't think we're assuming anything. Read the very first sentence of this thread.
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Zvon Sep 01 2015 06:26 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I'm not counting my chickens yet, but I got all my ducks in a row.
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Ashie62 Sep 01 2015 07:05 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I did and still believe it is speculation.
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Edgy MD Sep 01 2015 07:41 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Of course it's speculation.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 01 2015 08:22 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Well yeah, geez. Any discussion of the future is speculation.
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Gwreck Sep 01 2015 09:03 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Because it's better to wait until the very end and then somehow be unprepared if they don't clinch until the final day? I guess I can accept the superstition angle but let's not be naive and pretend the Mets' braintrust isn't considering these very items too. They have at least a 5.5 game lead. They're selling playoff tickets already.
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TransMonk Sep 02 2015 07:34 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Postseason or not, I feel the Mets are exceeding expectations this season, so I am going to enjoy every minute that they are in first place and not worry about superstition or a possible meltdown in September.
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MFS62 Sep 02 2015 07:36 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Any pre-season quarter he wants to. But I don't want to see him in the post season. Later
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seawolf17 Sep 02 2015 07:40 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
We were talking about this at the bus stop this morning. I think you have to go Harvey-deGrom-Thor-Colon in the rotation, consider Matz your fifth starter/long guy, and use the Familia/Clippard/Gilmartin/Torres/Verrett/Robles as your pen. Start Colon and Syndergaard at Citi Field in whatever combination you want.
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Ceetar Sep 02 2015 07:41 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I figure he'll turn it back around again before then, but the Mets have a decent amount of ego-crushing difficult decisions mounting in regards to playoff rosters and who's gonna be left out. "Thanks for the two years Bartolo! We'll send you a ring if we win" seem so callous, but also perhaps the right move. I can't see it happening to Niese with his contract, but if he struggles? What if Parnell straightens it out again? Do you leave him off? What if most of his success feels defense-oriented and he hasn't refined his control yet? if he walks 10, Ks 8, but only allows 1 run in 15 innings in September? Great problems to have certainly.
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TransMonk Sep 02 2015 07:50 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
After Harvey and deGrom, it seems as if everyone else is a question mark (not necessarily in ability, but in their postseason role).
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MFS62 Sep 02 2015 08:04 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Oh, he'll probably pitch a great game once (knocking on wood) the Mets clinch a post season spot. But IMO there's no way too much testosterone will ever show up in his next drug test. I don't trust his composure in a key spot. Later
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sharpie Sep 02 2015 08:14 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Addison Reed will almost surely make the pen. Either Torres, Verrett or Robles will be left off.
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Edgy MD Sep 02 2015 08:15 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I don't think it's about composure. The guy was the Mets' closer and doing perfectly all right in that role when he went down.
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MFS62 Sep 02 2015 08:21 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Sorry, I should have included more of the quote. We were talking about Niese. Not Parnell.
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Edgy MD Sep 02 2015 08:25 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Yeah, that makes sense. Sorry.
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HahnSolo Sep 02 2015 08:29 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I bolded that part of your statement…Mets are only 2 in the loss column behind the Dodgers. What if they get home field for the NLDS? Do you really want to go Colon/Thor in games 1 and 2 holding back Harvey and deGrom? I agree that Thor should get a start at Citi based on his home/road, so I'd be fine with him going game 2 after either Harvey or deGrom and holding the other for game 3 out west.
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Lefty Specialist Sep 02 2015 08:47 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
We really need to see how things shake out down the stretch. Injuries are always a possibility. If the post-season were to start today, Niese would be left without a chair. But we haven't seen Matz throw a pitch in the bigs in two months. We're all assuming he'll be lights out, but he might not be.
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Edgy MD Sep 02 2015 08:51 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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A likelihood, even!
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:02 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Not to mention that you could/would be facing Kershaw and Greinke in those two games. I do like the idea of starting Syndergaard in either Game 2 (if Mets have home-field) or Game 3 (if they don't).
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 02 2015 09:09 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Me too. (Assuming that Syndergaard is in the postseason rotation. We'll have to see how his September goes.)
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:10 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
One still-unaddressed question is how many relievers the Mets choose to carry in the postseason.
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Ceetar Sep 02 2015 09:13 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I don't know if Uribe and Johnson are locks, or should be. The Mets will go with at least 7 relievers, maybe 8.
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:27 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
They were carrying 7 relievers and 5 starters prior to roster expansion. Why do you think they would now need to carry more relievers in the postseason?
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Edgy MD Sep 02 2015 09:30 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Johnson is the Lock of the Week!
