Over/Under Contest

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Over/Under Contest

Frayed Knot
Mar 17 2008 10:23 AM

The line from Lost Wages, Nevada for win totals for each of the NL teams this season.
Pick either the over or under for Any Eight teams (any combo of overs or unders permitted) and we'll track this throughout the season and then both laugh at those with pathetic results and laud the winner with the usual CPF fabulous prize*

NYM - 93.5
PHIL - 87.5
ATL - 84.5
WASH - 70.5
FLA - 68.5

CHIC - 87.5
MILW - 84.5
CINC - 79.5
StL - 78.5
HOUS - 72.5
PITT - 68.5

LAD - 87.5
ARIZ - 86.5
SD - 84.5
COLO - 82.5
SF - 71.5

* Absolutely fucking nothing

AG/DC
Mar 17 2008 10:30 AM

WASH - 70.5
Over
FLA - 68.5
Under
MILW - 84.5
Over
HOUS - 72.5
Under
PITT - 68.5
Over
ARIZ - 86.5
Over
SD - 84.5
Under
SF - 71.5
Under

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Mar 17 2008 10:44 AM

NYM - 93.5
--Under

WASH - 70.5
--Over

MILW - 84.5
--Over

HOUS - 72.5
--Under

PITT - 68.5
--Over

ARIZ - 86.5
--Over

COLO - 82.5
--Over

SF - 71.5
--Over

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Mar 17 2008 10:45 AM

I wasn't looking at EDC but we picked 5 of 8 same teams (tho a few different results)

AG/DC
Mar 17 2008 10:46 AM

Mostly, though, not.

Is there a camera in my office?

Nymr83
Mar 17 2008 10:52 AM
Re: Over/Under Contest

PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 UNDER
WASH - 70.5 UNDER
CHIC - 87.5 OVER
CINC - 79.5 UNDER
LAD - 87.5 OVER
SD - 84.5 OVER
SF - 71.5 UNDER

Triple Dee
Mar 17 2008 10:52 AM
Re: Over/Under Contest

1. NYM - 93.5 - Over
2. PHIL - 87.5 - Over
3. ATL - 84.5 - Under
4. WASH - 70.5 - Over
5. FLA - 68.5 - Under
6. StL - 78.5 - Under
7. LAD - 87.5 - Under
8. ARIZ - 86.5 - Over

sharpie
Mar 17 2008 10:58 AM

ATL Under
STL Under
CIN Under
SD Under
SF Under
COL Under
HOU Over
CHIC Over

smg58
Mar 17 2008 11:03 AM

ATL - 84.5 under
WASH - 70.5 over

MILW - 84.5 over
CINC - 79.5 over
HOUS - 72.5 under

ARIZ - 86.5 over
COLO - 82.5 over
SF - 71.5 under

bmfc1
Mar 17 2008 11:03 AM

NYM - 93.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER
MILW - 84.5 OVER
CHIC - 87.5 UNDER
StL - 78.5 UNDER
HOU - 72.5 OVER
ARIZ - 86.5 OVER
COL - 82.5 OVER

Gwreck
Mar 17 2008 11:37 AM

NYM - 93.5 Over
ATL - 84.5 Over
MILW - 84.5 - Over
StL - 78.5 Under
HOUS - 72.5 Under
LAD - 87.5 Under
ARIZ - 86.5 Over
SD - 84.5 Under

Benjamin Grimm
Mar 17 2008 11:41 AM

PHIL - 87.5 OVER
WASH - 70.5 OVER
FLA - 68.5 UNDER
CHIC - 87.5 UNDER
CINC - 79.5 UNDER
StL - 78.5 OVER
LAD - 87.5 UNDER
COLO - 82.5 OVER

DocTee
Mar 17 2008 11:42 AM

PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER

CHIC - 87.5 OVER

CINC - 79.5 UNDER
StL - 78.5 OVER

LAD - 87.5 UNDER

SD - 84.5 UNDER

SF - 71.5 UNDER

Frayed Knot
Mar 17 2008 02:16 PM

I'll sum this up and close it out a week from today.

