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2006: Free Agents, Options, Trades
Rotblatt Aug 15 2005 02:44 PM |
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Matthew Pouliot from RotoWorld breaks down the free agent hitting class for 2006 and makes some predictions.
I'm down with Manny if we do it without giving up a top prospect, which might be possible if we agree to take on his whole contract. The Sox were allegedly interested in Matsui this off-season; I wonder if there's any interest there. He'll probably end up on a small-market team if we trade him, though . . . With this weak of a market, we're probably going to have to trade to get a decent 1B. I'm guessing any deal would involve Cameron & possibly a starting pitcher (he hasn't gotten to pitching yet--I think that's next week). Personally, I wouldn't be adverse to going with Valent (whom Pouliot lists as a non-tender candidate, and probably pretty accurately, which pisses me off) at 1st, then picking up a defensive-minded righty with good lefty splits to platoon with. My first choice would be to trade for a young dude with upside, but we could do worse than a Valent platoon. Our other holes will be 2B & C. If we land Hernandez with that deal, I'm happy, but I wouldn't mind running a Castro + Shoppach/Willingham/Closser/etc. platoon out there either. For 2B, I'd like to see us trade Matsui for whatever we can get and go with one of our youngsters (whomever looks good between this September and winter ball, I suppose).
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seawolf17 Aug 15 2005 02:56 PM |
I'll go on record now as saying I don't want Ramon Hernandez at that much money for that many years. He's lost big parts of the last two seasons to injuries (knee in '04, wrist in '05), and he'll be coming off surgery this winter. If he wants a one-year Nomaresque make-good deal, I'd be cool with that.
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metirish Aug 15 2005 03:56 PM |
I'm with seawolf, he looked brutal in the Mets series at Shea, I know he got hurt but still, I'd keep Castro as our main. catcher with a decent backup
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MFS62 Aug 15 2005 04:38 PM |
Early edition of Monday's Daily News says that if Carlos has to go on the DL, Valent will be called up.
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Rotblatt Aug 15 2005 04:45 PM |
Good point. It's also probably worth noting that even in his best year, Hernandez was barely as good offensively as Piazza in his worst year--so far, anyway.
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MFS62 Aug 15 2005 05:09 PM |
Once that option kicks in, I think unloading Glavine will be easier said than done.
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seawolf17 Aug 15 2005 05:56 PM |
According to [url=http://www.hardballdollars.com/]Hardball Dollars[/url], a pretty good source for all things contract-related:
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MFS62 Aug 15 2005 06:11 PM |
So that means he has to pitch 57 more innings in 10 more starts. Not out of the question.
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Nymr83 Aug 15 2005 07:12 PM |
which makes the 6 man more attractive!
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smg58 Aug 15 2005 07:45 PM |
This is what mlb4u.com had on Glavine:
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smg58 Aug 15 2005 08:06 PM |
The more I think about it, the more I think we were going about the Manny deal the wrong way. The only way to deal for Ramirez without turning the money issue into a logistical nightmare is to offer Beltran. After 06, the salaries are similar (Beltran's contract is backloaded), and the difference next year would be made up by throwing in Matsui. If the Sox were really eager to deal Ramirez, I'd bet that Beltran and Matsui for Manny and Shoppach would have done the trick. And may still, especially if Damon asks for too much.
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Frayed Knot Aug 15 2005 09:35 PM |
Nobody's dealing Beltran for Ramirez.
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Rotblatt Aug 16 2005 10:30 AM |
I don't think we'd need to give up Beltran. In terms of money, Piazza's coming off the books, and it looks like we've got some payroll flexibility. And really, trading Beltran now would be foolish. His trade value is probably about as low as it's ever been right now, since he's struggled so much this season and is being paid so much.
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Yancy Street Gang Aug 16 2005 11:03 AM |
I think, to trade Manny to the Mets, the Red Sox would push to get either Milledge or Petit, if not both.
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Edgy DC Aug 16 2005 11:07 AM |
Why do the Mets need Manny Ramirez so much?
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Yancy Street Gang Aug 16 2005 11:11 AM |
Their top priority should be more offense.
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Rotblatt Aug 16 2005 03:28 PM |
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Yup. I totally agree. There's a similar thread over at SoSH, and the consensus seem to be that Cameron + Milledge = Manny + $15M (5 per year over Manny's contract). If we take on Manny's whole contract, it could be Cameron for Manny straight up. I'm sorry, but if we can do Cam for Manny, we do it. We should have a plan in place to figure out where to put our pieces (maybe we switch Floyd over to 1B or trade him to Milwaukee for Overbay or whatever) but if we can afford him, I'd do it in a heartbeat.
