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NLCS KTE - St. Louis Cardinals
A Boy Named Seo Oct 09 2006 03:18 AM |
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There's a lot of interesting things going on with the Cardinals, so I wanted to get going on this one. It's a rematch of the 2000 NLCS (a 4 games to 1 ass-whooping by Mike Hampton and your New York Metropolitans) and an intriguing match-up of two teams that have potent, balanced lineups, rosters ravaged by major injuries, and sometimes downright scary starting pitching (in a bad way) that caused each team to stumble for lots of September.
Who's Hot: Pujols will either win the MVP or finish second to Ryan Howard, and he didn't stop killing the ball when the Playoffs started either, going 5-15 with 3 RBI, though all 5 hits came in the first 2 games. Belliard (picked up during the season from Cleveland) was huge (performance wise and he's kinda chubby), going 6-13 against the Pads including some big defensive plays at second. He also leads the club at keepin' it real, encasing his sleek corn-rows under a official MLB doo-rag. Chris Duncan raked right-handed pitching this year with a 1.034 OPS in 233 AB's, but was brutal against lefties (hit just .170 in 48 AB's). Preston Wilson will probably get the start in left Game 1 against Glavine and ride pine the rest of the series until Wagner/Feliciano/Oliver are in the game. Who's Not Eckstein was 2-15 against the Pads (but executed a squeeze bunt in the deciding game) and the gimpy Rolen was just 1-11. Winging It In order for Carpenter to pitch Game 2 on the 12th, he'd have to go on 3 days rest after 106 pitches in the NLDS Series clincher against the Pads. I'd think St. Louie would only go that route if they're down 0-2 and in full desperation mode (and even then it's a maybe), so thanks to that extra game against the Pads, the Mets shouldn't see Carpenter until Game 3. If the Cards stick with their NLDS rotation, Jeff Weaver would get the Game 1 start on 5 days rest, and Suppan would go in Game 2 against Maine. Here are the projected match-ups and start times. Thanks to Gwreck for tracking all this stuff down in the other thread. FOX will carry the market game. F/X is the alternate. Game 1 - Wednesday, October 11, 8:00PM
Weaver sucked BHMC for both the Angels and Cards in '06, and put up a 5-4 record with a 5.18 ERA for the latter. Ick. He gave up a ton of hits (99 in 83 1/3 IP for the Cards) and struck out just 45 batters. He got in trouble against San Diego in game 2, but was able to wiggle his way out and somehow didn't give up a run. The Mets pounded him the only time they saw him this year (4 ER in 5 IP) and must pound his ass Wednesday night just the same. Glavine was 1-0 (3 ER in 6 IP) in his only start against St. Louis this year. Game 2 - Thursday, October 12, 8:00PM
Suppan was the second most reliable arm in the Cards rotation this year and put up a respectable year (12-7, 4.12 ERA). That said, he gave up a bunch of hits, too (207 in 190 IP) and his ERA was over 2 runs higher on the road versus home (5.36 to 3.18). Maine was tagged for 7 ER in 5 IP his only outing against the Cards this year, so he'll have to calm his shit down a little. The Mets got to Suppan the only time they saw him in '06 (4 ER in 6.2 IP), so home field advantage is definitely there for the taking. Sorry, Mr. Suppan. Your ass must be pounded as well. Game 3 - Saturday, October 14, 4:00PM
Carpenter's a bad-ass and will be tough to beat period. He had a rocky first inning in the NLDS clincher against San Diego and the Mets might need one of their super-charged first innings to have a chance of knocking him out early. He's tough on all hitters, but lefties fared a little better against him in '06 batting .266 (10 homers in 93 IP) versus just .210 for righties. He had a 1.81 ERA at home this year, so, um, we'll have our work cut out for us. The Mets didn't face Carpenter this season. Trachsel was beat up in 2 starts against them, but of course, won one of 'em. Game 4 - Sunday, October 15, 7:30PM
A couple of piles of potential suck await viewers of Game 4 with the Mets' enigma Oliver Perez lining up to face New York native Jason Marquis. Both had ERA's over 6 during the regular season, but Perez is a beautiful mess and can be dynamic if the sun's just right and all the planets are in alignment. Marquis just blows goats and as such, must deal with me calling him the Marquis de Suck. Ollie actually had 3 starts against the Cards this year and went 1-2 with a 4.82 ERA (22 hits and 10 ER in just 18.2 IP). Marquis was 1-1 against the Mets this year, but was hit hard (8 ER in 13.2 IP) for a 5.27 ERA. Bullpen The Cards took a major hit when Jason Isringhausen and his 35 saves hit the DL with a blown-out something or other. Down the stretch, they tinkered with Braden Looper as the closer and realized that was fucking stupid. They've settled on Adam