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Framing a pitch
d'Kong76 Sep 24 2015 06:38 PM |
Nothing is more annoying to me (well, a lot of stuff is) than
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cooby Sep 24 2015 06:55 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
Tim mccarverism
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d'Kong76 Sep 24 2015 06:57 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
Even if the ump can see in the second that he has to make
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Centerfield Sep 24 2015 08:19 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
As meaningful as catcher ERA.
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Ceetar Sep 24 2015 08:25 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Except there is A LOT of data to suggest it's not.
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Ceetar Sep 24 2015 08:29 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
2.4 inches from center of zone.
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d'Kong76 Sep 24 2015 08:44 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
The point is, the strike zone is where the ball goes over the plate.
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Ceetar Sep 24 2015 08:48 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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well yes, which is why we should have robot umps, because humans suck at these things.
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Frayed Knot Sep 24 2015 08:50 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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But that doesn't mean it doesn't happen. But, in general, I think you're right in that announcers tend to credit FAR too much to catchers and their slight of hand mojo. Hell, listen to the Nats announcers and they credit about 3/4 of the strike calls to the Washington backstops. -- OK it's probably not that many but it seems that just about each time a strike gets called and their electronic box thingie shows that the ball actually missed by an inch or three they just ring it up to their catchers.
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Zvon Sep 24 2015 09:01 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Catchers have been doing this forever. Before "framing" we'd just say the catcher fooled the ump. And I do think catchers can fool umps in this manner and they should try to when they feel the time is right.
Two horrible examples. #1. Awful catcher #2. Catcher was more concerned with a possible pick off.
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MFS62 Sep 24 2015 09:26 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Speaking of umps not doing their jobs well, by some strange coincidence, look who was umpiring at first base tonight. (The very mention of his name can result in bad things happening to the Mets) I predict this incompetent arbiter will make a bad call that will adversely affect the outcome of at least one game in this series. I hope not, but his track record is hard to ignore. Later
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Ceetar Sep 24 2015 09:55 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Why does that matter? These were clearly poorly framed pitches, regardless of the reason. But they crossed as close to dead center as you can possibly get, and the umpires called it a ball. It's not that common that they're THAT wrong, but when you start talking about the edges..well, the good framers definitely do better. There's a reason lefties can't hit lefties as well as righties hit righties. It's because the strike zone is literally wider for left-handed hitters. The Cardinals, from 2010-2015 are 449-317 when Yadier Molina is catching and 94-96 when he's not. Framing is extremely real.
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Edgy MD Sep 24 2015 09:55 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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But data does suggest that there is a class of catchers more effective at this than other catchers. Two of them play for the Mets.
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Fman99 Sep 25 2015 04:15 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Put me in, Coach, I'm ready to play
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 05:50 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
[fimg=700:3g9h516x]http://a.fssta.com/content/dam/fsdigital/fscom/mlb/images/2015/08/27/082715-mlb-instant-replay-pi-mp.vresize.1200.675.high.36.jpg[/fimg:3g9h516x]
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Sep 25 2015 07:54 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 25 2015 08:06 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Sep 25 2015 08:15 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
Who the heck is pitching? Number 0
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seawolf17 Sep 25 2015 08:37 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Adam Ottavino.
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Nymr83 Sep 25 2015 08:42 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
framing is real and framing is a skill. you may say that you'd like to see the ability to influence the game with that skill removed, and the way to do that is a strike zone judged by a non-human. but until that happens you can't say its stupid to talk about because it IS there.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 08:47 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Yes I can! In fact, I did. I'm not going to flog a deceased equine over it, but I will say one more time that a ball or a strike should be called as it crosses the plate. Not where some magician wearing the tools of ignorance moves his glove to. So there. Look it up in the rule book!
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batmagadanleadoff Sep 25 2015 10:52 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
There's a lot of words I can think of to describe pitch framing. "Stupid" isn't one of them. An extraordinarily skilled pitch framing catcher can save his team about 50 runs a season. No other defensive player comes even remotely close to having such an impact. The home plate umpire has a tiny blind spot, usually "on the black" and a skilled catcher can exploit the blind spot to his team's advantage. Why is that stupid? Are you saying that the catcher's stupid? Do you think that the umpire is calling some pitches incorrectly on purpose? Maybe you can respond with a thread about how Rey Ordonez was the best Mets shortstop ever.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 11:19 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
You'll have to share your math with us on how you get to 50
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 11:23 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
One more thing, umpires are graded and monitored more and more
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batmagadanleadoff Sep 25 2015 11:36 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Truthfully, I have no idea what you're disputing. No. Idea. Not a clue. Allow? I guess you do think that umps screw up calls with intent.