GYC
Mar 17 2008 02:29 PM

NYM - 93.5 - UNDER
PHIL - 87.5 - UNDER
ATL - 84.5 - OVER
MILW - 84.5 - OVER
ARIZ - 86.5 - UNDER
CINC - 79.5 - UNDER
StL - 78.5 - UNDER
SD - 84.5 - OVER

TheOldMole
Mar 17 2008 07:11 PM

NYM - 93.5 - over
PHIL - 87.5 -- over
ATL - 84.5 -- under
FLA - 68.5 - under

CHIC - 87.5 --over
StL - 78.5 -- over

LAD - 87.5 --under
ARIZ - 86.5 -- under

HahnSolo
Mar 18 2008 08:05 AM

Florida - UNDER 68.5
St. Louis - OVER 78.5
Houston - OVER 72.5
Colorado - UNDER 82.5
Atlanta - OVER 84.5
NY Mets - UNDER 93.5
Arizona - OVER 86.5
LA Dodgers - OVER 87.5

Mendoza Line
Mar 18 2008 08:11 AM

PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER
WASH - 70.5 OVER
HOUS - 72.5 OVER
PITT - 68.5 UNDER
LAD - 87.5 OVER
SD - 84.5 UNDER
COLO - 82.5 OVER

Number 6
Mar 18 2008 11:45 PM

NYM - 93.5 - UNDER
ATL - 84.5 - OVER
FLA - 68.5 - UNDER
CHIC - 87.5 - UNDER
MILW - 84.5 - OVER
StL - 78.5 - UNDER
ARIZ - 86.5 - OVER
SF - 71.5 - UNDER

Frayed Knot
Mar 24 2008 04:47 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Mar 30 2008 07:30 PM

I'll keep track of this thread and attempt to update the ongoing progress at various
points during the season.

Every team got picked at least once (at least threee times actually) so the entire league
will have a say in the outcome.

Kong76
Mar 24 2008 04:59 PM

Can we have a few more days? In the back of my mind I'm thinking we have
until the end of ST and I'd like to post in all the contest threads but haven't
had time to do so.

Frayed Knot
Mar 24 2008 05:01 PM

Ya wanna submit an entry submit an entry, I'll tack you on.

Gwreck
Mar 24 2008 05:44 PM

Only unanimous pick was the "over" for Milwaukee.

seawolf17
Mar 24 2008 05:48 PM

Yeah, I'm still pending also. I'll have mine in tomorrow or so.

Kong76
Mar 30 2008 11:50 AM

NYM - 93.5 - OVER
PHIL - 87.5
ATL - 84.5
WASH - 70.5 - OVER
FLA - 68.5

CHIC - 87.5 - OVER
MILW - 84.5
CINC - 79.5 - OVER
StL - 78.5
HOUS - 72.5
PITT - 68.5 - UNDER

LAD - 87.5 - UNDER
ARIZ - 86.5
SD - 84.5
COLO - 82.5 - UNDER
SF - 71.5 - UNDER

A Boy Named Seo
Mar 30 2008 12:53 PM

NYM - 93.5 - UNDER
PHIL - 87.5
ATL - 84.5 - OVER
WASH - 70.5
FLA - 68.5

CHIC - 87.5
MILW - 84.5 - OVER
CINC - 79.5
StL - 78.5 - UNDER
HOUS - 72.5
PITT - 68.5 - OVER

LAD - 87.5
ARIZ - 86.5 - UNDER
SD - 84.5 - OVER
COLO - 82.5 - OVER
SF - 71.5

seawolf17
Mar 30 2008 06:14 PM

Thanks for the sticky reminder.

NYM - 93.5 - OVER
PHIL - 87.5
ATL - 84.5
WASH - 70.5
FLA - 68.5

CHIC - 87.5
MILW - 84.5 - OVER
CINC - 79.5 - OVER
StL - 78.5
HOUS - 72.5
PITT - 68.5 - UNDER

LAD - 87.5
ARIZ - 86.5 - OVER
SD - 84.5
COLO - 82.5 - OVER
SF - 71.5 - UNDER

Frayed Knot
Mar 30 2008 07:29 PM

NYM PHIL ATL WASH FLA CHIC MILW CINC StL HOUS PITT ARIZ LAD SD COL SF
93.5 87.5 84.5 70.5 68.5 87.5 84.5 79.5 78.5 72.5 68.5 86.5 87.5 84.5 82.5 71.5
F Knot Over Over Over Over Over Under Over Under
AG/DC Over Under Over Under Over Over Under Under
JCL Under Over Over Under Over Over Over Over
Nymr83 Over Under Under Over Under Over Over Under
Triple D Over Over Under Over Under Under Over Under
Sharpie Under Over Under Under Over Under Under Under
smg58 Under Over Over Over Under Over Over Under
bmfc1 Over Over Under Over Under Over Over Over
GWreck Over Over Over Under Under Over Under Under
B.Grimm Over Over Under Under Under Over Under Over
DocTee Over Over Over Under Under Under Under Under
GYC Under Under Over Over Under Under Under Over
Old Mole Over Over Under Over Under Over Under Under
Hahn Solo Under Over Under Over Over Over Over Under
Mendoza Line Over Over Over Over Under Over Under Over
Number 6 Under Over Under Under Over Under Over Under
KC Over Over Over Over Under Under Under Under
Boy Named Seo Under Over Over Under Over Under Over Over
SeaWolf Over Over Over Under Ovder Over Under

