Master Index of Archived Threads
Mid-Term Elections 2006 Thread
Valadius Sep 05 2006 12:57 PM |
No one made a 2006 elections thread? Wow...
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Edgy DC Sep 05 2006 01:09 PM |
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Like every two years.
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sharpie Sep 05 2006 01:30 PM |
No thread because, other than Connecticut, local elections in the area are kind of dull. Foregone conclusions in both Senate and Governor in NY. Hard to see Kean winning in New Jersey during such a Democratic year.
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 05 2006 01:59 PM |
Big Senate race where I vote, in Pennsylvania.
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Willets Point Sep 05 2006 02:15 PM |
Lieberman's a weenie.
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Valadius Sep 05 2006 02:18 PM |
There's plenty of action going on locally. In NJ's 7th District, Linda Stender (D) is running a tight race against Rep. Mike Ferguson (R). There is of course the NJ Senate race, where Sen. Bob Menendez (D) is going up against Tom Kean Jr. (R), who's got a whole lot of skeletons in his closet. In Brooklyn, Rep. Major Owens (D) is retiring, and there's a competitive primary going on there. In upstate NY, Rep. Sherwood Boehlert (R) is retiring, and the race to replace him is a toss-up.
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Willets Point Sep 06 2006 12:28 PM |
Author/radio host/drunk Malachy McCourt is running for governor of New York, on the Green Party ticket no less. That should be entertaining at the least.
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Nymr83 Sep 07 2006 03:08 AM |
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of course, his opponent had posters that were essentially a caricature of Allen as a hook-nosed jew with money coming out of his pockets, so whoever wins this one the people of VA lose.
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MFS62 Sep 07 2006 06:21 AM |
MIAMI - Rep. Katherine Harris (news, bio, voting record), who as secretary of state oversaw Florida's 2000 recount that gave George Bush the presidency, easily won the Republican nomination to challenge Sen. Bill Nelson (news, bio, voting record), shrugging off critics who derided her campaign as spectacularly inept.
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RealityChuck Sep 07 2006 01:18 PM |
And for New York State Attorney General primary, you have two of New York's biggest assholes running against each other.
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Rotblatt Sep 07 2006 01:37 PM |
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. . . which is really saying a lot.
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 07 2006 01:42 PM |
Yeah! Doesn't it say "BIG ASSHOLES" on the New York license plate?
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Willets Point Sep 07 2006 01:48 PM |
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I have a disturbing image of a literal interpretation of this comment.
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HahnSolo Sep 07 2006 04:43 PM |
Liebermann is running as an independent in Connecticut now that he lost the Dem. primary, right? What happens if pulls an upset and wins the general election--is he classified as an Independent in the Senate? He wouldn't be considered a Democrat still, would he?
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 07 2006 04:48 PM |
The Senate has one independent, Jeffords of Vermont. He said that he'll be "voting as a Democrat." As I understand it, his "voting as" helps determine which party controls the Senate. If the Senate had 49 Republicans, 50 Democrats, and Jeffords, it would end up as a majority for the Democrats.
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sharpie Sep 07 2006 04:50 PM |
Lieberman is running as an "independent Democrat" and has said he will sit and vote with the Democrats (same as Jeffords).
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Nymr83 Sep 07 2006 10:52 PM |
as i understand it the choice of speaker of the house and president pro-tem (sp?) of the senate has traditionally been a party thing but is legally a matter of voting, democrats could choose to put a republican in charge, or an independent in charge, if they wanted to. so i dont think that jeffers/lieberman really affect that any. but i might be wrong.
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sharpie Sep 08 2006 09:31 AM |
Sure, any Republican could vote for Harry Reid to lead the Senate or any Democrat could vote for whomever succeeds Frist but it is highly unlikely to happen.
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Nymr83 Sep 08 2006 03:33 PM |
so lieberman's running as an indepedent has no actual bearing, other than giving the networks something to talk about when they are trying to fill all that dead-air time between results on election night.
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Edgy DC Sep 08 2006 03:46 PM |
It has a bearing, as his primary defeat was portrayed as the beginning of the Democrats re-establishing themselves as the anti-war party, the war being an issue the media presumes the party intends to run on.
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cooby Sep 08 2006 04:10 PM |
Yancy, what do you think about the Swann/Rendell matchup?
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metirish Sep 08 2006 04:14 PM |
Well Swannie is a power pitcher while Rendell is a soft throwing leftie...you decide.
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 08 2006 04:43 PM |
I kinda like Rendell. He'll get my vote.
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Valadius Sep 11 2006 11:33 AM |
A fun race to watch is for Governor of Texas. Gov. Rick Perry (R) is running for re-election, with former Rep. Chris Bell (D) the Democratic challenger. But then things start to get interesting. Kinky Friedman, the musician and novelist, is running an independent campaign. Also running as an independent is state comptroller Carole Keeton Strayhorn, mother of former White House press secretary Scott McClellan and former Medicare chief Mark McClellan. A recent poll showed Perry in front with 35%, with Bell, Friedman, and Strayhorn all tied at 18% each.
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 11 2006 11:37 AM |
Kinky Friedman, huh?
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cooby Sep 11 2006 11:38 AM |
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Me too. (I forgot I asked you this)
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Valadius Sep 11 2006 11:41 AM |
Oh yeah, Imus was promoting the hell out of Kinky's campaign all summer.
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Edgy DC Sep 11 2006 12:01 PM |
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Sounds like, for all the fun, it's a fait accompli for Perry. The problem with a crowded field is that it favors the guy with the biggest war chest. That's why all the grass-root progressives shouldn't have been so shocked when --- despite their ground work for Howard Dean --- John Kerry still punched him out in Iowa. No surprise that NPR darlin' Friedman appeals more outside of Texas than in the state itself.
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Yancy Street Gang Sep 12 2006 03:57 PM |
The race would be a lot more interesting if Texas gubernatorial elections had a wild card.
