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Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

MFS62
Dec 16 2020 08:22 AM

With the Colorado Rockies open to trading superstar third baseman Nolan Arenado, the Mets are reportedly high on their list of teams too engage in discussions.



"The team that I am watching very carefully -- that I was told even this week is the team the Rockies want to engage with -- is the New York Mets," Jon Morosi reported Wednesday morning on MLB Network.


https://www.yahoo.com/sports/rockies-want-engage-mets-trade-145356415.html



The idea of getting rid of Cano and replacing him with Arenado and putting McNeil at second is enticing. But the Mets would have to find a centerfielder to replace Nimmo who is included in the deal mentioned.



Later

Lefty Specialist
Dec 16 2020 10:28 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Rockies make a ridiculous deal and want Sugar Daddy Steve to clean up their mess.

Johnny Lunchbucket
Dec 16 2020 10:35 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Yeah I'm not sure this works given our relative weakness in trade fodder. I mean it could but would we want it to

smg58
Dec 16 2020 11:09 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Ironically, Cano's suspension might make his contract more desirable to other teams.



I wouldn't consider dealing one of Smith/Alonso/Nimmo/Conforto before I had a quality centerfielder in my pocket. And after that, I would still have to think I was getting back more value than I was giving up, factoring contracts into consideration. Plus there are free agents available who could satisfy our need in the infield without costing us players.



That being said, Arenado is as good a defender at his position as anybody in baseball right now. And he's also a good bounceback candidate with the bat.



So I'm listening if they call, but I'm not giving ground until/unless I really like what I hear.

Frayed Knot
Dec 16 2020 02:30 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

And you'd always want to factor in the Coors factor as a factor in your decision: OPS H=985, R=793

I mean the road number is still good, but we're unlikely to see the home figure and will instead get something south of his overall humber of 890



Turns 30 in April, signed thru 2026 (age 35) but with an opt-out following 2021 (iow: only one season guaranteed) at north of $30mi/yr

Centerfield
Dec 16 2020 05:41 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Arenado may or may not be great. I'd have to look at the splits and the analytics to know more. But he is certainly expensive. Prohibitively so. He also has a stupid contract. The team that trades for him has no security that he will stay, nor will they have any security that he will leave. Imagine trading yourself into the downside of either scenario.



A player one year away from free agency doesn't have much value. Arenado is older than most of those players, more expensive than all of them, and is the only one that will cripple you for years financially if he suddenly falls off a cliff or gets injured.

nymr83
Dec 16 2020 05:45 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Johnny Lunchbucket wrote:

Yeah I'm not sure this works given our relative weakness in trade fodder. I mean it could but would we want it to


The contract is an albatross.



His value, including the contract, is negative when you consider his unilateral ability to opt out.



If Arenado would "opt in" as part of the trade... The contract still makes it hard to trade quality playets for.



I would offer some C level prospects at best and if they say no they can keep that contract.

Benjamin Grimm
Dec 16 2020 06:27 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Better to go for Lindor, I think. If you sign Springer you can include Rosario and Nimmo in a deal for Lindor and not weaken yourself at any positions.

Centerfield
Dec 16 2020 07:18 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan


Johnny Lunchbucket wrote:

Yeah I'm not sure this works given our relative weakness in trade fodder. I mean it could but would we want it to


The contract is an albatross.



His value, including the contract, is negative when you consider his unilateral ability to opt out.



If Arenado would "opt in" as part of the trade... The contract still makes it hard to trade quality playets for.



I would offer some C level prospects at best and if they say no they can keep that contract.


This is right. If they want anyone of value, they better be ready to take Cano.



Of course Cano has a no trade.

nymr83
Dec 16 2020 08:47 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Yeah I suppose if they take Cano we can raise the bar to giving them a not-useless player. Let them try to rehab Matz maybe? or Davis?



The point of having all of Cohen's Cash available is that we'll take a good player on a bad contract - but only if the 'trade' is relieving the other team of the salary obligation. good young players should only be getting traded for good young players.

smg58
Dec 17 2020 08:37 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Outside of last year, Arenado has consistently posted an OPS+ in the neighborhood of 130. That's about an .830 OPS at Citi, which is nothing to sneeze at coming from the best defensive third baseman in baseball, but it's also not spectacular.



