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Free Agent Prediction contest!

metsmarathon Nov 16 2017 02:28 PM

Hey folks, it's that time of year when somebody steps up and decides to kick off a free agent prediction contest! woohoo! i've assembled a list of 25 intriguing free agents - basically the top 20 from fangraphs, four more interesting names, and some dude from japan. you get to suss out where they're going to wind up! winner gets, um, one cranepooldollar, and a certificate that entitles the bearer to make one new thread in the baseball forum, totally free of charge!* *contest organizer cannot guarantee the availability of the prize, and merely assumes that the price structure of the CPF will remain unchanged. and now, without further ado, i present to you the 2017-18 free agent prediction contest! Rank | Player | Position | Ex-Team 1 Yu Darvish RhSP LAD 2 JD Martinez OF ARI 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP CHC 4 Carlos Santana 1b CLE 5 Eric Hosmer 1b KCR 6 Lorenzo Cain OF KCR 7 Wade Davis RhRP CHC 8 Mike Moustakis 3b KCR 9 Zack Cosart SS CIN 10 Alex Cobb RhSP TBR 11 Neil Walker 2b MIL 12 CC Sabathia LhSP NYY 13 Todd Frazier 3b NYY 14 Jay Bruce OF CLE 15 Lance Lynn RhSP STL 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP LAD 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP COL 18 Greg Holland RhRP COL 19 Addison Reed RhRP BOS 20 Jarrod Dyson OF SEA 21 Eduardo Nunez IF BOS 23 Jonathan Lucroy C COL 34 Carlos Gomez OF TEX 42 Lucas Duda 1b TBR -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) JAP but wait! how do i play? it's really quite simple. copy the above list and add in where you think the player will sign. you can even indicate if you think a player will go unsigned through the start of spring training, when the contest will close. i'll tally up the results, make some inane commentary, and award the winner! it's really that simple!

Edgy MD Nov 16 2017 02:44 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

The first six? All Mets.

d'Kong76 Nov 16 2017 04:15 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

[fimg=350:3hsb8qha]http://www.kcmets.com/CPF/FA2018.gif[/fimg:3hsb8qha]

cooby Nov 16 2017 04:29 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

Why are you not figuring Cleveland to keep or sign free agents KC? I hope you're wrong :(

Lefty Specialist Nov 16 2017 04:30 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

Gah. Too much work. They'll have to find their new teams without me.

seawolf17 Nov 16 2017 04:40 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

I don't think I've ever gotten a single one of these right. 1 Yu Darvish RhSP LAD BOS 2 JD Martinez OF ARI DET 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP CHC NYM 4 Carlos Santana 1b CLE CHC 5 Eric Hosmer 1b KCR KCR 6 Lorenzo Cain OF KCR SDP 7 Wade Davis RhRP CHC MIL 8 Mike Moustakis 3b KCR ATL 9 Zack Cosart SS CIN SF 10 Alex Cobb RhSP TBR HOU 11 Neil Walker 2b MIL PIT 12 CC Sabathia LhSP NYY SF 13 Todd Frazier 3b NYY NYM 14 Jay Bruce OF CLE PHI 15 Lance Lynn RhSP STL LAD 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP LAD OAK 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP COL COL 18 Greg Holland RhRP COL NYY 19 Addison Reed RhRP BOS NYY 20 Jarrod Dyson OF SEA BAL 21 Eduardo Nunez IF BOS CHW 23 Jonathan Lucroy C COL SEA 34 Carlos Gomez OF TEX BOS 42 Lucas Duda 1b TBR BOS -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) JAP TEX

d'Kong76 Nov 16 2017 04:43 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

cooby wrote: Why are you not figuring Cleveland to keep or sign free agents KC? I hope you're wrong :( There's only two CLE's on there. You don't want Santana on the Mets? He plays a slick Stratocaster! I don't think the Indians will sign Bruce long term. Just throwing darts on some of these, others are based on 'reports', etc.

