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Predictions: Who's staying and who's going, 2006 edition

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 12:09 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 14 2006 12:15 PM

Because this received such a lukewarm response last year, it's time to do it again!

I'm going to list the names of ten players who are currently in the Mets organization. For each player, give a number, from 0 to 10, indicating how likely you think it is that he'll still be Mets property on Opening Day, 2007. (He doesn't have to be on the active roster. If he's in the minors or on the DL, it still counts as being present.)

If you think a player is definitely not returning, vote 0. Definitely returning, vote 10.

For every player who does return, your score will be the number you assigned to him.

For every player who's gone by Opening Day, your score will be 10 minus your number.

Example: You think Player A is unlikely to return, but you think there's a slight possibility that he will, so you give him a 3. If he does return, you were pretty wrong, so you only get 3 points. If he doesn't, you were mostly right, so you get 7.

A perfect score is 100. To get it you have to vote 0 or 10 for every player, and be correct every time.

You can guarantee yourself a wishy-washy 50 by voting 5 for every player.

Rumors may start swirling as we get closer to August 31, so the sooner you vote the more pure your guess will be. Voting will be closed once one of the ten departs, or August 31, whichever comes first.

Here are the ten players, in alphabetical order:

Bannister, Brian
Delgado, Carlos
Floyd, Cliff
Glavine, Tom
Heilman, Aaron
Hernandez, Orlando
Maine, John
Milledge, Lastings
Trachsel, Steve
Valentin, Jose


It was harder to find ten guys "on the bubble" this year than it was last year.

Willets Point
Jul 14 2006 12:14 PM

Mets property on Opening Day 2006? That's easy!

Bannister, Brian 10
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 10
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 10
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 10
Milledge, Lastings 10
Trachsel, Steve 10
Valentin, Jose 10

I'm such a stinker!

dgwphotography
Jul 14 2006 12:15 PM

Bannister, Brian - 8
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 7
Heilman, Aaron - 3
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 7
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose - 3

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 12:15 PM

Eek! Edited.

MFS62
Jul 14 2006 12:16 PM

Big oops,eh?

LOL!

Later

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 12:16 PM

That's what happens when you paste without reading carefully.

Rockin' Doc
Jul 14 2006 12:35 PM

Bannister, Brian - 9
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 3
Glavine, Tom - 7
Heilman, Aaron - 4
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 6
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 2
Valentin, Jose - 5

soupcan
Jul 14 2006 12:40 PM

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
=red]Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
=red]Heilman, Aaron - 0
=red]Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
=red]Milledge, Lastings - 0
Trachsel, Steve - 10
=red]Valentin, Jose - 0


All or nuthin' baby.

Elster88
Jul 14 2006 12:48 PM

Norfolk and Bingo and such count as Met property right? Or did you mean on the field in a Met uniform on Opening Day 2007?

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 12:50 PM

Read the second paragraph.

Rotblatt
Jul 14 2006 12:50 PM

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 0
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose -10

What soupy said.

Elster88
Jul 14 2006 12:52 PM

My apologies on the dumbass question

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 10
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose -10

Rockin' Doc
Jul 14 2006 01:30 PM

Updating my results to conform with Soupcan's all or nothing decree.

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 0 (I'm going to miss Cliff)
Glavine, Tom - 10
Heilman, Aaron - 0
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 10
Trachsel, Steve - 0
Valentin, Jose - 10

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 01:32 PM

This is even going to be less interesting than it was last year.

Elster88
Jul 14 2006 01:34 PM

I only gave Aaron a 10 to be different from the other posts.

smg58
Jul 14 2006 02:57 PM

Bannister, Brian 5
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 0
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 4
Hernandez, Orlando 2
Maine, John 6
Milledge, Lastings 8
Trachsel, Steve 2
Valentin, Jose 5

TheOldMole
Jul 14 2006 04:49 PM

Bannister, Brian 4
Delgado, Carlos 9
Floyd, Cliff 3
Glavine, Tom 8
Heilman, Aaron 5
Hernandez, Orlando 2
Maine, John 5
Milledge, Lastings 7
Trachsel, Steve 8
Valentin, Jose 4