I agree with you here too, Yancy. Navigating second base is going to be tough, but seeing how Lambin or Hernandez does in September should help us decide what's right for 2006. The impact players we could reasonably trade for are Soriano (not worth it, IMO) and Kent (maybe, depending on what we give up, but he's bound to experience more decline--and injuries). There are less expensive options who would still provide a nice boost for us, like Garrafino, who gets on base at a nice clip, but rather than sign a journeyman 2B, I'd prefer we just give one of the kids a shot and see what they can do. They're not likely to be worse than what we've had this year, and if we get a quality backup (ala Cairo) for the kid, then we'll have some decent insurance. For first base, it's a thin FA class after Konerko. If there's any chance we can sign him, we should jump on it, but otherwise we should be looking at trades, and perusing Pouliot's list, here's who jumps out at me: Overbay, Chad Tracy, Ryan Howard, Hee Sop Choi. That's a pretty sweet group of young 1B, if you ask me. I'd take any one of 'em in a heartbeat, although Choi's awfully streaky. The question is what it would take to land them. If we can trade off some pitching and a prospect that's not Petit or Milledge, I'd be pretty happy. Replacing Mientkiewicz/Woody/Cairo/Offerman with any one of those options would represent a big boost and ditto for Cairo/Matsui. Where we really get crazy, though, is replacing Cameron's prodcution with Manny's. That's like the buttercream icing on a rich coconut cake. nagghhhh, cake . . . Anyway, I DO think we should try and move Cameron--a lot of his value comes in from being a CF and Diaz looks to be a more than capable replacement.
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Willets Point Aug 16 2005 03:43 PM |
Can Manny play first?
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Frayed Knot Aug 16 2005 04:38 PM |
He can't even play left
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smg58 Aug 16 2005 07:25 PM |
The top priority should be offense, but dealing some quantity for quality on the pitching end of things wouldn't hurt. Fifth in ERA isn't bad, but it won't get you to the Series. I'd put a legit #2 starter on the wish list.
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DocTee Aug 16 2005 08:58 PM |
"Overbay, Chad Tracy, Ryan Howard, Hee Sop Choi.
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OlerudOwned Aug 16 2005 09:03 PM |
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The way Thome broke down this year, I don't think the Phils will deal Howard to anyone.
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Rotblatt Aug 16 2005 10:12 PM |
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Konerko's H/A splits this year: .892 OPS H, .896 A. He was bad away last year and outstanding at home and the same in 2003, but in 2002, he was better away than home. As for his batting average, I've got no problem with a career .278 hitter. That's pretty solid, and given that he's reached base at almost a .350 clip, I'd have no qualms about signing him to a couple of years. I think he's definitely the best we could realistically hope for in terms of a first baseman.
If they're looking to trade him and we offer the best package, I think they'd take it . . . That being said, I agree that it's a long shot.
IMO, he's worth taking a shot on. He's never really been given a starting job, but he's a guy who just raked in the minors. Willie seems to do pretty well with different personalities--maybe he can coax the best out of Choi. He'd probably be the cheapest of the lot to acquire, and he's got as much upside as any of em. Okay, so maybe not QUITE as much upside, but he could be pretty solid.
Sure, but who do the MFY have to trade? No one. The Sox might be in the market for Overbay, and they DO have prospects to burn, but I'd take a shot on him, especially since we have our ace in the hole--pitching depth, which pretty much no one else but the Twins has.
In a heartbeat. 25-year old who hits for average & power, doesn't strike out much and who takes walks? As good as Clff's season's been, Tracy's been right up there (.878 OPS), and he's far more likely to improve. None of them are perfect, but any of them would be better than what we got this year--and likely better than what we could acquire on the FA market.
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TheOldMole Aug 16 2005 10:27 PM |
I dunno...I can't picture a guy named Chad Tracy playing in NY.
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smg58 Aug 17 2005 01:22 AM |
I don't see any reason not to trade a major league-ready pitcher for somebody like Overbay or Tracy -- we'd be trading our abundance for theirs, and it's not like these guys can't play and wouldn't be huge upgrades at first. Both teams might be in a position to demand more than that, though.
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MFS62 Aug 17 2005 07:12 AM |
Earlier in the thread, someone suggested that Cliff Floyd could be moved to first base,
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MrMet420 Aug 17 2005 11:32 AM |
To me, I just cant see Cliffy on the team next season. A Manny-Cammy trade would be great as long as it dosen't include Milledge or Bannister. With the quiteness on the Soler and Humber fronts. For some reason I cringe at the though of the Mets making another Kazmir mistake with Bannister.... Although Kazmir hasn't been what everyone's expected in TB, I think he would have thrived under Rick Peterson.