Wainwright who had a really good regular season (3.12 ERA in 75 IP) and he looked fantastic in the NLDS. La Russa will have his choice of two lefties to summon in the late innings to throw at Delgado, our 6-8 guys, or just turn around the switchies. They are Randy Flores and Tyler Johson. Flores was battered by the National League this year (49 hits in 41.2 IP, 5.62 ERA), and though he faced just five New York Met hitters this year, he sent each of them packing. Johnson was pretty good despite a high ERA of his own (4.95) and lefties hit just .221 against him. He allowed less than a hit per inning pitched and can strike guys out (36.2 IP, 33 hits, 37 K). The Mets saw him 3 times (just 2.1 IP) and scored a run on 2 hits. Better than nothing, homes. Better than nothing. One more thing, if you see either or both of these guys at a bar, buy 'em a shot. Buy them two shots. Hell, just ask the barkeep to leave the bottle. If there's one thing about New Yorkers that I've learned while visiting, is that they're hospitable to out-of-towners. Show these guys a good time. The X-Factor: Cards: Preston Wilson, Braden Looper, Gary Bennett, and Izzy who's shelved with a bad arm. Mets: Just Darren Oliver. Enemy Intel [url=http://www.birdsonthebat.org/]Birds on the Bat Forum[/url] That's all I got, folks. I looked for a decent Cardinals blog for about 4 minutes and gave up. Mascots No contest. The Low-Down It seems like the only thing more important than winning 4 games for the Mets will be to win them early to try to avoid seeing Carpenter twice, and to stay away from being in a position where they're leaning too heavily on Oliver Perez to deliver (not that I don't love you, Oliver, but you know what I'm sayin'). The Mets led the NL in steals (146) and stolen base percentage (81%), but will have their hands full with Yadier Molina behind the dish. He threw out 44% of guys trying to swipe (37 stolen, 29 caught), so a barrage of 3-run homers might be in order. The Cardinals were 13 games under .500 on the road (34-47) and with Weaver and Suppan going for them in games 1 and 2, the Mets really should, and more importantly, really need to be leaving Shea up 2-nil, Cliff Floyd or no Cliff Floyd. JG sez: New York in 6. Lets Go Mets. Play ball... ish.
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Johnny Dickshot Oct 09 2006 05:30 AM |
well done
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SteveJRogers Oct 09 2006 06:36 AM |
Nice, but I'm pretty sure I said that I was going to do one for every Metly opponent and since no onelse stepped up I was going to do something along the line of my Dodger one.
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Yancy Street Gang Oct 09 2006 06:48 AM |
So do it and post it in this thread. Just because you "called it" doesn't mean everyone else has to defer.
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MFS62 Oct 09 2006 08:11 AM |
Watch out for Preston Wilson and So Taguchi, who have tormented the Mets at times in the past.
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Johnny Dickshot Oct 09 2006 08:46 AM |
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About you not, is this forum.
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ScarletKnight41 Oct 09 2006 08:58 AM |
Seo - excellent knowlege distribution!
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cooby Oct 09 2006 09:13 AM |
I hope the Cardinals lose
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ScarletKnight41 Oct 09 2006 09:40 AM |
Well, so do I.
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Rotblatt Oct 09 2006 10:05 AM |
Very nice!
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Gwreck Oct 09 2006 10:31 AM |
Thanks ABNS. I once again know our Cardinal enemy well.
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Frayed Knot Oct 09 2006 10:45 AM |
Tacking on to ABNS's EXCELLENT KTE:
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Centerfield Oct 09 2006 11:23 AM |
Great KTE Seo.
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Farmer Ted Oct 09 2006 12:27 PM |
Now Cardinals will get a real test
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A Boy Named Seo Oct 09 2006 03:21 PM |
[url=http://stlouis.cardinals.mlb.com/images/players/mugshot/ph_435039.jpg]Keith Law at ESPN[/url] thinks the Cards would go with right-hander Anthony Reyes against the Mets in a Game 4 instead of Jason Marquis, though Reyes was not on the roster for the NLDS. Reyes is the guy who wears the bill of his hat without the slightest hint of a bend (like Chad Cordero) and he stylishly rocks the vertically striped knee-high socks. Hard not to like this guy.
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OlerudOwned Oct 09 2006 03:26 PM |
Keith Law also called the Mets bullpen a weakness going into the Dodgers series and thought that Heath Bell was on the roster, so i won't believe anything he says until I see it.