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Benjamin Grimm Sep 25 2015 12:01 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
He's saying that if an umpire, when making a ball/strike call, doesn't consider the position of the catcher's glove when he catches the ball, then a catcher won't be able to influence the umpire's decision.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 12:06 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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If you go back and re-read, I was disputing the applauding of pitch framing by commentators as being something so meaningful. I think Keef go me going this time around. More currently, I'm disputing your 50 runs per game claim. I asked how you arrived at that rather large figure. I don't know how that got you to screwing up calls intentionally.
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Ceetar Sep 25 2015 12:16 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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[url]http://www.baseballprospectus.com/sortable/index.php?cid=1819124 so far this year Travis d'Arnaud has 'framed' 47 balls into strikes.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 12:41 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
That's pretty fancy! Who or what determines what an extra strike is?
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Ceetar Sep 25 2015 12:44 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Pitch F/X says. They have extremely accurate cameras that can tell you what's a strike, plus can even tell you how often a pitch in a spot gets called a strike.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 01:12 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
Umps got 47 pitches wrong, it doesn't support that he framed them.
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Ceetar Sep 25 2015 01:22 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Because all the data supports the idea of framing over umpire 'error'. But technically they're all umpire error, it's the REASON behind the error. The catcher has the ability to make the umpire err. nymr83 provided a link to an article that has two gifs. With roughly the same pitch thrown to the same umpire. The two catchers in question are ranked first and last in pitch framing from that time period, so this is meant to highlight the difference. These pitches are both in roughly the same spot. The pitcher hit the spot in both cases, meaning the catcher expected the ball right there. lefty batter. righty pitcher. Almost every variable the same except catcher. One is called a ball, the other a strike.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 01:30 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
I ain't buying that 47 times this year a pitch was framed and
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Ceetar Sep 25 2015 01:46 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
The whole concept is in flux, stats are tough!
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 02:03 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
If an ump is fixated on the catchers mitt, and I'm not convinced that that's
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Edgy MD Sep 25 2015 02:11 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
The thing is, the data certainly shows that catchers who tend to turn borderline balls into strikes and the catchers who tend to turn borderline strikes into balls are tend to repeat from year to year, which suggests that some guys are good at this and some guys are not.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 02:19 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
I'm gonna go to the store and frame me a twelve pack of data.
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dinosaur jesus Sep 25 2015 02:28 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
I'd say that if umpires are consistently making the same wrong calls with the same catchers, year after year, then you have to say it's due to something the catchers are doing. Framing is an obvious guess, and I don't know a better one. As for how many runs a catcher saves or costs a team with those calls, that's really not that difficult to calculate. The data is out there on run-scoring probabilities with a given count in a given situation. So if an umpire's call makes the count 3-1 instead of 2-2 with a runner on second and one out, there's a real, measurable difference in the number of runs that are likely to score. And those things add up. Obviously there's a lot of randomness involved, and we're talking about probabilities, not actual results. But it seems very plausible to me that a catcher could save his team a lot of runs over a year just by how he catches the ball. Fifty? Sure, why not?
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Edgy MD Sep 25 2015 03:41 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
Fifty is probably a stretch.
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 03:47 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
I'm amazed at the number of people who subscribe to this voodoo.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Sep 25 2015 06:06 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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The ump doesn't need to be STARING at a catcher's mitt to be affected-- however minimally-- by the way the ball is caught. Our eyes are fooled by background motion and all manner of other context information all day, every day, in situations that are a lot easier to process than 100-mph spinning ball against mottled background in bright light under various stressors. Also, do you really think that umps are the people to make honest assessments of their own error rates, much less the source of said errors? Looking at stolen strike numbers and saying "bad umping" is like looking at the number of balls that fall in on Cuddyer in the outfield and saying, "they're just hitting them where he ain't."
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d'Kong76 Sep 25 2015 06:16 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
I'm clearly in the dog house on this topic... oh well.
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Edgy MD Sep 25 2015 08:01 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
Tough inning. Good thing d'Arnie got them out of it by framing a pitch.
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Rockin' Doc Sep 25 2015 08:08 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
He didn't get a hit, but what a nice at bat by Dilson Herrera.*
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batmagadanleadoff Sep 26 2015 10:59 AM Re: Framing a pitch |
http://grantland.com/features/studying- ... na-others/
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d'Kong76 Sep 26 2015 12:21 PM Re: Framing a pitch |
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Thanks, I'll read it during the week. I'm as open minded as the next guy, but I'm having trouble with such a high number of runs. It's one pitch and who knows what the batter will do the next one regardless of wonderfully he may have stole the one before.
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