metsmarathon Nov 16 2017 08:12 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest! Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Nov 16 2017 08:48 PM

these are guaranteed to be wrong! Rank Player Pos Ex NEW 1 Yu Darvish RhSP LAD NYY 2 JD Martinez OF ARI NYM 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP CHC CHC 4 Carlos Santana 1b CLE SEA 5 Eric Hosmer 1b KCR BOS 6 Lorenzo Cain OF KCR SFG 7 Wade Davis RhRP CHC WAS 8 Mike Moustakis 3b KCR NYM 9 Zack Cosart SS CIN TOR 10 Alex Cobb RhSP TBR LAD 11 Neil Walker 2b MIL COL 12 CC Sabathia LhSP NYY ATL 13 Todd Frazier 3b NYY KCR 14 Jay Bruce OF CLE CLE 15 Lance Lynn RhSP STL STL 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP LAD NYM 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP COL MIN 18 Greg Holland RhRP COL SFG 19 Addison Reed RhRP BOS TOR 20 Jarrod Dyson OF SEA STL 21 Eduardo Nunez IF BOS KCR 23 Jonathan Lucroy C COL WAS 34 Carlos Gomez OF TEX SDP 42 Lucas Duda 1b TBR COL -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) JAP NYM dreaming, I know. i have the mets picking up a lot of players. mostly, it's because i think the mets are players on a lot of players, and am hedging my bets that they should happen to hit on a few of them. plus, wishful thinking! (edited to boldify my picks)

Benjamin Grimm Nov 16 2017 08:22 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

Lots of wild guesses here, but why not? There's no penalty for being wrong! (Is there?) 1 Yu Darvish RhSP Dodgers 2 JD Martinez OF Cardinals 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP Diamondbacks 4 Carlos Santana 1b Indians 5 Eric Hosmer 1b Royals 6 Lorenzo Cain OF Mets 7 Wade Davis RhRP Red Sox 8 Mike Moustakis 3b Rangers 9 Zack Cosart SS Blue Jays 10 Alex Cobb RhSP TBR Rays 11 Neil Walker 2b MIL Brewers 12 CC Sabathia LhSP NYY Yankees 13 Todd Frazier 3b NYY White Sox 14 Jay Bruce OF CLE Rangers 15 Lance Lynn RhSP STL Tigers 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP LAD Mets 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP COL Cardinals 18 Greg Holland RhRP COL Indians 19 Addison Reed RhRP BOS Yankees 20 Jarrod Dyson OF SEA Orioles 21 Eduardo Nunez IF BOS Mets 23 Jonathan Lucroy C COL Phillies 34 Carlos Gomez OF TEX Rangers 42 Lucas Duda 1b TBR Red Sox -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) JPN Yankees

John Cougar Lunchbucket Nov 16 2017 08:46 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

These are fresh out of my ass Rank | Player | Position | Ex-Team 1 Yu Darvish RhSP LAD Brewers 2 JD Martinez OF Blue Jays 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP Cardinals 4 Carlos Santana 1b Mets 5 Eric Hosmer 1b Royals 6 Lorenzo Cain OF Giants 7 Wade Davis RhRP Astros 8 Mike Moustakis 3b Braves 9 Zack Cosart SS Orioles 10 Alex Cobb RhSP Mets 11 Neil Walker 2b Pirates 12 CC Sabathia LhSP MFYs 13 Todd Frazier 3b Phillies 14 Jay Bruce OF Mets 15 Lance Lynn RhSP Cubs 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP Rockies 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP Rays 18 Greg Holland RhRP Astros 19 Addison Reed RhRP Cubs 20 Jarrod Dyson OF Royals 21 Eduardo Nunez IF Angels 23 Jonathan Lucroy C Rockies 34 Carlos Gomez OF White Sox 42 Lucas Duda 1b A's -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) Mets

metsmarathon Nov 16 2017 08:47 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