We can totally afford to walk away from the table. They might not. I see no point in giving until it hurts, or even giving until it itches. I'd offer Cano, Betances, and Matz. If they want one of Alonso/Smith/Nimmo/Conforto, they'd better be throwing in German Marquez.

Centerfield
Dec 17 2020 02:30 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Knowing nothing about German Marquez, the only one I'm comfortable giving up is Nimmo. Love the other three.

batmagadanleadoff
Dec 17 2020 03:19 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

=nymr83 post_id=52381 time=1608176825 user_id=54]


The point of having all of Cohen's Cash ....



The point of having Cohen's money is that we no longer have to trade our Jarred Kelenics for talent because we can now shop in the gourmet luxury section of the market and so we can buy that talent.



Of course, we no longer have any Jarred Kelenics to trade, either.

Centerfield
Jan 29 2021 09:28 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

On his way to St. Louis with $50 million to deliver to the Cardinals.



Think about that. Colorado gave St. Louis $50M to take Arenado.



Seattle gave Brodie $20 million for Cano.

Lefty Specialist
Jan 30 2021 05:49 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

I guess Charlie Blackmon could be had, too, but he's 35 and has 3 years/$50 million remaining. Solves your CF problem for '21.

Centerfield
Jan 30 2021 05:57 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Didn't you read my post? Colorado is giving away $50 million per player.

smg58
Jan 30 2021 09:43 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

I would have insisted on them taking Cano and throwing in Marquez. The latter might have been a deal-breaker, but the Rockies are in win-no-time-soon mode, and the names MLB Trade Rumors were throwing around suggest that the Cardinals did not up any of their three prospects in MLB.com's top 50.

Edgy MD
Jan 30 2021 11:17 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

I keep thinking the title of this sounds like the first line to a rap from around 1986.



  Let's talk about a Nolan not named Ryan!

  The Colorado Rockies be divestifyin'!

  He fields like Brooks and hits like Matthews!

  So the Cards went and got 'im even though they didn't have to!

  Though he says he loves Jesus and rejects the Devil!

  There are some who think he sucks at sea level!

  We can start another thread about Charlie O'Brien

  Or we can talk about a Nolan NOT NAMED RYAN!!

dinosaur jesus
Jan 30 2021 11:34 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

He fields like Hubie Brooks?

Edgy MD
Jan 30 2021 11:48 AM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

It was '86. What did they know?

ashie62
Jan 30 2021 12:12 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryaern

The Colorado "good gets" are likely A guys Luken Baker & Aaron Gomber



Luken Baker is a 6'4 280 lb 23 year old who does not hit HR's.



Colorado is out from under.

smg58
Feb 03 2021 12:51 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryaern

=ashie62 post_id=55188 time=1612033960 user_id=90]Colorado is out from under.



Financially speaking, yes, but from a competitive standpoint they are probably done until the 2030s.



And for the $50M they are paying the Cardinals, I hope the Cardinals' owner at least treats the Rockies' owner to playoff tickets.

batmagadanleadoff
Feb 03 2021 01:10 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryaern


Colorado is out from under.


Financially speaking, yes, but from a competitive standpoint they are probably done until the 2030s.



And for the $50M they are paying the Cardinals, I hope the Cardinals' owner at least treats the Rockies' owner to playoff tickets.


Marc Carig on the Arenado deal:


Dysfunction comes in many forms, though even through the thin air of Colorado, its odor is unmistakable. And now that the Wilpon Mets are in the history books, baseball might have a new standard-bearer for the most inept franchise.


https://theathletic.com/2362713/2021/02/02/carig-rockies-oblivious-organizational-failure/

nymr83
Feb 03 2021 08:15 PM
Re: Let's Talk about a Nolan Not Named Ryan

Colorado definitely has that Wilponian feeling. Could you imagine the Mets feuding with David Wright and trading him a year after signing his extension, and sending 50 million away with him to boot?? the Rockies just did that. I couldn't even see the Mets in the darkest days of Madoff doing that.