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Ceetar Sep 02 2015 09:31 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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7 relievers is standard. You're losing a starter, so the question becomes do you add a bench guy or a reliever? The Mets starters are good so I suspect they'll go bench guy, but who knows.
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:36 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
7 relievers is standard for the regular season when the team is playing 6-7 games a week.
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:40 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
My recollection is that the 2000 Mets used a 6-man bullpen: Benitez, Franco, Wendell, Cook, White and Rusch.
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Ceetar Sep 02 2015 09:43 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
just randomly checking the first two teams I picked, Dodgers and Giants, both went with 12 pitchers for the NLDS last season.
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 09:46 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Fair enough. But do you think the Mets need that 7th or 8th reliever?
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 02 2015 09:52 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I think so too. And remember, if they have the 12-man pitching staff in the postseason (as in the regular season), but only use four starters, then they do have an 8-man bullpen.
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Ceetar Sep 02 2015 09:59 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Well, if games get out of hand a pitcher is ineffective or even just taxed and exits earlier, you stress your bullpen more. Having the deeper safety net there is more valuable in general than the extra hitter (or pinch runner in this case probably)
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Gwreck Sep 02 2015 10:09 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
The problem with that argument is that if "games get out of hand" with any regularity it's not going to matter very much about the bullpen being stressed because they won't be winning the series in that case.
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Edgy MD Sep 02 2015 10:28 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Well, maybe a game gets out of hand on the plus side, and you want to pull your starting pitcher so you can bring him back faster. The Randy Johnson Maneuver. You put in your back end buttress guy.
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seawolf17 Sep 02 2015 10:29 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I agree on an eleven-man staff, but I wouldn't be surprised if they went with 12 because That's What You're Supposed To Do These Days. I don't see Addison Reed as anywhere near a lock yet. He's a spare part right now, although he looked good last night.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 02 2015 07:49 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I don't think a team really needs more than 4 starting pitchers in the postseason. So a 5th starter either joins the bullpen or gets dropped from the roster. Am I the only one here that feels more comfortable with Colon on the mound than Neise? Neise just seems to get rattled and lose focus when the opposition scores a run or two. Bartolo may not have the greatest stuff on the staff, but he seems mentally tougher than John. Bartolo will battle.
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Zvon Sep 02 2015 07:53 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Colon is unfazeable. Niese is the opposite.
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Mets – Willets Point Sep 02 2015 09:40 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
You only need 3 starters for the NLDS, because deGrom, Harvery, and Syndergard will lead the Mets to a sweep. Then in the NLCS and World Series, those three will win the first three games and Colon can start game 4 for those sweeps. Very simple.
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seawolf17 Sep 03 2015 05:37 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I'm all in with this plan.
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Edgy MD Sep 05 2015 09:19 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Fourth quarter boy now has a 4.18 ERA.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Sep 05 2015 11:55 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Colon in, Batman-in-bubble-wrap out. Matz as alternate/pen-ammo. Obviously.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 06 2015 04:53 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
We'll have to see how he pitches in September, but I'm hoping that Matz gets into that postseason rotation, should there be one.
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Ashie62 Sep 06 2015 03:21 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Should there be one...
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HahnSolo Sep 08 2015 08:28 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I think Robles has pretty much cemented a spot in the postseason* pen. Going back to the Wilmer game (yes, a totally selective date, but I was there and he pitched a big inning in relief) Hansel has recorded 25 Ks with only 4 BBs in 17+ innings. During that span he's faced the Nationals three times: four perfect innings with 8 Ks.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Sep 08 2015 10:49 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I kinda like the quick-pitch business, too. Almost as much, I like the fact that his reaction to French-type overreacting to the same is so impassive.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 13 2015 06:49 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Kevin Kernan in the Post is reporting that the plan is to start deGrom in Game 1 of the NLDS. Game 2 will be Syndergaard if it's at Citi Field, and Harvey if it's at Dodger Stadium.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 25 2015 08:03 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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seawolf17 Sep 25 2015 08:34 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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This seems like a virtual lock, so I have to figure on 11 pitchers. Of those, DeGrom, Harvey, Syndergaard, Matz, Familia, Clippard, Reed are definites, which means you've got four spots from Colon, Niese, Robles, Gilmartin, Parnell, Goeddel, Torres, and Verrett. If I had to guess, I'd say Colon, Niese, Gilmartin, and Verrett, but I could see them keeping Robles over one of the starters.
