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Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018
Frayed Knot Nov 03 2017 04:55 PM |
There are kind of three choices for 1B this coming year:
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d'Kong76 Nov 03 2017 05:08 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I poked around this morning about Smith to see what he might be up to
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Centerfield Nov 03 2017 07:08 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Agreed on this (FK's post). The only thing I will add to that is that there is no immediate need to trade Smith if you sign another 1B. You can trade him this winter, or in spring training, or at the deadline, or next year. Playing another year of AAA is no problem for a 22 year old, and that way you keep him around if Hosmer gets hurt.
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Ashie62 Nov 04 2017 02:31 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Sandy didn't trade our team away for cash not to play ready young cheap talent.
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Edgy MD Nov 04 2017 03:23 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
He didn't trade the team away. He traded players who were in the final year of their contract. And they got a lot of players, in addition to a little cash.
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Mex17 Nov 08 2017 12:28 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I doubt that the Mets are going to be seriously in for Hosmer or Santana, but they may realistically end up signing Morrison or Alonso.
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MFS62 Nov 08 2017 02:39 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 Edited 3 time(s), most recently on Nov 08 2017 02:43 PM |
If they feel Smith isn't ready, or could be used as part of a major deal to strengthen another position(s), how about seeing whether Duda would sign a one year/short term contract? I'm thinking minor league slugging first baseman Peter Alonso will be ready soon.
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Ceetar Nov 08 2017 02:39 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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he won't.
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Frayed Knot Nov 08 2017 03:13 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I doubt Duda is going to get offered anything but a one-year deal.
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Mex17 Nov 08 2017 03:25 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I'm sure that Alonso (the prospect) is playing a role as to whether or not Smith is expendable in a trade, but Morrison and Alonso (the free agent) are both better options than Duda.
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Centerfield Nov 08 2017 05:37 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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You really think so? I know HR's are up, but 30 HR's is still something. Has had an .800+ OPS the last few years except the bad back year. But I guess maybe the bad back also detracts from what you said above. If he's available on a one year contract, do you consider him bringing him back?
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Edgy MD Nov 08 2017 05:46 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Duda gets two years, $23 million plus an option with a $2 million buyout from Baltimore. Chris Davis shifts more toward becoming a DH, fighting for time with Mark Trumbo and Seth Smith. That's four guys into three positions, but somebody loses out or gets hurt and things go forward.
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Frayed Knot Nov 08 2017 05:57 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
One year, maybe a one-plus-one. Two years tops if he finds the right situation but I don't think the Mets are that situation.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 08 2017 06:29 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Also way too early to consider Alonso anything but a potential MLB first sacker. Only 45 AB above Class A. You really have to hit to make it as a 1B, and its not the sort of position a contender typically has a below par guy. I think at this point its possible Wright could fill in there, if he's healthy and plays.
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Frayed Knot Nov 08 2017 08:47 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Yeah, Peter Alonso was a 2nd round pick out of a strong college program just a year and a half ago, all of which may make him the type to move through a minor league system quickly.
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Mex17 Nov 08 2017 10:22 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
It's hard for me to believe that these reports are coming out that the Mets are looking at free agent first basemen without me thinking that they have at least had preliminary talks with other teams that include Smith as part of a package that brings something big back. Less than 200 ABs is not enough sample size to give up on a guy who has put up the numbers in the minors that Smith has had along with the rankings that he has attained on prospect lists over the years.
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Centerfield Nov 08 2017 10:36 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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I don't think anyone has advocated that we be impatient with Smith. And I don't think anyone has suggested we dump him based upon his small sample struggle in 2017. He's 22 years old, he's extremely young. And that youth is why we should both (a) be patient with him and (b) be hesitant about handing him the job on a team that is serious about contending. If it's 2013, sure. If it's 2018, and you are also carrying a rookie SS and just ok production at catcher? Well now it gets risky. The Mets should feel free to sign a first baseman if it makes sense, even if it means blocking Smith for a few years, because Smith is only 22 years old. There is no pressure to trade him this winter, or even next. If Yonder Alonso can be had on a short term deal, or if Duda is available on a one year commitment, all of those options should be on the table. Simply handing Smith the job now is cheap and lazy.
