Master Index of Archived Threads
Trade Jay Bruce
Centerfield Nov 29 2016 08:00 PM |
Make your best offer for Jay Bruce. Act now! Supplies will not last!
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Benjamin Grimm Nov 29 2016 08:04 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
There were those rumors a while back that the Blue Jays were interested (possibly because his name is Jay) but never anything that I saw about what Toronto would offer.
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Frayed Knot Nov 29 2016 09:11 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Both Bruce & Grandy are on one-year contracts at this point and are kinda/sorta the same player, giving Sandy the luxury of going to the winter meetings next week and fielding offers for either one of them.
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Nymr83 Nov 29 2016 09:17 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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ha!
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Ashie62 Nov 29 2016 09:22 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Pitching, pitching and more pitching please!
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 29 2016 09:24 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
This is one of those situations where I'm already convinced the guy we don't trade will either suck, get badly hurt, or both next year.
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Centerfield Nov 29 2016 09:27 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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You called the right guy on Duda/Davis. I think you should make this call as well.
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Frayed Knot Nov 29 2016 09:28 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Then we better trade the other one.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 29 2016 09:30 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I think Grandy's a better player, a little, but see Bruce as potentially more useful if we lost Doodoo again since I think he's also a first baseman. In the WAPT thread I had an idea for a homecoming for Grandy
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Ceetar Nov 29 2016 09:35 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Well Granderson has 43.9 career fWAR to Bruce's 17.5. Granderson's career wRC+ is 118, Bruce's is 107.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 29 2016 09:47 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Of course I wasn't comparing their whole careers, just what can be expected next year, and that ought to be a much closer race.
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d'Kong76 Nov 29 2016 09:53 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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shudder
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Frayed Knot Nov 29 2016 10:07 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Granderson is also six years older with 2,000 more ML PAs in his rearview.
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Ceetar Nov 29 2016 10:16 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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bet he has more in his front view too. Curtis was worth almost 2 fWAR more last year, and it was only close offensively because he had a down year and Bruce had an up year. They're not in the same class, not even with the age factored in.
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Benjamin Grimm Nov 29 2016 10:26 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I do think that Jay Bruce probably has more production ahead of him than Granderson does, but we're not talking about the remainder of their careers, just about 2017, and I think I'd rather have Granderson in 2017 than Bruce.
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Vic Sage Nov 29 2016 10:35 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Granderson is NOT coming off a down year, nor Bruce off an up year. Granderson was at or above his average Mets production in most categories, with the most HRs he's hit since he played for the Yankmees. While Bruce's year was better than his previous 2 seasons (due to a good first 1/2), it was significantly less productive than his prior 4 years. Plus Granderson will be 36 and Bruce 30.
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Elster88 Nov 30 2016 01:00 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Can we keep both in case one gets hurt and/or sucks?
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Frayed Knot Nov 30 2016 01:14 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Well the idea is that while you don't HAVE to trade either one, the fact that the two are somewhat redundant means either/or could be trade bait in an attempt to fill a hole elsewhere.
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bmfc1 Nov 30 2016 01:35 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/lets-fix ... -outfield/
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d'Kong76 Nov 30 2016 01:43 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
They can't trade Conforto... he's gonna be huge. Huge, I tell ya.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Nov 30 2016 03:15 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
The only thing Jay Bruce does that's of any value to a baseball team is hit home runs, throw half-decently (though that's fading, quickly) and wear a glove (though he doesn't wield it especially well).
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Frayed Knot Nov 30 2016 03:59 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Taking the 'same player' label a bit too literally perhaps? ... especially considering that they're both LH-hitting mostly corner OFs with power, low-BAs, and high K-rates.
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Edgy MD Nov 30 2016 04:19 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I have no doubt that there's a heavily secured MLB GM forum site where executives do this exact sort of bidding. [list]Need: LH relievers (seriously!) Have: Surplus of secondbasemen Hit me up! Let's make a deal![/list:u] And it will be hacked in the next year or two. Heck, Snowden probably already has.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Nov 30 2016 06:44 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
What I'm saying is, Bruce gives you so little else outside of DONGERSDINGERSDONGERS that even in a 40-HR year, he's barely worth starting. For serious! (AND his arm's kinda shit now, too. For seriouser! Check )
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Mets Guy in Michigan Nov 30 2016 11:28 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Should we be considering trading BOTH Bruce and Grandy?