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Ceetar Sep 25 2015 08:35 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Too many hard decisions, I'll leave it for Terry and Sandy.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Sep 25 2015 07:49 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Uribe is suddenly looking like no lock. Ouch.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 26 2015 07:39 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
They should let Uribe sit until October 8 and then reevaluate him. No need to put him in a game at all for the rest of the regular season.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 26 2015 11:59 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I agree. I had the same thought after he had to leave the game last night. His versatility, right handed bat, and postseason experience should be very helpful in October.
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Elster88 Sep 26 2015 12:03 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I'm still annoyed that he was playing second in the first place. A right handed bat with pop is nice to have on the bench.
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TransMonk Sep 28 2015 09:48 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Not necessarily a worry, so I'll put it here.
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Ceetar Sep 28 2015 09:51 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Except then he'd be super rusty and it's not like he's a superstar anyway. He's been average (literally 101 OPS+) for the Mets. He's very replaceable so if he's not healthy and ready to go, sorry he's not going.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 28 2015 09:57 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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The Mets haven't played the Cubs since July 2, and the Mets have changed fairly significantly since then. And of the seven losses to the Cubs, four of them were by a single run. (The scores were, in May: 4-3; 6-1; 2-1; 6-5 and in June/July: 1-0; 2-0; 6-1.) The Pirates are a little more worrisome, since they swept three from the Mets at Citi Field in August: 3-2, 5-3, and 8-1. The 8-1 game was tied at 1 through 6 innings, until Terry turned it over to Parnell, O'Flaherty, and Carlos Torres. Presumably none of those options will be available to him in October.
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Edgy MD Sep 28 2015 09:58 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Pythagorean winning percentage vs. the Cubs: .142
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Frayed Knot Sep 28 2015 10:07 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I think Pittsburgh might be the best team in baseball right now - and if they can throw a sweep on the Cards -- 3 game series in Pitt starting tonight -- they just may take that title officially.
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TransMonk Sep 28 2015 06:00 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Agreed...wasn't meaning to look past anyone. I had just been musing that with the 7 game season sweep of the Reds and how well the Mets had played against the East and West, the Cubs and Pirates were really the only thorns in the Mets' side over the course of the whole year. I have a feeling in another week or so, the national talking heads are going to start trying to debunk the Mets by claiming that they only beat up on a weak NL East this season. Beat the East they did, but they also held their own against anyone not named the Cubs or Pirates, too.
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Gwreck Sep 28 2015 09:16 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I've got not problems looking past the Dodgers. I think we all understand the conditional nature of it.
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Elster88 Sep 28 2015 09:43 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Me too!
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Zvon Sep 28 2015 11:14 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Middle of the 10th inning in San Fran *yawn.
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Zvon Sep 28 2015 11:24 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I hate to say it, but you know baseball. I'm afraid that Justin Turner will somehow bite us bad in the post. Wow, and they got Utley now too. I forgot about him.
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Edgy MD Sep 29 2015 06:21 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
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Well, the proof will be in the pudding, if the Mets have the honor of facing one of those teams but...
Those Pittsburgh and Chicago teams faced a whole lot of Ceciliani and a few shovelfuls of Mayberry to boot. Only the last series featured something like the lineup that the Mets are sporting now, and those were all close games, at least until the moment that Bobby Parnell threw the ball into centerfield.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 04 2015 01:38 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
Gary just said that the Mets are considering starting deGrom in Game 4 four of the NLDS on three days rest.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 04 2015 02:00 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
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I found an article from AP that says that deGrom would possibly go in Game 4 if the Mets were down 2 games to 1.
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Ceetar Oct 04 2015 08:44 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
I mean, it all so heavily depends on what happens. Did they use Colon and/or Niese in game 3? is Matz available? are they down or up 2-1? How'd deGrom look in game 1?
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Gwreck Oct 04 2015 09:12 PM Re: Postseason Musings |
The decision on whether Matz makes the roster is made by 10:00 AM this Friday. If he does not make it, obviously Colon is not going to pitch in relief.
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Lefty Specialist Oct 05 2015 06:44 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
Lotta factors at play. Uribe's boobs. Matz's back.
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Ceetar Oct 05 2015 08:28 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
My predictions.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 05 2015 08:31 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
That the Expos are going to defeat Burger King in the World Series?
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Centerfield Oct 05 2015 09:31 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
I'm excited about this post-season. If we beat the Dodgers we should invite the '88 team to come down and celebrate with us. (We missed the chance to do this in 2006).
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Mets – Willets Point Oct 05 2015 09:44 AM Re: Postseason Musings |
So, the pitching looks good lately. Pitching wins championships, right?
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