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Frayed Knot Nov 09 2017 12:12 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Well, several posts in this thread have talked about either dealing Smith away based on the idea that Alonso is maybe just a year away, and/or that Alsono's very presence should at least figure into the team's willingness to deal Smith. I think both of those scenarios are jumping the gun. Not that any of that means you CAN'T deal him, only that you need to have a better backup plan than hoping that the next prospect will be better than the current one you've decided is expendable even though the new one has less of a pedigree, is older, and is further away from the majors now than Dom was a year ago.
For a year or so? maybe. But signing an exclusive 1B-man to a three or more year deal with the idea of simply warehousing Dom in the minors while he ages and waits for the injury which may never occur? No.
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Mex17 Nov 09 2017 12:19 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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I would be right with you on this were it not for the actual reports that I am seeing which are stating/speculating that they might be in on the likes of Morrison and Yonder Alonso (and, to a less likely extent, Hosmer and Santana).
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Frayed Knot Nov 09 2017 12:42 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Again, I'm NOT saying you can't deal Smith, only that if you do you better have a better fall back plan than counting on the prospect who's not as good or as advanced as the one you're dealing away. If they're going to trade Smith in favor of outside help it's got to be because they want to be better for at least the near future but NOT because Peter Alsonso's existence has made him redundant.
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Centerfield Nov 09 2017 01:49 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Of course the minute we trade away Smith he’ll turn into Tony Gwynn. You just know this will happen.
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Frayed Knot Nov 09 2017 02:11 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Probably the toughest part of the GM's job is knowing **In Advance** which prospects to bet on and which to deal away.
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Centerfield Nov 09 2017 03:36 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Which is why I think it helps to have an actual scout as part of the front office. Someone with an eye like Omar Minaya. Sandy's nerd staff might be bright, but having an eye for talent is something they can't bring. And I totally would have picked Hidalgo over Berkman. Not even a contest.
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Centerfield Nov 09 2017 03:36 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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LOLOL
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 09 2017 04:09 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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JP Ricciardi is that guy for us. He was the old-school counterpart to DePodesta's new school. What we don't have anymore is DePo.
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Frayed Knot Nov 09 2017 10:34 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Yeah, I don't think there's any reason to think that Sandy's crew is light on the scouting end of things. I just pulled a couple of examples out of my head to illustrate where I remembered that the clearly better long-term choice didn't necessarily look that way at the time, but every org. has multiple examples on each side of the ledger. Sandy, or his crew, made the right call on Duda vs Davis, haven't really 'whiffed' on any top draft picks (although some are still pending), and the only significant prospect they gave up recently netted them Cespedes (Steve Phillips would have dealt deGrom for a middle reliever six years ago).
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Nymr83 Nov 10 2017 05:07 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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First Round for Alderson: 2016 - Justin Dunn can't find the strike zone, Anthony Kay had Tommy John surgery without throwing a pitch 2015 - no first rounder 2014 - Conforto! 2013 - Smith has been up and down 2012 - Cecchini looks like a utility infielder 2011 - Nimmo is either a real center fielder or a 4th outfielder, i still dont know which. I'd say the jury is still out on Alderson's overall drafting, but thats probably the case for most GMs until long after they are gone.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 14 2017 08:19 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
John Hey, Man says the Mets could be a player for Indians FA 1B Carlos "Black Magic" Santana, whom they see as an alternative to Hosmer and perhaps free up Smith for a trade (that last bit of speculation is mine). They could also bring back BRUUUUUUCE if that deal falls through.
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Edgy MD Nov 14 2017 08:25 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
It's amazing how guys traded in mid-season by a team almost never rebound back that team (aka "pulling a Bordick"), but seemingly every one the Mets have traded — Duda, Walker, Bruce, Reed — is on the table for the Mets' consideration.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 14 2017 08:48 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I feel like the Grandyman Reunion ended when we let Long go. I see the Nats signing him as a veteran pinch hitter who will probably strike out a lot but hit at least one shocking home run off Blevins in a big spot.