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SteveJRogers Oct 09 2006 05:29 PM |
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Then don't tell me to defer to Elster when I say I could close and do the totals for the NLDS POGTs because I happenend to get the first POGT thread up 4 hours after the game ended
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KC Oct 09 2006 05:37 PM |
That's what Yoda would tell you to do Steve ... KTE have you then post it you
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SteveJRogers Oct 09 2006 05:43 PM |
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HAHAHAHA! Ahhhh, but little bitch for one post I want to be. Cranky at 6:30AM I am. Expect soon a Cardinal Postseason history add on you will.
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MFS62 Oct 09 2006 05:48 PM |
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Then I guess he missed all those Twins playoff game lineups that had Jason Tyner (no career home runs) as the DH (as in "designated hitter"). Later
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TheOldMole Oct 09 2006 05:49 PM |
Such Bullshit from a Chicago sportswriter. The Cardinals are not mediocre.
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SteveJRogers Oct 09 2006 07:50 PM |
Cardinal Knowledge:
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dinosaur jesus Oct 09 2006 08:45 PM |
I was at one of those games in St. Louis in April 1986. Doc shut them out 9-0, Knight hit two homers. Fantastic.
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Zvon Oct 09 2006 10:12 PM |
AWSUM reports Seo, FK, all u guys.
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Willets Point Oct 10 2006 01:01 AM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 10 2006 08:22 PM |
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I just want to point out that I was not criticizing Steve in the other thread. I just hadn't heard Steve was doing the PotG's before and figured it was worth pointing out to avoid duplication of work which I expect would be frustrating to whomever got their stuff up first. Being a lazy person myself, I know if someone else is doing something I plan to do I consider it a break for me. Whether Elster or Steve or Yancy does PotG tallying matters little to me. Great KTE contributions by everyone.
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metirish Oct 10 2006 09:10 AM |
I have so much to catch up on today,great KTE Seo....
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Farmer Ted Oct 10 2006 09:34 AM |
The STL take on the series...
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A Boy Named Seo Oct 10 2006 12:15 PM |
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Wow. We've been given a gift starting against Weaver and Suppan in our own joint. With all our injury problems, the first two games could not have been laid out any better in our favor.
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Frayed Knot Oct 10 2006 06:58 PM |
A review of the 6 NYM/StLC games this Year:
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Edgy DC Oct 10 2006 07:46 PM |
Something's wrong. Some of those recounts include David Wright making outs.
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Elster88 Oct 10 2006 08:14 PM |
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Elster88 Oct 10 2006 08:15 PM |
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Their record was remarkably close to .500, though. The reporter may have a point.
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metirish Oct 11 2006 02:31 PM |
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From Buster Olny
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Yancy Street Gang Oct 11 2006 02:51 PM |
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That's good to know. I wonder if baseball scouts are working with scientists to isolate the Big Game Gene. If it can be screened for, that would certainly provide a competitive advantage. And maybe it would provide Alex Rodriguez with the hope for a cure.
Hopefully he'll continue to play like Roberto Alomar, but he'll switch to the Mets version.
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Frayed Knot Oct 11 2006 03:56 PM |
NYC native Jason Marquis is OFF the StL roster - meaning that the first pitch of Game 4 is likely to be from (Anthony) Reyes to (Jose) Reyes
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Johnny Dickshot Oct 11 2006 04:04 PM |
Johnson (LHP), Kinney and Wainwright are the survivors from an in-season bullpen meltdown and re-build.
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Yancy Street Gang Oct 11 2006 04:06 PM |
Here are the Cardinals that the Mets faced in the 2000 NLCS:
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Frayed Knot Oct 11 2006 04:10 PM |
Yeah, Wainwright was a highly touted starter who was considered just about ready when the Braves dealt him as the main bait for Drew a coupla years back ... and then he promptly got hurt and started falling short of expectations like a typical Atlanta prospect that it looks like they got rid of at exactly the right time.
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Gwreck Oct 11 2006 04:21 PM |
That's 25 players. You got them all, Yancy.
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Valadius Oct 11 2006 04:24 PM |
Who else is excited about facing Looper?
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Edgy DC Oct 11 2006 04:26 PM |
It's August 11th, I'm excited about facing anybody.
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Yancy Street Gang Oct 11 2006 04:27 PM |
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I guess I'm better at pasting than I am at counting.
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Willets Point Oct 11 2006 04:29 PM |
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It is? The Mets rock to clinch a playoff berth so early!
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Valadius Oct 11 2006 04:29 PM |
August, Edgy?
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seawolf17 Oct 11 2006 04:30 PM |
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