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Edgy MD Nov 30 2016 01:12 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I'm guessing that, if Granderson or Bruce go, the Mets open the season with a Conforto/Lagares platoon in center.
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Centerfield Nov 30 2016 02:09 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I think they will try to trade Bruce now. Mainly to dump money, but also to get some talent back.
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Frayed Knot Nov 30 2016 04:12 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Then there's that other CF platoon possibility: Jose Bernabe Reyes
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Ceetar Nov 30 2016 04:20 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I think they only optioned Bruce because they knew he still had some value and it'd be better to have the piece than just cut it. I don't know if they can recoup $13 million of value though. ON the other hand, but keeping Bruce and taking another OFer off the market, they're cornering the market a little bit. You can't hand Conforto anything after last year. I'm not sure you can hand Lagares anything either, though his defense is MUCH needed. If they're really planning on Conforto and/or Granderson (or Yo) in CF ever, they need to sign more K pitchers (and close with Reed if Familia is still active) Or more GB pitchers over fly ball guys.
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Benjamin Grimm Nov 30 2016 04:26 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
My guess is that part of the deal with Cespedes was a promise to not have him play center field.
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TransMonk Nov 30 2016 04:47 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Yes, I read somewhere that part of the agreement was a spoken promise that Ces will not play CF.
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Frayed Knot Nov 30 2016 04:57 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I would love to know where his hangup against playing RF stems from. The concept of his arm in LF and Grandy's in RF is straight out of how they position players in Bizarro World.
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TransMonk Nov 30 2016 05:00 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Found it:
Do we still have interest in obtaining Fowler for CF?
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Ceetar Nov 30 2016 05:05 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I'd have to think so, even if his CF is probably subpar. Probably depends on the market for him, If he's looking to get 4/80, maybe not, but if he starts to drop I oculd see Sandy jumping.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 30 2016 05:06 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
It seems weird but Fowler is really just Granderson if he were a switch hitter with a little less power. It would seem slightly redundant to get him without trading Grandy
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Ceetar Nov 30 2016 05:14 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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well yeah, but switchy and 5 years younger which means he probably fakes it in center better. Which is a pretty big deal imo. But yeah, that's extra outfield glut too and it probably coincides with moving the other guys. Granderson (and Bruce too) are going to be a little problematic I think, as part of their value probably hinges on what sort of compensation you might get in 2018 from their contracts, which of course is hinging on the CBA. So maybe Fowler only comes into play if we get past that and he hasn't signed.
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seawolf17 Nov 30 2016 05:19 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I can't see the Mets signing another big OF of any kind without letting one go somewhere first. As it is, you've got five guys for three spots.
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TransMonk Nov 30 2016 05:55 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Fowler's a real CF, though, no? Grandy could do it but would be sub-par, IMO. And is Lagares reliable enough to spend bulk time there? I'm thinking Grandy might be dangled with the thought of Cespdes/Folwer/Bruce OF with a Conforto/Lagares bench.
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Centerfield Nov 30 2016 06:43 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Gotta be a little bit careful of Fowler. Last year might be an outlier. Has a .788 career OPS, and has played in mostly Colorado and Chicago.
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Frayed Knot Nov 30 2016 06:55 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Adam Rubin adds to the Bruce/Granderson speculation:
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seawolf17 Nov 30 2016 07:50 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I could see a team that needs a "veteran leadership" type guy taking a flier on Granderson if the Mets eat money. I like him a lot and I'd be sad to see him go, honestly.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Nov 30 2016 07:52 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
And if that happens, we'll have cleared out DilsonShmilson AND Grandy for a RF downgrade. Swell.
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Mets Guy in Michigan Nov 30 2016 08:46 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
What are we hoping to get back in a trade? Replace d'Isappointment with a catching upgrade? Bullpen help?
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TransMonk Nov 30 2016 08:50 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Toronto is interested in Bruce. I'd love to talk about Russell Martin, but that dude is making $20M for the next 3 years!
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Vic Sage Nov 30 2016 09:09 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Grandy is from Chicago. White Sox could use his bat. what, in addition to Grandy, would it take to get Nate Jones?
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smg58 Nov 30 2016 10:42 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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That's a good question. Bullpen help could be obtained just as easily via free agency. I'm not necessarily for replacing d'Arnaud, but complementing him with a guy that at least has a higher floor seems like a sensible precaution. Bruce or Granderson should be worth more than that though, especially if you're dangling them both and seeing who gets you the best return.
