How Will He Thrive in Twenty-Five?: Kodai Senga
Posted: Wed Mar 05, 2025 6:11 pm
I'm not saying the projection guys are pessimistic on Kodai Senga, but the guy at the top of the pitching staff coming out of 2023, after missing most of 2024, is projected for the same amount of fWAR as José Siri.
Yeah, that's a mean of 1000 or whatever simulations, and presumably that mean is dragged down by the 300 or however many simulations in which he gets hurt early and misses all or most of the season. But (a) he hasn't gotten hurt yet, and (b) his injuries last year weren't of the kind that required reconstructive surgery or anything, so if you have a more optimistic prediction than that, I am all ears.



Yeah, that's a mean of 1000 or whatever simulations, and presumably that mean is dragged down by the 300 or however many simulations in which he gets hurt early and misses all or most of the season. But (a) he hasn't gotten hurt yet, and (b) his injuries last year weren't of the kind that required reconstructive surgery or anything, so if you have a more optimistic prediction than that, I am all ears.






