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lineup optimization

Vic Sage Sep 26 2006 04:43 PM

Playoff pulse: Balanced Mets creating a buzz By Jeff Passan, Yahoo! Sports September 25, 2006 http://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/news?slug=jp-pulse092506&prov=yhoo&type=lgns [here's a part of his column where he talks about lineup optimization] NUMBER CRUNCHING Heard from Cyril Morong, who, by analyzing years of data, constructed a formula how to put together an optimal lineup. He sent along an updated link to his research, and the comment section at the bottom is particularly interesting. Using Ken Arneson's program, here is a look at the current lineups of National League contenders, their ideal lineups and how the projected run total from the best of 362,800 possible lineups compares to the actual one. New York Mets Projected lineup 1) Jose Reyes 2) Paul Lo Duca 3) Carlos Beltran 4) Carlos Delgado 5) David Wright 6) Cliff Floyd 7) Shawn Green 8) Jose Valentin 9) Pedro Martinez Best lineup 1) Paul Lo Duca 2) Carlos Beltran 3) Jose Reyes 4) David Wright 5) Carlos Delgado 6) Cliff Floyd 7) Shawn Green 8) Jose Valentin 9) Pedro Martinez Projected lineup runs per game: 5.124 Best lineup runs per game: 5.183 Real runs per game: 5.161

seawolf17 Sep 26 2006 04:45 PM

Yet another reason why Jose Reyes should be the NL MVP.

Hillbilly Sep 26 2006 04:55 PM

Those lineups are remarkably similar.

metsmarathon Sep 26 2006 05:15 PM

wow. jose reyes, three-hitter. what sal must think...

Edgy DC Sep 26 2006 07:07 PM

Jim Tracy wasn't afraid to bat Lo Duca leadoff. I don't really have faith that these things would tend to work out in practice like the computer model says they would.

Johnny Dickshot Sep 26 2006 09:27 PM

Since hundreths of runs don't count, and we won't play enough playoff games to add all those hundreths together and make an actual run, I'm just as happy with the way things are, especially since the "optimal" lineup has all them lefties piled up.

Frayed Knot Sep 26 2006 10:32 PM

]Best lineup runs per game: 5.183 Real runs per game: 5.161 That's over 3.5 runs per year - we mighta even got an extra win!!!! Willie's such a fuckin idiot.