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2006 Crane Pool Forum Rankings Thread

Frayed Knot
Oct 20 2006 02:17 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 04 2008 07:38 AM

And now that our season's over (moment of silence) ... it's never too early to start contemplating this year's rankings project!!

Going to be an interesting year to analyze.
Hitters should dominate the top of the list over the pitchers. But a lot of good 'partial-year' guys - Duaner, Nady, Mota, Perez, El Duque, and even Pedro for that matter - have to be balanced among some full-season guys who didn't contribute all that much like Franco, Woodward & Castro

For any newbies who haven't seen this before and want to participate;
- we rank the top 30 2006 Mets as far as their contributions to this season: ranked from the best (30) down to least (1) although, with 49 different 2006 Mets, there'll be 19 players who are going to wind up even below the guy in 30th place
- Participation isn't mandatory (nothing is around here) but you can submit your own list or just critique the submissions of others. We eventually come up with some sort of consensus from everything submitted.
- participants are free to choose any method you want to come up with your answer; from strict statistical analysis to pure gut reaction to anywhere in between ... just be prepared to defend and explain your choices, or even adjust them if swayed by the arguments of others
- post-season performance SHOULD be considered in your list, although to what degree is your choice
- and, in case you haven't figured it out already, the results of this will combine with the other years to contribute to the order of players who accompany your posting totals (see; 'Rankings for Dummies' thread)


The roster of choices:

[u:bubz5o8r]Position Players (22) Sorted by Plate Appearances[/u:bubz5o8r]:
Reyes - Wright - Delgado - Beltran - LoDuca
Valentin - Chavez - Floyd - Nady - Woodward
Milledge - Franco - Castro - Matsui - Green
Tucker - A Hernandez - Marrero - Ledee - DeFelice
Stinnett - Diaz

[u:bubz5o8r]Pitchers (27) Sorted by Innings Pitched[/u:bubz5o8r]:
Glavine - Trachsel - Martinez - OHernandez - Maine
Heliman - Oliver - Wagner - Bradford - Feliciano
Sanchez - Soler - Bell - Bannister - Perez
Williams - Julio - Pelfrey - Zambrano - RHernandez
Mota - Lima - Gonzalez - Ring - Owens
Fortunado - Humber

TransMonk
Oct 20 2006 03:11 PM

Mostly from the gut:

30 Beltran
29 Reyes
28 Wright
27 LoDuca
26 Delgado
25 Glavine
24 Feliciano
23 Sanchez
22 O. Hernandez
21 Wagner
20 Heilman
19 Valentin
18 Oliver
17 Bradford
16 Chavez
15 Maine
14 Martinez
13 Trachsel
12 Nady
11 Floyd
10 Green
9 Franco
8 Mota
7 Castro
6 Woodward
5 Bannister
4 Soler
3 Perez
2 R. Hernandez
1 Milledge

Frayed Knot
Oct 25 2006 07:44 PM

I usually start sorting through the year by looking at the pitchers and position players seperately. Merging the two lists together is the tough part.
Here's what I'm thinking for the position players. Go ahead, tell me how delusional I am.

Beltran - Had the best year from start to finish. Led team in Runs Created & Win Shares, and played a very good CF

Reyes - A shade behind Wright in RC & WS, but played a better SS than Wright did 3B plus had a better post-season

Wright - 1st half MVP, slumped somewhat in the 2nd half then bombed in the NLCS

Delgado - I get the idea that the press view is that LoDuca is a near team MVP; "heart & soul" of the team and all that. But - his two month/mid-season slump aside - Delgado was a MUCH better hitter that all the "intangibles" plus the difference in defensive spectrum can't make up for.

LoDuca - Successfully manned the 2-slot in the lineup despite fears (from me & others here) that he couldn't. Only a decent defensive catcher really, but showed up every day and was very consistent.

Valentin - Best surprise of the year, falls below the other full-timers due to rough start and weak finish/playoff.

Chavez - He and Floyd had near identical ABs, but Endy had an edge on everything - speed, defense, versatility - except power

Floyd - Was either in a slump or getting hurt just as he was pulling out of a slump

Nady - Inconsistent and sometimes a scary fielder, but lots of big hits in the first half

Franco - #1 PH-er all year, had some big hits early despite obvious limitations.

Green - Not as good as fans wanted, but also not as bad as many acted

Woodward - big comedown from last year rates him the lowest of all the position players who were on the roster all year

Milledge - Better stats than Woodward, but looked overmatched at times and couldn't be trusted enough to get a post-season spot

Castro - Early season thoughts that he should have played more gave way to the reality that he was barely missed as he sat out the last 1/3 of the season

In a toss-up for the last 2 spots that could possibly survive until the final list, Tucker edges Matsui for being less of an out-machine plus a couple of post-season ABs.

Outside looking in: Marrero, LeDee, AHernandez, DeFelice, Stinnett, Diaz
None of these guys have a chance at cracking the final list once the pitchers are integrated.

Elster88
Oct 25 2006 11:41 PM

Does postseason performance factor in? If it's weighted by regular season wins I would guess not.

Elster88
Oct 25 2006 11:55 PM

Hitters/Fielders:

Beltran
Wright
Matsui
Reyes
Delgado
-------
Lo Duca
-------
Valentin
Chavez
Floyd
Nady
-------
Franco
Green
Woodward
Milledge
Castro

Edgy MD
Oct 26 2006 05:34 AM

Post-season counts. Though part of me thinks we shold rate post-season performance seperately, but we never have.

but showed up every day and was very consistent.


These are nearly the same trait.

Frayed Knot
Oct 26 2006 07:35 AM

"Does postseason performance factor in?"

[from the first post] ... "- post-season performance SHOULD be considered in your list, although to what degree is your choice"




"These are nearly the same trait"

Byte Me!

Edgy MD
Oct 26 2006 07:41 AM

Somebody's got a case of the Thursdays.

