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Know Your Dodgers

Edgy MD
Sep 26 2015 06:57 PM

Part-man, part-woodland creature, Yamani Grandal is your Dodger catcher.



A very effective pitch-framer, Yasmani is in his fourth year. He tends to produce low batting averages but high walk rates. Got some middling Lo Duca-like power, too, but he switch-hits. It seems like the number of switch-hitters is dropping dramatically these days, but here you have it, an old-fashioned switch-hitting catcher.

A Cuban by birth, Grandal is part of Generation Y, but came to the US as a child, growing up to star for the Miami Hurricanes. He was drafted by the Reds and went to San Diego as part of a big, fat package of talent for Mat Latos. Before establishing himself with the Dodgers, his Padre tenure would include a 50-game suspension due to a high testosterone level, a ripped up knee, and an association with Biogenesis.

In contrast with his pitch-framing success, he's never been particularly good against the running game. Unfortunately, that's not a weakness the 2015 Mets have a history of exploiting, but maybe Curtis gets cute.

Mrs. Grandal is Heather, and she likes to fold down her high tops for special occasions.

[fimg=500]http://sureawesomeness.com/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/dance_FB-1024x672.jpg[/fimg]

He's been grinding a bit down the stretch with shoulder soreness. Catchers will grind this time of year.

Anybody know any more about Yasmani? Else let's talk about first.

Frayed Knot
Sep 27 2015 09:15 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

But for all of Grandal's pedigree and accomplishments, AJ Ellis is starting about half the time lately at catcher.


NOT subject to platooning is 1B Adrian Gonzalez. He starts nearly every day [142 games started] and while he may be slightly off his career norms, he's still good enough at age 33 [.275/.352/.488 w/61 XBHs].
As the only full-time LH stick in the Dodger lineup (Grandal & Rollins switch hit - Carl Crawford & Utley appear part-time) he could very well be the target for reliever Jon Niese at some point in games even though his splits vs LHPs isn't that much worse than vs RHPs and one wouldn't figure Mattingly would dare PH for Gonzalez with Scott Van Slyke.

Lefty Specialist
Sep 28 2015 07:02 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Second base is manned by Howie Kendrick, long-time Angel so he knows the freeway system. Just about a week back from a strained hammy that kept him out for about 6 weeks. Having a typical Kendrick year- 9/53/.293. Solid player when healthy.

When he wasn't healthy, the Dodgers picked up old nemesis/redass Chase Utley. I'd expect he'll get some at-bats, although he's only hitting .220 with the Dodgers after punching his ticket out of Philly by only hitting .217 there. Somehow, though, he gets big hits against the Mets (even this year when he was hitting like .095).

Frayed Knot
Sep 29 2015 02:35 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

SS has seen a changing of the guard for the Dodgers in recent weeks.

Jimmy Rollins, hired essentially to be a care-taker at the position, was the starter for much of the year but now has been nudged out by the guy for whom he was doing the care-takining. The inevitable promotion of top prospect Corey Seager happened on September 3rd and Seager has started pretty much every game since. I'm sure that given the results to date: .342/.435/.582 (over 79 ABs) there's no reason to go back to Rollins [.225/.285/.360] and that the Dodgers will find a way to get Seager on the post-season roster despite the September 3rd debut.

The lefty-swinging 21 y/o, 6' 4"/210 Seager was a top-10 prospect across the board prior to the season and split the year between AA Tulsa & AAA Oklahoma City before being called up to LA
Brother Kyle (27) is the 3B in Seattle while brother Justin (23) is in Seattle's minor league system.

Edgy MD
Sep 29 2015 02:58 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Hey, let's get back to catcher for a minute.

A.J. Ellis is like Grandal in that he's a low average guy who is nonetheless an on-base monkey. A contemporary Wes Westrum, if you will. He doesn't have the pop, and unlike Grandal, bats exclusively right-handed, so he'll probably start against Matz. OOPS!

