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SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017
Benjamin Grimm Oct 15 2017 11:24 AM |
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THE SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR, 2017
SCHAEFER METS PLAYER OF THE WEEK, 2017 Week ending April 8, 2017: Jacob deGrom, 3.89 points. Week ending April 15, 2017: Noah Syndergaard, 7.47 points. Week ending April 22, 2017: Matt Harvey, 6.30 points. Week ending April 29, 2017: Michael Conforto, 6.47 points. Week ending May 6, 2017: Jay Bruce, 8.94 points. Week ending May 13, 2017: Neil Walker, 7.55 points. Week ending May 20, 2017: Michael Conforto, 8.84 points. Week ending May 27, 2017: Lucas Duda, 7.63 points. Week ending June 3, 2017: Robert Gsellman, 6.87 points. Week ending June 10, 2017: Jay Bruce, 7.11 points. Week ending June 17, 2017: Seth Lugo, 6.59 points. Week ending June 24, 2017: Jacob deGrom, 10.50 points. Week ending July 1, 2017: Curtis Granderson, 5.45 points. Week ending July 8, 2017: Steven Matz, 4.79 points. Week ending July 15, 2017: Seth Lugo, 4.05 points. Week ending July 22, 2017: Michael Conforto, 7.24 points. Week ending July 29, 2017: Jacob deGrom, 7.42 points. Week ending August 5, 2017: Curtis Granderson, 4.41 points. Week ending August 12, 2017: Yoenis Cespedes, 5.64 points. Week ending August 19, 2017: Curtis Granderson, 7.27 points. Week ending August 26, 2017: Yoenis Cespedes, 6.75 points. Week ending September 2, 2017: Asdrubal Cabrera, 6.37 points. Week ending September 9, 2017: Brandon Nimmo, 8.22 points. Week ending September 16, 2017: Jacob deGrom, 6.97 points. Week ending September 23, 2017: Travis d'Arnaud, 5.55 points. Week ending September 30, 2017: Asdrubal Cabrera, 4.90 points. Thanks to those who participated! This year's Perfect Participation prize is a lovely, albeit imaginary, tote bag! Forum members who voted in every game were G-Fafif, TMF, Benjamin Grimm, and OhSheaCanKC. Ashie62 voted in each of the first 161 games, and in the 162nd game somebody, perhaps Ashie himself, or perhaps a Russian imposter, voted under the name "ash". This anomaly, needless to say, caused quite a bit of consternation back in Stockholm. Should Ashie62 get the imaginary tote bag? Numerous meetings were held, and it came down to a heated argument between Germund in the Promotions Department and Börje in Finance, but eventually Germund prevailed and Ashie62 will be getting the imaginary tote bag. OhSheaCanKC 162 Benjamin Grimm 162 TMF 162 G-Fafif 162 Ashie62 161 FK 147 Lunch 94 LWFS 40 TransMonk 35 Vic Sage 26 Zvon 13 Centerfield 3 ash 1 Don Johnson 1 GetYourBrooms 1 seawolf17 1 Duan 1 WeSuck 1 sharpie 1 Farmer Ted 1 Mets-Willets Point 1 ConfortoTime! 1
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Ashie62 Oct 15 2017 11:50 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
I was fun. 10/1 i just typed ash and the page came up.
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d'Kong76 Oct 15 2017 12:16 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Congratulations to Jacob and much thanks to Ben G for continuing the tradition
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Frayed Knot Oct 15 2017 01:25 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
So we have a player of the year: deGrom, and, in case that player isn't a pitcher, there's a pitcher of the year: in this case also deGrom.
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Oct 15 2017 01:46 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
I lost the Schaefer track during my vacation and subsequent work punishment for having taken it. Plus, the voting reminded me of how little fun it was to watch the Mets this year.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 15 2017 02:10 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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This is the third time that a pitcher has been Player of the Year. In 2008, the leading position player, finishing second to Johan Santana, was David Wright. In 2015, the first time that Jacob deGrom won, Matt Harvey finished in second place, and Curtis Granderson, in third, was the leading position player.
Yes, but somehow, you can use it to carry actual stuff.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 15 2017 02:13 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Hopefully next year will be a lot less sucky and more people will participate. I've been thinking of opening the voting to the masses, via the UMDB Facebook page, but I figure it would go one of two ways: Nobody will take the bait, which is fine, or too many people will and I'll have a headache to deal with. I think the current voting form makes it hard to screw up, but you can never underestimate the nutty things people might do.
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G-Fafif Oct 15 2017 02:54 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Congratulations Jake on a well-deserved Schaefer and thank you Ben for giving us more than one. Still fun to vote in game after game despite this having been one of the lamest Met years of the current century.