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Benjamin Grimm Nov 14 2017 08:50 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I just hope that there is a big spot.
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Centerfield Nov 14 2017 09:09 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
My goal is to make it out of April 2018 without being mathematically eliminated.
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Centerfield Nov 14 2017 09:09 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Also, Carlos Santana. Looked at his numbers. Kinda looks like Duda with a little less power.
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Ceetar Nov 14 2017 09:15 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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They're very similar. Santana walks more, homers less. Fangraphs seems to have Duda as the slightly better defender. Switch hitter though. I mean, they're both pretty good so you can't really go wrong and I'm not sure it's even reasonable to expect Smith to ever be _better_ than that?
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Lefty Specialist Nov 14 2017 09:16 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Mex17 Nov 15 2017 12:18 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Let's not forget about Mitch Moreland and Mark Reynolds, even though you may want to. They are out there however, and it is not unreasonable to think that one of them might end up as Mets if they are really serious about bringing in a first baseman and whiff on Hosmer, Santana, Morrison, and Alonso.
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MFS62 Nov 15 2017 02:40 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Whiff is an interesting choice of words, since Reynolds had piled up lots of strikeouts to go along with his home runs. but his OPS is still better than Moreland, and the fact that he hits righty would be a plus. And he has even played a little third base. Not a bad suggestion. Later
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Mex17 Nov 15 2017 12:30 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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You have to figure that some of the HRs and OPS is Colorado inflated though.
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Lefty Specialist Nov 15 2017 02:51 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Didn't Reynolds go crazy in a series in Citi a few years ago, with like 4 homers in 3 games?
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Benjamin Grimm Nov 20 2017 06:35 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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Centerfield Dec 19 2017 03:14 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Red Sox out on Hosmer per multiple reports.
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smg58 Dec 19 2017 02:54 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Now that the Phillies have greatly inflated the market for first basemen, I don't anticipate any sneaky bargains here.
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Edgy MD Dec 19 2017 03:16 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Well, somebody's going to take a chance on Attorney General Adrian Gonzalez, and he's probably not going to be as bad as he was last year.
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Frayed Knot Dec 19 2017 08:22 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
The Rdd Sox re-upped Mitch Moreland on a two year deal.
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Centerfield Jan 03 2018 05:29 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Hosmer offered 7 years, $147 from the Royals.
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Nymr83 Jan 03 2018 09:45 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
It doesn't seem like a very wise deal for a rebuilding team to invest all that money especially in a first baseman which at the end of the day is going to be the easiest position to shove some guy you find later on with a bat and no glove into. pretty sure they'll regret this one.
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Centerfield Jan 03 2018 10:06 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
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He might be the token "face of the franchise" guy they use to sell tickets during the lean years. Plus maybe they feel like if he's good, they can unload him for prospects. I don't know. It's puzzling.
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Edgy MD Jan 03 2018 10:26 PM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Sure makes that Votto deal look like a steal, huh?
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Centerfield Jan 04 2018 12:37 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I’m cool with Votto.
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Nymr83 Jan 04 2018 01:13 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
I don't think either deal ends well, but Votto isnt just a guy, he's a perennial MVP candidate, the kind of player that makes you tell Dom Smith "have fun in Milwaukee" as you trade him for pitching. I'd happily see the Met take Votto now even if there is some 'dead money' coming at the end.
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Centerfield Jan 04 2018 03:30 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
There will certainly be dead money. You trade for Votto anyway. Then deal Smith for a second baseman or pitching help.
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Edgy MD Jan 04 2018 03:41 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Well, I think Smith is the first piece in the Votto package.
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Ashie62 Jan 04 2018 04:03 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
Votto is staying put as a Red for 2018 >
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Edgy MD Jan 04 2018 04:53 AM Re: Hosmer - or other 1B ideas for 2018 |
He certainly is with that kind of attitude.
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