Vic Sage
Oct 26 2006 02:24 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Nov 03 2006 02:01 PM

30) Beltran - some ups and downs, but mostly ups; taking Strike 3 in game 7 doesn't overshadow a great season.

29) Reyes - developed his power ahead of schedule, making him a 5-tool SS. As Jose went, so went the Mets.

28) Wright - I love Mr. Wright, but he went from MVP candidate, to a player in a slump to a player in a tailspin in the post-season. Plus he showed more of a scattergun arm this year.

27) Delgado - despite his mid-season slump, he was an important bat in the lineup, with an excellent post-season, and his D was better than i expected. Plus, a solid veteran presence and leader.

26) Glavine - his best season as a Met. More hittable every year, but still can get a big out. solid Post-season.

25) Wagner - one of the top closers in the game; still, had his disastrous moments.

24) LoDuca - consistent .300 hitter, played every day. solid work with pitching staff that seemed to respect him. Lack of power, speed, BB, made him less than meets the eye, and he was no improvement over Piazza at stopping the running game. Frankly, i'd rather have had Piazza's bat in the lineup this year.

23) P.Martinez - solid 1st half (despite lack of Ws), but then he just came apart at the seams.

22) Valentin - After taking over 2b full-time, he had a career year, until late season/post-season collapse (ie, return to the mean).

21) Maine - solid during the season, came up big in WS.

20) Heilman - when he finally took over for Sanchez as primary setup guy, became dominant. not so hot in the post-season.

19) Chavez - super 4th OFer, but suffered, as Valentin did, toward end of season/post-season when he was overexposed as an everyday player.

18) Bradford - terrific all year in limited IP

17) Feliciano - solid specialist

16) Sanchez - great until hurt mid-season

15) Nady - we missed his RHed power in the lineup; better offensive contribution than i expected. Bad RFer, but its RF...

14) O.Hernandez - erratic at first, great down the stretch. absent in the post-season.

13) Green - punchless, but adequate. Good post-season.

12) Mota - terrific down the stretch; ok in post-season

11) Trachsel - Run support inflated Ws; mediocre all year, a disaster in the post-season.

10) Oliver - great for 2/3 of season, crappy down the stretch. Big moment in post-season

9) Floyd - a few moments, a good guy, but going, going, gone.

8) O.Perez - a few good starts down the stretch; big post-season

7) Franco - great PH-ing in 1st half; tailed off in 2nd half.

6) Milledge - had moments, but needs work.

5) Bannister - ok early, till hurt.

4) Tucker - a couple of big hits, played ok in limited opportunities.

3) Julio - decent MI, got us El Duque

2) Woodward - useless.

1) Castro - Useless and hurt.


[EDITED VERSION: 11/3/06]

Edgy MD
Oct 26 2006 02:34 PM

I don't think of this as a career year for Valentin. From 2000-2003, he showed more power with less OBP, but did it playing fulltime did it at shortstop.

Nymr83
Oct 27 2006 09:33 PM

Elster88 wrote:
Hitters/Fielders:

Beltran
Wright
Matsui
Reyes
Delgado

etc.

Castro


this was done solely for my benefit wasn't it?

i agree mostly with Frayed Knot's hitter rankings above.

i'd like to question putting LoDuca ahead of Delgado (someone did that) Delgado was clearly the better hitter and even if the "defensive spectrum" put LoDuca ahead i'd argue that Delgado's postseason should have swung things back.

whoever it was that mentioned a choice between Tucker and other scrubs for the bottom of the list i'd go with Tucker by a longshot, check out that OBP in limited playing time, he wasn't hurting the Mets when he was in there.

TransMonk
Oct 28 2006 09:50 AM

Nymr83 wrote:


i'd like to question putting LoDuca ahead of Delgado (someone did that) Delgado was clearly the better hitter and even if the "defensive spectrum" put LoDuca ahead i'd argue that Delgado's postseason should have swung things back.



I did that. You'd have to prove to me that Delgado was "clearly the better hitter", since LoDuca's average was 50+ points higher. Delgado hit a ton of homeruns, which we expected him to do, and he compiled a lot of walks due to the HRs he was hitting and the fact that Wright was hitting below expectations much of the 2nd half, but I would have liked to have seen Carlos' batting average closer to his career numbers.

There isn't a huge margin between the two as far as their worth to the team in 2006, in fact, I would put them about equal. They both thrived in their first year in New York, they both played their positions as well as expected, they both became leaders on the team, and they both provided fits for the spots they occupied in the batting order.

I listed LoDuca higher on the list because he was much more consistent all season long, he played through greater injuries and he handled a pitching staff that sent 12 different starting pitchers to the mound this year.

I'm not going to fight the fact that Delgado will be higher than LoDuca when the final list is compiled. In my opinion, I think that they were both great assets to the team and if Delgado is part of the "A tier" of hitters, then LoDuca would have to be there too.

Nymr83
Oct 28 2006 10:05 AM

batting average is less important than OBP, where Delgado holds a slight edge, but the real difference is 120 points of slugging percentage, you just can't make up for that.

Benjamin Grimm
Oct 28 2006 10:07 AM

What surprised me was, that in our MVP Voting thread three people didn't even put Lo Duca in the top ten.

TransMonk
Oct 28 2006 10:42 AM

Chicks dig the long ball, stat debaters dig the OPS.

seawolf17
Oct 28 2006 07:28 PM

30 Reyes
29 Beltran
28 Delgado
27 Wright
26 LoDuca
25 Glavine
24 Wagner
23 Valentin
22 Heilman
21 Oliver
20 O. Hernandez
19 Feliciano
18 Bradford
17 Sanchez
16 Chavez
15 Maine
14 Martinez
13 Trachsel
12 Nady
11 Floyd
10 Franco
9 Green
8 Milledge
7 Woodward
6 Soler
5 Bannister
4 Mota
3 Perez
2 Tucker
1 Castro

Nymr83
Oct 28 2006 10:42 PM

Wright had a better regular season than Delgado i think, if only barely... does Delgado's higher spot on your (Seawolf) list indicate a bump for the postseason or would you have had this same order on October 1st?

seawolf17
Oct 29 2006 06:06 PM

Nah, Wright's second half bothered me. (But apparently not as much as Delgado's first half bothered me.) David will have plenty of chances to top Seaver down the road; gotta keep him humble for now.