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Valadius Sep 13 2006 12:07 AM |
Yancy, you crack me up!
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TheOldMole Sep 13 2006 01:20 PM |
My pal John Hall (of Orleans) won the Democratic nomination for the 19th Congressional District. There were four candidates in the race, which leads me to believe the Dems feel they have a shot at unseating the incumbent.
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ABG Sep 13 2006 02:13 PM |
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Sadly your friend doesn't have much of a shot. The district hasn't been at all competitive for Kelly, it's not a top 50 race.
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Willets Point Oct 20 2006 12:55 AM |
Next up: Politics!
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Valadius Oct 20 2006 01:02 AM |
Damn right.
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Valadius Oct 31 2006 03:08 PM |
We're one week away from Election Day, folks.
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seawolf17 Oct 31 2006 03:26 PM |
Damn right.
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sharpie Oct 31 2006 03:58 PM |
Latest polls have Mole's friend Oates within 5 points of Sue Kelly.
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metirish Oct 31 2006 03:59 PM |
Leiberman should win in CT, and rightly so IMO.
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ABG Oct 31 2006 04:52 PM |
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Yep, things sure have changed over there--I was premature in saying he didn't have a shot. It still seems unlikely, but the trend has been for many more districts to be in play.
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KC Oct 31 2006 05:05 PM |
One more week of over-dramatic advertising that throws around big verbs and
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Willets Point Oct 31 2006 05:30 PM |
Anyone have any interesting ballot questions?
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KC Oct 31 2006 07:11 PM |
Yes.
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seawolf17 Oct 31 2006 07:18 PM |
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I don't have any particular love for Lieberman, but I really do enjoy the "I'M STICKING WITH JOE" signs. They make me laugh.
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Nymr83 Oct 31 2006 09:34 PM |
i do like lieberman and wish i lived in CT to vote for him. i also love the idea of someone getting elected as an independent, though he is the incumbent so its not likely to start any kind of trend or anything
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 01 2006 07:51 AM |
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The Democrats even have a shot at a House seat in Wyoming, of all places. The debate mistake that the incumbent made is unbelievable. From The Daily News:
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metirish Nov 01 2006 08:28 AM |
John Kerry is such an asshole....
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KC Nov 01 2006 09:09 AM |
I think he's pretty damn amusing .... "duh, what can I do to help?"
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metirish Nov 01 2006 09:12 AM |
His "joke" yeaterday wasn't that funny though....
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TransMonk Nov 01 2006 09:49 AM |
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Our races aren't very close this time around for offices in Wisconsin. The ballot questions are the main reason people from my state will be going to the polls next week: Question 1: MARRIAGE. "Shall section 13 of article XIII of the constitution be created to provide that only a marriage between one man and one woman shall be valid or recognized as a marriage in this state and that a legal status identical or substantially similar to that of marriage for unmarried individuals shall not be valid or recognized in this state?” Question 2: DEATH PENALTY. "Should the death penalty be enacted in the State of Wisconsin for cases involving a person who is convicted of first-degree intentional homicide, if the conviction is supported by DNA evidence?"
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Vic Sage Nov 01 2006 09:56 AM |
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yes, i have an interesting ballot question. why are our ballots now being processed electronically, using software by a Brazillian controlled company?
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KC Nov 01 2006 09:57 AM |
I'm just goofing around, irish ... his comments remind me of that lady going
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Frayed Knot Nov 01 2006 09:59 AM |
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I heard it from a Venezuelan company, and one that has reputed ties to Hugo Chavez to boot.
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metirish Nov 01 2006 10:03 AM |
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Oh I knew you were goofing around, I want to like Kerry but I can't...I really hope he doesn't run for Pres in 08.
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cooby Nov 01 2006 10:06 AM |
I hung up on him last week
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 01 2006 10:16 AM |
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I'd vote NO on question 1 and YES on question 2. Question 1 looks designed to get "red" voters to the polls, but I wonder who'd be more galvanized by question 2, the "reds" or the "blues"? Probably the "reds", I guess.
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Edgy DC Nov 01 2006 10:20 AM Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Nov 01 2006 10:22 AM |
World. Of. Trash.
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KC Nov 01 2006 10:21 AM |
White white
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Farmer Ted Nov 01 2006 10:43 AM |
I'm new to my area so I asked my neighbor for some election insight.
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TransMonk Nov 01 2006 10:47 AM |
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I'm going no for both. I couldn't care less if two people of the same sex want to get married and have the benefits of that union. I also feel life without parole is a far worse punishment than death. I've always considered pro-death penalty arguments to be red. The whole eye for an eye thing. It will be interesting to see how these questions turn out. Wisconsin has been a moderate state for a while now and has turned progressively blue over the past several elections with 2 dem senators and a dem governor as well as backing both Gore and Kerry. I agree that these questions are designed to bring out the red.
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Nymr83 Nov 01 2006 10:10 PM |
the death penalty should be an automatic winner in Wyoming, especially with the limitation that there needs to be DNA evidence.
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soupcan Nov 01 2006 11:07 PM |
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I'm not a huge John Kerry fan myself but c'mon. If we are to believe that it was a joke he miffed - that being that if you are smart you can get a good a job and if you are not you get stuck in Iraq - that was trying to make light of Bush not being an intelligent guy and that's why this country is in Iraq, then it was simply a dumb joke that he screwed up. Why the fuss over that? If you don't believe that explanation and think what he was really trying to say is that enlisting in the military is one of the few options for people who aren't smart enough to get into college, then why the uproar? We all know that's true. He was just pointing it out. Sure it wasn't p.c. but is this news to anyone? The republicans latch onto this crap knowing that they need SOMETHING to rally the troops ('troops' in this case meaning voters). It only bworks if people allow themselves to be sheep and don't stop to take the time and fucking think. People need to stop being so partisan and sanctimonious.
