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My Right Arm

Elster88
Jun 04 2007 07:45 PM

[url=http://www.nytimes.com/2007/06/03/sports/playmagazine/0603play-wood.html?_r=1&ref=playmagazine&oref=slogin]Interesting[/url]

metirish
Jun 04 2007 09:11 PM

I read that article the other day,very interesting read,meant to post it,thanks Elster.

SteveJRogers
Jun 09 2007 06:14 AM

While I admit I'm kind of guilty of the same line of thinking, but I wonder why whenever someone tries to disprove that pitch counts matter and pitchers should just pitch, pitch and pitch some more, despite the overwhelming evidence (heck even Dallas Green admits that he had a hand in messing up Gen K) in today's game, they use only the rarest rubber arm examples like Bob Gibson (who was the pitching coach for Tim Leary's debut) rather than try to do any kind of research to counter the arguments beyond "This guy once threw 197 pitches and all these extra inning CGs"

There is a guy on the radio right now saying Tom Gorzelanny of the Pirates should have been left in after 117 pitches in part because the guy didn't want to leave and because of how bad the Pirate pen is! The true funny thing is that the radio guy has no clue about Gorzelanny's or the Pirates' situation so its really is projecting his opinions blindly on everything. Even to the point of saying Sosa should have finished last night!

Even when faced with possible evidence (Billy Martin with Ron Guidry and the 80s Athletics) these guys with these kinds of opinions will disregard them as untrue rumors.

Is there anything you can say to these people?

Edgy DC
Jun 09 2007 06:34 AM

Bob Gibson wasn't the pitching coach for Leary's debut. Rube Walker was. To hear some people tell it, Walker invented pitch counts.

SteveJRogers
Jun 09 2007 06:38 AM

="Edgy DC"]Bob Gibson wasn't the pitching coach for Leary's debut. Rube Walker was. To hear some people tell it, Walker invented pitch counts.


Right, right, Bob was just the assistant.

Brain fart there, sorry.

Iubitul
Jun 09 2007 07:13 AM

I think Aluminum bats play a part in this.

These kids are taught at a young age to throw different pitches in an attempt to miss the bat - so instead of just building up arm strength and stamina at a formative age, they are putting more stress on their arms by attempting to throw pitches that their arms are not fully ready to handle.

MFS62
Jun 09 2007 07:40 AM

Iubitul wrote:

These kids are taught at a young age to throw different pitches in an attempt to miss the bat - so instead of just building up arm strength and stamina at a formative age, they are putting more stress on their arms by attempting to throw pitches that their arms are not fully ready to handle.

Apparently the message is finally gettng through.
I was in the park a few weeks ago and heard this conversation:

Kid: "How do you throw a curve ball?"
Adult: "How old are you?"
Kid: "Nine"
Several adults who had heard the exchange: "You're too young!"

Later

Elster88
Jun 09 2007 09:08 AM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jun 09 2007 09:41 AM

Iubitul wrote:
I think Aluminum bats play a part in this.

These kids are taught at a young age to throw different pitches in an attempt to miss the bat - so instead of just building up arm strength and stamina at a formative age, they are putting more stress on their arms by attempting to throw pitches that their arms are not fully ready to handle.


I don't think this is due to aluminum bats. Would the kids stop if they were facing wood bats?

iramets
Jun 09 2007 09:24 AM

SteveJRogers wrote:
While I admit I'm kind of guilty of the same line of thinking, but I wonder why whenever someone tries to disprove that pitch counts matter and pitchers should just pitch, pitch and pitch some more, despite the overwhelming evidence (heck even Dallas Green admits that he had a hand in messing up Gen K) in today's game, they use only the rarest rubber arm examples like Bob Gibson (who was the pitching coach for Tim Leary's debut) rather than try to do any kind of research to counter the arguments beyond "This guy once threw 197 pitches and all these extra inning CGs"

There is a guy on the radio right now saying Tom Gorzelanny of the Pirates should have been left in after 117 pitches in part because the guy didn't want to leave and because of how bad the Pirate pen is! The true funny thing is that the radio guy has no clue about Gorzelanny's or the Pirates' situation so its really is projecting his opinions blindly on everything. Even to the point of saying Sosa should have finished last night!

Even when faced with possible evidence (Billy Martin with Ron Guidry and the 80s Athletics) these guys with these kinds of opinions will disregard them as untrue rumors.

Is there anything you can say to these people?


"Anecdotes" is not the plural form of "evidence" (or however that meme goes). Without getting into specifics, if you're going to include the falsely-positive arguments ("Except for Bob Gibson, pitchers wrecked their arms by throwing too may pitches") you need to include the falsely-negative: i.e., even under these scrupulous and meticulous conditions, pitchers are still wrecking their arms every day.

You could make the case (and I would) that if pitch counts protect young pitchers so well, how come valuable and well-protected properties (like Zambrano and Pedro) spend so much time on the DL with arm troubles? Have you documented, for example, that the incidence of arm problems for starting pitchers has gone down significantly since pitch counts came into existence?

Assuming you can document this, which is an iffy proposition, has it gone down enough to compensate for the declining quality of pitching in general , as tomorrow's Gibsons and Marichals and Drysdales will never get to throw as much as yesterday's, and will be routinely surrendering IP (and wins for their teams) to inept mediocrities who are pitching middle inning relief because they're not nearly the pitchers that tomorrow's Gibsons, and Marichals and Drysdales will be. or woulod have been, if we could ever get them achieve their full potential.

Elster88
Jun 09 2007 09:29 AM

ira don't bang your head against the wall.

iramets
Jun 09 2007 09:32 AM

It feels so good when I stop.

Iubitul
Jun 09 2007 10:14 AM

Elster88 wrote:
="Iubitul"]I think Aluminum bats play a part in this.

These kids are taught at a young age to throw different pitches in an attempt to miss the bat - so instead of just building up arm strength and stamina at a formative age, they are putting more stress on their arms by attempting to throw pitches that their arms are not fully ready to handle.


I don't think this is due to aluminum bats. Would the kids stop if they were facing wood bats?


I think they would be coached differently.

Frayed Knot
Jun 09 2007 11:17 AM

[url=http://www.hardballtimes.com/main/article/ten-things-i-didnt-know-last-week38/]Dave Studeman of the Hardball Times[/url] takes Bissenger to task for some selective use of stats in that article (and also on some apparently related radio interview) saying, among other things, that;
"Baseball Prospectus's Clay Davenport took a more systematic look and found that major league pitchers who debuted in 1973 had pitched 423 innings in the minors, while pitchers who debuted last year pitched 434 minor league innings."