Vic Sage
Oct 30 2006 08:52 AM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Nov 01 2006 02:11 PM

TransMonk wrote:
Chicks dig the long ball, stat debaters dig the OPS.



"stat debaters"?

people who attempt to use data to understand baseball "dig" the stats that have the highest correlation to run production and run prevention. OPS is certainly a good one, though there are some even better.

you "dig" stats, too, otherwise you wouldn't reference batting average to make a case for LoDuca. The problem is you're using a 19th century statistic, which was of some use before the invention of the microchip, but of dubious utility since then.

as for OPS, LoDuca ranked 6 out of the 8 hitters in the regular lineup (7th if you include Nady over Green, with only Chavez/Floyd ranking below the Duke). As a catcher, he ranked 7th out of 16 starting catchers in the NL, and tie for 12th out 30 teams in MLB.

now he certainly was a good guy to have on the team... leader, good with the pitchers, played every day, yyybbb. But a guy with over 500 ABs that drives in only 49 runs while hitting behind Jose Reyes (who scored 122 runs) demonstrates a serious lack of clout. He lacks power and speed, and (with only 24 walks) his BA is the sum total of his offensive contribution to a lineup. And it's not like he's got a howitzer that stifles the other team's running game.

So one has to really twist oneself into a pretzel to give anything but the most polite tip of the cap to Paul LoDuca.

MVP? Puhleez.

By the way, both Roberto Hernandez and Ben Molina had equivalent, if not better, offensive seasons, and both are better defensive catchers. And both were signed for around what LoDuca is getting paid, and acquiring them wouldn't have cost us players, to boot. Oh, and Piazza hit better, too.

Vic Sage
Oct 30 2006 09:05 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
I don't think of this as a career year for Valentin. From 2000-2003, he showed more power with less OBP, but did it playing fulltime did it at shortstop.


your right of course. 2000-01 were both better years, and he also had a good year in 96 with Brewers. I should've said that this is is his best year in the last 5 seasons and, on a per/AB basis, this ranks along with the better years in his career. It certainly was not a season anyone anticipated at this point in his career.

Edgy MD
Oct 30 2006 09:19 AM

No, nobody anticipated it. Certainly not me.

But it at leasst reflects somewhat well on the Mets, in retrospect, to bring in enough interesting and considered options --- young and old --- that one of them panned out when Matsui didn't. Or maybe it was pure luck, but it reflects really well on Willie that when Valentin asked for his release early in the year, Minaya refused on Willie's advice, and Willie instead told him to get himself ready.

Vic Sage
Oct 30 2006 09:22 AM

absolutely. I give Omar props for the type of non-roster types he's brought in, and willie certainly saw something in Jose to give him the shot when Matsui cratered.

TransMonk
Oct 30 2006 09:55 AM

Vic Sage wrote:

so one has to really twist oneself into a pretzel to give anything but the most polite tip of the cap to Paul LoDuca.

MVP? Puhleez.


Well, I'm already doughy and salty, sooo...

No one is claiming that LoDuca is the MVP of this team. The argument, at least as I understand it, is if LoDuca meant as much to the 2006 team as Delgado did.

If games were played on Strat-o-matic or in sim leagues, then, yes, give me Delgado every time. However, rallys killed and playing with pain are not stats that appear on the back of baseball cards.

Delgado did an great job as a cleanup hitter as his SLG percentage would indicate. But he had some wicked slumps this year, and long strings where he was almost useless at the plate. LoDuca performed consistently nearly every time he was in the lineup despite a torn ligament in his thumb, and despite his not having good second halves in the past.

Comparing the value of a slugging cleanup hitter who getting exta base hits to the value of a consistent #2 hitter who can get the leadoff runner to third and not strike out is like comparing apples to bananas. In my opinion, consistent #2 hitters are harder to find than consistent cleanup hitters.

Having LoDuca hitting #2 makes everyone around him better, including Delgado. And like I said before, I'm not expecting to change anyone's mind. I just appreciate LoDuca's overall value to the team as much as Delgado's.

Vic Sage
Oct 30 2006 10:09 AM

If games were played on Strat-o-matic or in sim leagues, then, yes, give me Delgado every time. However, rallys killed and playing with pain are not stats that appear on the back of baseball cards.


there you go again. "Playing in pain" only matters if it leads to more runs scored or more runs prevented. Thats why its not on the baseball card. Because if it actually did impact those numbers, then it IS reflected in the stats. And to the extent it DIDN'T significantly impact those numbers, then all it is is a nice thing to say about somebody. Delgado was dinged up too.

If you think a powerless, speedless, walkless contact hitter is harder to find and as valuable to a lineup than a guy who averages 40 bombs, 100 runs and 120 rbis a season (with a lifetime OB% close to .400), then you simply aren't watching the same game i am.

TransMonk
Oct 30 2006 10:44 AM

Vic Sage wrote:

If you think a powerless, speedless, walkless contact hitter is harder to find and as valuable to a lineup than a guy who averages 40 bombs, 100 runs and 120 rbis a season (with a lifetime OB% close to .400), then you simply aren't watching the same game i am.


I guess I think a guy near the top of the lineup who extends innings with hits and productive outs creating more run scoring opportunities for the leadoff, #3 and cleanup hitters is as valuable as a power hitter who is as likely to strikeout or hit into a DP as he is to drive in those created run scoring opportunites.