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Nymr83 Nov 01 2006 11:21 PM |
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i dont believe his explanation. and the military is better educated than the general population, this isn't the Vietnam era anymore.
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metirish Nov 01 2006 11:24 PM |
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Karl Rove loves this shit....I mean Kerry miffed..again..remember in 04 when he was pictured surfing..Rove ran with that..typical North East Liberal...nice tan and all that crap...for a smart man Kerry can be as dumb as shit.
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Edgy DC Nov 01 2006 11:50 PM |
I guess there's maybe a 50% chance of Kerry's explanation being true. His position is kind of silly. The record suggests he was just as indifferent a college student as Bush, despite going to the same school in the same era with the same sort of background of legendary northeastern prep schools. You want to attack Bush's policy, attack it like the smart man you think you are, not like a snarky comic. "This is the most important campaign of your lifetime."
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Vic Sage Nov 02 2006 10:33 AM |
oh, please. go listen to the context of the statement. He was talking to students, and had just made a snarky bush comment about his living not in the state of texas but the state of denial (or something lame like that). He was making another snarky comment about Bush's famous academic mediocrity, and taking a shot at his mismanagement of the Iraq war, when he obviously blew the punchline.
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Johnny Dickshot Nov 02 2006 10:42 AM |
I'm with Vic here. In the end, a dumb thing to say by Kerry, and perhaps badly said, but it was clear the joke was supposed to be "Bush is stoopit" and not "troops are stoopit." But people just fall all over themselves to be insulted.
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KC Nov 02 2006 10:49 AM |
The right guy for the job is guy I'm voting for, one who has the guts to stand
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Edgy DC Nov 02 2006 10:58 AM |
My point is that he'd do us all a huge favor if he'd stop being a snark and start being the better statesman that he's certain he is.
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KC Nov 02 2006 11:10 AM |
My guy doesn't talk, he listens. And he doesn't listen to the money or the
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Edgy DC Nov 02 2006 11:13 AM |
Somebody throw a bucket on KC, because he's on fire.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 02 2006 01:36 PM |
Imagine how Bobby Valentine must feel. George W. Bush fired him, but he refuses to fire Donald Rumsfeld.
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Iubitul Nov 02 2006 01:40 PM |
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I'm Iubitul, and I approve of this message.
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MFS62 Nov 02 2006 01:50 PM |
The Kerry thing reminds me of a story about when Nixon was President. He called a Republican running for Congress in New Jersey. He told the candidate "I'll come out for you or against you, whichever you think will help you the most".
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sharpie Nov 02 2006 02:02 PM |
Kerry's statement won't change a single vote one way or the other.
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MFS62 Nov 02 2006 02:08 PM |
You're probably right, Sharpie.
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Willets Point Nov 02 2006 02:34 PM |
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This will never happen. The reason why is despite the low ratings right now, the second the US is hit in a terrorist attack, Bush's approval rating will shoot right back up and the sheeple will demand that we strike Iraq or Syria or North Korea hard. Anyone who spoke out against Bush or the war will then receive public humiliation. No politician has the guts to put everything on the line under these circumstances. Face it, this is Bush's country, we just live in it and nothing is going to change that.
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Edgy DC Nov 02 2006 02:45 PM |
I disagree. And I think the opposition can do better to oppose him than make tired and long-since irrelevant cracks about his academic performance.
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KC Nov 02 2006 03:46 PM |
Yeah, I have trouble buying that a terrorist attack would be a boon for anyone.
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Frayed Knot Nov 02 2006 03:46 PM |
"No politician has the guts to put everything on the line under these circumstances."
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Willets Point Nov 02 2006 04:19 PM |
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You're not going to find them in the Democratic party. The Democrats in Congress voted for the war, voted for the Patriot Act, and except at election time pretty much back every other aspect of the Bush administration agenda as well.
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metsmarathon Nov 02 2006 04:26 PM |
i'm embarrassed by the uproar over the "insult" kerry gave to the troops. i mean, my god, the mock outrage over it all!
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 02 2006 04:35 PM |
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Some will say, "See? He hasn't made us safer!" And others will say, "See? He's right, this is a dangerous world and we need someone as vigilant as he is!" I can't imagine that another major terrorist attack on the "homeland" will help Bush's approval ratings, but I've been surprised before by what influences the electorate.
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sharpie Nov 02 2006 04:39 PM |
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Of course, but the words and actions of the fictional characters were at least written by a candidate who is currently on the ballot, unlike John Kerry. I don't think people are going to say "I'm not going to vote for the Democratic candidate in my congressional district because John Kerry insulted the military."
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Frayed Knot Nov 02 2006 04:52 PM |
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My point exactly. But saying that opposition isn't happening is a far cry from saying that it can't. Unwilling does not equal unable.
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Nymr83 Nov 02 2006 05:01 PM |
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if anyone other than kerry had said this it probably wouldnt be such a big deal, but he has a history of demeaning the military. i don't think he was joking, he got caught blurting out one of those opinions that a good PC politician needs to hide. not only is this particular opinion not PC, but its dead wrong. the military is better educated than the general population.
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OlerudOwned Nov 02 2006 07:41 PM |
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http://www.insidebayarea.com/oaklandtribune/localnews/ci_4588048
Heh.
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Nymr83 Nov 02 2006 07:48 PM |
doesnt seem incredibly serious, all that worries me is that the guy in charge of state elections didnt know about it. (although maybe he knew and realized that making it public just increased the risk)
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metirish Nov 02 2006 09:02 PM |
Right now on HBO there is a documentry about the way votes are counted.."Hacking Democracy".
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Nymr83 Nov 02 2006 09:24 PM |
well, thats the problem with television, a documentary called "despite a few issues, everything runs pretty smoothly most of the time" wouldn't draw many viewers.
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KC Nov 02 2006 09:36 PM |
I think that counting votes with a computer, or electronically, or any other
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metsmarathon Nov 02 2006 10:06 PM |
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i'd like to see that backed up.
