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Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

Nimmo to get hot from here on, and show his annual slash numbers (OPS .806-.845)

1 votes

a reversion to the norm, with slightly better results by year's end (.766-.805)

4 votes

pretty much what we've seen to date, a slight off year offensively (.726-.765)

2 votes

a crash and some worse numbers by October (.686-.725)

1 votes

roger_that Aug 03 2022 08:04 AM

By his career standards (slash of .266/.393/.445 coming into this year), he's a little off, despite being healthy and showing off his fielding bona fides in CF, slashing .267/.347/.426 so far. I've been waiting for him to catch fire, and on August 3rd I'm still waiting. I maintain that he helps you even when his hits are going right atom and his BA is down because he walks and HBPs enough to justify batting in the leadoff spot, but that .347 is way under his usual standard, and is about middling in the starting lineup. Canha, Guillorme, McSquirl, Alonso, and Marte all have better.

whippoorwill Aug 03 2022 08:27 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

I think he's the one I had on my fantasy team once, and I waited and waited for him to hit and I finally cut him loose because of his strikeouts

smg58 Aug 03 2022 08:39 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

Most of the team went cold in July, and Nimmo was not an exception. I'm figuring a mild bounceback. It's worth noting that his 120 OPS+ is not that far below his 128 career norm.

Ceetar Aug 03 2022 08:47 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

He's walking much less. He's also striking out less, but that's because he's making less contact, as a result of swinging at more pitches, particularly out of the zone. (21.2% versus his career average of 17.2) He's making way more contact, which feels like it's a red herring. If he was missing some of those out of zone pitches maybe he'd stop swinging at them. It's not that he's not hitting the ball hard, because he's squaring up just as many balls, if not more, than average. But he's traded some walks on pitches outside for softer contact grounders. His pull numbers are down in favor of more groundballs straight/oppo. Is this a "use all fields" strategy? If it is, it's a good example of how trading just walloping pitches to the pull side for trying to beat the shift doesn't often work out. Though they're actually shifting Nimmo much less this year, probably because he did much better last year when they shifted on him. He went from elite walk skills to middling this year. Though he bumped up on the power numbers, Barrels, exit velocity, etc. fwiw, this might fit into the Mets lineup a little bit better, as they're a little lacking in power, so if Nimmo is selling out some OBP for turning a few more hits into homers, perhaps that's worthwhile. but most importantly..last year he LED MLB in average HR Trot at 18.29 seconds , and he's fallen to second this year with 19.12. (There are actually 5 people ahead of him, but I don't think they all 'qualify'. Sam Haggerty, Steven Kwan, Brett Phillips, Tyler O'Neill, and Nick Solak). Vogelbach is slowest on the team at 26.9. Alex Verdugo of Boston is the slowest, 29.7. Good time to get another beer after he hits one.

roger_that Aug 03 2022 08:52 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

=smg58 post_id=102106 time=1659537598 user_id=62] his 120 OPS+ is not that far below his 128 career norm.

No, it's not. I could have expressed my poll in terms of OPS+. 120 would still be slightly below his career mark. If I had chosen OPS+, those numbers might be more like



100-109

110-119

120-129

130-139

roger_that Aug 03 2022 08:53 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

Brett Phillips was recently DFA's by the Rays. I think the Orioles picked him up. Maybe we should have? He's a good player, especially at that price.

Ceetar Aug 03 2022 09:12 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

=roger_that post_id=102113 time=1659538424 user_id=128] Brett Phillips was recently DFA's by the Rays. I think the Orioles picked him up. Maybe we should have? He's a good player, especially at that price.

He's hitting like Patrick Mazeika, just in 10x as many tries.

seawolf17 Aug 03 2022 09:16 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

=Ceetar post_id=102116 time=1659539570 user_id=102] =roger_that post_id=102113 time=1659538424 user_id=128] Brett Phillips was recently DFA's by the Rays. I think the Orioles picked him up. Maybe we should have? He's a good player, especially at that price.

He's hitting like Patrick Mazeika, just in 10x as many tries.


Just when you think you can't find anyone who's less of an MLB hitter... WHAMMO Brett Phillips and his career .190/.276/.350 in almost *900* career PAs.

kcmets Aug 03 2022 09:37 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

I took b)... seems the most reasonable guess. (Sidenote: Nimmo is going to have a monster five-game series against the Braves. Put that in the books. Monster, I tell ya!

Edgy MD Aug 03 2022 11:19 AM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

=smg58 post_id=102106 time=1659537598 user_id=62] Most of the team went cold in July, and Nimmo was not an exception.

This is certainly true. It's bothered me more in Nimmo's case, because while other guys lose their rhythm or mechanics when they go cold, he loses the things that make him Nimmo — his judgment and approach.



And a leadoff guy who ain't getting on can certainly reverberate down the lineup.

Frayed Knot Aug 03 2022 12:07 PM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

=seawolf17 post_id=102118 time=1659539797 user_id=91] =Ceetar post_id=102116 time=1659539570 user_id=102] =roger_that post_id=102113 time=1659538424 user_id=128] Brett Phillips was recently DFA's by the Rays. I think the Orioles picked him up. Maybe we should have? He's a good player, especially at that price.

He's hitting like Patrick Mazeika, just in 10x as many tries.


Just when you think you can't find anyone who's less of an MLB hitter... WHAMMO Brett Phillips and his career .190/.276/.350 in almost *900* career PAs.


Phillips us still dining out on being the author of that playoff game-winning pinch-hit for TBR (but not until after a circus broke out in the middle of the diamond)

roger_that Aug 03 2022 01:52 PM Re: Nimmo's slightly off-season, to date

Frayed Knot wrote: =seawolf17 post_id=102118 time=1659539797 user_id=91] =Ceetar post_id=102116 time=1659539570 user_id=102] He's hitting like Patrick Mazeika, just in 10x as many tries. Just when you think you can't find anyone who's less of an MLB hitter... WHAMMO Brett Phillips and his career .190/.276/.350 in almost *900* career PAs.

Phillips us still dining out on being the author of that playoff game-winning pinch-hit for TBR (but not until after a circus broke out in the middle of the diamond)


I saw him play last year vs. the Orioles. (My last visit to a MLB park.) Good glove, good speed in CF, and surprisingly, despite a .203 BA, an OPS+ slightly over 100.