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Edgy MD Nov 30 2016 11:22 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Bullpen help, outfield prospect, salary relief. Plenty of different types of value.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Dec 01 2016 03:18 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Salary relief might be the most likely return.
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Edgy MD Dec 01 2016 03:21 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
At the 2015 deadline, they were juggling deals for Céspedes, Bruce, and Gomez. It'd be goofy if all of them ended up in the outfield at the same time.
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Elster88 Dec 04 2016 08:32 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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FMan?
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Fman99 Dec 04 2016 12:23 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I lean more in the other direction, if you get me. But yeah.
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Ashie62 Dec 04 2016 10:13 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Marc Carig, Bruce or Grandy for a reliever with team control.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Dec 04 2016 10:25 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Call me a contrarian but just because we have outfielders and need relief pitchers doesn't mean we should try to trade a 30 home run guy for a friggin relief pitcher.
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Centerfield Dec 05 2016 12:25 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Yeah. I can definitely get behind that sentiment.
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smg58 Dec 05 2016 12:34 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
The Astros are looking to shop Evan Gattis and have two outfield openings. Gattis definitely has a higher floor than d'Arnaud and is better defensively behind the plate than most people realize. (He plays the outfield as well as I do, however.)
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Benjamin Grimm Dec 05 2016 01:00 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Andy Martino says the Mets have been discussing Bruce with the Blue Jays, Tigers, and Orioles.
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seawolf17 Dec 05 2016 01:08 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I would trade Carig for a reliever. Any time you can get a useful part for a reporter, I say go for it.
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Benjamin Grimm Dec 05 2016 01:15 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I too would like them to get more than a 7th-inning reliever for Bruce. Maybe a reliever and a talented young outfielder. If, as I expect, Granderson sticks around for 2017, they'll still need a replacement for him in 2018. Lagares and Nimmo could be the guy for that, but having someone else in the mix would be worthwhile.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Dec 05 2016 06:29 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I think you guys have an outsized opinion of the trade value of thirtysomething, um, offense-forward outfielders with market-rate salaries.
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Edgy MD Dec 05 2016 01:36 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Maybe not, but, well, it only takes one.
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Ceetar Dec 05 2016 01:41 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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no, but they might give up a single A type prospect that they've soured on but the Mets like. feel like there are probably at least a dozen of those guys out there. You can find and make talented relievers out of thin air practically, not worth weakened the team by trading Granderson for that. Bruce yes, Curtis no.
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Centerfield Dec 05 2016 02:23 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
If all we can get is a Fernando Salas-type, then I'd be inclined to just hang on to both and sign Fernando Salas.
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Benjamin Grimm Dec 05 2016 02:27 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Yes, except that the market is a bit different in December than it is in late July. The Reds may have had fewer teams that were looking to take on a high-salary veteran at that point in the season when teams are falling into the categories of "buyers" and "sellers". But on the other hand, in July the subset teams that are buyers may be more desperate, so the Reds may have had more leverage. It's hard to say for sure.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Dec 05 2016 04:42 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I think me and Radd might have a bet on this. I am taking "Winter Return" and he has "Summer Giveaway."
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Vic Sage Dec 05 2016 04:52 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
wait, i'm betting on what exactly?
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Dec 05 2016 04:56 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I thought we discussed the idea of whether whatever we get for Bruce turns out to be better or worse than what we gave up to get him.
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Vic Sage Dec 05 2016 05:15 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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if you mean can we get another team to give us 2 prospects (at least 1 of which is among their top 10) for Bruce, then yeah, i don't think so, and i'll take the bet. If you want to count a serviceable major league middle-inning/set-up guy (whose upside has already been determined) as being "better" than the potential of a team's top 10 prospect (whose future is unknowable at the time of the trade, but whose potential is greater than such a relief pitcher), then no, i won't take the bet.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Dec 05 2016 05:17 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Just for fun let's ask ourselves after its all done whether we'd then trade the Reds haul for the Mets haul.
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Mets Guy in Michigan Dec 05 2016 05:31 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I worry that we are selling Bruce short because we saw him at his worst. Guy had 99 RBI and a stack of homers. Granted, a big chunk of that was in the Cincy bandbox. But I fear there is thought to ship him out to clear the roster spot.