Again, it's apples and bananas. Without either, you are missing part of a winning fruit salad.

As far as watching the same game as you, I thought that was the point of this thread. We can debate the value of players to the team without strictly going by the year end stat totals. Otherwise, we might as well list all of the offensive players by decreasing OPS and call the rankings done and not have to watch the games at all.

Where is Eli Marrero anyways?

Valadius
Oct 30 2006 12:54 PM

Here's my initial take on this year's rankings.

I'll start by compiling a list of possibilities for the 30:

Hitters:

1. Reyes
2. Wright
3. Delgado
4. Lo Duca
5. Beltran
6. Valentin
7. Chavez
8. Floyd
9. Nady
10. Woodward
11. Milledge
12. Franco
13. Matsui
14. Castro
15. Green
16. A. Hernandez
17. Tucker

Pitchers:

1. Glavine
2. Trachsel
3. Martinez
4. O. Hernandez
5. Maine
6. Heilman
7. Oliver
8. Wagner
9. Bradford
10. Feliciano
11. Sanchez
12. Soler
13. Bannister
14. Bell
15. Perez
16. Williams
17. Zambrano
18. Julio
19. Pelfrey
20. R. Hernandez
21. Mota

So that gives us 38 players for 30 spots. The first player I'm eliminating is Pelfrey, followed by Zambrano, Julio, and Williams. That leaves 34. Next I'll cross off Anderson Hernandez, then Matsui. That's 32. Tucker's the next to go, and Heath Bell is the last to be removed. So that leaves this list:

Hitters:

1. Reyes
2. Wright
3. Delgado
4. Lo Duca
5. Beltran
6. Valentin
7. Chavez
8. Floyd
9. Nady
10. Woodward
11. Milledge
12. Franco
13. Castro
14. Green

Pitchers:

1. Glavine
2. Trachsel
3. Martinez
4. O. Hernandez
5. Maine
6. Heilman
7. Oliver
8. Wagner
9. Bradford
10. Feliciano
11. Sanchez
12. Soler
13. Bannister
14. Perez
15. R. Hernandez
16. Mota

Now I'll grade the hitters against each other and the pitchers against each other:

Hitters:

1. Beltran
2. Reyes
3. Delgado
4. Wright
5. Lo Duca
6. Valentin
7. Chavez
8. Nady
9. Floyd
10. Franco
11. Green
12. Milledge
13. Woodward
14. Castro

Pitchers:

1. Glavine
2. Wagner
3. Martinez
4. Maine
5. O. Hernandez
6. Heilman
7. Oliver
8. Trachsel
9. Bradford
10. Feliciano
11. Sanchez
12. Mota
13. Perez
14. R. Hernandez
15. Bannister
16. Soler

And now to merge the two lists into a point allocation:

30 Beltran
29 Reyes
28 Delgado
27 Wright
26 Glavine
25 Lo Duca
24 Wagner
23 Valentin
22 Martinez
21 Chavez
20 Maine
19 Nady
18 O. Hernandez
17 Heilman
16 Oliver
15 Trachsel
14 Floyd
13 Bradford
12 Feliciano
11 Sanchez
10 Franco
9 Green
8 Mota
7 Perez
6 R. Hernandez
5 Milledge
4 Bannister
3 Woodward
2 Soler
1 Castro

Nymr83
Oct 30 2006 02:26 PM

I guess I think a guy near the top of the lineup who extends innings with hits and productive outs creating more run scoring opportunities for the leadoff, #3 and cleanup hitters is as valuable as a power hitter who is as likely to strikeout or hit into a DP as he is to drive in those created run scoring opportunites.


do you have evidence that he (a) does these things and/or (b) that these things help clubs win more than the things delgado does?
he "extends innings with hits"? does that mean he's tougher with 2 outs than with none out? is this a positive? if so how?
a power hitter who is "as likely" to hit into a DP as drive in a run would be pretty valueless indeed, but delgado has more RBI hits than doubleplays by a longshot
sorry top nitpick but i'm trying to figure out what exactly loduca does to make him better than delgado

Again, it's apples and bananas. Without either, you are missing part of a winning fruit salad.


winning isn't a salad that tastes better with multiple fruits. a lineup of 9 delgados would vastly outscore a lineup of 9 loducas

TransMonk
Oct 30 2006 04:48 PM

Nymr83 wrote:
...a lineup of 9 delgados would vastly outscore a lineup of 9 loducas


I guess I'd like to see the evidence to back that up. Once again, we're back to stratomatic sim games that have nothing to do with flesh-and-blood team baseball.

For the third time, it's fine. I'll concede Delgado should be higher than LoDuca on the 2006 rankings. This is an argument that I've spent enough time on for not caring that much about.

Frayed Knot
Nov 01 2006 01:14 PM

Getting around to the hurlers ...

Tough year to rate the pitchers, much tougher to order than the hitters; lotsa partial year guys.
And, while 13 different starters may not have set any records, our crew involved 13 guys who made at least 3 starts each. THAT probably hasn't happened too often.

Glavine - Led the team in wins (tied), starts & innings pitched. The only starter who lasted from day 1 thru the playoffs. Top pitcher in Win Shares.

Wagner - I'm convinced now that no one will ever like the closer, but Wagner had a lower ERA, lower WHiP, Higher K/9, plus a lower BAA & SLGA than any of the other relievers all while usually working the money inning(s)

Martinez - Great April, good May, then a slow decline into a big mess. But he was still 3rd on the team in IP with the best peripheral numbers anywhere.

Maine - Part 1 of the booty from the Benson trade out-pitched the more heralded El Duque overall plus had a good post-season

Heilman - One bad stretch in mid-season and a Game 7--9th inning HR can't ruin a good overall season

Sanchez - I think some are giving Duaner short shrift here. Despite not being there for the 2nd half + playoffs, the 1st half games were really more important before the 2nd half cruise control and he was absolutely dominant at time while pitching almost as many innings as some of the full-season types.