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 15 2017 07:08 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 Edited 4 time(s), most recently on Oct 15 2017 08:38 PM |
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Sewald was able to exploit Schaefer's biggest flaw to an undeserved Reliever of the Year Award. Sewald's season was marked by several very good and very bad stretches that, when averaged out, exposed an overall mediocre to average reliever, barely better than replacement value, if even that. Sewald's 2017 season Strat-O-Matic card will be very unimpressive. Schaefer doesn't allow for negative numbers and so treats a horrible game performance just the same as if that player sat on the bench all game long. In both cases, the player will receive zero points. It's theoretically possible for the worst reliever to come away with Schaefer's Reliever of the Year Award. So Schaefer didn't penalize Sewald for giving up five runs in a third of an inning to the Pirates on June 2, or giving up two runs in a third of an inning against the Marlins on April 8, just to pick out a few of Sewald's horrible outings. Sewald's season illustrates the ideal way for an average or even mediocre reliever to beat the system -- by having many extreme outings -- either very good or very bad. This Schaefer flaw is most likely to occur with relievers and bench players, who appear sporadically instead of regularly. The everyday awards for everyday players shouldn't be affected nearly as much by this flaw because everyday players, by definition, play every day and so the Schaefer advantage in avoiding negative numbers for a bad game are minimized. There, it's enough of a penalty for season long awards not get any points at all in a given game.
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MFS62 Oct 15 2017 07:17 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Thanks, Ben.
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d'Kong76 Oct 15 2017 07:35 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Batmag: Must you raise your leg and pee on everything when you get the urge?
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 15 2017 07:56 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I'm sorry. I take it back. What was I thinking? Sewald was the best Mets reliever this season. Probably the best Mets reliever the Mets ever had. And if Sewald sang lead for Rush, Moving Pictures would've been even perfecter. This is the response you come up with to my post? Is this how you would've responded if Edgy wrote that post? What a circle jerk you want this to be.
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 15 2017 08:07 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Not even tongue in cheek there. Has anyone ever heard Geddy Lee? I'd prefer my cat sharpening his claws on a blackboard to that.
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d'Kong76 Oct 15 2017 08:22 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
The point is, and I think it's pretty good point, you had 162 games and
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 15 2017 08:33 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I don't get your point. Actually I do, and it's ridiculous. You're just making it up as you go along now and you would've never written your post had almost anyone else here wrote it. So wait, there's a properly designated date to note that Sewald was undeserving and that Schaefer has a flaw? When is that date and who gets to designate it? And is everybody else here bound by that date? Or just me? I don't follow the day to day vote and even if I did, I'm not sure I would have had any way of knowing that Sewald, who wasn't even the Mets second best reliever in 2016 was primed to win Schaefer's reliever award. And this isn't the first time I raised this specific criticism of Schaefer. We had an entire thread on this a few years ago, where I explained the flaw in Schaefer voting. In fact, I was asked to specifically explain this flaw by some other poster (I think it was Grimm, if I remember).
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Frayed Knot Oct 15 2017 08:44 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 15 2017 09:03 PM |
Considering that Sewald wins this "award" by being compared only to other NYM relievers, it's tough to see how the 'flaw' in Schaefer rewards him more than any other.
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41Forever Oct 15 2017 08:59 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
I like the Schaefer points and Sewald had some nice stretches. Hopefully something for him to build on in 2018.
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d'Kong76 Oct 15 2017 09:02 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Thanks.
Uh, no.
No, there was no date, yes it was just you. You caught us. Brilliant!!!
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 15 2017 10:55 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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"How the flaw ... rewards him...."? Don't tell me that you're suggesting that the goal of a Met reliever, in the real-life real-live world, is to tailor his outings to win the CPF Schaefer award? Sewald benefited from Schaefer, not purposely or by design to get an edge over his relieving Met teammates, but because he had more extreme outings -- very bad and very good outings. Those outings smooth each other out and cumulatively, result in a middling to average season at the end of the day. But Schaefer doesn't score Sewald as a mediocre to average reliever because Schaefer only recognizes his good outings. This results in Sewald receiving an inflated score relative to his actual performance. This is how a mediocre to average reliever can outscore his more deserving teammates: the extremely good outings are credited while the bad ones that hurt his team are ignored. A pitcher who, by comparision, ends up with cumulative stats identical to Sewald, but with significantly less individual game extremes will not score as high in Schaefer. The typical intermittent use of relievers will yield a sample size not large enough to smooth out extreme outings. It's true that Sewald outpitched Blevins innings-wise - 65.1 to 49. But what were those extra 16.1 innings pitched by Sewald worth? Here's what Blevins did in 49 innings, followed by, in parentheses, Sewald's total for 65.1 innings: Hits - 43 (58) Runs - 16 (36) ERuns - 16 (33) HR - 4 (8) BB - 24 (21) K - 69 (69) If we pretend, for the sake of this post, that Blevins and Sewald performed exactly the same statistically over their first 49 innings pitched, then we can see what the Mets received from Sewald's extra or marginal 16.1 innings he pitched over Blevins: IP - 16.1 Hits - 15 Runs - 20 Eruns - 17 HR - 4 BB (-3) K - 0 Those 16.1 marginal innings were disastrous. Sewald gave up more than a run an inning for 16.1 innings, about a third of Blevins' entire season IP output, striking out nobody and allowing a HR every four innings. The Mets would have been better off had Sewald never pitched those marginal innings. And statistically, he's nowhere close to Blevins' performance, no matter what Schaefer says, or no matter that Sewald beat Blevins in the Schaefer vote by only a little bit. The idea that Sewald was more valuable or better than Blevins because he pitched more innings is just wrong. This isn't even a close call and even less so when you're trying to use Schaefer votes to bolster Sewald's 2017 season.