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Nymr83 Nov 02 2006 10:28 PM |
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from an opinion piece in yesterday's post (link below)
[url]http://www.nypost.com/seven/11012006/postopinion/editorials/dems_troop_basher______editorials_.htm[/url] here's an article from the Heritage Foundation, with links to other relevant articles and research linked within it: [url]http://policy.heritageblogs.org/2006/11/about_our_soliders.html[/url]
[url]http://www.heritage.org/Research/NationalSecurity/cda06-09.cfm[/url] if you only read one link read this one as it breaks down recent "wartime" recruits and shows that they have a higher avg income, higher high school graduation rate, and are very close to racially representative as well of the population.
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metsmarathon Nov 03 2006 10:14 AM |
i'm sorry, all that data tells me is that they aren't as dumb as the general population. but are they as smart?
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cooby Nov 03 2006 10:19 AM |
I think the recruiters the other night said that you must score a 30 percentile on the test to be accepted.
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MFS62 Nov 03 2006 10:50 AM |
Some personal insight about the educational level of the military;
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Vic Sage Nov 03 2006 11:33 AM |
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You don't think Kerry was joking because you don't want to. It's convenient for you to ignore the entire context and the obviousness of the flubbed joke, because it goes along with your preconcieved notions about Kerry. You'd rather go along (knowingly or not) with the cynical conservative agenda to use Kerry as a scarecrow to frighten off undecideds next week from voting for any of those army-hating Democrats. Normally, i'd make some lame crack here about how you must be a soldier to say something this stupid, but i'll restrain myself. I don't want to flub a punchline on the chance of being taken seriously.
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metsmarathon Nov 03 2006 11:54 AM |
yeah, see, the problem with using those tests as the basis for any type of claim as to the intelligence of the military as compared to the general population is that the general population doesn't take them.
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MFS62 Nov 03 2006 12:04 PM |
I tried to answer that in my response. The 140 score on the GT test seems to be equivalent to a 140 IQ, because that is the IQ required for entrance into MENSA.
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MFS62 Nov 03 2006 01:03 PM |
Here in the 5th Congressional District in Connecticut, incumbent Republican Nancy Johnson has been putting on some really nasty ads in her fight against Cris Murphy.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 03 2006 01:05 PM |
Here's the ad MFS62 mentioned:
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MFS62 Nov 03 2006 01:10 PM |
Thanks, Yancy.
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 03:25 PM |
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i dont Think Kerry was joking because i put his remarks in the xontext of his past remarks, yes it goes along with my preconceived notons about him, notions based upon the facts of his past speeches. i DON'T think thjat the majority of democrats necessarily agree with him, i DO think that it would be a great reason to vote against Kerry if his seat were up for election this week...but trying to paint the Democrats as soldier-hating because of Kerry is like trying to paint the Republicans as a bunch of Bush-clones, which happens to be what many democrat campaigns are doing.
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 03:29 PM |
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the higher graduation rate for military recruits is proof enough, unless someone else has any proof going in the other direction.
i thought it said somewhere, and forgive me for i may have read this in an article that i didn't link, that the general population was shown to score a 50 on this test (with the average military recruit grade being 60)
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sharpie Nov 03 2006 03:50 PM |
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I really hate the way political advertisements have gone this season but, frankly, I don't have an objection to Democrats trying to associate Republicans with Bush nor with Republicans trying to associate Democrats with either Ted Kennedy/Hillary Clinton/Nancy Pelosi. What is unfair is associating candidates with, say, Osama bin Laden or, in the case of an Arizona house race, the Republican campaign is equating the Democrat with being a NAMBLA supporter since she is a lawyer who did some volunteer work on one case with the ACLU (not NAMBLA related) and, since the ACLU have apparently defended NAMBLA in some case, ergo she is a NAMBLA supporter. This whole system is outta whack.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 03 2006 03:58 PM |
I wouldn't think that higher graduation rate for military recruits is proof of smartness. Doesn't the military pay for the education, or at least a large part of it? Not all college dropouts quit because of finances, but I'm sure many do. For the military subset, that becomes less of a factor.
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metirish Nov 03 2006 04:01 PM |
On The CBS Evening News yesterday they had a segment showing how some candidates were using humor in their TV Ads and even making fun of themselves,one even had the cavemen in his bit,kinda fuunt too,then they showed a study that says negitive ads work best because people are more likely to believe it over positive/humor filled ones.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 03 2006 04:03 PM |
I've been thinking that if I was a candidate smeared by a TV ad, I'd try filming a commerical where I play clips from the attack ad and laugh them off.
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 04:09 PM |
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high school graduation rates. i havent seen a study of college rates
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 04:17 PM |
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i wouldn't wish being associated with Pelosi on anyone, one of the best pieces of ammunition that any GOP House candidate has this season is "a vote for my opponent, no matter how respectable he might be, is a vote for Pelosi as speaker of the house" thats an unfortunate side to the election, if the Democrats win it will be because of moderate Democrats taking seats in "Red" or middle ground states, but the "moderate" voters will then be stuck with a far-left speaker in Pelosi and far-left chairman of the ways and means committee in NY's own Charles Rangel. what would be great (but wouldnt happen) is if the House was so closely divided that a few moderates could stand up and say "fuck seniority and party lines, we won't endorse anyone for speaker that doesnt meet our personal approval."
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 04:18 PM |
did anyone hear about hte race up in Vermont where both candidates have agreed, and so far gone along with, not smearing each other? they must be talking about issues and stuff, it must be an amaing sight.
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sharpie Nov 03 2006 04:48 PM |
Vermont is a civilized place.
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Edgy DC Nov 03 2006 07:11 PM |
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I think guilt by association is silly, insulting, and unsurprising when it slides to a tenuous multiple degrees.