Benjamin Grimm wrote: Lots of wild guesses here, but why not? There's no penalty for being wrong! (Is there?) this raises a valid concern. each wrong answer carries with it the penalty that subsequent views and opinions related to player / personnel moves may be increasingly ignored or dismissed by your peers. so choose carefully!

metsmarathon Mar 29 2018 01:48 PM Re: Free Agent Prediction contest!

well, with opening day upon us, it's time to announce the winner of this year's thoroughly interesting and exciting free agent prediction contest! personally, i'm a little surprised we had enough players signed by now to call a winner. and while we're still waiting for greg holland to find a home, he's not going to turn anyone's fortunes. well, he might save me from an embarrassing gooseegg, but that's about it. so, fire up the drum roll and get those trumpets blaring! your 2018 free agent predicting champion is none other than.... KC[/bigpurple] he flat out killed it this year, netting six correct predictions. he correctly divined the future homes of jd martinez, mike moustakis, zack cozart, cc sabathia, lance lynn, and even eduardo nunez! mighty impressive indeed! cc sabathia was the only player with multiple correct guessers. though in hindsight, it should have been obvious that no other teams would want him. john cougar lunchbucket came in second with two correct predictions, adding jay bruce to his cc sabathia. seawolf and ben grimm both netted one correct answer. sadly, edgy's prediction of the top six players going metly failed to pan out. and i, apparently, am an idiot whose baseball intuitions are not to be trusted. greg holland and san francisco, you're my only hope! see below for full results: rank First name last name position OLD SW KC EDC MM BG JCL Actual Winner 1 Yu Darvish RhSP LAD BOS STL NYM NYY LAD MIL CHC 2 JD Martinez OF ARI DET BOS NYM NYM STL TOR BOS KC 3 Jake Arrieta RhSP CHC NYM CHC NYM CHC ARI STL PHI 4 Carlos Santana 1b CLE CHC NYM NYM SEA CLE NYM PHI 5 Eric Hosmer 1b KCR KCR KCR NYM BOS KCR KCR SDP 6 Lorenzo Cain OF KCR SDP SFG NYM SFG NYM SFG MIL 7 Wade Davis RhRP CHC MIL CHC WAS BOS HOU COL 8 Mike Moustakis 3b KCR ATL KCR NYM TEX ATL KCR KC 9 Zack Cozart SS CIN SF LAA TOR TOR BAL LAA KC 10 Alex Cobb RhSP TBR HOU CHC LAD TBR NYM BAL 11 Neil Walker 2b MIL PIT NYM COL MIL PIT NYY 12 CC Sabathia LhSP NYY SF NYY ATL NYY NYY NYY KC, BG, JCL 13 Todd Frazier 3b NYY NYM NYY KCR CHW PHI NYM SW 14 Jay Bruce OF CLE PHI TOR CLE TEX NYM NYM JCL 15 Lance Lynn RhSP STL LAD MIN STL DET CHC MIN KC 16 Brandon Morrow RhRP LAD OAK LAD NYM NYM COL LAA 17 Tyler Chatwood RhSP COL COL BAL MIN STL TBR CHC 18 Greg Holland RhRP COL NYY NYM SFG CLE HOU 19 Addison Reed RhRP BOS NYY STL TOR NYY CHC MIN 20 Jarrod Dyson OF SEA BAL SEA STL BAL KCR ARI 21 Eduardo Nunez IF BOS CHW BOS KCR NYM LAA BOS KC 23 Jonathan Lucroy C COL SEA HOU WAS PHI COL OAK 34 Carlos Gomez OF TEX BOS TEX SDP TEX CHW TBR 42 Lucas Duda 1b TBR BOS BOS COL BOS OAK KCR -- Shohei Ohtani P/OF(?) JAP TEX NYM NYM NYY NYM LAA total correct 1 6 0 0 1 2 KC