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d'Kong76 Oct 16 2017 05:06 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Frayed Knot Oct 16 2017 07:40 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Sure, that was exactly what I was suggesting; that the Schaefer points are more important than the real season. Not sure why I didn't put that more plainly the first time around. This is beginning to seem a bit like your draft/tanking argument. That one you based entirely on the "fact" that next year's draft is not just uniquely strong at the top but also one where there's a large and known gap between the first few and and next few picks so that a small difference in standings this year will result in either hitting or missing on a franchise changing player even as MLB drafts have rarely if ever shown that to be the case. Here your starting point is that Sewald's season was one of extreme highs and lows even when compared to other NYM relievers. Not quite sure how you even measure all that. He had three outings where he gave up at least 3 runs, more than Blevins and Reed but not more than the likes of Smoker, Salas, Robles, Bradford etc. and of course he had more outings, more innings, and a longer season than just about everyone else so had more chances for bad days. Blevins was the only one with more appearances but his outings were mostly confined to 0.1 and 0.2 inning stints against favorable matchups for him (L vs L) so, again, fewer chances at blow-ups. You then went through a whole lot of math to essentially tell me that Blevins had the better ERA which I was quite aware of. I'm also aware, as are you, that reliever ERA is only marginally interesting. The other thing you seem to be missing here is that IT'S THE FUCKING SCHAEFER VOTING!!!, a mild daily diversion to keep ourselves connected and occupied while honoring a throw-back tradition to old Ralph/Bob/Lindsey broadcasts. I'm pretty sure none of these guys are putting this on their post-career resumes. I'd say that at worst Sewald was the Mets 3rd best reliever this year, marginally behind the two guys he finished marginally ahead of in the Schaefer voting. Man, what a gaping flaw!
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 16 2017 07:58 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I'm not at all surprised that batmagadanleadoff is piddling on the Schaefer results. He's done it before and I'm sure he'll do it again. It's like how I fully expect Ceetar to turn his nose up at the Tabloid Cover Derby, flaunting how it's beneath his superior intellect. As the Geico commercials say, "It's what they do."
Thank you! But please, feel free to vote sporadically. It wouldn't skew the results at all, because all awarded points are averaged on a per game basis. So even if one game has five voters and another game has twenty, there still won't be more than ten points awarded for that game. The more input the better! And you don't have to have watched all nine innings to vote on a game. I've voted on many a game that I didn't see at all. If you can read a game account and interpret a box score, you have enough information to cast a Schaefer vote. It's a little discouraging that so few people participate, but I don't really let it bother me anymore because the whole thing is so automated that it takes very little effort, other than creating the baseball cards each month, and that's more of a fun thing than a chore.
Thanks for noticing! I definitely do make a point to match the photo with the year of the cards. It's largely an instinctual thing, but there are a few hard-and-fast rules, such as no action shots on 1970 or 1972 cards (except for the 1972 IN ACTION cards) and any action shots on 1971 cards have to be from a distance and show the player's full body. I also try each year to have a fairly even distribution of the different years from the 1970s among the cards that end up on the season-ending display. I make sure that each year gets represented at least twice. I too have a fondness for the 1972 cards; they're just so wonderfully weird.
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Vic Sage Oct 16 2017 08:29 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
i think Mags is right, mathematically, that a system that awards (+) for good performances, but no (-) for bad perfs is likely to favor players with larger swings in their perfs. That's just math, right? But i don't know that it necessarily effected the Sewald vote, and i don't know that it matters a bit either way. The Schaeffer is not an attempt to create an unassailable new sabrmetric statistic, but is merely a way to keep everybody together and interactive over the course of a long season. And the "player of the year" is a way to keep a diary of our thoughts over the year, and from year to year. We've built a history together and the Schaefer is one of the ways we've recorded that history.
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Ashie62 Oct 16 2017 08:49 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 16 2017 08:53 AM |
Just vote, its' not rocket science. Just for fun.