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metsmarathon Nov 03 2006 10:48 PM |
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seeing as how its been a requirement until very crecently that they only take recruits with a HS diploma or GED, i'd be surprised if the high school graduation rate for our men in uniform weren't near 100%. so the floor doesn't go as low as the general population. that's fine. i already concede that point. (yancy's point about graduation rates not being an indication of smartness still holds true. plenty of people fail to graduate high school for reasons other than lack of smarts. those same reasons probably would make them poor soldier recruits. graduation rate, imo, is a very poor means of comparing intelligence, especially since its a pass/fail measure, and the floor of the military population is higher. it gives no indication as to where the average lies for either.) if you can point me to any information about that test whereupon the general population averages a 50, but soldiers average a 60, i'd love to see it. i suspect it's more of a soldier aptitude test than a smartness test, but that's fine. i've personally neither heard of it nor taken it. is it administered in school, or would i have to walk to the recruiters' office to take it. i would still hold that if we're to argue the smartness of the members of our military, it should be on a scorecard that is accessible to a statistically viable portion of the general population. since the majority of the military are high school graduates, perhaps we could compare them against other high school graduates (and non graduates alike - toss them into the population!) and look at HS GPAs. i've no idea where to find that data, but i'm sure its out there. i really do hate to be a pain in the ass about all this. its just that i've been finding myself in more and more of a situation where i'm esxposed to statistical analyses and its really getting to irritate me when they are ill applied and ill understood. edit: here's what i'm saying... (god, i am such a geek. and loser. but mostly geek) at best, all you're telling me is that i can chop off the lower tail on this plot, which assumes that the intelligence of the population is normally distributed, and use that to describe the intelligence of the military population. and if the folks in the military were exactly the same, smartwise, as everyone else in teh country, but didn't include the dumbest, then they'd have a distribution like the green curve. however, you're claiming that the blue curve really shows the true case - that the military population is smarter than the average american population. but, it could also be like the red curve, where they're not as dumb as dumb can be, but they're still dumber than average. does that all make sense? (i think it does.) does anyone care? (prolly not.) look, all i'm saying is that what you're trying to do with the graduation rate - setting a floor - is like me looking at the houston astros, saying they had only three position players with lower than 0.200 batting averages, but the mets had 6 position players with lower than 0.200 batting averages, therefore, the astros had a better offense. and that data doesn't support the conclusion.
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metsmarathon Nov 03 2006 11:27 PM |
now that i've drawn up a powerpoint slide that depicts something to do with probaility and statistics, saved it as a picture, uploaded it to a website, and linked to that picture, in a side discussion about a failed joke by a largely irrelevant politician, within a voting thread about miterm elections, in the non-baseball section of a baseball forum, i'm conclusively proven that i am a BIG LOSER. and will now stop.
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Nymr83 Nov 03 2006 11:43 PM |
i think anyone who has read this thread much is such a loser.
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ScarletKnight41 Nov 06 2006 02:45 PM |
My phone is ringing off the hook with these fucking pre-recorded messages soliciting my vote.
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Nymr83 Nov 06 2006 04:26 PM |
i hang up on any and all recordings no matter who they are from or what they are about.
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Methead Nov 06 2006 10:23 PM |
I had 5 messages when I got home today.
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Nymr83 Nov 06 2006 10:38 PM |
which is worse: the political ads in election season or the christmas music that starts in mid-november and doesnt end until after the new year?
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Valadius Nov 07 2006 01:02 AM |
Happy Election Day!
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Edgy DC Nov 07 2006 09:38 AM |
The Shays/Farrell race is interesting. Both have tried to play nice. But the national parties see the district as key and both have advocates (national committees and 527 groups) running attacks and pressuring the candidates to fight dirtier.
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Farmer Ted Nov 07 2006 09:52 AM |
My state senator is up for re-election and was handing out pens at the polls this morning. I say, "is this for my write-in vote?" He looked befuddled.
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HahnSolo Nov 07 2006 10:10 AM |
11 hours till the guy who sang "Still the One" becomes my congressional representative.
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soupcan Nov 07 2006 10:30 AM |
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Both Shays and Farrel are very likeable, smart and hardworking folks. I've known Farrel for about 5 years now and have met Shays on more than a few occasions. It's a tough choice between the two and I do admire the 'clean' campaigns that both have run. As with the rest of the country it's 'Iraq -vs- Taxes'. My vote went to Farrel this morning.
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TheOldMole Nov 07 2006 11:36 AM |
Hahn -- he also has a not insignificant reputation for service, as school board president and county legislator, as well as any number of volunteer jobs. Not to mention that he's smart and fiercely hard-working.
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ScarletKnight41 Nov 07 2006 11:57 AM |
Val's efforts to get me off of the Menendez spam list have been woefully ineffective.
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Johnny Dickshot Nov 07 2006 12:05 PM |
Larry Sabato predicts +35 Dems (6 Senate, 29 House), advantgage in each house
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Valadius Nov 07 2006 01:30 PM |
I'm going to the DSCC's Election Night party tonight.
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HahnSolo Nov 07 2006 02:35 PM |
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I know. I'm voting for him. But I also know whenever anybody asks who my congressman is, I'll say John Hall, the guy who sang "Still the One."
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seawolf17 Nov 07 2006 03:00 PM |
Hey, if we wanted someone fiercely hardworking, we'd elect a pack mule. I'll settle for "somewhat less corrupt than the rest of 'em."
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Edgy DC Nov 07 2006 03:05 PM |
Mettle for Congress!
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OlerudOwned Nov 07 2006 04:00 PM |
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Anthony B. Fisher, write-in for New Jersey's Senate seat.
Is Anthony B. Fisher an alias or something? http://www.geocities.com/fisher4senate/fisher4NJsenate.html
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ScarletKnight41 Nov 07 2006 04:07 PM |
Gotta go with Freakin' Rutgers MLIS librarians! <g>
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soupcan Nov 07 2006 04:11 PM |
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Hmm, I don't know. I thought GWB was Bobby's compadre.
