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Name the Mets Opening Day Rotation

Edgy MD
Jan 30 2007 08:11 AM

Five men NOW!!!!

And yes, if you suspect Hernandez will go down in spring training, and fail to answer the opening day bell, list him not.

Oft enough a team opens with a four-man set the first week or two, but even then, they usually announce the fifth, so don't get cute and only list four men.

Johnny Dickshot
Jan 30 2007 08:17 AM

Basically you're asking then for the first five men to start a game for the 07 Mets, in order.

1. Glavine
2. Hernandez
3. Maine
4. Perez
5. Pelfrey

Benjamin Grimm
Jan 30 2007 08:19 AM

I agree with Johnny:

1. Glavine
2. Hernandez
3. Maine
4. Perez
5. Pelfrey

metirish
Jan 30 2007 08:19 AM

1) Glavine( a true Met)

2) Hernandez

3) Maine

4) Perez

5) Soler

I'm going with Soler because Willie will announce that Pelfrey will make a start in AAA then make the rotation for the third go around at Florida on April 18th for his season debut.

Edgy MD
Jan 30 2007 08:27 AM
Edited 2 time(s), most recently on Jan 30 2007 08:45 AM

I think we all agree on the first four, unless we're predicting injury. Though I guess Willie will let on that Maine and Perez still have to earn their slots, I imagine we all think they're good bets.

There seem to be six real possiblities for the last slot. There are the experienced guys --- Sele, Sosa, and Williams --- and the inexperienced guys --- Humber, Pelfrey, and Soler.

I think they'll go old first. Williams is the incumbent, but I don't think that makes him the favorite. I'll go with Sosa for no good reason. Glavine-Hernandez-Maine-Perez-Sosa.

metirish
Jan 30 2007 08:30 AM

I forgot already about Sele...I think he would be a good bet ,Willie is a feel guy so it could be a one of thing for the fifth day.

smg58
Jan 30 2007 08:39 AM

I'll go Glavine, Hernandez, Maine, Perez, Sosa.

iramets
Jan 30 2007 08:46 AM
Terry Leach on the best pitched start in Mets history

Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jan 30 2007 08:48 AM

OOPS! I thought I had created a new thread. Can this be diverted, or should I delete and start over again fresh?



Not sure how long this will be up, but here's a link to a free excerpt from Terry Leach's autobiography. I love out-of-nowhere stories like his.

metirish
Jan 30 2007 08:47 AM

Can I submit my nightmare rotation due to age and injury?....thanks

Sele

Wiliams

Sosa

Vargas

Humber

sharpie
Jan 30 2007 08:48 AM

Glavine, Sele, Maine, Perez, Pelfrey

I'll go with Hernandez a late dl scratch and Sele taking his turn.

patona314
Jan 30 2007 08:56 AM

Johnny Dickshot wrote:
Basically you're asking then for the first five men to start a game for the 07 Mets, in order.

1. Glavine
2. Hernandez (nope, he'll be injured by opening day)
3. Maine
4. Perez
5. Pelfrey



1. Glavine
2. Maine
3. Perez
4. Williams
5. Humber

Pelfrey will start at AAA and be brought up once Williams and/or Humber falters.

Centerfield
Jan 30 2007 08:58 AM

Glavine
El Duque
Maine
Perez
Vargas

Nymr83
Jan 30 2007 09:12 AM

Glavine, Maine, Perez, Hernandez...the Mets will put off deciding on a 5th starter until needed and will then choose Humber over Pelfrey...they will claim the decision was based solely on who was on "normal rest" at the time

MFS62
Jan 30 2007 09:17 AM

Glavine
Hernandez
Maine
O. Perez

and

Aaron Sele (in the Steve Traschell memorial roster spot)

Later

Benjamin Grimm
Jan 30 2007 09:23 AM

metirish wrote:
Can I submit my nightmare rotation due to age and injury?....thanks

Sele

Wiliams

Sosa

Vargas

Humber


I think cleon has hacked irish's password.

DocTee
Jan 30 2007 09:43 AM

Glavine
Sele
Maine
Perez
Williams

martin
Jan 30 2007 10:49 AM

glavine
maine
perez
sele
humber

el duque starts the season resting a sore something, sele takes his spot. humber impresses everyone in spring training, will not be denied.

abogdan
Jan 30 2007 11:26 AM

Glavine
Maine
Sele
Perez
Sosa

Willets Point
Jan 30 2007 11:57 AM

1 Glavine
2 Glavine, the superman
3 El Glavino
4 Gull Aven
5 Glavine

metsmarathon
Jan 30 2007 12:10 PM

1) jose lima
2) steve trachsel
3) victor zambrano
4) carl pavano
5) joe blanton

i'm tellin' ya, i've got the inside track on this one.

