Master Index of Archived Threads
Here's something I wouldn't have guessed ...
| Frayed Knot Jul 27 2005 02:43 PM |
|||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
|
Park Factors with large differences between HRs by LHBs & RHBs:
Data from 2002-2004: 100 = "Neutral". 100+ = favors hitters, lower than 100 = favors pitching Represents only how the park has influenced [u:93d2f6376a]HRs[/u:93d2f6376a] in that time, not runs in general and shows only those parks shown with a 15% or greater difference in HR per 'handedness'. I wouldn't have figured Shea to give an advantage to either side over the other.
|
| rpackrat Jul 27 2005 02:54 PM |
|
The wind blows in from LF, especially in April. That hurts righty power hitters.
|
| Johnny Dickshot Jul 27 2005 02:54 PM |
|
I thought I'd read that before too. The other thing I understood was, that while Shea tends to depress offense in general, it depresses actual hits (singles, doubles, triples) to a greater degree than it does home runs. This doesn't seem intuitive, but I suppose it's possible given that Shea plays 15% better than the average park for LH HR hitters, as shown above.
|
| Frayed Knot Jul 27 2005 03:01 PM |
|
The fact that it depresses RHB-HRs to a greater degree than it helps LHB-HRs and that there are more RH-ABs than Left implies that it does also depress HRs overall.
|
| Edgy DC Jul 27 2005 03:05 PM |
|
Among other factors too subtle for me to speculate on, I imagine part of the reason is the giant windscreen in right center.
|
| MFS62 Jul 27 2005 03:06 PM |
|
Thanks, I had heard that over the years, but never saw the numbers.
|
| Elster88 Jul 27 2005 03:09 PM |
|
How many years left on Floyd's contract? He's signed through 2006 right?
|
| Frayed Knot Jul 27 2005 03:14 PM |
||
|
Yup. That's what this article was essentially about: http://www.baseballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=4250 (P.S. BP "Premium" articles are free through next week)
Correctamundo!
|
| Willets Point Jul 27 2005 03:34 PM |
|
So it's not that Shea is a pitcher's park, but that the Mets can't hit for shit.
|
| Rotblatt Jul 27 2005 03:40 PM |
|
Did I mention that I'd really like us to sign Adam Dunn?
|
| soupcan Jul 27 2005 03:50 PM |
|
Strawberry dug that windscreen.
|
| Frayed Knot Jul 27 2005 09:11 PM |
|
Strawberry & Dunn don't need the windscreen. They could hit the ball out of any park and that includes Yellowstone.
|
| smg58 Jul 27 2005 09:27 PM |
|
I'd like to see if those numbers change if you add more years. The White Sox park is friendlier to righties than Colorado? I find that hard to believe (although I just cut the amount of money I'd be willing to spend on Paul Konerko this offseason by about two-thirds). Does anybody know where the rest of the league's stadiums fit?
|
| Frayed Knot Jul 27 2005 10:43 PM |
|
Stuff I've read on this topic over the years seems to indicate that a 3-year sample is usually sufficient to get you a true rating while 1-year samples can vary wildly - although things certainly could change w/a larger sample.
|
| Edgy DC Jul 27 2005 11:58 PM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jul 28 2005 08:00 AM |
|
Am I right then in concluding that a theoretical park that gets an 85 rating against righthanders and a 115 rating against lefthanders is still a below average homerun park net, due to there being more righthanded batters?
|
| MFS62 Jul 28 2005 07:47 AM |
|
Edgy, I would think that you are correct that the higher number of right handed hitters would skew the overall park numbers, the best mathematical term I can come up with is the weighted average. That's probably why Shea is considered a pitcher's park.
|