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Republican Nomination Poll

<10%

13 votes

11% - 20%

3 votes

21% - 35%

0 votes

36% - 50%

2 votes

51% - 75%

1 votes

> 76%

1 votes

Frayed Knot Aug 16 2015 06:55 PM

Odds that Donald Trump WILL be the Repub nominee for 2016. This is a question of what you think WILL happen not what you might want to see occur. The orange hair man is the current leader in the polls but is that real or will the only proof of it in a few months be via Memorex? OK so that's a vastly out-dated reference but it's a crowded field and I think you know what I mean. Will his lead last or will his "anti-politician" popularity fade when he needs to get down to specifics.

Edgy MD Aug 16 2015 08:31 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

The amazing thing is that — to judge by the news shows playing mutely over my head during brunch — nobody wants to talk about anything else. Seventeen candidates, and the story of how one of them has marginalized himself by being incorrigible is so ubiquitous that it won't allow him to be marginalized. That maniac is crazy like a fox. Trump:MSNBC::Tebow:ESPN That said, I voted <10. He's not looking to win. He's looking to create a shitshow side narrative and then start a third career claiming he was railroaded.

d'Kong76 Aug 17 2015 10:22 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

<10%... I'm surprised they haven't dug up some juicy dirt on him. Billionaire real estate developers must have some interesting skeletons in the closet that would make them non-presidential material.

dgwphotography Aug 17 2015 11:14 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

We need another option: ugh. Wake me in 12 months. If I follow these idiots for the next 12 months, I'll want to kill myself before the General Election.

metsmarathon Aug 17 2015 11:15 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

at this point, with the quality of candidates and the level to which american politicking has sunk, i don't think that having actual literal human skeletons stashed away in a candidate's closet would be a great impediment to their electoral fortunes, especially not in a primary. hell, in the republican primary, it might actually help, provided the skeletons were mexican.

d'Kong76 Aug 17 2015 11:22 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

metsmarathon wrote: hell, in the republican primary, it might actually help, provided the skeletons were mexican. That's pretty damn funny!

John Cougar Lunchbucket Aug 17 2015 12:20 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

Edgy MD wrote: He's not looking to win. He's looking to create a shitshow side narrative and then start a third career claiming he was railroaded. That's it precisely. There's already lots of "dirt" on Trump, and it doesn't seem the least impediment with the morons who so love him. I thought at the 1st debate his performance was so blatently unpresidential that Fox saw it as the opportunity they needed to distance their guys from him but it doesn't seem to have had any effect. Seemed to me that only Rand Paul was the least bit interested in pointing out what a fraud he was. Some Rs actually think he's a plant by Hillary but I don't give him or her that much credit. No biggies anyway cuz I also agree, his run will end shortly as its clear even he's not serious about continuing other than to carry an "uncrowned champion" halo around with him.

Lefty Specialist Aug 17 2015 05:44 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

<10%. He'll toy with the idea of running as an independent but won't actually pull the trigger. He's relying on the media to give him free publicity. He doesn't have a real campaign organization, so when it gets down to the nitty-gritty in the actual primaries, he'll be an also-ran.

Mets Guy in Michigan Aug 17 2015 07:41 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

The Republicans actually have a very, very strong bench. Look to one of the governors (or former governors) to emerge from the pack, with Rubio as a likely VP.