Nymr83
Mar 31 2008 12:57 AM

so based on that chart everyone who took them (but me) thinks the Nationals are good enough to win 71 games but the Giants aren't? If anything the Giants are the better team, they at least have Cain and Lincecum keeping them in 40% of their games, the Nats have nothing.

AG/DC
Mar 31 2008 07:53 AM

The Nats have a ton of young hitting, led by the guy who ended last night's game walk-off style.

Frayed Knot
Apr 23 2008 08:34 PM

Time for our first check-up now that each team has reached the 20 game mark (we were the last).
Each team is shown with;
- their pre-season projected Over/Under number
- their wins over the first 20 games (games played since, if any, have been ignored)
- the number of wins that would project to over a full season
- and whether that team is currently tracking ahead or behind the over/under number

TEAM Proj O/U Wins thru 20 Proj thru 162 Trend
NYM 93.5 11 89 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 10 81 UNDER
ATL 84.5 10 81 UNDER
WASH 70.5 5 42 UNDER
FLA 68.5 12 97 OVER
CHIC 87.5 15 113 OVER
MILW 84.5 12 97 OVER
CINC 79.5 8 65 UNDER
StL 78.5 13 105 OVER
HOUS 72.5 8 65 UNDER
PITT 68.5 8 65 UNDER
ARIZ 86.5 15 122 OVER
LAD 87.5 8 65 UNDER
SD 84.5 9 73 UNDER
COLO 82.5 9 73 UNDER
SF 71.5 8 65 UNDER

Y'all can check the chart above to see how your guesses are doing.

Frayed Knot
May 17 2008 04:02 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on May 24 2008 03:35 PM

Time for the 40-game checkup.

All win totals shown where the team was [u:37e979bd4a]as of its 40th game[/u:37e979bd4a].
O/U trend say 'CLOSE' if full season projection is within +/- 4 games, or 'WAY' over or under if +/- 15 games

TEAM Proj O/U Wins thru 40 Proj thru 162 Trend
NYM 93.5 21 85 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 22 89 CLOSE
ATL 84.5 20 81 CLOSE
WASH 70.5 16 65 UNDER
FLA 68.5 23 93 WAY OVER
CHIC 87.5 24 97 OVER
MILW 84.5 20 81 CLOSE
CINC 79.5 17 69 UNDER
StL 78.5 23 93 WAY OVER
HOUS 72.5 22 89 WAY OVER
PITT 68.5 19 77 OVER
ARIZ 86.5 25 101 WAY OVER
LAD 87.5 21 85 CLOSE
SD 84.5 15 61 WAY UNDER
COLO 82.5 15 61 WAY UNDER
SF 71.5 17 69 CLOSE

batmagadanleadoff
May 17 2008 04:31 PM
Re: Over/Under Contest

NYM - 93.5 UNDER
PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER
FLA - 68.5 OVER

CHIC - 87.5 OVER
MILW - 84.5 OVER
ARIZ - 86.5 OVER
SD - 84.5 UNDER
COLO - 82.5 UNDER

batmagadanleadoff
May 17 2008 07:04 PM
Re: Over/Under Contest

Edited 1 time(s), most recently on May 17 2008 07:11 PM

="batmagadanleadoff"]NYM - 93.5 UNDER
PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER
FLA - 68.5 OVER

CHIC - 87.5 OVER
MILW - 84.5 OVER
ARIZ - 86.5 OVER
SD - 84.5 UNDER
COLO - 82.5 UNDER

I picked nine teams instead of eight. Remove MILW from my picks. That should fix it. So:

NYM - 93.5 UNDER
PHIL - 87.5 OVER
ATL - 84.5 OVER
FLA - 68.5 OVER

CHIC - 87.5 OVER
ARIZ - 86.5 OVER
SD - 84.5 UNDER
COLO - 82.5 UNDER

Kong76
May 17 2008 07:11 PM

Uh, it's May 17th.

batmagadanleadoff
May 17 2008 07:19 PM

KC wrote:
Uh, it's May 17th.