A.J. stunk at the plate last year, and smelled up the place even more the first half of 2015 after he was relegated to backup duty, but he's come on strong in the second half, so much so that he's got a piece of his old job back.

A.J.'s wife is Cindy Ellis. Here she is getting Papelbonned by her middle child.

Edgy MD
Sep 30 2015 12:18 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Ouch, MTA.

[fimg=500:ex3ls8zb]https://metsinpeace.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/screen-shot-2015-09-30-at-2-15-43-pm.png[/fimg:ex3ls8zb]

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Sep 30 2015 12:33 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

It's my understanding that Ellis doesn't just start against lefties, but that he also serves as Kershaw's Henry Blanco. Helping his starting case of late has been Grandal's second half (.176/.290/.237, with 4 XBH in 42 G/156 PAs). To be clear, although some of his rate numbers look vaguely LoDuca-esque, Grandal's got a LOT more pop when things are right with him (career .170 isoP). Which, it seems, they are not-- his left shoulder's been barking for a while, now.

Sniffing around the hot corner, we find a familiar, gingery odor... though it's lots more pungent than we remember it being, no doubt. In addition to the surprising pop (continuing this year, with a .367 wOBA and .290/.267/.483 batting line), Malibu Cornelius's been putting up a rock-solid performance at third, defensively... for nigh on two years, really (UZR/150 of 3.4 from 2014-2015 at the position), [crossout]which is really surprising, given how little flexibility today's muscle-building steroid-precursors typically leave a heavy user[/crossout].

Frayed Knot
Oct 03 2015 08:36 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 04 2015 12:15 PM

Know your Dodger fans.
Peeking in on tonight's game, the fans at Chavez Ravine seem to be doing a thing where they hold up their lighted cell phones like they're asking for a concert encore or something.
Maybe it's what they do when their hurler has two strikes on a batter, I dunno, just turned it on ... but it seems like a very LA kind of thing to do.

2-1 Dodgers in the 6th

Edgy MD
Oct 04 2015 12:05 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

The thing is, LA fans aren't really LA fans anymore. Not the ones we grew up and found notable for making the scene and cutting out by the seventh. They've kind of become the hockey-est fans out there. Or at least, the hockey-est fans east of Boston. In the drunky-brawly sense.

Gwreck
Oct 04 2015 08:32 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

The Dodger outfield has a lot of mixing and matching going on, depending on who's healthy and what hand the pitcher throws with. Let's run it down:

Carl Crawford (L) will play in left. 2015 was his worst season since his disastrous first year with Boston in 2011. He put up .268/.307/.408 numbers this year. He doesn't run much anymore (10 steals in 12 tries). He missed 3 months this year with a torn oblique muscle.

Scott Van Slyke (R) (Andy's kid) was the primary platoon partner to play when there is a lefty starter going. He wasn't hitting much either: .239/.317/.383 but is a reasonably good defender. He has a sore wrist though and it's not a given he makes the postseason roster.

There's also Justin Ruggiano (R), who played quite well (.986 OPS) since coming over from the Mariners at the trade deadline, but his career numbers as a journeyman suggest that he was playing over his head.

23-year-old Joc Pederson (L) is the Dodgers' everyday centerfielder. He started the season strong (20 homers, .851 OPS, was an All-Star) but had a poor second half (5 homers, .596 OPS). He still figures to start against the Mets' righties. 168 Ks on the year.

Pederson lost some playing time in center to Enrique Hernandez (R), also 23-years old. Hernandez was originally drafted by Houston, traded to the Marlins at the deadline in 2014 and then to the Dodgers this past offseason for Dee Gordon. He's had a strong second half (when playing) and put up a .918 OPS in 100 PAs in the second half.

Andre Ethier (L) plays primarily in right field, although he also played left for a while this year while Crawford was out. He's had his best season in quite a while, with .295/.368/.489 numbers; 14 homers and only 74 strikeouts. He may never be worth the money the Dodgers are paying him but he's at least given them good value this year. He has a huge L/R split (.900 OPS against righties, .495 against lefties). Jon Niese, this is your man to get out.