Frayed Knot Aug 17 2015 09:02 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote: Edgy MD wrote: He's not looking to win. He's looking to create a shitshow side narrative and then start a third career claiming he was railroaded. That's it precisely. There's already lots of "dirt" on Trump, and it doesn't seem the least impediment with the morons who so love him. I thought at the 1st debate his performance was so blatently unpresidential that Fox saw it as the opportunity they needed to distance their guys from him but it doesn't seem to have had any effect. Seemed to me that only Rand Paul was the least bit interested in pointing out what a fraud he was. Some Rs actually think he's a plant by Hillary but I don't give him or her that much credit. No biggies anyway cuz I also agree, his run will end shortly as its clear even he's not serious about continuing other than to carry an "uncrowned champion" halo around with him. That's pretty much where I'm at with this as well. I'm even shocked that he's actually running. He was forever claiming that he was set to run for mayor, or senator, or governor, but never actually did so despite his claims that "I'd win if I ran but I don't choose to run", leaving him to claim that he not only never lost but also that the only reason he wasn't in high office was that he had better things to do. But, yeah, I don't think there's any way of him winning the nomination, if for no other reason than at some point the republican base is going to realize that he's barely a republican. His 'outsider' image is his main calling card right now but that only takes one so far. That he will eventually pull out (before being mathematically defeated) while claiming that he could have won had the deck not been stacked against him seems a foregone conclusion. 2 votes out of 16 so far have him at over 50%

MFS62 Aug 18 2015 06:45 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

I voted the 36-50% range. He is putting a lot of chips on his immigration policy. If he thinks US citizenship is so important, why couldn't he have found a native-born US citizen to marry? Twice? Just asking. Later

TransMonk Aug 18 2015 10:33 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

I'm in the less than 10% group. He's a distraction, nothing more. The main reason he's distracting right now is that the other umpteen nominees are basically the same talking robot.

Benjamin Grimm Aug 18 2015 10:48 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

I also really doubt that Trump will be the nominee, but I'm not so sure that he doesn't see himself as in it to win it. He's definitely running an unorthodox campaign, but I don't see that as meaning he's not serious. I think he just thinks he knows a better way. (I know, that seems uncharacteristically egotistic for a humble guy like Trump, but I think that's the case nevertheless.)

Edgy MD Aug 18 2015 10:51 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

TransMonk wrote: I'm in the less than 10% group. He's a distraction, nothing more. I agree with you, but on the other hand, that's what they said about Lloyd Dobler.

TransMonk Aug 18 2015 11:13 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

Frayed Knot Aug 18 2015 12:45 PM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

Now THAT'S funny!!

Nymr83 Aug 19 2015 07:24 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

Benjamin Grimm wrote: I also really doubt that Trump will be the nominee, but I'm not so sure that he doesn't see himself as in it to win it. He's definitely running an unorthodox campaign, but I don't see that as meaning he's not serious. I think he just thinks he knows a better way. (I know, that seems uncharacteristically egotistic for a humble guy like Trump, but I think that's the case nevertheless.) I think he does know better in that sense... he realized that running a low-key campaign where he doesnt say a bunch of stupid shit would have only gotten him burried at the bottom of a very crowded field with a lot more experience and backing from the establishment. I continue to think he is just a huge egotist who cares mostly about how much attention is being heaped on him by the media and the public, and he has done an A+ job of getting attention. Sure he'd love to win, because then he gets even more attention!

Ceetar Aug 19 2015 08:28 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

He's going to turn the attention into his role. Perhaps on Fox News as a talking head. What better place really? We're still basically in the PR campaign rather than an actual campaign for president anyway. More so with the Republicans, but there are fringe candidates there too. ZOLTAN. I wonder how much a presidential run helps your chances at reelection for your congress/state job? Does having your name attached to a presidential run, however superficial your chances really were, make you seem more qualified to be your states senator? It's one of those self-full-fulling things obviously. He ran, so he must be qualified! like "They play Jeter at SS, so he must be good at it!"

Benjamin Grimm Aug 19 2015 08:37 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

I don't know. Running also gives you an opportunity to make a fool of yourself.

Ceetar Aug 19 2015 08:38 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

Benjamin Grimm wrote: I don't know. Running also gives you an opportunity to make a fool of yourself. no press is bad press right? I mean, Trump is leading polls..

Frayed Knot Aug 19 2015 09:17 AM Re: Republican Nomination Poll

One gets the idea that Trump was born with neither the shame nor the embarrassment gene so my guess is that he views all publicity as good publicity and that the possibility of making a fool of himself is not something he considers.