Predict The Mets '25

[bmfc1]

1. What will the Mets' record be?
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5:
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)?
4. If so, how far will they go?
5. Who will be the World Champion?
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso:
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby?

[roger_that]

Hugo Fuerst.

[MFS62]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 82-80
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Phillies, Atlanta, Mets, Washington, Miami
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? 2nd WC
4. If so, how far will they go? Lose in the NLDS
5. Who will be the World Champion? Milwaukee Brewers
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 34
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Mark Vientos

Later

[Benjamin Grimm]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 91-71
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Braves Mets Phillies Marlins Nationals
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? Second Wild Card
4. If so, how far will they go? NLCS
5. Who will be the World Champion? Guardians
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 33
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Soto

[Lefty Specialist]

1) 79-83. Not enough pitching. Sorry, Juan.
2) Braves, Phils, Mets, Nats, Marlins
3) Playoffs? No.
4) See 3).
5) Dodgers go back to back.
6) 35 Polar Pops.
7) Soto will do something awesome that'll be Stockholm-worthy.

[Johnny Lunchbucket]

1. What will the Mets' record be?
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5:
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)?
4. If so, how far will they go?
5. Who will be the World Champion?
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso:
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby?

1. 88-74
2. 2nd
3. y
4. win it all baby
5. nym
6. 32
7. Ryne Stanek

[bmfc1]

Can we pin the prediction threads?

[metirish]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 92-70

2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5:
Phillies
Mets
Braves
Nats
Marlins

3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? 1st WC


4. If so, how far will they go? - Win it all

5. Who will be the World Champion? - NY Mets

6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: - 34
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? - Soto

[DocTee]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 84-78

2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5:
Phillies
Mets
Braves
Nats
Marlins

3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? 1st WC


4. If so, how far will they go? - NL Championship

5. Who will be the World Champion? - Dodgers

6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: - 36
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? - Lindor

[ashie62]

1. 94-78

2.
Mets
Braves
Phillies
Nationals
Marlins

3. Division Winner

4. The Amazing Mets of course

5. 41 Polar Popsicles

6. Soto

[kcmets]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 99-63
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Mets, Braves, Phillies, Nationals and Marlins
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? Division
4. If so, how far will they go? Canyon of Heroes
5. Who will be the World Champion? See #4
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 38
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? The Hamburglar

[Gwreck]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 104-58
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Mets, Braves (WC), Phillies (WC), Nationals, Marlins
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? Division Champs
4. If so, how far will they go? WS Champs (sweep; beat Dodgers 4-1 in NLCS, the only postseason game the Mets lose)
5. Who will be the World Champion? Mets
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 44
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby?

[roger_that]

Question for youse guys predicting the Mets to finish out of first place with fewer than 90 wins: where would your predictions be if the Mets had signed neither Soto nor Alonso? Negative wins?
\

1. What will the Mets' record be? 97-65
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: 1
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? champ
4. If so, how far will they go? All the way
5. Who will be the World Champion? M-E-T-S!!!
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso:26
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Luis Torrens

[MFS62]

Question for youse guys predicting the Mets to finish out of first place with fewer than 90 wins: where would your predictions be if the Mets had signed neither Soto nor Alonso? Negative wins?

I can't answer that without knowing which other players they would have acquired for the cost of those two.
Later

[Lefty Specialist]

Question for youse guys predicting the Mets to finish out of first place with fewer than 90 wins: where would your predictions be if the Mets had signed neither Soto nor Alonso?

My rating would have been higher if they'd actually signed some decent pitching. They signed Manaea back but the rest was retreads or trash. Frankie Montas? Griffin Canning? Ryne Stanek? There were pitchers out there for the taking but they didn't take them. If they hadn't signed Alonso, they would have moved Vientos to first and let Baty play 3rd, or snagged some other 3b, or maybe resigned Iglesias, who knows.

If they hadn't signed Alonso or Soto, it'd be a 70- win team that would have been pounded in the NL east. As it is, Senga's coming off a year of inactivity, Manaea and Montas are hurt, your Opening Day starter hasn't started a game in 7 years, Canning is a guy even the Angels didn't want, and Tylor Megill is back for his 27th time trying to win a spot in the rotation by default. McNeil and Alvarez are already going to be out at least a month and Nimmo and Marte are hobbled.

Maybe Stearns is a genius and I'm not seeing it. I wouldn't be surprised if the bullpen isn't burned out by the end of April. I'd love to be wrong, but this looks like an incomplete team. I'm sure Soto and Lindor will have great years, but they can't do it alone.

[ashie62]

Did you feel the same way last preseason?

It worked out pretty well for the Mets

[roger_that]

Question for youse guys predicting the Mets to finish out of first place with fewer than 90 wins: where would your predictions be if the Mets had signed neither Soto nor Alonso?

My rating would have been higher if they'd actually signed some decent pitching.

Okay, fair enough. I think Manaea's injury is just a few missed starts, and Peterson is due for a big year (to my mind), and the back end of the rotation is decent. When Alvarez comes back, I expect the offense to be very solid, far outweighing any deficiencies in the pitching staff--a lot of 7-5 wins. But yeah, the pitching could be stronger. Reminds me a little of the turn of the century staff--Leiter's ok, nothing great, Reed is unproven, Hampton who knows, Franco makes me nervous, I don't trust Benitez, etc. but they were more than sufficient.

[Lefty Specialist]

Well, the game's changed in 25 years, so comparisons are shaky at best.

Yes, I picked them for a losing season last year, and for the first 2 1/2 months I was spot on. Then they brought up Iglesias and Vientos, activated Peterson, Lindor got hot and they went on a run none of us envisioned.

