The Crane Pool Forum

Tylor Megill against Jonathan Cannon

Anything less than a sweep feels like failure

LGM

ashie62 wrote: ↑Fri Aug 30, 2024 2:37 pm
Anything less than a sweep feels like failure

That's putting the cart before the herd.
Later

If the Mets sweep the lowly White Sox (and I've learned to be fearful of teams called "lowly") and the Braves lose the next three to the first-place Phillies, neither of which are implausible scenarios, the Mets will wake up on September 2 tied for the third Wild Card berth.

Even if it doesn't turn out exactly that way, the Mets do have an opportunity here to make up some much-needed ground.

Yeah, bad teams win a lot. Even the 2024 White Sox have managed to win 31 times. And each win was against a team currently ahead of them in the standings. Fifty-eight percent of their wins have come at home. They've even shut out their opponents five times.

One game at a time.

Tylor seems to wilt in big games. I don't have data on that, just an impression.

Tonight the Sox have the pitching advantage. Statistically anyway. I don’t really know much about Cannon except he has a great name.

Sweeps are difficult, let's see

I am kahnfident the Mets can win three against the Pale Hose one game at a time

Beyond that I don't often get to watch the White Sox play very often and am looking forward to this series

Tylor, "be the ball"

The ChiSox have won a hair over 26% of their home games this year. So using that as a guide, the Mets have a 74% of winning each game. But to get to a sweep you have to go W - W - W where there's a slightly better than 1/4 chance of losing each ... or .74 x .74 x .74 = .405124
So a 40% chance of a sweepage given those generic parameters.

And here's who will be trying to sweep the first game.

Nimmo and Vientos swapped in the lineup, making Vientos the newest resident of the three-hole.

#	Player	Pos.	#	Player	Pos.
1	Francisco Lindor (S)	ss	1	Nicky Lopez (L)	2b
2	Brandon Nimmo (L)	lf	2	Luis Robert, Jr. (R)	cf
3	Mark Vientos (R)	3b	3	Andrew Benintendi (L)	lf
4	Pete Alonso (R)	1b	4	Andrew Vaughn (R)	dh
5	Jesse Winker (L)	rf	5	Gavin Sheets (L)	1b
6	J.D. Martinez (R)	dh	6	Korey Lee (R)	c
7	Jeff McNeil (L)	2b	7	Dominic Fletcher (L)	rf
8	Francisco Álvarez (R)	c	8	Miguel Vargas (R)	3b
9	Harrison Bader (R)	cf	9	Jacob Amaya (R)	ss
	Pitcher			Pitcher
	Tylor Megill (R)	sp		Jonathan Cannon (R)	sp

I wouldn't be surprised in the least if it was the White Sox doing the sweeping of this series. And if the Mets were out of it, playoff-wise, I'd probably be rooting for a White Sox sweep. I'm one of those Mets fans that wants the Mets to hold their 120 loss record.

batmagadanleadoff wrote: ↑Fri Aug 30, 2024 6:04 pm I wouldn't be surprised in the least if it was the White Sox doing the sweeping of this series.

I came here to post that exact thing. It would be a very Metsian outcome.

It wouldn't be Metsian at all. Losing to bad teams is just something that happens sometimes.

Two out of three lost to the Angels and A’s this month. Not a trend to be continued.

Love when there's a dozen posts in an IGT an hour before game time.

STAIN THE SOX

The Mets are calling up Abe Froman tomorrow

Phillies are not exactly helping us out tonight.

First thing is helping ourselves, and we've fallen behind and gotten Winkie shaken up.

Highest OPS in the Sox' lineup is .679. Lowest OPS in the Mets lineup is .699, so our spreads barely touch.

That's some stupid fencing wall out there.

Winkie is a'ight.

Cash-in time, Francisco.

How many times does that have to happen until he closes his stance. Maddening.

Alvarez is killing this team.

This is the second time the Mets made two appeals on one play, and the outcome was split.

Kind of a loophole in the rules.