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Edgy MD Dec 05 2016 05:39 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
The reality is that we got a guy leading the league in RBI, and his pace slowed considerably, suggesting his contract depreciated as an asset in the interim. And, of course, the Mets traded for eight months of him, and are now shopping six months of him.
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LeiterWagnerFasterStrongr Dec 05 2016 07:06 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Salas wasn't what I was thinking. More like, Kelvin Herrera just before breakout, or, like, young Joe Smith.
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Benjamin Grimm Dec 05 2016 07:11 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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I wasn't thinking someone major-league ready. I was thinking of an outfielder who might be ready in 2018 instead.
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MFS62 Dec 06 2016 02:19 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I'm suggesting lefty hitting Bruce for righty hitting Ryan Braun, who has three or four more years on his contract (the next 2 @ 20 million). Fill in with AAAA types on both sides.
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Ceetar Dec 06 2016 04:13 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Braun had almost the same wRC+ (weighted runs created) as Cespedes. That'd be a steal.
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Vic Sage Dec 06 2016 10:32 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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it's not a steal, it's a hallucination. Hey, MFS, lie down and let it pass.
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MFS62 Dec 06 2016 11:30 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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It was a genu-wine WATP, and don't you forget it. :) I was curious to see how long it would take for someone to notice/ comment on it. Later
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Ashie62 Dec 07 2016 01:05 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Bruce for Braun.
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Nymr83 Dec 07 2016 05:55 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Braun, 33 this year, is owed a lot of money for a long time - between him and Wright the Mets could be sitting on some fat dead contracts right around the time the pitchers all become FA eligible. I still wouldnt say no to Bruce straight up, but MIL doesnt do that and i wont throw in a decent pitcher to get that done
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Mex17 Dec 07 2016 11:05 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I think that teams right now are trying to see if Sandy is going to panic and sell low on Bruce because they think that Sandy is afraid to go into Spring Training with both Bruce and Grandy on the roster. Sandy, in turn, needs to be willing to show that he is ready to play out the whole year with both of them (Grandy in CF and Bruce in RF). If that means that Conforto needs to get his playing time in Vegas this year, so be it.
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Edgy MD Dec 07 2016 01:18 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
If Alderson has demonstrated nothing else during his tenure, he's demonstrated a willingness to wait out the marketplace and work alternate partners in order to get the deal he wants.
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Centerfield Dec 07 2016 02:10 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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Yup. On Braun, he may, and likely will, fade before the end of the contract, but he's coming off a strong year. 900+ OPS. Really only one off year in the past several. The guy can hit.
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Nymr83 Dec 07 2016 02:45 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
where is his defense these days? its not the late 90's anymore where you trot Adam Dunn out to fake a position... or Derek Jeter.
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Centerfield Dec 07 2016 03:10 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
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No idea. But my point is that Braun is still going strong, while David is basically shot. So frustrating. You figure without the stenosis, Wright might be putting up these numbers himself.
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Vic Sage Dec 07 2016 03:35 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Dec 07 2016 10:04 PM |
Not that this trade is rumored or even a remote possibility, but Braun is so much a better player than Bruce that it's not even worth a discussion. For 9 of his 10 seasons, Braun's lowest OPS+ (130) is higher than any season of Bruce's career. Even Braun's worst year (113 OPS+ in 2014) is higher than Bruce's career average (109+). Over a similar number of plate appearances, Braun has averaged a WAR of 4.4/yr, while Bruce has produced 1.6. You don't like OPS+ or WAR? RC/game is 7.2 to 5.1. Come up with any evaluative measure you want, Braun is way better. And whatever his defensive deficiencies at this point, he's still a better OFer than Bruce (he is now and always was). But talking about defense for a corner OFer with a career .910 ops and a 141 OPS+ (!) is like evaluating Beyonce's sex appeal based on her personality. What fucking difference does it make?
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Edgy MD Dec 07 2016 03:42 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
Man, and you used to argue for Bruce winning a Gold Glove.
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Vic Sage Dec 07 2016 03:43 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
i did?
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Edgy MD Dec 07 2016 03:45 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
It totally happened!
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Vic Sage Dec 07 2016 10:02 PM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
i think i need to lie down.
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Ashie62 Dec 09 2016 12:55 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
There appears to be minimal interest from other teams for Bruce or Granderson at this point.
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Edgy MD Dec 09 2016 03:30 AM Re: Trade Jay Bruce |
I would say that it's probably not minimal, so much as not maximal enough to entice the Mets to deal just yet.
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