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Edgy DC Nov 07 2006 04:19 PM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Nov 07 2006 04:46 PM |
No, Shays is who I'm thinking of. He and Valentine are both straight outa Stamford.
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Methead Nov 07 2006 04:40 PM |
They're predicting 70% voter turnout in CT today.
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KC Nov 07 2006 04:53 PM |
I voted Republican across the board today ... thought of posting about it
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TheOldMole Nov 07 2006 05:02 PM |
Hahn -- and you're still having fun.
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ScarletKnight41 Nov 07 2006 05:15 PM |
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I'd say I canceled you out, except that we have different races down here.
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TheOldMole Nov 07 2006 06:05 PM |
Interesting vote up here, if you were trying to vote a straight party line, or a straight ideological line. For sheriff, one candidate was running on the Democrat - Conservative lines, the other on the Republican - Working Families lines.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 06:50 PM |
Watching the news it look slike a vey big turn out nation wide,exit polls have the Dems winning big..of course in 04 it was the same..should be an interesting night.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 08:45 PM |
CNN reporting that Menendez wins that nasty race in Jersey..
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ScarletKnight41 Nov 07 2006 09:15 PM |
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Maybe now the asshole will finally stop spamming me. I hat him by this point.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 09:52 PM |
KC is conservative or was there a missing sarcasm meter there? i thought i was the only one here.
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metsmarathon Nov 07 2006 09:59 PM |
people who get services.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 10:03 PM |
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Because we all know we have too pay taxes,and maybe most also know that we don't need a stupid war...how can you compare higher taxes with high death counts of troops and innocent people?
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:05 PM |
i'd rather decide for myself what "services" i need, private enterprise also has more incentive to be efficient. yeah people who get overpaid by our tzes must love them, i wish we could gut every senator and representative who voted themself a raise on their already six figure salaries.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:07 PM |
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we dont have high death counts, thats just your perception because the liberal media rubs it in your face every night. we have a pretty low death count compared to all previous wars... but thats not really my point, my point is that the republicans let it be about what the democrats wanted it to be about, did you see any ads warning of the higher taxes that would be coming, maybe a picture of Pelosi and Hillary taking money from a family? i'm just saying the republicans missed out on a very good issue
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:09 PM |
oh and as for "innocent people" more innocent iraqis died under saddam every day than do under our occupation, at least now they can die while their country fights to establish a democracy instead of dying to keep saddam in power.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 10:14 PM |
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No,America if fighting to establish a democracy...not the Iraqi people..."stay the course" and " don't cut and run" and your troop death count might get so high as to bother you.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:22 PM |
so we should just leave an let anarchy take over? regardless of your opinions on the justification for the war in the first place i believe we have DUTY as the occupying power to restore security on the ground there. Yes, there comes a point where our presense is just of no use, but i think we are far away from that point and we should "stay the course" (or rather, improve the course) until that time comes.
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metsmarathon Nov 07 2006 10:24 PM |
private enterprise has as their primary goal to be profitable
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metirish Nov 07 2006 10:27 PM |
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I said no such thing,obviously the troops can't be just pulled out, future leaders of this country will still be dealing with Iraq...IMO at this stage the country should be divided along eithnic lines...split it into three seperate states...some countries need a dictator,Iraq had one..a prick to be sure but it's not any better off now..
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:38 PM |
its better off by virtue of his being gone as you couldnt have change until he was gone. i don't think a "3 state solution" is a good idea at this time because the iraqis, or at least the sunnis and shiites, dont seem to really want that either. maybe the Kurds would love that (and maybe supporting them in that when they rebelled against saddam would have been a bright idea, but the time is passed for that) but it would only us universal hatred wlsewhere in the country.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 10:43 PM |
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But we could say that about Sudan too, so why are we not "spreading freedom" there?... And why did we need change in Iraq?,do we need change in North Korea,Iran?..where does it stop...
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:47 PM |
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if only the government actually acted that way. government has as its primary goal (in both parties) benefitting their "friends" be it big business, big unions, or whoever else. profit is a good goal, because in order to be profittable you must be efficient, now certainly i'll agree that there are some functions that government is either better at or must be done by government for other reasons (defense might be one, we have a strong interest in not having private armies running around) the private sector already DOES do a better job at education and at things like healthcare, the solution may not be to make those things public but to regulate them so as to benefit those who legitimately can't afford them. lets say you wanted to have universal healthcare (i'm not taking sides on this issue, just using it as an example of something we currently don't have) you could create a huge, wasteful government agency, filled with positions that politicians can give to their backers as rewards for political service... or you could spend less per person and get the same benefits by not only forcing Healthcare providers to compete over the people who can pay, but by offering them $X to cover those people who can't pay (and those people will choose their provider, thus providing great incentive for those enterprises to provide the best benefits efficiently)
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 10:52 PM |
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cant do everything at once can we? one would hope that the whole world will one day be a democracy, but you have to start somewhere. and the logical place to start would be with those who A) murder their own people and B) are a danger to others outside their country. Believe me i would love nothing more than to march into Darfur and stop the rampaging murderous arab rapists. the left (particularly the hollywood crowd) likes to talk about Darfur, but what would they like to DO about it? do they favor military intervention by the U.S.? alone if necessary? because anything short of ACTION isn't going to make a damn difference.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 10:59 PM |
You lose your argument because this war was not about "spreading freedom",it was about WMD,that never showed up,if Bush or Blair cared about democracy then Sudan would be an issue,Bush was pushed into the international scene by 9/11..to say he has failed IMO is an understatment.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:03 PM |
what would YOU do about Sudan?
