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Projections 2016

Centerfield Jan 14 2016 02:49 PM

84-78. Good for 2nd place in the NL East says Fangraphs. http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.as ... =Standings I'm relatively new to this stuff, and not sure if Fangraphs is a good measure of these things. I was hunting around for some sort of formula, or writeup, but couldn't find one. Don't know what to make of it, so I'll leave it to those more in the know.

Benjamin Grimm Jan 14 2016 02:56 PM Re: Projections 2016

I'm going to send them a twenty dollar bill. Maybe I can induce them to up that number to 93 wins.

Ceetar Jan 14 2016 02:59 PM Re: Projections 2016

FanGraphs Depth Chart projections are a combination of ZiPS and Steamer projections with playing time allocated by our staff. I'm not sure if those formulas are public or not, but there is more info out there.

Centerfield Jan 14 2016 09:25 PM Re: Projections 2016

Benjamin Grimm wrote: I'm going to send them a twenty dollar bill. Maybe I can induce them to up that number to 93 wins. I feel like I am missing a reference here.

Benjamin Grimm Jan 14 2016 09:34 PM Re: Projections 2016

LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Jan 14 2016 10:43 PM Re: Projections 2016

So, you're projecting they put a ring on it?

d'Kong76 Jan 14 2016 11:51 PM Re: Projections 2016

Are those hips registered with the authorities?

Zvon Jan 15 2016 12:20 AM Re: Projections 2016

I have to wait until Sandy is all done. And if I know him he's not finished with the pen and probably won't be til the last minute. And I saw talk this morning the Mets are working on Cespedes for lesspedes. I didn't even read even one of the articles, but the headlines looked encouraging (if true). And that could change everything(not holding my breath though).

Ashie62 Jan 15 2016 12:39 AM Re: Projections 2016

I don't get the 20 dollar bill?

Centerfield Jan 15 2016 02:28 PM Re: Projections 2016

Ashie62 wrote: I don't get the 20 dollar bill? I think you get the money if you propose to Beyonce. Or Ben Grimm, if that's what floats your boat.

Centerfield Jan 29 2016 04:18 PM Re: Projections 2016

By the way, Fangraphs only projects 2 more wins for the Mets, putting us 2nd behind Washington. Boo Fangraphs! Forgot the link: http://www.fangraphs.com/depthcharts.as ... dings#NL-E

Edgy MD Jan 29 2016 04:32 PM Re: Projections 2016

The thing about those progressions is that they're always going to gravitate toward the mean, averaging out several projections. But the actual season is only played once, and a few teams are going to have extraordinary seasons, and some teams are going to tank, meaningfully outside the seeming range of their projections. And teams doing well will muscle up at the deadline, and teams tanking will sell off parts and tank even more. That's probably not typically accounted for in the projections.