And then there's Yasiel Puig. (R) He was limited to about 300 plate appearances this year due to injuries, including a strained hamstring. He just came back to the Dodgers this past week but is likely to make the postseason roster, although he might not start. He's played exclusively right field this year, so Ethier will move over to left if Puig is going to get a start. The injuries have limited his effectiveness (.257/.324/.439).

Centerfield
Oct 07 2015 03:59 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

The more I think about it, the more I think the Dodgers suck as a first round opponent. If somehow they can survive Kershaw/Greinke, I think this team can match up against anyone else.

batmagadanleadoff
Oct 07 2015 04:42 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Centerfield wrote:
The more I think about it, the more I think the Dodgers suck as a first round opponent. If somehow they can survive Kershaw/Greinke, I think this team can match up against anyone else.


I have no idea how the series is gonna play out, but Kershaw and Greinke don't scare me in the least. Obviously, they've had super seasons and if Kershaw's not the best player in the game, he's the second best. He's been pitching at peak Hall of Fame level for a few seasons now.

But deGrom and Syndergaard are capable of having outings that would neutralize the best of the Dodgers Big Two and those outings wouldn't be anywhere near as unlikely or as outlier'ed as that Roy Lee Jackson game. And then the Mets have Matt Harvey pitching game three. On paper and from today's perspective, if the Dodgers don't sweep the first two games, I think they're in big trouble. The Mets are built very well for the playoffs.


Of course, this analysis'll probably go out the window once the series starts because nothing ever goes the way you think it will.

Gwreck
Oct 07 2015 07:40 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

batmagadanleadoff wrote:
But deGrom and Syndergaard are capable of having outings that would neutralize the best of the Dodgers Big Two


Not just capable; they've already done so, this year.

July 3, at Dodger Stadium. Syndergaard v. Kershaw
Kershaw: 7 IP, 5 H, 2 BB, 1 earned run
Syndergaard: 6 IP, 2 H, 2 B, 1 earned run
Game tied 1-1; Mets beat Dodger bullpen in the 9th.

July 26, at Citi Field. Greinke v. deGrom.
Greinke: 7 IP, 4 H, 3 BB, 2 earned runs
deGrom: 7.2 IP, 2 H, 2 BB, no runs.
deGrom leaves leading 2-0.
Mets win (in 10 innings, after Familia blows the save)


The kicker: both of those games featured the Dodger lineup in substantially the same condition as it will be this weekend.

The Mets lineup in both games had neither Cespdes, nor Wright, nor D'Arnaud.

Edgy MD
Oct 07 2015 08:33 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I'm declaring July 3 and July 26 to have been games one and two of this series.

Benjamin Grimm
Oct 08 2015 08:43 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

All this fuss about Kershaw and Greinke. You'd think that the Mets were facing Matt Wisler.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Oct 08 2015 08:45 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Or Chris Heston. And fuck those guys too.

Who other than Terry wants to argue with my lineup?

Grandy
dArnaud
Wright
Cespedes
Cuddyer
Duda
Flores
Muffy
deGrom

Edgy MD
Oct 08 2015 08:52 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I see what you're doing putting d'Arnie far forward against the lefty, but he's been ice cold and looking lost.

Benjamin Grimm
Oct 08 2015 08:58 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

[list:e5su3cj6]Granderson RF
Wright 3B
Murphy 2B
Cespedes CF
Duda 1B
Cuddyer LF
d'Arnaud C
Tejada SS
deGrom P[/list:u:e5su3cj6]


I'm not thrilled with sitting Flores, but I think I'd go with Ruben for the glove. And he's been hitting reasonably well too.

Ceetar
Oct 08 2015 09:05 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

John Cougar Lunchbucket wrote:
Or Chris Heston. And fuck those guys too.