I don't see that sort of thing happening two years in a row. Could everything perfectly fall into place like it did last year? Sure, it's possible, I just don't think it's likely.

[roger_that]

Well, the game's changed in 25 years, so comparisons are shaky at best.

Yes, I picked them for a losing season last year, and for the first 2 1/2 months I was spot on. Then they brought up Iglesias and Vientos, activated Peterson, Lindor got hot and they went on a run none of us envisioned.

I don't see that sort of thing happening two years in a row. Could everything perfectly fall into place like it did last year? Sure, it's possible, I just don't think it's likely.

Sure. But your reasoning seems a bit odd. Last year, as you vividly remind me, everything did NOT fall into place if for 2 1/2 months they were awful, as they were. But thanks for keeping us grounded here--always interesting to view a different perspective.

[Lefty Specialist]

The last time I was overconfident was 2023, when they were coming off a 101-win season and signed a Hall of Famer in Justin Verlander. That all fell apart very quickly.

[Marshmallowmilkshake]

I am an optimist! I give Stearns the benefit of the doubt on the pitching. A healthy Senga will make a big difference. If there is a problem, the team has the money and prospect capital to fill it at the deadline or before. That top of the order -- Lindor, Soto, and Pete -- are going to mash!


1. What will the Mets' record be? 95-67
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Mets, Braves, Phillies, Nationals, Marlins.
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? As division champ.
4. If so, how far will they go? World Series!
5. Who will be the World Champion? Your New York Mets!
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 42
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Francisco Lindor.

[Cowtipper]

1. I predicted 91 wins for New York last year.

The bullpen didn't lose much gas over last year and though it is still pretty weak, it might actually be stronger over '24 if Butto continues to impress and AJ Minter performs. I'm nervous about Stanek-Garrett (and Diaz to a lesser degree), but the bullpen has decent C-level depth in Nunez and Megill. If the Mets don't use Megill as their fill-in starter and trade him, as I predicted in his dedicated thread, I think he'll move to the bullpen full time and potentially flourish. That's just a hunch.

It should also be noted that their Triple-A club is actually quite solid. Adbert Alzolay, Genesis Cabrera, Chris Devenski and Sean Reid-Foley have all had some success at the big league level. And let's not forget, the Mets still have the once-touted Dom Hamel, as well as Brandon Sproat and Blade Tidwell waiting in the wings. Joander Suarez could be a dark horse.

The rotation is following the 2024 mold—no superstars, but a good number of C- to C+ names. Senga's not a star in my mind—he has to reclaim the title—but I foresee Manaea-Holmes-Peterson being very solid, and perhaps Montas being a surprise (though more than likely 2025's Adrian Houser). As they have had these past few years, they have A LOT of decent fill-in depth to choose from—Megill, Butto, Canning, Blackburn. All of whom could theoretically be decent-to-good pitchers if the cards play right (and unfortunately that usually means going to another team). Because Holmes is unproven, Senga's coming back from injury and Peterson has yet to perform at a high level over a full season, I'll dock 2 wins from my 2024 prediction. So, right now, it stands at 89.

BUT, the offensive is looking good. The catcher crisis isn't that bad, the Mets managed a similar thing last year. Their depth chart has three potentially big names at first—Alonso, Vientos and Baty—which is a big plus. Second has McNeil at #1 on the depth chart, but two top prospects—Acuna and Mauricio—are also there, which offers a lot of hope. Shortstop is anchored by Lindor, nothing to worry about. Third is anchored by Vientos, who I'm bullish on now. All that alone would bump my prediction up to 90 wins. But they also have Nimmo and Marte still, Taylor's still there, Winker—a big late-season sparkplug—thankfully came back and the big name, of course, Juan Soto, is a huge addition. But, this is also the Mets, so I'm not going to add a lot of wins to my prediction still. With Soto and the aforementioned, I'll add another 2 to my prediction, putting them at 92.

A big benefit is having two solid players at DH, not an end-of-career dog like J.D. Martinez. Winker and Marte are the top two on the depth chart and having them there might be enough to add another win. But I'm not confident they will, so I'll stick with my 92 wins, therefore they will go 92-70.

2. They'll finish second in the NL. Pretty much the same standings as last year.

3. Yes.

4. NLCS.

5. Who cares if it's not the Mets.

6. Pete Alonso is on the way out, I think, but he's not done yet. I predicted 30 home runs in his dedicated thread, but for this I'll say we'll see a repeat of last year—34 home runs—with a poor .235 average.

7. A brown and white rabbit that sneaks into Citi Field on June 14th and becomes a cult hero like that squirrel that one year or the rally monkey.

[ashie62]

The Mets looking to capitalize on the "white rabbit" ask Grace Slick to sing the National anthem before the first home game of the post season

[bmfc1]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 92-70
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: Mets, PHI, ATL, WSH, MIA
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? Yes, division champ
4. If so, how far will they go? NLCS, lose to LAD in 6 (again)
5. Who will be the World Champion? LAD
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 38
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Lindor.

[metsmarathon]

1. What will the Mets' record be? 96-66
2. Predict the NL East standings from 1 to 5: nym phi atl was Fla
3. Will the Mets make the playoffs (if so, as the division champ or 1st, 2nd, or 3rd WC)? Division
4. If so, how far will they go? World Series
5. Who will be the World Champion? Mets
6. Number of regular season HRs for Pete Alonso: 47
7. Who will be on the cover of the 2025 winner of the Tabloid Cover Derby? Juan Soto