O Hernandez - Occasionally erratic, but stabilized the rotation as injuries started to take hold ... then got injured himself

Bradford - So boringly effective that you would find yourself stunned when he didn't come through.

Feliciano - He and Bradford almost have to be listed side-by-side. They just have to.

Trachsel - I wonder how often a team leader in wins gets put this far down the list. Ahhh run support!

Oliver - All purpose lefty compiled a lot of innings while pitching very few important ones

Perez - Exciting & frustrating, often at the same time

Mota - Leaned on heavily in the playoffs for someone who had all of 18 IPs in the regular season

Bannister - Only 8 games/6 starts. Not many hits but lots of baserunners.

Williams - A lot like Perez w/o the playoff boost

R Hernandez - Grabbed at a desperation deal at the deadline, then used only sparingly.

Julio - After Met fans decided they hated him in advance, they almost didn't seem to notice when he strung together a bunch of good games

Pelfrey - The future isn't yet

Bell - Alternated looking good and getting pasted

Soler - 8 starts, a couple of gems but also 4 train-wrecks

Ring - Showed a lot of promise, just in real small doses

Outside looking in: Zambrano, Lima, Gonzalez, Owens, Fortunado, Humber


Now I have to figure how to combine the two halves.

Frayed Knot
Nov 01 2006 02:56 PM

30 - Beltran
29 - Reyes
28 - Wright
27 - Delgado
26 - Glavine
25 - Wagner
24 - LoDuca
23 - Martinez
22 - Maine
21 - Heilman
20 - Valentin
19 - Sanchez
18 - O Hernandez
17 - Bradford
16 - Feliciano
15 - Chavez
14 - Floyd
13 - Nady
12 - Trachsel
11 - Oliver
10 - Franco
9 - Green
8 - Perez
7 - Mota
6 - Woodward
5 - Milledge
4 - Bannister
3 - Williams
2 - Castro
1 - Tucker

Nymr83
Nov 01 2006 04:13 PM

30 Beltran - team MVP
- - - -
29 Reyes - a good playoffs by J.R. or D.W. gets them 2nd place, since they did about the same i'll give it to reyes who showed much more improvement this year
28 Wright
27 Delgado - delgado's playoffs bump him up into the 2nd tier
- - - -
26 Glavine - i wasnt sure but i couldnt put the team's best pitcher lower than 5th on my intial rankings
25 Loduca
24 Valentin - April/May kept him below glavine and Loduca
- - - -
23 Wagner - best reliever
22 Maine - pedro/traschel started more games but given his postseason success and his regular season ERA a run better i gave him the nod over them
21 Chavez
- - - -
20 Martinez
19 Heilman
18 Oliver - very good stats tempered only by "low leverage innings"
17 Floyd - stop getting hurt!
16 Bradford
- - - -
15 Nady - would be alot higher if he wasnt traded away
14 Sanchez - likely tops Wagner if he had stayed healthy
13 Feliciano
12 Traschel - without the playoffs he probably is 3-4 higher
- - - -
11 Hernandez, O.
10 Perez, O. - the playoffs get him this high above the guys who were of little major help in the regular season, though i certainly understand people putting him lower
- - - -
9 Green - decent partial season and playoffs
8 Bannister
- - - -
7 Franco - the rest of this list is "filler"
6 Soler
5 Milledge
4 Castro
3 Pelfrey
2 Woodward
1 Tucker


well heres my first try at it. i think this year is even more of a judgment call than last, because of the problem of weighing the postseason. i may edit this upon seeing more arguments.

Nymr83
Nov 10 2006 06:03 PM

i really feel this would get more discussion tacked to the top of the baseball forum

Johnny Dickshot
Nov 26 2006 08:48 PM

30. Beltran
29. Reyes
*
28. Wright
27. Delgado
*
26. Glavine
25. Wagner
24. LoDuca
23. Sanchez
*
22. Feliciano
21. Bradford
20. Valentin
19. Chavez
18. Heilman
*
17. Maine
16. OHernandez
15. Nady
14. PMartinez
13. Oliver
12. Floyd
11. Trachsel
*
10. Mota
9. Green
8. Franco
7. Bannister
6. OPerez
5. RHernandez
*
4. Tucker
3. Milledge
2. Julio
1. Woodward
*
Cuts:
1. Castro
2. Williams
3. Soler
4. Bell
5. Ring
6. Pelfrey
7. Zambrano
8. JGonzalez
9. Marerro
10. Matsui
11. AHernandez
12. Lima
13. DeFelice
14. VDiaz
15. Ledee
16. Owens
17. Fortunato
18. Stinnett

Nymr83
Dec 11 2006 03:14 PM

Hi guys!
I'm the 2006 Mets team!
I made it to the LCS, yet people seem more interested in arguing about things that happened before Jose Reyes was alive than they do in ranking me!
please discuss me!

Benjamin Grimm
Dec 27 2006 12:56 PM

30 Carlos Beltran
29 José Reyes
28 David Wright
27 Carlos Delgado
26 Tom Glavine
25 Paul Lo Duca
24 José Valentin
23 Endy Chavez
22 Orlando Hernandez
21 Billy Wagner
20 Aaron Heilman
19 John Maine
18 Pedro Martinez
17 Duaner Sanchez
16 Steve Trachsel
15 Cliff Floyd
14 Xavier Nady
13 Chad Bradford
12 Pedro Feliciano
11 Oliver Perez
10 Darren Oliver
9 Julio Franco
8 Guillermo Mota
7 Shawn Green
6 Lastings Milledge
5 Chris Woodward
4 Brian Bannister
3 Heath Bell
2 Dave Williams
1 Alay Soler

Edgy MD
Dec 27 2006 01:04 PM

Frayed Knot wrote:
Wagner - I'm convinced now that no one will ever like the closer, but Wagner had a lower ERA, lower WHiP, Higher K/9, plus a lower BAA & SLGA than any of the other relievers all while usually working the money inning(s)


He blew a game against the Yankees! Chyuh!