Edgy MD
Jan 30 2007 12:11 PM

I want to see some more of that outside-the-box thinking.

Not that outside, mind you.

seawolf17
Jan 30 2007 01:00 PM

Gooden
Darling
Fernandez
Ojeda
Niemann

Frayed Knot
Jan 30 2007 02:23 PM

Glavine
Hernandez
Perez
Maine
Williams


Williams has himself a decent enough ST to gain a spot but one on a short leash as Pelfrey & Humber start in N'awlins until ready to get eased in at the first stumble and/or injury.
Sele isn't on the roster yet so would need to have a GREAT!!! ST in order to get added to the squad and I don't know that he still has it in him.
Vargas is the dark horse.

Vic Sage
Jan 30 2007 02:23 PM

Glavine
El Duque
Maine
O.Perez
Williams

The current leading veteran candidates are:
- Sele / Sosa / Williams / Soler / Vargas
+ rookies: Pelfrey / Humber / Collazo

I think Willie will go with a veteran initially, wanting the young guns to get regular work early in the season and be ready if/when the old arms go down or are ineffective. I think it'll come down to Sele, Williams and Sosa, in that order, and whichever one sucks least in ST will get the nod.

I'm guessing Sele is finished, but Williams will show enough to start the season as the 5th SPer over Sosa.

Frayed Knot
Jan 30 2007 02:25 PM

FK/VS similarity scores skyrocket ... perhaps on account of Vic being in his 'McReynolds' stage (heh, heh, heh)

Vic Sage
Jan 30 2007 02:31 PM

McReyn..?... DOH!

How much longer, lord? how much longer?

seawolf17
Jan 30 2007 02:41 PM

HEY! Leave K-Mac alone.

My real guess:

OHernandez
Maine
OPerez
Glavine (who injures himself late in the spring and needs a few extra days)
Sosa

metsmarathon
Jan 30 2007 02:57 PM

Maine
Perez
Glavine
Hernandez
Sosa

i think that would put glavine as our home opener starter, presuming a four-man rotation for the opening week, with Sosilliams being the first to get the call for the 5th start.

TheOldMole
Jan 30 2007 05:02 PM

I'm going to go out on a limb for Sele as #5.

iramets
Feb 02 2007 05:06 AM

Dave Williams?Fuhgeddaboutit!

Edgy MD
Feb 19 2007 08:30 PM

Should we invite re-submissions now that we're in the Park era, or should we just plug Park in for Williams.

I think peeps should re-submit.

Anyhow, Newsday's David Lennon assumes that Glavine and Hernandez are locks (which they are, except there's always the possibility that one of them will be hurt), and he handicaps the rest of the field this way:

John Maine (2-1)
Oliver Perez (5-1)
Chan Ho Park (7-1)
Mike Pelfrey (12-1)
Philip Humber (12-1)
Jorge Sosa (15-1)
Aaron Sele (20-1)
Jason Vargas (30-1)
Alay Soler (50-1)
Aaron Heilman (100-1)
Personally, I think he's long on many of these odds. Doesn't 5-1 mean Ollie Perez only has a one in six chance of making this team? He seems more like two in three to me.

metsmarathon
Feb 19 2007 09:33 PM

his odds add up to 1.19

i really hope we can manage to find more than 1.19 pitchers out of that lot, that we can use in the rotation.

unless, of course, mr. lennon knows of a trade that we dont, and this is his very clever way of telling us...?

those odds should add up to about 3, maybe just under (2.9) to account for some super-duper long shot scenario, but darned close to three, as we've got three slots left to fill.

edit. i did the math wrong. i used 2:1 as a ratio, meaning 50% chance. edgy's right in that it means a 1-in-3 chance.

using that, the odds add up to 0.95, which is even dumber. we won't get even one whole pitcher out of those odds! woe to us!

Gwreck
Feb 19 2007 09:57 PM

At this point I think it's likely to be:

Glavine
Hernandez
Maine
Perez
Park

The original post asked for the first 5 pitchers to start for the Mets in 2007. I'll add my predictions for #6 and #7:

Sele
Pelfrey

metirish
Feb 19 2007 09:59 PM

I think Park will get cut in the coming weeks.

Edgy MD
Feb 19 2007 10:24 PM

Two things about Chan Ho Park:

(1) He looks to be in great shape, for what it's worth, from the shots I've seen.

(2) He fired Scott Boras shortly before signing with the Mets.

A third thing about Chan Ho Park:

(3) He's a fucking ninja-man.



I'm not sure any Met suit has the guts to cut a Ninja. Do you?

metirish
Feb 20 2007 06:39 AM

That will be a job for Jay Horowitz...