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Free Agent Prediction Addiction

John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 28 2016 01:05 PM

Predict the fate of the following selection of 2016-17 Free Agents. Joe Bautista Gregor Blanco Gordon Beckham Carlos Beltran Jerry Blevins Yoenis Cespedes Coco Crisp Alejandro De Aza Ian Desmond Edwin Encarnacion Nate Eovaldi Doug Fister Dexter Fowler Jeff Francoeur Dillon Gee Carlos Gomez Big Jim Henderson Greg Holland Tommy Hunter Kenley Jansen Kelly Johnson Colby Lewis James Loney Brandon Moss Jonathon Niese Ivan Nova Angel Pagan Jonathan Papelbon Steve Pearce Jake Peavey Fernando Rodriguez Sergio Romo Justin Ruggiano Fernando Salas Joe Smith Drew Storen Ruben Tejada Josh Thole Justin Turner Edinson Volquez Matt Weiters

Lefty Specialist Nov 28 2016 02:55 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

I'll predict Josh Thole signs a minor league deal with the Braves.

John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 28 2016 04:14 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Joe Bautista - Marlins Gregor Blanco - Rockies Gordon Beckham - Phillies Carlos Beltran - Astros Jerry Blevins - Indians Yoenis Cespedes - Mets Coco Crisp - Orioles Alejandro De Aza - Phillies Ian Desmond - Blue Jays Edwin Encarnacion - Giants Nate Eovaldi - Padres Doug Fister - White Sox Dexter Fowler - Cubs Jeff Francoeur - Nationals (minor league) Dillon Gee - Pirates (Minor League) Carlos Gomez - Twins Big Jim Henderson - Blue Jays Greg Holland - MFYs Tommy Hunter - White Sox Kenley Jansen - Giants Kelly Johnson - Braves Colby Lewis - Cardinals James Loney - Marlins (minor league) Brandon Moss - Orioles Jonathon Niese - Reds (minor league) Ivan Nova - Mets Angel Pagan - Mariners Jonathan Papelbon - MFYs Steve Pearce - Indians Jake Peavey - Padres Fernando Rodriguez - MFYs Sergio Romo - Mets Justin Ruggiano - Dbaggs Fernando Salas - Dbaggs Joe Smith - Mets Drew Storen - A's Ruben Tejada - Royals (minor league) Josh Thole - Retires, gets Class A coaching job with Blue Jays Justin Turner - Giants Edinson Volquez - Rays Matt Weiters - Phillies

Edgy MD Nov 28 2016 05:00 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

I like how you always include the 20 top-line free agents, plus four or five former Mets whose career trajectory is heading in the wrong direction.

John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 28 2016 05:42 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

It's the right thing to do. There's no penalty for getting this all wrong you know.

Edgy MD Nov 28 2016 06:02 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Joe Bautista Phillies Gregor Blanco Astros Gordon Beckham Diamondbacks Carlos Beltran Giants Jerry Blevins Cardinalia Yoenis Cespedes Mets Coco Crisp Diamondbacks Alejandro De Aza Dodgers (minor league dealio) Ian Desmond Padres Edwin Encarnacion Jays Nate Eovaldi Yankees Doug Fister Rockies Dexter Fowler Cups Jeff Francoeur Mariners (minor league contractamundo) Dillon Gee Pirates (minor league pact) Carlos Gomez Cardinals Big Jim Henderson Mariners Greg Holland Brewers Tommy Hunter Rangers Kenley Jansen Nationals Kelly Johnson Marlins Colby Lewis on the slide geetar Rays James Loney Rangers (on a minor thingie) Brandon Moss Rangers (on a minor thingie) Jonathon Niese Brewers (on a minor deal, and a minor league deal with the Brewers is just about the closest thing to baseball purgatory I can think of) Ivan Nova Mariners Angel Pagan Yankees Jonathan Papelbon Braves Steve Pearce Dodgers Jake Peavey Yankees Fernando Rodriguez Cardinals Sergio Romo Athletics Justin Ruggiano Athletics Fernando Salas Royals Joe Smith Marlins Drew Storen Orioles Ruben Tejada Royals (minor league pizza) Josh Thole Braves (minor league Tostitos) Justin Turner Orioles Edinson Volquez Yankees Matt Weiters Rays

seawolf17 Nov 28 2016 09:17 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Sure. Joe Bautista - Toronto Gregor Blanco - White Sox Gordon Beckham - Phillies Carlos Beltran - Tigers Jerry Blevins - Mets Yoenis Cespedes - Mets FOR FUCKS SAKE Coco Crisp - Yankees Alejandro De Aza - Marlins Ian Desmond - Mariners Edwin Encarnacion - Mariners Nate Eovaldi - Yankees Doug Fister - Royals Dexter Fowler - Giants Jeff Francoeur - Yomiuri Giants Dillon Gee - Atlantic League Carlos Gomez - Marlins Big Jim Henderson - Indians Greg Holland - Mets Tommy Hunter - Angels Kenley Jansen - Padres Kelly Johnson - Braves Colby Lewis - Astros James Loney - Nationals Brandon Moss - Rays Jonathon Niese - White Sox Ivan Nova - Rangers Angel Pagan - Dodgers Jonathan Papelbon - Whits Sox Steve Pearce - Padres Jake Peavy - Yankees Fernando Rodriguez - Phillies Sergio Romo - Royals Justin Ruggiano - Cubs Fernando Salas - Cubs Joe Smith - Dodgers Drew Storen - Rays Ruben Tejada - Marlins Josh Thole - Braves Justin Turner - Reds Edinson Volquez - Reds Matt Wieters - Pirates