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Elster88 Aug 17 2005 11:37 AM |
Welcome Mr. Met. See you at the game tonight.
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Edgy DC Aug 17 2005 11:47 AM |
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Welcome. Why not?
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seawolf17 Aug 17 2005 11:48 AM |
Welcome indeed. I think this is the first real love we've seen for Brian Bannister this year, despite his solid start.
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Johnny Dickshot Aug 17 2005 12:05 PM |
Not to mention the 1st time we'd seen Peterson mentioned as someone who might have improved Kazmir as opposed to someone doomed to witness his eventual elbow-ectomy.
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Vic Sage Aug 17 2005 12:09 PM |
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he's been EXACTLY what people expected... an erratic young strikeout pitcher, with obvious upside that may or may not develop. Anybody expecting him to step out of AAn and be Doc Gooden wasn't really paying attention to his minor-league production. In an organization with a deeper pitching staff and less desperation, he'd have started in AAA this year, and, presuming he did well, have had a late season call up. They pushed his schedule up a year. We'll see how that works out. Too early to tell.
This sounds like the groundwork being laid to be able to blame the Mets even if they were right and Kazmir never develops. "well, he would've been great if we kept him and he got to work with Rick "fix him in a minute" Peterson.", disgruntled Mets "fans" will claim. I hope you'll use your great powers of prescience for the forces of good, not for evil.
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MrMet420 Aug 17 2005 01:11 PM |
Prob not, not say he was goin to be great, just much more developed as a young pitcher under RP, after what he did in Oakland. As for your "Fix-It in a minute" RP, hasn't done, is exactly that.....Zambrano has been here for more than a minute; and while he has improved, he is extremely erratic, sometimes dominating sometimes wild.
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MrMet420 Aug 17 2005 01:13 PM |
Can someone tell me why people come on these Message Boards just to rip people's messages apart; and make themselves feel big?
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OlerudOwned Aug 17 2005 01:17 PM |
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Edgy DC Aug 17 2005 01:30 PM Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Aug 17 2005 01:53 PM |
Well Vic likes to beat his chest and make his sound, it's true. But it's a forum for exchange. You post your ideas publickly, and you expose them to a counter-argument.
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Elster88 Aug 17 2005 01:40 PM |
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Eh, don't take it personally. Stick around and continue posting, you'll like it here.
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MFS62 Aug 17 2005 01:41 PM |
Welcome.
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Vic Sage Aug 17 2005 01:52 PM |
i don't come here JUST to rip people's messages apart... it's merely an ancillary activity i engage in for the pure, unadulterated joy of it.
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Vic Sage Aug 17 2005 01:55 PM |
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oooga ooooga
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MFS62 Aug 17 2005 02:05 PM |
A while ago, we actually got into a discussion of the term "loveable curmudgeon".
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Elster88 Aug 17 2005 02:05 PM |
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I agree with everything you said here, though maybe a newbie won't be as scared if you're a little gentler? Unless your point is to scare off those who post, as you say, "unsupportable opinions or unsupported assertions". I agree with that goal, though I think one post is a little early to be judging Mr. Met. Of course, after rereading your post, you really weren't judging Mr. Met, just his post. I guess I have no point. Kudos to Mr Met for showing up though, it must be tough to work up the energy to post when you have to dance and fling t-shirts around Shea 81 times a year.
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cooby Aug 17 2005 02:09 PM |
Mr Met, I love you! and we have a whole thread devoted to your picture...
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smg58 Aug 17 2005 08:36 PM |
Welcome Mr. Met!
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Edgy DC Aug 17 2005 08:43 PM |
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Not to dismiss Kazmir's run, because I don't mean to, I'm going to go ahead and be a little skeptical about that factoid.
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smg58 Aug 17 2005 09:19 PM |
I did read half a run somewhere (I'm guessing espn.com), but it was a while ago and I can't give you a specific source off the top of my head. Some of the sabermetricians here could probably give a more precise number, but the difference between a DH and a pitcher batting has to be taken into consideration when comparing pitchers in different leagues.
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Frayed Knot Aug 17 2005 09:23 PM |
Yes, although as of around the mid-season point this year, the NL was actually out-scoring the AL on a per/game basis.
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Edgy DC Aug 17 2005 09:26 PM |
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No doubt. I'm just unsure about that degree.
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