And put me down for the '69 Mets winning 100 while you're at it! I thought you guys started this poll today. Mar. 17. May 17. All looks the same kinda. Although I have to admit, I did think it strange that this contest would've been started today.

Nymr83
May 17 2008 08:29 PM

hello? vegas? i'll take the Giants to win the superbowl. no no i don't want the points, give me the money line!

batmagadanleadoff
May 17 2008 11:49 PM

Nymr83 wrote:
hello? vegas? i'll take the Giants to win the superbowl. no no i don't want the points, give me the money line!

Hey -- isn't that the same joke I made about an hour before you did?

Nymr83
May 18 2008 01:48 AM

making fun of yourself isn't going to stop others from making fun of you too, i felt the need to pile on.

batmagadanleadoff
May 18 2008 03:02 AM

="Nymr83"]making fun of yourself isn't going to stop others from making fun of you too, i felt the need to pile on.

I wasn't trying to stop anyone from piling on. I deserve a good ribbing and I can appreciate a funny post as much as anyone, even when I'm the target. Though I'm not surprised that it's you that needs to pile on here. (Need? Did you write "need"?)

Frayed Knot
Jun 01 2008 02:26 PM

Time for the 54-game (1/3 of the season) check-up.

TEAM Proj O/U Wins thru 54 Proj thru 162 Trend
NYM 93.5 27 81 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 30 90 CLOSE
ATL 84.5 29 87 CLOSE
WASH 70.5 23 69 CLOSE
FLA 68.5 31 93 WAY OVER
CHIC 87.5 33 99 OVER
MILW 84.5 26 78 UNDER
CINC 79.5 25 75 UNDER
StL 78.5 31 93 WAY OVER
HOUS 72.5 30 90 WAY OVER
PITT 68.5 25 75 OVER
ARIZ 86.5 30 90 CLOSE
LAD 87.5 27 81 UNDER
SD 84.5 20 60 WAY UNDER
COLO 82.5 20 60 WAY UNDER
SF 71.5 23 69 CLOSE

John Cougar Lunchbucket
Jun 01 2008 02:38 PM
Edited 1 time(s), most recently on Jun 01 2008 05:31 PM

I'd like to point out here that 2 out of 3 Way Over's have yet to play the Mets.

Elster88
Jun 01 2008 05:20 PM

The Mets qualify as a way under, no?

Frayed Knot
Jun 01 2008 05:28 PM

I arbitrarily chose (prior to the 40-game checkup) to use +/- 15 games for a 'WAY' over/under description (and within 4 games for a 'CLOSE') so I'll stick with those for consistancy purposes.

Frayed Knot
Jun 30 2008 11:16 AM

Half-way home:

.
TEAM Proj O/U Wins thru 54 Proj thru 162 Trend
NYM 93.5 40 80 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 43 86 CLOSE
ATL 84.5 40 80 UNDER
WASH 70.5 32 64 UNDER
FLA 68.5 42 84 WAY OVER
CHIC 87.5 49 98 OVER
MILW 84.5 44 88 CLOSE
CINC 79.5 36 72 UNDER
StL 78.5 46 92 WAY OVER
HOUS 72.5 38 76 CLOSE
PITT 68.5 38 76 OVER
ARIZ 86.5 41 82 UNDER
LAD 87.5 38 76 UNDER
SD 84.5 32 64 WAY UNDER
COLO 82.5 32 64 WAY UNDER
SF 71.5 35 70 CLOSE

Benjamin Grimm
Jun 30 2008 11:29 AM

Although it's close, the Phillies at the moment are an "under" which means that if the contest were to end today, I'd be correct with four of my eight guesses: Nationals, Cardinals, Reds, Dodgers. And I'm wrong about the Phillies, Rockies, Marlins, and Cubs.