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:05 PM |
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from FOXnews.com, one of the many important ballot questions today (i wish NY had something worth voting on!) on edit- the virginia marriage amendment is 58%-42% in favor of defining marriage as btwn 1 man and 1 woman and not recognizing foreign marriages to the contrary, again i wish NY would have a worthwhile referendum
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metirish Nov 07 2006 11:15 PM |
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Well that's a loaded question, I wish the UN meant something,but it really doesn't,I wish Bush cared more ,I never hear him talk about Sudan,maybe one time,but it's not just Bush,trying to get anything done in Africa is not easy....having said that though Bush could do more by even speaking about it and putting pressure on the African National Congress to do more...it seems to me that the world could care less about Dafur.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:16 PM |
i found my first song for the contest this year in honor of the democrats taking the house:
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:20 PM |
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why does Bush have to do everything? where are all these European countries? why don't they make a stand? i honestly think the UN is irrelevant, maybe the new guy coming in in january will make some sweeping changes there but right now its a pretty useless organ. you're right the world doesnt seem to care, because the media doesnt care. if the media gave 1/10th of the coverage to Sudan that it gives to Iraq or even to the Israeli-Palestinian conflict the world would care more.
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metirish Nov 07 2006 11:24 PM |
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I agree that Europe should do more, but this country has so much clout,if Bush cared then maybe the world would....I'm not saying Bush should do everthing,but please do something.....this is genocide on a huge scale..and it's not even in the media...WTF?
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:28 PM |
yes there is a genocide going on. i welcome France, with its higher than us per capita military spending, to get off its ass and do something. everyone talks and talks but who else has the balls to get something done? theres a whole world of neville chamberlains out there sitting on their asses deluding themselves into thinking that if they just do nothig the world will become a better safer place.
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Edgy DC Nov 07 2006 11:46 PM |
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Come on. This one is not about Bush caring. You want your government to act, pressure them to act. And no, no countries need dictators.
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Nymr83 Nov 07 2006 11:52 PM |
Val (or anyone else who might know) what determines when a race gets called? i see the senate race in MD "called" for the guy with a 50-48% lead with 57% of precincts reporting but i see much larger gaps that haven't been "called" yet, what the deal? is it a state by state thing?
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metirish Nov 07 2006 11:55 PM |
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Ok,fine, but then don't be a Pres that talks about Freedom and spreading democracy only in Iraq....
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 12:13 AM |
I'm not a president of any sort. Does it really comfort you in the face of a decade-plus-long humanitarian crisis to be able to hang that one over the president?
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Gwreck Nov 08 2006 12:24 AM |
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It's a combination of exit polls and the leads that candidates have in the various counties, given that there are typically counties within each state that lean heavily one way or the other (also true on the precinct level within each county).
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metsmarathon Nov 08 2006 12:33 AM |
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if only businesses operated as efficiently as possible. or have we not seen the paychecks of CEO's lately? the private sector does a better job at education because by charging higher rates and controlling enrollment, they don't face overcrowding, and can better afford to expel underperforming or disruptive students. they can also be selective in their enrollment, as they control the supply of available class space, which is typically outpaced by demand. indeed, the educational system could end up like new jersey's auto insurance industry. those who are deemed unprofitable are prevented entry into the system. there are a lot of uninsured drivers in new jersey. the other point worth considering is that the cost of an individual's education would become very prohibitive. instead of, in a public school system, spreading the cost of a single child's education across multiple households makes that cost more manageable. in effect, instead of paying for your child's education from pre-K to 12th grade, you spread that expense throughout your adult life, thereby reducing the impact on lower- and middle- income families for education. and even if you did manage to work out those issues, you would still need to have government oversight over the whole situation to ensure that the public's best interest were maintained. and lets not even get into any potential enron situations, shall we? ah hell, its too late for me to discuss my socialistic leanings... government should provide necessary basic services for its citizens. education, defense, police, infrastructure, healthcare, and more. improving government and demanding better of elected officials is the key to improving these services, not turning them over to entities whose primary focus is making a buck, whose primary responsibility is not to the customer but to the shareholder.
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MFS62 Nov 08 2006 07:45 AM |
Ding dong,
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KC Nov 08 2006 09:12 AM |
nym: >>>KC is conservative or was there a missing sarcasm meter there? i thought i was the only one here.<<<
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 10:12 AM |
Does Hastert resign?
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sharpie Nov 08 2006 10:25 AM |
Probably not his seat but his leadership position almost certainly. If he doesn't resign, he'll be pushed out.
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Nymr83 Nov 08 2006 11:26 AM |
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i concur on Hillary, but i don't really think we "lose" with Spitzer if he's even half serious about cleaning up Albany corruption. Pataki might be socially conservative but he was just as big a mess as the Democrats when it came to uncontrolled spending. while i'm sure i won't love spitzer i doubt i'll like him less than his predecessor
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KC Nov 08 2006 11:39 AM |
I probably had a soft spot for Pataki, having met him a number of times
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TheOldMole Nov 08 2006 11:52 AM |
You could castrate Hillary?
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Johnny Dickshot Nov 08 2006 12:18 PM |
Said this before about Hill -- I hated that she seemed to run as a celebrity 6 years ago, but, according to Wifey who deals with gov't figures in her job, she's got her shit together better than most politicians and I've said befpore, her staff mobilized the troops like no one else I contacted during the Time Warner Met blackout of '05, which sadly to say is the only time I ever really got involved in writing my reps in my life.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 08 2006 12:25 PM |
Ted Turner was recently telling David Letterman that he thinks that men should be barred from holding elected office, and that if only women were in power things would get better immediately.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 12:29 PM |
In Arizona in a bid to get more people to vote there was a proposition on the ballot that would award $1Million to a randomly selected person who voted in the primary or general election; funded by unclaimed lottery winnings. It didn't pass...good idea or a bad idea?
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sharpie Nov 08 2006 12:33 PM |
Bad. Why should the taxpayers pay so that one Arizonan does what people should do as part of their civic duty. Cheapens the whole thing, IMO.
