IGT Election 11/5/24 Harris vs Trump

[Edgy MD]

Wisconsin keeps swinging back and forth. Either way, the difference between the two has been less than Jill Stein's piece of the pie.

[Johnny Lunchbucket]

At least the islanders won.

[batmagadanleadoff]

As of this precise moment, the NYT predicts that the Hitler has an 82% chance of winning this election --- estimating a 296 to 242 electoral college victory.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... eedle.html

Also, the only Senate seat that the GOP could possibly lose now is in Nebraska. Having already flipped the West Virginia Senate seat, as was expected, a GOP Senate win in Nebraska will guarantee the GOP 50 US Senators. In that event, a Hitler win will also guarantee control of the US Senate. If so, expect the GOP to kill the filibuster and rain absolute hell on the country if they also hold the House. And Alito and Thomas will likely be replaced by even more extreme wingnuts, if that's even possible, that are 30, 35 years younger.

[Centerfield]

Blue wall or bust for Harris. Needs to hold all three

79% trump wins according to NY Times.

Fucking disaster.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Blue wall or bust for Harris. Needs to hold all three

79% trump wins according to NY Times.

Fucking disaster.

83%.

[batmagadanleadoff]

Blue wall or bust for Harris. Needs to hold all three

79% trump wins according to NY Times.

Fucking disaster.

83%.

84% (297 to 241)

[batmagadanleadoff]

Blue wall or bust for Harris. Needs to hold all three

79% trump wins according to NY Times.

Fucking disaster.

83%.

84% (297 to 241)

86% --- and upgraded from "Lean" to "Likely".

[Centerfield]

Pennsylvania might be slipping away. Might be an early night and not in a good way.

[batmagadanleadoff]

83%.

84% (297 to 241)

86% --- and upgraded from "Lean" to "Likely".

88%. WTF? It's going up a point or two in the Hitler's favor every other minute.

[batmagadanleadoff]

84% (297 to 241)

86% --- and upgraded from "Lean" to "Likely".

88%. WTF? It's going up a point or two in the Hitler's favor every other minute.

According to the NYT, the Hitler now has a greater than 60% chance of winning every single one of the three blue wall states. What the hell happened?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... eedle.html

[batmagadanleadoff]

86% --- and upgraded from "Lean" to "Likely".

88%. WTF? It's going up a point or two in the Hitler's favor every other minute.

According to the NYT, the Hitler now has a greater than 60% chance of winning every single one of the three blue wall states. What the hell happened?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... eedle.html

And Harris picks up three percentage points according to the NYT estimator.

85% chance for the Hitler.

[batmagadanleadoff]

88%. WTF? It's going up a point or two in the Hitler's favor every other minute.

According to the NYT, the Hitler now has a greater than 60% chance of winning every single one of the three blue wall states. What the hell happened?

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/202 ... eedle.html

And Harris picks up three percentage points according to the NYT estimator.

85% chance for the Hitler.

Now 87% (299 to 239).

[Edgy MD]

So much for that Iowa poll.

[Centerfield]

It’s like going into Atlanta the last weekend of the season needing a sweep.

Awful.

[Edgy MD]

I'm not trusting that NYT percentage tool.

Of course, I'm not sure what else there is to trust, other than the hope of overnight counts.

[batmagadanleadoff]

I'm not trusting that NYT percentage tool.

Of course, I'm not sure what else there is to trust, other than the hope of overnight counts.

MSNBC is slightly more upbeat about Kamala's chances --- "nauseously optimistic ".

[Edgy MD]

Arizona — currently falling well within the Jill Stein margin, may well be the big prize still out there at the end of the night.

[Edgy MD]

The Black Nazi getting absolutely pounded in North Carolina, but that isn't enough to drag down the Republican vote as the state goes into former-President Trump's column.

Yuck.

[Centerfield]

Latinos turning out to vote for mass deportation is not something I saw coming.

[batmagadanleadoff]

The Black Nazi getting absolutely pounded in North Carolina, but that isn't enough to drag down the Republican vote as the state goes into former-President Trump's column.

Yuck.

Latinos turning out to vote for mass deportation is not something I saw coming.

Or answer this: How does the majority (57%) of the Florida electorate vote for a state Constitutional amendment to protect abortion rights and at the same time, vote for the Hitler?

[Edgy MD]

Latinos turning out to vote for mass deportation is not something I saw coming.

Historically, an ugly but regular part of social climbing is spitting on the folks below.

[metirish]

I'm saddened but not surprised

[metirish]

Watching John King last and he was showing Harris under performing Biden (2020) in counties all across swing states , i went to bed with a bad feeling

[DocTee]

Popular vote and electoral one.
House and Senate.
Presidency and SCOTUS.

This is as strong a mandate as any I can remember.

[Centerfield]

By this time everyone knows exactly what Trump is. That’s why some fight him as bitterly as they’ve fought anyone in their lives.

But that’s also why some love him. They see what he is. And he allows them to be just like him.