Twenty-Three Skiddoo: Justin Verlander
Posted: Sat Mar 04, 2023 6:07 pm
I went 18-4 / 1.75 last year, winning my third Cy Young Award. I'd be a Hall-of-Famer if I hung it up tomorrow (heck, if i hung it up yesterday), having won almost three times as many games as Jacob deGrom.
Now I'm a Met, and on any other team, this whole spring training would be about me. But here, last year, they already brought in a big bad Germanic-sounding righthander with three Cy Youngs who originally made his bones in the American League. So I'm kind of just styling here, joining a show that's already opened and gone on tour. Maybe that's healthy for me, or maybe I need to be the center of attention. I don't know, but after sitting out 2021 following ACL surgery, and being as good as ever (better?) in 2022, maybe there's nothing I can't do.
Or maybe not. ZIPs has me down for 3.7 WARs, but WAR prediction can be funny with starting pitchers. We can have a wide range of WAR outcomes, with a bad break or two seperating a 7.5 WAR season from a 1.5. So while 3.7 WARs on the ZIPs scale is the fourth highest average outcome on the team, but there's only one season in 2023, and despite being 40 and having been broken a few times already, I'm as likely as anybody to really dominate.
Or not. What's it gonna be?
Now I'm a Met, and on any other team, this whole spring training would be about me. But here, last year, they already brought in a big bad Germanic-sounding righthander with three Cy Youngs who originally made his bones in the American League. So I'm kind of just styling here, joining a show that's already opened and gone on tour. Maybe that's healthy for me, or maybe I need to be the center of attention. I don't know, but after sitting out 2021 following ACL surgery, and being as good as ever (better?) in 2022, maybe there's nothing I can't do.
Or maybe not. ZIPs has me down for 3.7 WARs, but WAR prediction can be funny with starting pitchers. We can have a wide range of WAR outcomes, with a bad break or two seperating a 7.5 WAR season from a 1.5. So while 3.7 WARs on the ZIPs scale is the fourth highest average outcome on the team, but there's only one season in 2023, and despite being 40 and having been broken a few times already, I'm as likely as anybody to really dominate.
Or not. What's it gonna be?