Who other than Terry wants to argue with my lineup?

Grandy
dArnaud
Wright
Cespedes
Cuddyer
Duda
Flores
Muffy
deGrom



I still don't want Grandy leading off.

I'd probably have Tejada instead of Flores. and Murphy up higher and Duda up higher.

I'd be tempted to do

Wright
Murphy
Granderson
Duda
Cespedes
d'Arnaud
Cuddyer
Tejada
deGrom

Edgy MD
Oct 08 2015 09:07 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Terry's given us some fair warning that Flores ain't been looking like Flores, having lost 10 pounds during his illness.

Anybody want to give us a scouting report on them pitchers?

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Oct 08 2015 10:01 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I think dArnaud would be a good No. 2 generally and it's been said he "likes" hitting there. I'm hoping my radical move awakens his slumbering bat.

I'm not expecting a lot from Grandy other than to work the count and show the guys to follow what Kershaw's got. If he walks, he scores on an XBH from the zillion RHHs following him. The plan is genius I tell you.

Gwreck
Oct 08 2015 10:32 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Winning Lineup:
Tejada SS
Wright 3B
Cespedes LF
Duda 1B
Cuddyer RF
Flores 2B
D'Arnaud C
Lagares CF
deGrom P

A Boy Named Seo
Oct 08 2015 11:23 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I agree w/ CF that the Dodgers are a shitty first round matchup. More so that the Mets backed in and gave up home field. Woulda been so much better with Syndergaard at home in game 2, and Harvey on the road against Brett Anderson in game 3.

It's a damn near certainty the Dodgers would go with Kershaw on short rest in game 4, and despite his history, he's better than any alternative they have on full rest. Then Greinke again in game 5. We'd have a much better chance at exploiting our SP depth in a 7-game series.

Edgy MD
Oct 08 2015 08:07 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Wow, how do pick from these?

[fimg=700:1s3tepc6]http://a1.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=%2Fphoto%2F2015%2F1008%2FMetsDodgers.jpg[/fimg:1s3tepc6]

LA has a greater percentage of that performance concentrated in the two guys at the top of their staff. That's could be seen as advantage in a short series where you're able to give a larger percentage of the innings to a smaller percentage of the staff, but is perhaps a disadvantage in the relative lack of redundancy, suggesting if one guy doesn't have it, he's got less backup than a Mets starter would. Who knows?

A Boy Named Seo
Oct 08 2015 08:22 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Seeing the hard numbers then, I'd have to side with the Mets given their decisive advantages in ERA and Opp OBP.

I'm very excited for this series.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Oct 08 2015 09:32 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Gwreck wrote:
Winning Lineup:
Tejada SS
Wright 3B
Cespedes LF
Duda 1B
Cuddyer RF
Flores 2B
D'Arnaud C
Lagares CF
deGrom P


I like this plan.

Gwreck
Oct 08 2015 11:01 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Game 1 is Clayton Kershaw. You may have heard a few things about this guy before.

He won the Cy Young award [crossout:307pqur0]four years in a row, 2011-2014[/crossout:307pqur0] three out of four years, but let's be honest, he probably deserved it over Dickey in 2012. Hope he's not holding a grudge. 16-7, 2.13 ERA, 301 Ks (led MLB), 232 2/3 IP (also led MLB), 0.881 WHIP. Somehow he's probably only going to come in third place for this year's Cy Young.

We've spoken previously in this space about the July 3, 2015 game this year where Kershaw got a no-decision and the Mets won. Notable performances that game:
Granderson walked to start the game
Ruben Tejada had 2 singles
Wilmer Flores had 2 singles and an RBI.

Less encouraging was the July 23, 2015 game at Citi Field. Kershaw threw a complete game shutout; 3 hits, no walks, 11 Ks. Granted the Mets' hitters that game included Mayberry, Campbell, Recker and Colon, whose combined 2015 batting averages were .624.
Granderson, Flores and Duda all had singles.