I'm looking at the rankings of our catchers not named LoDuca and it strikes me that we would have been lost if Paulie had gotten injured.

Johnny Dickshot
Dec 27 2006 02:22 PM

somebody with time and chartmaking ability ought to line up our rankings against one another.

Good point above about Tucker, which is an important call considering under our 30-man system he gets either some points or no points.

Frayed Knot
Dec 27 2006 02:36 PM

I'm on it.

I've got a running total of the consensus to date and plan to post a summary of where we're at in the next day or two.

Edgy MD
Dec 29 2006 09:08 AM

This is what I've got. We're pretty set up top.

I've included standard deviations to indicate which guys we have strong disagreement on. As is typical, they frequently include guys with partial seasons (Martinez, Sanchez) and guys who performed well in lower-profile roles (Feliciano, Oliver). There's more consensus on the batters.

Anybody who has an SD over 3.5 is worth reviewing.

I haven't posted a list, but I think I have a place in my heart for Dave Williams.

RankTransMonkVic Sageseawolf17valadiusFrayed KnotNymr83Johnny DickshotRankConsensusAverageHighLowSD
30BeltranBeltranReyesBeltranBeltranBeltranBeltran30Beltran29.8630290.38
29ReyesReyesBeltranReyesReyesReyesReyes29Reyes29.1430290.38
28WrightWrightDelgadoDelgadoWrightWrightWright28Wright27.7128270.49
27DelgadoDelgadoWrightWrightDelgadoDelgadoDelgado27Delgado27.2928270.49
26GlavineWagnerGlavineLoDucaWagnerLoDucaWagner26Glavine25.7126250.49
25LoDucaGlavineLoDucaGlavineGlavineGlavineGlavine25LoDuca24.8626240.90
24WagnerMaineOliverChavezHeilmanChavezBradford24Wagner23.8625211.46
23ValentinChavezFelicianoNadySanchezHeilmanChavez23Valentin21.5724191.90
22HeilmanHeilmanO. HernandezMaineValentinMartinezValentin22Heilman19.5722171.72
21MaineNadyMaineTrachselChavezNadyNady21Maine18.8622153.13
20MartinezO. HernandezMartinezFloydFloydSanchezMartinez20Martinez18.5723144.39
19ChavezSanchezChavezOliverFelicianoBradfordO. Hernandez19Chavez18.1421152.48
18FelicianoLoDucaWagnerWagnerLoDucaValentinLoDuca18Feliciano17.5724124.43
17SanchezMartinezValentinValentinMartinezWagnerSanchez17Sanchez17.5723114.47
16BradfordFelicianoSanchezHeilmanBradfordFloydMaine16Bradford17.1421132.41
15O. HernandezValentinHeilmanMartinezMaineMaineFeliciano15O. Hernandez17.0022113.70
14OliverBradfordBradfordO. HernandezO. HernandezOliverHeilman14Oliver15.2921104.07
13NadyMotaNadyFelicianoTrachselTrachselFloyd13Nady14.4319122.44
12FloydTrachselFloydSanchezOliverO. HernandezTrachsel12Floyd12.571792.64
11TrachselGreenTrachselBradfordNadyFelicianoOliver11Trachsel12.4315111.40
10GreenOliverFrancoFrancoFrancoPerezMota10Green9.711391.50
9FrancoFloydGreenGreenGreenGreenGreen9Franco8.711071.38
8MotaPerezMilledgeMotaPerezBannisterFranco8Mota7.001203.96
7PerezJulioPerezWoodwardWilliamsPelfreyMilledge7Perez6.431032.64
6BannisterBannisterBannisterMilledgeMilledgeMilledgeR. Hernandez6Bannister5.43841.51
5MilledgeCastroCastroCastroTuckerTuckerWoodward5Milledge4.71812.21
4WoodwardMilledgeSolerR. HernandezWoodwardSolerPerez4Woodward3.86712.41
3SolerTuckerMotaBannisterBannisterCastroTucker3Soler2.57602.76
2CastroFrancoWoodwardPerezMotaFrancoBannister2Castro2.29702.43
1R. HernandezWoodwardTuckerSolerCastroWoodwardJulio1R. Hernandez1.86602.61









Tucker1.71401.70









Julio0.71301.25









Pelfrey0.43301.13









Williams0.43301.13
Left OutTucker, Julio, Pelfrey, WilliamsSoler, R. Hernandez, Pelfrey, WilliamsR. Hernandez, Julio, Pelfrey, WilliamsTucker, Julio, Pelfrey, WilliamsSoler, R. Hernandez, Julio, PelfreyMota, R. Hernandez, Julio, WilliamsCastro, Soler, Pelfrey, Williams





metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 09:24 AM

edgy, you might want to double check your chart. williams comes in at 7 high, not 4. pedro comes in at 22 high, 15 low, not 23/14.

i'm sure there are others too.

hey, i should cobble together a list!

Benjamin Grimm
Dec 29 2006 09:25 AM

My votes weren't included.

Edgy MD
Dec 29 2006 09:26 AM

Nothing personal.

metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 09:35 AM

here's my list, based on my own schaeffer voting:

30 Beltran
29 Reyes
28 Wright
27 Glavine
26 Delgado
25 Martinez
24 Ohernandez
23 Trachsel
22 Valentin
21 Maine
20 Oliver
19 LoDuca
18 Chavez
17 Floyd
16 Wagner
15 Nady
14 Heilman
13 Feliciano
12 Bannister
11 Soler
10 Sanchez
9 Bradford
8 Perez
7 Woodward
6 Milledge
5 Bell
4 Williams
3 Rhernandez
2 Castro
1 Ring

Benjamin Grimm
Dec 29 2006 09:46 AM

Edgy DC wrote:
Nothing personal.