DocTee Nov 28 2016 10:25 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Joe Bautista --Boston Gregor Blanco --KC Gordon Beckham --LAD Carlos Beltran --NYY Jerry Blevins --TOR Yoenis Cespedes -WASH Alejandro De Aza --OAK Ian Desmond --TEX Edwin Encarnacion --BALT Nate Eovaldi --SD Doug Fister --CIN Dexter Fowler--NYM Jeff Francoeur --WASH Dillon Gee --PIT Carlos Gomez --COL Big Jim Henderson --MIL Greg Holland ==PIT Tommy Hunter--AZ Kenley Jansen--SFG Kelly Johnson--NYM Colby Lewis --TEX James Loney --MIL Brandon Moss --OAK Jonathon Niese --MIN Ivan Nova--PHI Angel Pagan --WASH Jonathan Papelbon --BOS Steve Pearce--NYM Jake Peavey--CHW Fernando Rodriguez --SEA Sergio Romo --NYM Justin Ruggiano --HOU Fernando Salas--MIN Joe Smith --STL Drew Storen --LAD Ruben Tejada --LAD Josh Thole --ATL Justin Turner --SFG Edinson Volquez --NYY Matt Weiters--CHW

Edgy MD Nov 29 2016 04:09 AM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Edinson Volquez comes off the board, to the benefit of nobody who's guessed so far, as he signs a two-year, $22 million deal with the Marlins.

Frayed Knot Nov 29 2016 01:52 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

Based on the idea that I have no clue as to where any of these guys are going to wind up, I figured that using a random number generator to assign each guy (except for Cespedes of course) his future team might not be any worse than me actually taking the time to guesstimate each. So based on many minutes of work, here are my off-season predictions: Joe Bautista -- BAL Gregor Blanco -- COL Gordon Beckham -- TBR Carlos Beltran -- SEA Jerry Blevins -- PHI Yoenis Cespedes -- NYM Coco Crisp -- DET Alejandro De Aza -- NYY Ian Desmond -- KCR Edwin Encarnacion -- STL Nate Eovaldi -- CIN (although he's going to miss most if not all of the season with TJS so the correct answer here is probably 'nowhere') Doug Fister -- CHC Dexter Fowler -- TBR Jeff Francoeur -- MIN Dillon Gee -- SFG Carlos Gomez -- METS!! Big Jim Henderson -- KCR Greg Holland -- WAS Tommy Hunter -- PIT Kenley Jansen -- COL Kelly Johnson -- OAK Colby Lewis -- MIN James Loney -- LAA Brandon Moss -- NYY Jonathon Niese -- MIL Ivan Nova -- HOU Angel Pagan -- TOR Jonathan Papelbon -- MIA Steve Pearce -- MIA Jake Peavey -- CIN Fernando Rodriguez -- PHI Sergio Romo -- CHW Justin Ruggiano -- PIT Fernando Salas -- BOS Joe Smith -- DET Drew Storen -- BOS Ruben Tejada -- DET Josh Thole -- TBR Justin Turner -- STL Matt Weiters -- CIN Edinson Volquez -- I predict MIAMI!! OK so several of these just plain ain't happenin' (Fowler to the Rays, Jansen to the Rox) and this particular iteration of this method is telling us that several playoff teams (LAD, CLE, TEX) aren't going to sign anyone all winter. But there are also a handful which make some sense and I'm interested to see if this entry can at least avoid finishing last once this whole thing is over.

d'Kong76 Nov 29 2016 02:15 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

I was considering doing the same yesterday, only putting the teams in a cup* and seeing how I did against the more knowledgeable predictions. * I don't own a random generator, traded mine for a flux capacitor some time back.

Edgy MD Nov 29 2016 02:54 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

I like the red asterisk.

metsmarathon Nov 29 2016 06:30 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

so, i didn't feel like looking into this so much as i felt like coming up with a strategy. so that's what i did. for each player listed, i figured out their relative rank amongst their listed peers for that position, and then matched that rank to the team with teh greatest need in that position. so for instance, matt weiters is the top catcher listed. so he goes to the rockies, who according to fangraphs depth charts, project to have the worst catching corps. and then josh thole, being the second-best catcher listed, goes to the team with the second worst catching corps, the braves. so on and so forth. the player and team rankings are from fangraphs projections. anyone not projected, gets assigned as i see fit, typically to the back of the list. results: Joe Bautista diamondbacks Gregor Blanco phillies Gordon Beckham royals Carlos Beltran orioles Jerry Blevins phillies Yoenis Cespedes diamondbacks Coco Crisp rockies Alejandro De Aza white sox Ian Desmond padres Edwin Encarnacion royals Nate Eovaldi brewers Doug Fister padres Dexter Fowler tigers Jeff Francoeur braves Dillon Gee royals Carlos Gomez rangers Big Jim Henderson pirates Greg Holland tigers Tommy Hunter marlins Kenley Jansen angels Kelly Johnson brewers Colby Lewis braves James Loney rockies Brandon Moss brewers Jonathon Niese marlins Ivan Nova twins Angel Pagan phillies Jonathan Papelbon rays Steve Pearce angels Jake Peavey orioles Fernando Rodriguez braves Sergio Romo diamondbacks Justin Ruggiano brewers Fernando Salas padres Joe Smith reds Drew Storen twins Ruben Tejada padres Josh Thole braves Justin Turner braves Edinson Volquez [crossout]reds[/crossout] marlins Matt Weiters rockies the mets, apparently, get nobody. also, there's no way this should work well...

metsmarathon Nov 29 2016 07:51 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction Addiction

damnit, i'm no good at this thing.