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MFS62 Oct 16 2017 08:53 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Ben. I have now been fully reassured that my few votes DO count and will do my best in the future.
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Ashie62 Oct 16 2017 08:54 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Thats Odell Beckham's turf.
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 16 2017 09:30 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 16 2017 09:42 AM |
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So now you wanna undercut my point that Sewald was significantly worse than Blevins by noting how meaningless reliever ERA is? Let's go to WAR to show you how bad Sewald was compared to Blevins. Blevins --- 1.5 WAR/49 IP Sewald --- 0.2 WAR/65.1 IP. At the qualitative rate of performance that Sewald pitched in 2017, he would have had to pitch precisely 490 innings to accumulate the 1.5 WAR that Blevins amassed in just 65.1 innings. Sewald won't get to pitch 490 major league inning in his entire life. How much more straining are you gonna engage in to counter my posts here mainly because it's me and because you've committed yourself to the wrong idea that Sewald and Blevins were somehow close to each other performance-wise?
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batmagadanleadoff Oct 16 2017 09:39 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I agree with your post and I've said so before when I first raised this flaw -- that Schaefer is fun and that it mainly exists to have that fun and as a social function to drive the forum's activity. It shouldn't be relied upon as an accurate statistical measure of a player's worth. Having said that, I'm surprised at the resistance my post drew. (Not really surprised. I'm merely saying that out of politeness. Like anyone else here would've generated those responses other than me.) Convoluted arguments to try and show that Sewald, if not the best reliever, was close to the best. And then the GOP gun control mantra --- "Now's not the time to talk about this". Hey Kong: When was the right time to have had this discussion?
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d'Kong76 Oct 16 2017 09:56 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I wish you knew how silly the tortured martyrdom routine is to 96.875%* of the people who read it year after year after year.
I apologize, urinate on anything you like (except the electronics). *+/- 0.125%
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John Cougar Lunchbucket Oct 16 2017 10:27 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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What he said. Mags didn;t pee on anything from where I sit
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d'Kong76 Oct 16 2017 10:50 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
I agree with Vic's post and hell I agree with batmag's assertions/analysis.
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Edgy MD Oct 16 2017 11:00 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
That PotM timeline (BRUCE-CONFORTO-DEGROM-DEGROM-CESPEDES-REYES) is a pretty good summary of the season.
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Frayed Knot Oct 16 2017 11:11 AM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
My only points were that, despite him being a virtual unknown when the year started, Sewald was probably, at worst, a top three NYM reliever this year; that I didn't think his season was particularly given
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G-Fafif Oct 16 2017 02:04 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Based on cumulative voting totals reflecting positive contributions on a game-by-game basis, twenty-one non-relief pitching Mets were deemed better than any single Mets relief pitcher across an entire season. That might be the underlying story here.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 16 2017 02:15 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Sewald did win with, by a considerable margin, the lowest total ever for a leading reliever.
But how about the fact that Jacob deGrom was the only pitcher who finished in the Top Eleven? If Jacob deGrom didn't exist, the winner would have been Robert Gsellman, with nearly 55 fewer points than deGrom had!
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G-Fafif Oct 16 2017 02:21 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Pedro Beato's self-esteem has suddenly shot skyward. If Jacob deGrom hadn't existed, I might have preferred the 2017 Mets not doing so, either.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 16 2017 02:28 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Oops, somehow I scanned past Beato's 25.93 points in 2011. Sewald's 22.41 is still the lowest, but not by as considerable a margin as I first thought.
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 16 2017 02:32 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Oh, and here's where I thank all of our wonderful Schaefer spokesmodels who did such a great job throughout the year. We had 36 who carried over from last year, plus 18 new ones added for 2017. Currently, there are no plans to expand the list for 2018, but we'll see what happens.
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G-Fafif Oct 16 2017 02:41 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
Takahashi was a capable closer, pressed into a new role when K-Rod went out for the year (injured after his suspension). Eight saves for a mediocre club otherwise going through the late-season motions, Would probably be the No. 2 starter on the 2017 Mets, too.
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Edgy MD Oct 16 2017 02:46 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
We should have a vote-off on who the best Schaefer spokesperson was.
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d'Kong76 Oct 16 2017 03:00 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
It's a brilliant line-up, isn't it. I don't really remember the Canadian geese
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41Forever Oct 16 2017 03:00 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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I love that Cleon Jones just appears among the ax murders, killer sea creatures, strangling snakes, flesh-ripping monkeys, backpack girl and the other colorful characters! Is that Maga in there above the ax-wielding young lady?
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Benjamin Grimm Oct 16 2017 04:46 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
It's Maja.
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41Forever Oct 16 2017 05:07 PM Re: SCHAEFER METS PLAYERS OF THE YEAR 2017 |
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Lol! Just caught that.
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