No offense taken.

Nymr83
Dec 29 2006 09:47 AM

you either mislabeled the chart, or pulled things out of your ...

those arent my rankings, maybe the user names are in the wrong places?

metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 09:56 AM

and here's another chart that combines win shares and wins above replacement, averaged together, sorta. i divided win shares by three, and then averaged that with WARP3, and ranked based on that average. feel free to ignore it if you like - its more for informational purposes than anything.


rank player WARP3 WS/3
30 Beltran 11.8 12.7
29 Reyes 10.2 10.7
28 Wright 7.2 9.7
27 Glavine 6.2 8.0
26 Delgado 6.8 5.3
25 Martinez 4.9 5.7
24 Ohernandez 6.5 4.0
23 Trachsel 5.6 4.3
22 Valentin 4.6 4.7
21 Maine 3.8 2.7
20 Oliver 3.3 2.7
19 LoDuca 3.3 2.0
18 Chavez 2.8 2.3
17 Floyd 2.1 3.0
16 Wagner 3 2.0
15 Nady 2.2 2.7
14 Heilman 2.5 2.0
13 Feliciano 2.8 1.7
12 Bannister 2.4 2.0
11 Soler 2.5 1.7
10 Sanchez 1.7 1.0
9 Bradford 1.6 1.0
8 Perez 1.4 0.7
7 Woodward 1 1.0
6 Milledge 0.5 1.3
5 Bell 0.6 1.0
4 Williams 0.7 0.7
3 Rhernandez 0.5 0.7
2 Castro 0.5 0.3
1 Ring 0.5 0.3

Edgy MD
Dec 29 2006 10:10 AM

Yeah, I messed up sorting and royally messed up Monk's list.

I'll try again.

Edgy MD
Dec 29 2006 10:13 AM

I messed up everybody by grabbing too many columns in my sort.

Frayed Knot
Dec 29 2006 10:59 AM

Yo marathon, are you willing to defend;

- Oliver above Wagner (4 slots), Heilman (6), Sanchez (7), Feliciano (10) & Bradford(11)????

- Trachsel over all of the above plus LoDuca, Valentin & Maine???

- Votes for Bell, Williams & Ring, but none for Green, Mota & Franco???

- Soler above Bradford & Feliciano???

Frayed Knot
Dec 29 2006 11:13 AM

The composite we've got to date includes the 8 lists submitted so far:
(TransMonk, VicSage, SeaWolf, Valadius, FK, Nymr, Dickshot & Yancy) plus one more from our PotY stats (Yancy's daily polls).
I'm not including marathon's yet until we hear back from him on a few things.

Below is the consensus from those lists along with the cases where individual votes differed most from the group -- which isn't to imply that those are "wrong" neccesarily but to provide a jumping off point for folks to defend or object to various votes.


This first group looks to be fairly well set where they are. Any new lists submitted are unlikely to change things much and none of the individual votes differred by more than a slot or two (except where noted)

30 - Beltran
29 - Reyes
28 - Wright
27 - Delgado
26 - Glavine
25 - LoDuca
24 - Wagner {the PotY list had him at #19, 5 spots lower than our consensus}
23 - Valentin {TransMonk has him 4 spots lower}

The above are also a sizeable gap ahead of the remainder.

22 - Chavez {TM -6; SW -6; FK -7}
21 - Heilman {Val -4; PotY -5}
20 - Pedro {TM -6; SW -6; JD -6}
19 - Maine {TM -4; SW -4; PotY -4}
18 - OHernandez {TM +4; Vic -4; Nymr -7; YSG +4; PotY +4}
17 - Sanchez {TM +6; Val -6; JD +6; PotY -4}
16 - Feliciano {TM +8; Val -4; JD +6; YSG -4; PotY -5}
15 - Bradford {JD +6}

{mid-sized gap here}

14 - Nady {Val +5}
13 - Oliver {TM +5; SW +8; Nymr +5;
12 - Trachsel {YSG +4; PotY +9}
11 - Floyd {Nymr +6; YSG +4; PotY +7}

{big gap}

10 - Green {PotY -6}
9 - Franco
8 - Mota {VS +4; SW -4; Nymr -8 (not on list); PotY -7}
7 - Perez {TM -4; SW -4; YSG +4; PotY -7 (off list)}

* * * *

6 - Bannister
5 - Milledge {PotY +5}
4 - Woodward {PotY +4}
3 - Soler {PotY +6}

then tied for last place:
1.5 - Castro
1.5 - R Hernandez


Outside looking in:
Tucker - got votes from VS (4), SW (4), FK (1), Nymr (1), JD (4)
Bell - YSG (3), PotY (5)
Williams - FK (3); YSG (2); PotY (3)
Julio - VS (3); JD (2);
Pelfrey - Nymr (3)

... the rest of the crew was shut out

metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 01:02 PM

Frayed Knot wrote:
Yo marathon, are you willing to defend;

- Oliver above Wagner (4 slots), Heilman (6), Sanchez (7), Feliciano (10) & Bradford(11)????

- Trachsel over all of the above plus LoDuca, Valentin & Maine???

- Votes for Bell, Williams & Ring, but none for Green, Mota & Franco???

- Soler above Bradford & Feliciano???


maybe... its all based on my schaeffer voting. are you trying to imply that there's a flaw with how i voted! what nerve! of, and i forgot to include the postseason. hee.

i'll take a look at what i've done here. i'm not sure my next tabulation won't raise equally many problems...

metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 01:38 PM

updated, in such a fashion as to rectify my voting silliness, as well as to account for the post season.

for the record, i counted NLDS games as twice as important as regular season games, and NLCS games as thrice as important.

results are as shown below.