Frayed Knot
Jul 08 2008 08:39 PM

How your predictions were doing as of the 81 game mark:

Frayed Knot 3 - 5
AG/DC 4 - 4
JCL 3 - 5
Nymr 5 - 3
Triple D 2 - 6
Sharpie 7 - 1
Smg58 4 - 4
Bmfc1 2 - 6
GWreck 3 - 5
Ben Grimm 3 - 5
Doc Tee 5 - 3
GYC 5 - 3
Old Mole 5 - 3
Hahn Solo 4 - 4
Mndz Line 2 - 6
Numb 6 3 - 5
KC 4 - 4
ABNS 4 - 4
SeaWolf 2 - 6

Frayed Knot
Aug 15 2008 11:52 AM

At the 120 Game (3/4) mark:

TEAM Proj O/U Wins thru 120 Proj thru 162 Trend
NYM 93.5 64 86 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 64 86 CLOSE
ATL 84.5 55 74 UNDER
WASH 70.5 44 59 UNDER
FLA 68.5 63 85 WAY OVER
CHIC 87.5 73 99 OVER
MILW 84.5 69 93 OVER
CINC 79.5 53 72 UNDER
StL 78.5 65 88 OVER
HOUS 72.5 61 82 OVER
PITT 68.5 55 74 OVER
ARIZ 86.5 61 82 UNDER
LAD 87.5 61 82 UNDER
SD 84.5 46 62 WAY UNDER
COLO 82.5 53 72 UNDER
SF 71.5 50 68 CLOSE

Frayed Knot
Sep 30 2008 06:35 AM

Final Results

TEAM Proj O/U FINAL O/U
NYM 93.5 89 UNDER
PHIL 87.5 92 OVER
ATL 84.5 72 UNDER
WASH 70.5 59 UNDER
FLA 68.5 84 OVER
CHIC 87.5 97 OVER
MILW 84.5 90 OVER
CINC 79.5 74 UNDER
StL 78.5 86 OVER
HOU 72.5 86 OVER
PIT 68.5 67 UNDER
ARZ 86.5 82 UNDER
LAD 87.5 84 UNDER
SD 84.5 63 UNDER
COL 82.5 74 UNDER
SF 71.5 72 OVER

Sharpie = 6 correct
Right: Braves, Cubs, Reds, Astros, Pads, Rox
Wrong: Cards, Giants

Old Mole = 6
Right: Phils, Braves, Cubs, Cards, Dbacks, Dodgers
Wrong: Mets, Marlins

Nymr83 = 5
Right: Phils, Braves, Nats, Cubs, Reds
Wrong: Dodgers, Pads, Giants

Doc Tee = 5
Right: Phils, Cubs, Reds, Dodgers, Pads
Wrong: Braves, Cards, Giants

GYC = 4
Right: Mets, Brewers, Reds, Dbacks
Wrong: Phils, Braves, Cards, Pads

Hahn Solo = 4
Right: Mets, Cards, Astros, Rox
Wrong: Braves, Marlins, Dbacks, Dodgers

Mendoza Line = 4
Right: Phils, Astros, Pirates, Pads
Wrong: Braves, Nats, Dodgers, Rox

KC = 4
Right: Cubs, Pirates, Dodgers, Rox
Wrong: Mets, Nats, Reds, Giants

Ben Grimm = 4
Right: Phils, Reds, Cards, Dodgers
Wrong: Nats, Marlins, Cubs, Rox

JC Lunchbucket = 3
Right: Mets, Brewers, Giants
Wrong: Nats, Astros, Pirates, Dbacks, Rox

Triple D = 3
Right: Phils, Braves, Dodgers
Wrong: Phils, Nats, Marlins, Cards, Dbacks

Smg58 = 3
Right: Braves, Cubs, Brewers
Wrong: Nats, Astros, DBacks, Rox, Giants

GWreck = 3
Right: Brewers, Dodgers, Pads
Wrong: Mets, Braves, Cards, Astros, Dbacks

A Roy Named Seo = 3
Right: Mets, Brewers, Dbacks
Wrong: Braves, Cards, Pirates, Pads, Rox

Frayed Knot = 2
Right: Cubs, Brewers
Wrong: Nats, Reds, Cards, DBacks, Pads, Giants

AG/DC = 2
Right: Brewers, Pads
Wrong: Nats, Marlins, Astros, Pirates, Dbacks, Giants

Bmfc1 = 2
Right: Brewers, Astros
Wrong: Mets, Braves, Cubs, Cards, Astros, DBacks, Rox

Number6 = 2
Right: Mets, Brewers
Wrong: Braves, Marlins, Cubs, Cards, DBacks, Giants

Seawolf = 2
Right: Brewers, Pirates
Wrong: Mets, Reds, Pirates, DBacks, Rox, Giants

All prizes must be picked up in person at the home office located at 1 Terrorist Lane, Baghdad, Iraq

AG/DC
Sep 30 2008 07:09 AM

This is why I don't make predicitons.

sharpie and Mole should use the post-season as a tie-breaker.