Kershaw trivia: he has only allowed one home run to a Mets batter. It was the first homer he ever gave up in the major leagues.

Some encouraging news:
Clayton has a bit of a postseason problem. He's 1-5, 5.12 ERA lifetime. He's lost his last 4 postseason starts.

2013 NLCS, Game 2: Loses 1-0 pitcher's duel with Michael Wacha. Unearned run.
2013 NLCS, Game 6: 4 run 3rd inning, another few runs in the 5th. Dodgers lose 8-0, lose series.
2014 Division Series, Game 1: 5-run seventh inning by the Cardinals.
2014 Division Series, Game 4: Pitching on short rest. Has 2-0 lead; gives up 3-run homer to Matt Adams in 7th. Cardinals win series.

Kershaw also lost game 1 of the 2009 NLCS to the Phillies, with another big inning (5 run fifth) doing him in.

MFS62
Oct 09 2015 07:15 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Don't they also have Utley and Rollins?
We know them.
This is going to be tougher than I thought.
Not insurmountable.
It just makes the L. A. speed bump on the way to World Series victory a little higher.


Later

Benjamin Grimm
Oct 09 2015 07:17 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

It is going to be tough. Winning this series is no sure thing, although no series is ever a sure thing.

batmagadanleadoff
Oct 09 2015 01:35 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

The more I think about it, the more I think the Dodgers suck as a first round opponent. If somehow they can survive Kershaw/Greinke, I think this team can match up against anyone else.


I have no idea how the series is gonna play out, but Kershaw and Greinke don't scare me in the least. Obviously, they've had super seasons and if Kershaw's not the best player in the game, he's the second best. He's been pitching at peak Hall of Fame level for a few seasons now.

But deGrom and Syndergaard are capable of having outings that would neutralize the best of the Dodgers Big Two and those outings wouldn't be anywhere near as unlikely or as outlier'ed as that Roy Lee Jackson game. And then the Mets have Matt Harvey pitching game three. On paper and from today's perspective, if the Dodgers don't sweep the first two games, I think they're in big trouble. The Mets are built very well for the playoffs.


Of course, this analysis'll probably go out the window once the series starts because nothing ever goes the way you think it will.



[fimg=222]https://s0.wp.com/wp-content/themes/vip/espn-grantland/img/grantland-logo@2x.png[/fimg]

Grantland's NLDS Preview. Excerpts:

Three teams enter the NLDS looking for their first taste of October glory in a long time. The Mets will try to win their first playoff series in nine years. The Dodgers hope to claim their first World Series in 27 seasons. As you may have heard, the Cubs haven’t won it all since 1908. And meanwhile, Cardinals fans have been made to suffer the outrageous misfortune of a four-year championship drought.

For all the intrigue that such history provides, these promise to be two series between two pairs of very well-matched teams. Actually, you know what? “Promise” is the wrong word. As my colleague Ben Lindbergh put it in yesterday’s preview of the ALDS matchups, “I know nothing. You know nothing.” As we’re taught during every postseason, anything can — and probably will — happen. With that in mind, let’s go to the preview machine!

[***]

Lineups

Mets manager Terry Collins hinted at it late in the season, and now he plans to follow through in the playoffs: He’s likely going to run all of his left-handed lineup regulars out there, regardless of who’s pitching.

That tack could prove problematic. Daniel Murphy is a sub-replacement-level player against left-handed pitching, batting just .254/.284/.349, and his usual lousy defense3 exacerbates the problem. Except, Collins might not have any better options at second against the Dodgers’ lefty-heavy staff, even if he wanted to platoon: A deep chest bruise knocked righty-swinging infielder Juan Uribe out for the NLDS, and Wilmer Flores isn’t a great option either, having lost 10 pounds as he tries to recover from a nasty case of strep throat.