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Frayed Knot Nov 08 2006 12:35 PM |
Bad idea.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 12:56 PM |
Donald Rumsfeld is to step down and the deomcrat in Montana clams victory.
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 01:02 PM |
Wow. I haven't heard my boss scream with glee yet. Where are you getting the story?
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metirish Nov 08 2006 01:03 PM |
CNN....and just about every news site.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 08 2006 01:07 PM |
Interesting. And his replacement may have to be approved by a Democratic Senate.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 01:16 PM |
Robert Gates, former head of the CIA will replace him,needs Senate confirmation.
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KC Nov 08 2006 01:19 PM |
Wonder if the resignation was planned already and not announced to not
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 01:24 PM |
It would have been politically super for most folks involved if John McCain got the appointment. His seat isn't needed for a majority anymore (depending on what happens in Virginia, and it doesn't look good for Allen). He's a rare occupation-supporting Republican that still has some political capital left, and he's get a much breezier confirmation than most anybody else is likely to get.
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Rotblatt Nov 08 2006 01:37 PM |
Wow. Rove IS a genius. Firing Rumsfeld right before Election Day might help to stem some of the frustration over the Iraq war, which can only help the Republicans.
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Rotblatt Nov 08 2006 01:44 PM |
Wasn't Gates involved in Iran-Contra?
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 01:48 PM |
Well, Ortega's back and all.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 01:53 PM |
Updated...
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metirish Nov 08 2006 02:03 PM |
If the Republins win Virgina and the Senate is split 50 - 50 does Chaney then hold a deciding vote?
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 08 2006 02:06 PM |
Yes. That's why the Democrats need 51 seats for a majority.
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sharpie Nov 08 2006 02:18 PM |
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Hardly. She's been vilified more than any other living non-President I can think of and accused of all sorts of things, including being a lesbian (NTTAWWT). Talk radio guys and Republican fundraisers spend half their time using her as a punching bag and have her beind every crackpot conspiracy theory they can imagine. From what JD and others have said, she seems to do her job pretty well. I'm with Yancy, however, in not getting the passion in both directions about her.
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Vic Sage Nov 08 2006 02:20 PM |
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2 more years to go for that.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 02:31 PM |
I hope the Courts don't end up deciding who wins Virgina.
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KC Nov 08 2006 02:38 PM |
Well, I don't care to pursue a debate on the pros and cons of Hillary Clinton.
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RealityChuck Nov 08 2006 03:20 PM |
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I think they are much more afraid of admitting they were wrong then they are of losing the election.
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Rotblatt Nov 08 2006 03:22 PM |
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True that. And now they've gone and done both. Delightful!
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metirish Nov 08 2006 03:41 PM |
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Willets Point Nov 08 2006 03:58 PM |
I don't know anything about Jim Webb- he might eat live kittens for all I know - but I still hope he wins because I despise George Allen (I lived in Virginia while Allen was governor).
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sharpie Nov 08 2006 04:28 PM |
As I predicted, Hastert won't run for Minority Leader.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 04:33 PM |
Elections in this Country are fasinating,much more so than in Ireland anyway.
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metirish Nov 08 2006 08:33 PM |
The AP is reporting the Dems winning in Virginia.
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Edgy DC Nov 08 2006 08:45 PM |
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duan's a big fan of proportional representation.
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TheOldMole Nov 09 2006 11:50 AM |
Freshman Congressman John Hall harmonizes with Stephen Colbert on Dance With Me
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Sandgnat Nov 09 2006 12:20 PM |
We now have two official 2008 candidates for POTUS
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 09 2006 04:00 PM |
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Edgy DC Nov 09 2006 04:03 PM |
Control of the United States Senate comes down to the word "macaca."
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 09 2006 04:10 PM |
Or "prevailing winds," depending on your perspective.
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Willets Point Nov 09 2006 04:11 PM |
Well "macaca" just made other voters realize what I already know: George Allen is evil.
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 09 2006 04:12 PM |
His reaction to his mother being "outed" as Jewish was rather telling as well.
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Willets Point Nov 09 2006 04:28 PM |
What we need now is for a bunch of Supreme Court justices to decide to retire.
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soupcan Nov 09 2006 04:32 PM |
Goddamn checks and balances all over the friggin' place!
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metirish Nov 09 2006 04:34 PM |
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What was his reaction?
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soupcan Nov 09 2006 04:35 PM |
He burned down a synagogue.
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Willets Point Nov 09 2006 04:39 PM |
Soupy's too damned funny.
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Nymr83 Nov 10 2006 02:03 AM |
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Bush still nominates their replacements though now he'd have to get them through a Demcoratic senate, nonetheless i think another guy like Roberts (or someone like moderate justice Kennedy) still passes the senate (unless the dems refuse to let there be a vote, a tactic i've hated no matter who is charge) my personal hope for the next two years is to have 2 of the 4 liberals (particularly the aging Stevens) replaced by moderate conservatives along the lines of O'Connor. the best way for Bush to do this would be to nominate women or minorities (or minority women) who i think are harder to say no too (as long as they dont have close personal links to him)
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soupcan Nov 10 2006 09:27 AM |
John Kerry Tries To Tell Other Jokes....
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Nymr83 Nov 10 2006 12:25 PM |
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Edgy DC Nov 10 2006 01:21 PM |
Charles Rangel, in the Times: "Mississippi gets more than their fair share back in federal money, but who the hell wants to live in Mississippi?"
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Yancy Street Gang Nov 10 2006 01:23 PM |
I guess he figures he'll never be on a ballot in Mississippi.
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KC Nov 10 2006 01:39 PM |
valadius: >>>I'm going to the DSCC's Election Night party tonight.<<<
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Nymr83 Nov 10 2006 03:54 PM |
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I have a great solution for him: cut taxes, the less the federal government has to spend the less they can disproportionately distribute to Mississippi, New York could always tax New Yorkers and distribute 100% of the tax benefits to New York.
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