OlerudOwned
Jul 14 2006 05:00 PM

Brian Bannister: 10
Carlos Delgado: 10
Cliff Floyd: 0
Tom Glavine: 10
Aaron Heilman: 0
Orlando Hernandez: 2
John Maine: 8
Lastings Milledge: 10
Steve Trachsel: 2
Jose Valentin: 4

RealityChuck
Jul 14 2006 05:35 PM

Bannister, Brian -- 8 (definitely need him)
Delgado, Carlos -- 10 (too pricy to trade, especially if his BA numbers don't improve)
Floyd, Cliff -- 0 (his contract is up, he doesn't want to ride the bench.
Glavine, Tom -- 2 (slight chance he'll go off to Atlanta, but most likely will win #300 in orange and blue)
Heilman, Aaron -- 5 (his value is low right now, and might go in some deal)
Hernandez, Orlando -- 5 (depends on how he holds up. If he wins a few games in the postseason, then it goes up to 8)
Maine, John -- 7 (will probably keep him, but not if a great deal comes along)
Milledge, Lastings -- 10 (don't want another Kazmir, and he'll replace Floyd)
Trachsel, Steve -- 9 (10 and 5)
Valentin, Jose -- 8 (Most likely will resign, but you never know.)

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 14 2006 05:54 PM

Ten and five for Trachsel doesn't mean anything if he's a free agent who's not offered a contract. Piazza was ten and five too, remember.

Nymr83
Jul 14 2006 06:11 PM

Bannister, Brian 8
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 2
Glavine, Tom 10
Heilman, Aaron 0
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 5
Milledge, Lastings 0
Trachsel, Steve 4
Valentin, Jose 8

Benjamin Grimm
Jul 29 2006 06:15 AM

Bannister, Brian 6
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 2
Glavine, Tom 6
Heilman, Aaron 2
Hernandez, Orlando 0
Maine, John 7
Milledge, Lastings 7
Trachsel, Steve 2
Valentin, Jose 6

GYC
Jul 30 2006 10:02 AM

Edit: On second thought, I'll wait for the trade deadline to pass.

Elster88
Jul 31 2006 07:24 AM

Cheater.

Elster88
Aug 01 2006 10:19 AM

I'm glad Nady wasn't part of this game.

Benjamin Grimm
Aug 01 2006 11:16 AM

I hadn't even considered that he might be on the bubble.

If he had been part of the game, the voting would have closed now.

Benjamin Grimm
Aug 26 2006 09:31 AM

This thing will close on August 31.

Benjamin Grimm
Aug 31 2006 09:12 AM

Final reminder. If you don't play, you won't be able to win the prize that won't be awarded.

MFS62
Aug 31 2006 09:35 AM

Bannister, Brian 8 (definite maybe A/O 8/31)
Delgado, Carlos 10
Floyd, Cliff 0 (I dunno, is there a 365 day DL?)
Glavine, Tom 8 (The Mets look better to him in his quest for 300 wins than Atlanta does. And Atlanta seems to be the only other option he would consider)
Heilman, Aaron 8 (somebody up there likes him, but not in the way he would prefer.)
Hernandez, Orlando 4 (Let's see how much of his playoff magic he still retains)
Maine, John 10
Milledge, Lastings 10 (you said in the organization, so I guess that means the player could be in the minors)
Trachsel, Steve 5 (you could take a tough PR hit for not renewing a Cy Young winner.)
Valentin, Jose 4 (He could be the next Marlon Anderson - played so well that he was attractive to other teams. So the Mets might not be able to retain him for less money than he could get elsewhere.)

Later

metsmarathon
Aug 31 2006 10:48 AM
Re: Predictions: Who's staying and who's going, 2006 edition

Bannister, Brian - 10
Delgado, Carlos - 10
Floyd, Cliff - 2
Glavine, Tom - 9
Heilman, Aaron - 7
Hernandez, Orlando - 0
Maine, John - 10
Milledge, Lastings - 9
Trachsel, Steve - 2
Valentin, Jose - 2

Benjamin Grimm
Nov 16 2006 01:08 PM

Orlando Hernandez got a lot of zeroes in this game.

More of a mixed bag for Valentin.