Collins has no such excuses in the outfield, though. Curtis Granderson batted an ugly .183/.273/.286 against southpaws this year, while Michael Conforto (.214/.267/.214) wasn’t any better. Granted, we’re getting into smallish sample sizes here, especially in the case of Conforto, who had just 14 at-bats against lefties. Still, it would be baffling if Collins starts both those players against Kershaw, Anderson, and Wood: Juan Lagares hit .273/.333/.438 against lefties this year and plays all-world defense. Beyond Yoenis Cespedes, who is terrifying and has been the best hitter on either team, there’s an outfield platoon screaming to happen.

[***]


The Call


If the Mets can steal a win in the first two games in Los Angeles, they’re a strong bet to take the series. They have the starting pitching talent to nearly match up with luminaries like Kershaw and Greinke, and the most likely victory scenario against that pair is something like a 3-2 win. Because, for as great as Cespedes is and as strong as the Mets offense has been over the past two-plus months, this is a decidedly weaker club if Collins sticks to his left-handed regulars against someone as good as Kershaw on full rest. Murphy, Granderson, and Conforto crush right-handers, though, so that Syndergaard vs. Greinke Game 2 tilt could land in the Mets’ favor. Pull that off, and the Mets get the underbelly of the Dodgers rotation: Anderson vs. the electric Harvey in Game 3, and Kershaw on a pitch count against the really-good-when-healthy Matz in Game 4. That’s how I see the series playing out: the Mets dropping Game 1, then winning the next three. Mets in four.


http://grantland.com/the-triangle/2015- ... s-dodgers/

Edgy MD
Oct 09 2015 01:41 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I like that bottom line, but he's only got Terry two-thirds correct. His behavior and pronouncements certainly indicate he's going to bat Cuddy over Conforty against lefties.

Lefty Specialist
Oct 09 2015 02:01 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

They need to win in four because on October 15th the missus has tickets to the theater-screen rebroadcast of the National Theater Production of Hamlet, starring Benedict Cumberbatch. If there's a game five she'll be torn between her love of Benedict and her love of the Mets.

Benedict should be very nervous.

Edgy MD
Oct 12 2015 05:44 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Brett Anderson is in his seventh season and his 10 wins for the first place Dodgers are his most since his rookie year with Colorado. Doesn't strike out a lot of dudes, but keeps the ball in the ballpark. So the Mets are probably going to have to knock him out piecemeal, rather than with one big blow. He comes from the left side, so expect to see the Mets return to Michael Cuddyer back in the lineup, his teammate with the 2014 Rockies (though Terry Collins is reportedly "wavering" on this front.

Anderson, as you might expect, features a lot of sinking fastballs, and will surprise with sneaky slider when he needs the punch out. He has a curve and a change that he used more earlier in his career, but now are more for show, as the slider has come along as his second pitch.

He's been injured a lot, including TJ surgery. He's has been known for superstitions and (surprise) being the son of a coach (Frank Anderson, currently with the University of Houston). He wears a red beard, but unlike some, trims it like a human being. He also thinks suspending Chase Utley is "a joke" and is willing to mix it up with the trolls in defense of that point.

[fimg=500]http://cdn.fansided.com/wp-content/blogs.dir/75/files/2015/05/brett-anderson-mlb-colorado-rockies-los-angeles-dodgers1-850x560.jpg[/fimg]

Maybe that's his slider grip, but it's weird. It's like a half-knuckler.

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr
Oct 12 2015 09:24 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

The beard is a little goofy, too. Somewhere between regular beard and prospector beard. Like a half-Grizzly.

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Oct 12 2015 09:26 AM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

He's going to get his ass kicked.

Benjamin Grimm
Oct 12 2015 01:41 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

I hope they beat him twice this evening, so we can end this series before we all go to bed tonight.

Elster88
Oct 12 2015 08:54 PM
Re: Know Your Dodgers

Know your dodgers summary:

Players who are good:
Kershaw
Grienke


Later