30 Beltran
29 Reyes
28 Delgado
27 Wright
26 Glavine
25 LoDuca
24 Valentin
23 Chavez
22 Floyd
21 Martinez
20 Maine
19 Wagner
18 OHernandez
17 Oliver
16 Bradford
15 Heilman
14 Feliciano
13 Trachsel
12 Nady
11 Sanchez
10 Perez
9 Woodward
8 Green
7 Mota
6 Milledge
5 Franco
4 Bannister
3 Rhernandez
2 Castro
1 Bell

Edgy MD
Dec 29 2006 02:33 PM

That's always a philosophical question that is hard to apply mathmatically --- what's the season worth compared to the post-season.

Pretend it's a four-division format, like 1986. The Mets win their division, they've established themselves as the champion among six teams.

If they beat Houston in the LCS, that doubles, and they're the champion of 12 teams.

So philosophically, it can be argued, the LCS, seven games though it may be, carries, in itself, the weight of a full season. And the World Series the weight of both of those. (More, perhaps, in 1986, as the champion of a 12-team league beat the champion of a 14-team league.)

I'm not marrying that one. I'm just taking it out for a walk. I'm not really ready to state that Ray Knight's World Series MVP is worth as much as a season MVP --- and should be counted in his otherwise humble Hall of Fame candidacy --- although it's not unthinkable either.

metsmarathon
Dec 29 2006 03:54 PM

i was toying originally with three and five, but then that'd almost force me to go with the world series being 10 times as important as the regular season, and that's a bit much. the postseason would then be worth between 9+20+40 = 69 games minimum and 15+35+70 = 120 games maximum.

with my 2, 3, 5 multipliers, it works out instead to 6+12+20 = 38 games minimum to 10+21+35 = 66 games maximum.

is that right? i dunno. but postseason games are more important, so i'm going with it!

there's still a good argument that i've got oliver too high, and maybe the more meaningful relievers too low. i'll run an excursion wherein saves and holds are granted more points, and see what happens!

Nymr83
Dec 29 2006 04:46 PM

rather than weighing it with a number, since i'd be unsure what number to use, i make my regular season list (with tiers) and bump guys up and down based on the postseason, with a very good or very bad postseason needed to move to a different tier.

metsmarathon
Dec 30 2006 11:36 AM

i feel compulsed to attempt to do it quantifiably, even if the method for quantification is flawed.

especially since i started out the whole process using some inherently flawed quantification method. i must compound the mistake - i simply must!

also, it lets me, presumably, go back in and reevaluate my mthodologies a little easier than a subjective ranking would.

Nymr83
Dec 30 2006 03:02 PM

I'm not comfortable with Oliver higher than Bradford and especially Heilman

Oliver threw 81 mostly low-leverage innings .
(70 hits, 21 walks, 1.123 WHIP, 60 k's, 3.44 ERA)

Bradford threw 62 innings many of which were low leverage and many of which were in key spots with runners on base if i recall correctly.
(59 hits, 13 walks, 1.161 WHIP, 45 k's, 2.90 ERA)

Heilman threw 87 innings, more important innings than anyone but Wagner if i remember correctly.
(73 hits, 23 walks, 1.161 WHIP, 73 k's, 3.61 ERA)

each allowed 2 unearned runs so thats not much of a factor here, i seem to remember Bradford stranding alot of OTHER guys' runners on base (and i have the feeling alot of them belonged to Feliciano) but i can't find inherited runners stats on baseball-reference.com

I think between the 3 of them Heilman was clearly the most important to the team when you consider that neither of the other guys pitched better than him and he undoubtedly pitched more important innings. the inning gap between Oliver and Bradford may be reason enough for some to drop him below Oliver, i could go either way.

cleonjones11
Dec 30 2006 04:24 PM

This is Mets calculus to me. I'm lost.

metsmarathon
Dec 30 2006 09:07 PM

i wish these rankings were as easy as calculus!

Nymr83
Dec 30 2006 09:58 PM

calculus has a right answer, these questions don't have absolute rights and wrongs, though some positions are alot more right or wrong than others.

Frayed Knot
Jan 25 2007 08:51 PM

This needed to be rescued before it fell off into archive-land.

I'd like to make this the last call for opinions - seeing as how the season is 3 months gone now - and finalize this list.

So anyone who wants to add an opinion or argue a point on the existing list-to-date (see below) do so now or forever hold your peace.

The composite so far, built from 9 submitted lists plus our PotY project:

30 - Beltran
29 - Reyes
28 - Wright
27 - Delgado
26 - Glavine
25 - LoDuca
24 - Wagner
23 - Valentin
21.5 - Chavez
21.5 - Martinez
20 - Heilman
19 - Maine
18 - O. Hernandez
17 - Sanchez
16 - Bradford
15 - Feliciano
14 - Oliver
13 - Nady
12 - Floyd
11 - Trachsel
10 - Green
9 - Franco
8 - Perez
7 - Mota
6 - Milledge
5 - Bannister
4 - Woodward
3 - Soler
2 - Castro
1 - R Hernandez

Frayed Knot
Feb 20 2007 07:51 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Oct 21 2009 08:29 AM

I guess it's time to put this one to bed


2006RANKINGS
POINTSPLAYER
30Carlos Beltran
29Jose Reyes
28David Wright
27Carlos Delgado
26Tom Glavine
25Paul LoDuca
24Billy Wagner
23Jose Valentin
21.5Endy Chavez
21.5Pedro Martinez
20Aaron Heilman
19John Maine
18Orlando Hernandez
17Duaner Sanchez
16Chad Bradford
15Pedro Feliciano
14Darren Oliver
13Cliff Floyd
12Xavier Nady
11Steve Trachsel
10Shawn Green
9Julio Franco
8Oliver Perez
7Guillermo Mota
6Lastings Milledge
5Brian Bannister
4Chris Woodward
3Alay Soler
2Ramon Castro
1Roberto Hernandez

Gwreck
Feb 20 2007 09:45 PM

Is the list (updated with 2005 and 2006) available?