Sep 09 2017 03:50 PM
Re: Jose
This neat map of historical hurricanes that have followed a similar path to Jose makes it look like a little less than half those hurricanes have hit the US, and only about 10-20% were still hurricanes by the time they got here. But:
- the sample size is small, as it always is for hurricanes
- global warming has warmed the oceans, changing the game completely
- a 10-20% chance is still somewhat scary
- it looks like the Caribbean islands that were hit by Irma might take another hit...this is particularly scary since Irma has already destroyed their communications, so the inhabitants may have minimal awareness that Jose is coming.